Survation October Newsletter: Long Nights, Illuminating Insights This month, we've covered Welsh politics, the Labour deputy leadership election, and much more. Read in full: shorturl.at/D7Bav Subscribe to our mailing list here: eepurl.com/mOK8P 🧵 1/6

Survation Newsletter: Conference Special This month’s research captured the national mood and that of the Labour membership's, but also covered AI, the lives of British teens, and the SNP. Read in full: shorturl.at/QkPCW Subscribe to our mailing list here: shorturl.at/REToG 🧵 1/10

Deputy Leadership Polling of Labour Members ➡️Lucy Powell leads with 47% support among members likely to vote ➡️Bridget Phillipson trails with 30% ➡️23% remain Undecided Part of our partnership with @labourlist.bsky.social as seen on @itvpeston.bsky.social 🧵1/6

Labour's Next Deputy Leader? In terms of an ideological battle, there’s likely little perceived difference between Lucy Powell and Bridget Phillipson. In our councillor perceptions study of MPs on economic issues (mpsleftright.co.uk), both scored near-identical results.

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 30 (+3) LAB 24 (-) CON 19 (-1) LD 11 (-2) GRN 8 (-) OTH 6 (-2) F/w 28th August- 2nd September 2025. Changes vs 2nd June. 🧵1/5

Survation August Newsletter This month’s research spans public attitudes on immigration, support for renewable energy in Northern Ireland, and the latest views from Labour Party members. Read in full: shorturl.at/k6bVE Subscribe to our mailing list here: shorturl.at/REToG 🧵 1/6

NEW: Our recent poll on British immigration attitudes found there was no scenario where a small boat crossing was deemed acceptable. @chrisrsurvation.bsky.social analyses the results below 🧵 1/5 Read more: wp.me/p1cU9i-7lY

July Newsletter: Fresh Ideas, New Insights, and Looking Ahead A rundown of what Survation has been working on lately, covering: women's safety in London, AI in the workplace, the rise of Reform, and more! Read in full: shorturl.at/M4B0a Subscribe to our mailing list here: shorturl.at/REToG 🧵 1/6

What do undecided voters really think of Nigel Farage and Reform UK - and will they vote for him?🗳️ Find out what participants in our focus group for @c4dispatches.bsky.social had to say on the prospects of Farage being prime minister in the latest blog from our Researcher, Anna 👇 wp.me/p1cU9i-7kv

NEW: Our latest poll of full- and part-time workers found only a third think their organisation is ready to take advantage of AI. However, this jumps to 58% of those in tech, media, or communications. @chrisrsurvation.bsky.social analyses the results below Read more: wp.me/p1cU9i-7jF 🧵 1/5

Survation is hiring! We're looking for a Client Development Executive to join our London team. 📍 Hybrid (3 days in office) 💼 Full-time, permanent 📆 Start ASAP – rolling interviews Apply with CV & cover letter: [email protected] More info 👉 www.survation.com/survation-is...

🪖 More than one in four Labour members want to see cuts to defence spending in the Spring Statement, exclusive polling by @survation.bsky.social reveals

Starmer’s lead is notably stronger amongst younger voters, with the PM considered the best candidate for the job by 33% of 18-24 year olds and 49% of 25-34 year olds. However, Farage takes over pole position amongst 45-54 year olds and those aged over 65. See more below 👇

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 27 (-3) LAB 24 (-1) CON 20 (+2) LD 13 (-) GRN 8 (+1) OTH 7 (-) F/w 30th May - 2nd June 2025. Changes vs 5th May. 🧵1/7

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention RFM 30 (+4) LAB 25 (-1) CON 18 (-4) LD 13 (+1) GRN 7 (-) OTH 7 (-) F/w 2nd - 5th May 2025. Changes vs 3rd May.

Where are Reform’s new voters coming from in Scotland? More than 1 in 5 Labour voters from the 2024 general election are now intending on switching to Reform, with 1 in 4 Tory voters intending on making the switch also. New analysis from Survation's Fred Power: www.survation.com/new-survatio...

