The choice is impeachment and removal or calamity for the United States. I don't see how anybody watching Trump's speech in Davos can draw any other conclusion. He's a senile madman.

New in @bjpols.bsky.social! Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN

This paper shows welfare programs alleviating health shock can reduce crime. It makes case poverty scholars have long made about the negative costs of poverty to society. The societal costs of crime need to be factored into benefit-cost analyses of poverty reduction programs.

New paper out with @kchihaya.bsky.social and @eduardotapia.bsky.social. We show how a tendency to move near kin can preserve patterns of segregation, using a combination of discrete choice models and micro-simulations applied to the case of immigrants and their descendants living in Stockholm.

it is *critically* important now for Dems to create a climate in which there is a threat of punishment once power is switched. The more we can create a threatening shadow of the future, the greater the probability of preventing harm in the present

This important paper shows a precipitous drop in girls' achievement in recent years, closing a third of the gap with boys. Covid doesn't seem to be the smoking gun, but tiktok may be

New article w/ @jenjirayahirun.bsky.social: Exogamous 2nd gen immigrants in Sweden live further from parents than do endogamous immigrants, but closer than natives. But in terms of residential choices, exogamous immigrants are least likely to move near parents.

🚨🎓 We’re looking for new PhD students! The area of specialization is open, but successful applicants should demonstrate a clear interest in themes that align with ongoing research at @iasliu.bsky.social 📅 Deadline: 31.08.2025 💼 Fully funded positions How to apply 👉 liu.se/en/work-at-l...

✨ The IAS Seminar Series returns for the Fall 2025 semester with a stellar lineup of speakers and thought-provoking talks. Open to all! #AcademicSky #Sociology #CSS

@iasliu.bsky.social is advertising another postdoc position as part of the Swedish Excellence Center in Computational Social Science. For recently graduated or soon-to-graduate PhD students, the setting is really conducive to getting high quality research done. Apply by September 30th!

The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research has a call for grant proposals for US-based researchers with Swedish citizenship or a degree from Sweden who want to move to a Swedish university. SEK 15 million over 5 years. Aimed at science and tech, so maybe a CSS researcher?

Amazing. Right out in the open: "universities are free to do research as long as they're sympathetic to the administration." I want to personally play this clip in the face of every fucking clown who spent the last several years pretending that the left is the "real" threat to free speech.

“Seventy-eight percent of ocean microplastics are synthetic tire rubber, according to a report by the Pew Charitable Trust.” From the article below (a complement to the one the quoted text is about, not the same piece)

👇🎯 Been saying this for years. But it's actually worse than this. They think we are less worthy of actual citizenship & openly suggest that our votes shouldn't count, & they pay absolutely no consequences for this in the National Conversation™️: bsky.app/profile/mcop...

It's been a couple wks since the various reports of Trump's incursions at the LoC. In that time, I've been backing up the OCR text of Chronicling America, just in case I documented my process on my blog. Just sharing in case others want/need to back up Chron Am for their own peace of mind

Analytical sociologists look around nervously.

Replication crisis not as bad as feared? “Observed replication rates could have been predicted by issues with replication power alone…. predicted replication rate is almost identical to observed replication rates in experimental economics (60% vs. 61%) and experimental social science (54% vs. 57%).”

A major escalation of the ongoing weaponization of the federal government against institutions that are deemed insufficiently obedient. This isn't about Harvard, specifically: This is an authoritarian regime weaponizing the state to force civil society institutions into submission.

Must-read @poppublicsphere.bsky.social for folks working on populism: "Populist Radical Right Parties are most successful among classes facing a deterioration of their economic position within the social hierarchy. The magnitude of the association is substantial." www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

I’m old enough to remember the IRS “scandal” from the Obama administration that the GOP fed to a thirsty media, parlaying it into reams of tedious coverage and hackneyed “news analysis”. Every accusation is a confession for these malign mungers.

There are serious concerns about the data validity of the income measurement of the EU-SILC in Hungary after 2017. The numbers reek of manipulation to make the Orban government appear better at fighting poverty than it actually is. This is serious, as it undermines trust in the whole data set.

