An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils: Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats

New Senedd polling shows Labour in the lead but with Reform and Plaid close behind. LAB 27% REF 24% PC 24% CON 15% LD 5% GRE 5% OTH 1% F/w 10th March - 3rd April. @jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...

Ahead of the spring statement, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social looks at how the public understands the economy and their views on economic growth as an indicator of performance. We find just 54% of people believe they personally gain when the UK economy is growing. www.survation.com/the-chancell...

The two 'soft ends' of Labour's coalition are Reform curious voters on right, Green curious voters on left. Looking at their values, they're relatively far apart on culture but united on economics. Reform curious Lab voters are also notably more left-wing economically than wider Reform vote.

Latest from me with a focus on fragmentation and economic pessimism. Voters’ expectations for delivery are through the floor, yet they don't believe anyone else would necessarily fare better.

How left- or right-wing is each MP? New data by @chanret.bsky.social and @vlazarov.bsky.social in partnership with Survation and @ukandeu.bsky.social reveals the (economic) left-right positions of individual MPs. www.survation.com/how-left-or-...

Worth drawing attention to the table in this piece - it is absolutely the case Labour faces a 2nd placed Reform in 89 seats but in most of those they are a long way behind Labour, and still behind Labour if you give them all the Conservative vote in those seats as well.

Labour’s vote share has fallen 4 points since the election, while the Conservatives have inched up 1 point. The biggest winner? Reform UK, whose vote share has surged by 6 points, capitalising on dissatisfaction on the right. 1/8