New Survation polling shows the effect of Reform’s disruptive rise in Scotland Almost 1 in 5 Labour voters are switching to Reform, while 42% of Conservative voters in the 2021 Holyrood Election would now vote for the party. Read more: www.survation.com/new-survatio...

NEW: Scotland Polling on behalf of True North Holyrood Constituency Voting Intention: 14 point SNP lead SNP: 33% (-3) LAB: 19% (-3) REF: 19% (+5) CON: 11% (-2) LD: 11% (+2) GRN: 5% (-) Fwk 2-5 May. Changes vs 22 April.

NEW: Westminster Voting Intention LAB 26 (-1) RFM 26 (+3) CON 22 (-) LD 12 (-1) GRN 7 (-) OTH 6 (-1) F/w 30 April - 2 May 2025. Changes vs 30 Jan.

NEW: Polling in the North & Midlands shows Reform ahead of both Labour and the Conservatives. Westminster VI (North & Midlands) REF 30 (+12) LAB 27 (-12) CON 22 (-2) LD 10 (+3) GRN 9 (+2) OTH 2 (-3) F/w: 11-13 April Changes vs GE24 Read more: survation.com/what-is-the-... 1/6

New Senedd polling shows Labour in the lead but with Reform and Plaid close behind. LAB 27% REF 24% PC 24% CON 15% LD 5% GRE 5% OTH 1% F/w 10th March - 3rd April. @jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...

NEW: How did Labour members react to the Spring Statement? Our latest poll with @labourlist.bsky.social shows: - Sharp drops in cabinet favourability - Disapproval of welfare reforms - Pessimism ahead of May’s elections @vlazarov.bsky.social breaks down the findings 🧵 Read more: wp.me/p1cU9i-7f0

Ahead of the spring statement, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social looks at how the public understands the economy and their views on economic growth as an indicator of performance. We find just 54% of people believe they personally gain when the UK economy is growing. www.survation.com/the-chancell...

We (@survation.bsky.social) have launched an exciting new partnership with @labourlist.bsky.social to provide regular polling of Labour Party members on their views of cabinet, leadership, policies and external threats. Findings from our first poll below 👇

NEW: Survation has launched a new polling partnership with @labourlist.bsky.social to track the views of Labour members over time. Our first poll finds a membership supportive of Cabinet figures, yet divided on the party’s direction, leadership, and external threats. Read more: wp.me/p1cU9i-7ef

NEW: We’re excited to unveil a new partnership with @survation.bsky.social – polling Labour members among our readership. We think it’s important to highlight the full range and nuances of members’ views. Send us ideas for Qs at [email protected]. Some findings…🧵 labourlist.org/2025/03/cabi...

Some thoughts for @thespectator1828.bsky.social on the new @survation.bsky.social poll for @quantumcomms.bsky.social, and how Labour and the Tories believe they can squeeze the Reform vote come May 2026. www.spectator.co.uk/article/scot...

NEW: Reform Records Highest Support Ever in a Scottish Poll Constituency vote share: SNP: 34% (-1) Labour: 23% (+1) Reform UK: 17% (+4) Conservatives: 12% (-2) Liberal Democrats: 8% (n/c) Green: 4% (-2) Alba: 1% (n/c) Fwk: 6-13 March 2025 (Changes vs January 2025)

NEW: Who should be involved in Ukraine peace talks? Ukrainians say: 🇺🇦 Ukraine (89%) 🇪🇺 EU (71%) 🇺🇸 US (64%) 🇬🇧 UK (62%) ...with minor involvement from Poland and Türkiye: 1/8

Is Zelenskyy losing public support at home? With strained US-Ukr relations, & Trump calling Zelenskyy a "dictator without elections" with a "4% approval" rating - where does public opinion in Ukraine actually stand? Approval, trust, and attitudes on war & peace: www.survation.com/is-zelenskyy...