20 Republicans in the Senate and a handful in the house can end this right now.

I've already had two federal grants terminated and face a 33% pay cut due to future terminations. It's painful, but not as painful as the conversations I'm having every day with brilliant trainees in graduate school and postdoctoral positions who see little future for themselves in US science.

OMFG. Read this and weep for our country and the man whose life is ruined. The Trump administration did this and now claims it can't be fixed. That's not good enough. All Americans should be losing their minds over this, even those who don't usually pay attention. www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

Good point. Also, we should reduce the US Army to the size of the Cleveland police department. I am not a crank.

Whatever we offer, they’ll demand more, because what they actually want is to vanquish every institution—the media, the courts, the bar, the universities—that could serve as a check on their power. “There is no appeasing these forces” is right. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

This is taking it to another level. Perhaps the most frightening aspect here is that the victims called the police ... who then proceeded to faciliate the takeover by goons. This isn't just a faint echo of Germany in 1933. It is precisely the same playbook. www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

2. A Green Card holder from Germany 🇩🇪 living in New Hampshire Detailed and abused -- unclear why

I decided to start a #thread 🧵 of stories about legal residents and tourists being (illegally) arrested, detained and/or deported by the Trump regime. I'll only post stories from serious sources, as rumors and conspiracies are really not needed in this authoritarian moment.

At this point, it is obvious that it is not safe for scholars to travel the US. There are no easy solutions for conferences scheduled in the US this year but it should be cleary to everyone involved that they cannot just go ahead as planned.

Want to help save research using NCES restricted-use data? Here is a gdrive with actions, background, and context from my colleague sean reardon (sharing with permission): 1) actions 2) background 3) list of data files: drive.google.com/drive/folder...

Robocop, Total Recall, Starship Troopers – a perfect triple bill on the American future.

This.

Nothing will kill more children than the ongoing decimation of CDC, NIH, and USAID work to lift vaccine uptake in the US and world. Child survival rose 75% in the last 50 years. Vaccines account for 40% of that. Measles vax alone was 60% of the benefit. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

In a new ESR paper with @laurafursich.bsky.social, we show that young adults are more likely to move to neighborhoods near their friends from primary and secondary school. This implicates schools as potential institutional engines of subsequent residential segregation.

I genuinely feel bad for these prosecutors who turn down bigger salaries to do work they believe in and are told “okay, new plan — do some crooked shit”

If Elon Musk isn't bankrupt in five years from the financial decline of his main businesses and devastating civil penalties stemming from his current conduct as unelected head of the government, then well, we will have arrived where we seem to be headed: out-and-out techno-fascism.

How could that Trump voter have believed electing him would make IVF free? She must've been into fringey alternative media, maybe saw it from some influencer, professional media outlets would never oh no.

holy hell this is smart

It’s almost like the government already had competent people doing oversight and DOGE is just a cover for ideological slash and burn operations… hey, I wonder what’s going on with IGs these days…

The U.S. #NationalWeatherService, housed within #NOAA, is a truly world-class meteorological predictive service, perhaps singularly so. It costs only ~$3/yr per taxpayer, & yields ~10:1 return on investment--saving economy 10s-100s of billions, not to mention thousands of lives.

Yeah so the Constitution isn’t really in effect right now

More of this please.

I agree that Dems are WAY behind the curve. My TL is filled with that sentiment. But we’ve crossed into the groupthink/confirmation stage of the social media outrage cycle. Be better than this!

Senator Andy Kim just went to the USAID building, talked to the security guard there to confirm employees are being barred entry, and then did a press gaggle right there in front to call it out. This is doing something. This is making an effort on messaging. Other Democratic lawmakers: take notes.

I went to my Congressman's local office today. First off, they were surprised that I was there. They said they had been getting phone calls, but I was the first walk-in. That said, the phones were not ringing off the hook. If the DC phone lines are busy, try calling the local office.

Murphy: "This is a constitutional crisis that we are in today. Let's call it what it is."

🚨BREAKING. From a program officer at the National Science Foundation, a list of keywords that can cause a grant to be pulled. I will be sharing screenshots of these keywords along with a decision tree. Please share widely. This is a crisis for academic freedom & science.