We are hiring! Survation is looking for a Trainee Research Executive to join our team. If you are passionate about polling, data analysis, and public opinion research, apply now! Deadline: 24th March 2024 More details: www.survation.com/survation-is...

Was TikTok’s algorithm manipulated at the Romanian election? Our new poll suggests that young people in Romania lack trust in the platform. 47% of young Romanians saw far-right candidate Călin Georgescu “very often” on TikTok before the annulled election—far exceeding other candidates.

New Westminster Voting Intention LAB 27% (-3) CON 22% (-3) REF 24% (+4) LD 13% (+2) GRE 8% (+1) SNP 3% (+1) OTH 4% (-) F/w 28th - 29th January. Changes vs. 16th December 2024. @jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings below: www.survation.com/reform-rise-...

Westminster Voting Intention (Scotland): SNP: 33% (+2) LAB: 24% (-4) REF: 15% (+2) CON: 14% (-1) LD: 9% (+3) GRN: 4% (-1) OTH: 1% (-2) N = 811 F/w 7th - 13th January 2025 Changes vs. 15th November 2024 Data tables are available here: cdn.survation.com/wp-content/u...

@labourlist.bsky.social have a piece out this morning "What is behind Labour’s polling woes and what can the party do to turn the tide?" with comments from @christabelcoops.bsky.social @chrishopkins92.bsky.social @luketryl.bsky.social and myself. labourlist.org/2025/01/labo...

How left- or right-wing is each MP? New data by @chanret.bsky.social and @vlazarov.bsky.social in partnership with Survation and @ukandeu.bsky.social reveals the (economic) left-right positions of individual MPs. www.survation.com/how-left-or-...

How (economically) left- or right-wing is your MP? A new dataset and interactive website can tell you... www.mpsleftright.co.uk (🧵, 1/12)

Reviewing 2024, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social assesses the political landscape as we enter the new year. Final Westminster Voting Intention of 2024: LAB 30% (-4) CON 25% (+1) REF 20% (+6) LD 11% (-1) GRE 7% (-) SNP 2% (-1) OTH 4% (-3) F/w 12th - 16th December. Changes vs. 2024 General Election.

Survation’s recent polling of the British public on behalf of 38 Degrees finds majority support for a ban on wealthy foreign nationals donating large sums of money to British Political parties, and opposition to Elon Musk becoming influential in British politics. www.survation.com/what-role-sh...

🚨Voters back Labour proposal to cut NHS spending on expensive agency staff in our new polling with @survation.bsky.social. Just 15% of people want agency staff used and only 14% of voters oppose plans to rank NHS trusts based on performance. What do you think, can Labour end the waiting list misery?

Alan at Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot with an excellent run through of our recent Scotland polling: Labour's vote share undergoing a bit of a wobble: ballotbox.scot/survation-no...

As Pennsylvania's crucial voters head to the polls in the final hours of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, a new Survation poll suggests a narrow lead for Vice President Kamala Harris over former President Donald Trump. Full details here: www.survation.com/harris-narro... 🧵1/5

Labour’s First 100 Days: Our Qualitative Panel Has Their Say. Goodwill continues amongst Labour swing voters despite winter fuel payment and ongoing gift scandal. www.survation.com/labours-firs...

New polling! 10 years after the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum, our polling finds that, despite the fall in electoral support for the SNP, support for Independence in Scotland has not waned since then. 46% would vote for Independence, while 54% would vote against, if held today.

Digital ID in the UK: A rapid response study by me for @carefultrouble.bsky.social, published today, drawing on public polling by @survation.bsky.social and a landscape map of known govt plans. Do govt's plans for digital ID meet the public's needs? www.careful.industries/digital-iden...

For those who were waiting for Survation – we have finally joined Bluesky! Follow us for the latest insights into public opinion, voting intention, and research findings. We look forward to sharing our work and engaging with thoughtful discussion!