Really excited to share our new paper on #causalinference & #climatechange attribution out in #EcologyLetters today! Are you asking "how much" or "if" climate change has impacted your system, then this paper is for you! 🧪🌏🌐🍁🌺🌱🌿 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

"Across observed tropical bird populations, impacts of climate change have typically been larger than direct human pressure"

📊 Very much looking forward to #ESA2025!! I'll be presenting my work on North American bird declines 📉 Session: COS 153 - Biodiversity 4 Time: Thursday, August 14, 1:30 PM – 1:45 PM EDT Room: BCC 322 See you there!! 🦉🦉

🚨 First PhD chapter is out! My work thus far, with @andy2dobson.bsky.social We found that formerly common species have declined the fastest, on average. 📄 North American bird declines are driven by reductions in common species | Science Advances www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

🚨 First PhD chapter is out! My work thus far, with @andy2dobson.bsky.social We found that formerly common species have declined the fastest, on average. 📄 North American bird declines are driven by reductions in common species | Science Advances www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Happy #SuperbOwlSunday! This Superb Owl is a northern saw-whet I met while shadowing owl banders in NH, part of my research for my new #mg novel THE OWL PROWL MYSTERY. Comment w your fave owl for a chance to win the book, sticker, & field journal! (owl decoy not included!) #owls #ecofiction

Warming and cooling catalyse widespread temporal turnover in #biodiversity Ecological communities change constantly as some species come while others go - this turnover is accelerated by rapid temperature change, communities becoming more dissimilar over time. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Harsher dry seasons due to climate change is linked to declining bird survival in the Amazon "...challenging the notion that pristine rainforests can fully protect their #biodiversity under increasingly severe climate conditions." www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

We, the authors, are organizing to continue this effort in other ways. More coming hopefully soon.

The first ever US national nature assessment has been terminated and its USGCRP and DOI webpages have been removed. A PDF of the zeroth order draft is still available here: review.globalchange.gov/system/files...

Maybe it's better not to mess around with certain federal functions. It's not a game.

Excellent perspective by @lisamjarvis.bsky.social @bloomberg.com on the deep freeze at NIH

A peaceful owl amid a chaotic week. Have a good weekend, everyone.

"Currently, there is nowhere in Britain that to my knowledge has successfully reversed, or even stopped, Willow Tit decline." #ukbirding #ornithology

"Why biodiversity matters in agriculture and food systems" doi.org/10.1126/scie...

Reported this banded Ring-billed Gull in Massachusetts. Just heard back from USGS—he hatched in 2019 and was banded in the summer of 2021 on a small island outside Montreal! Bands can be reported to: www.reportband.gov

Three letters up on my last essay for @ScienceMagazine ...two are really interesting, one is not. Check them out yourself: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

🚨 My first Substack post! 🦅 substack.com/home/post/p-...

New paper out @science.org shows that bats surf warm storm fronts to power continental migrations 🌀⛈️🦇🤙 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... By Edward Hurme; Ivan Lenzi; Martin Wikelski; Timm Wild; and Dina Dechmann

The incoming Trump administration plans to target the National Climate Assessment so that it can't be used to defend regulations in court. Russ Vought, Trump's OMB pick, wants to personally approve a team of climate denialists to rewrite it. www.eenews.net/articles/tru...

Snowy Owl today at Buffalo NY’s outer harbor! 15x digi zoom on a 60x scope for an owl 550 feet away (safe viewing recs: 150-300 ft min.). Luckily this one is on a private doc that’s fenced off — making for one happy owl! Can’t get closer than 500 ft. Best part of the winter season to me.

#ConservationClassics: declining and small population paradigms conservationbytes.com/2008/08/23/d...

[new paper] You probably suspected that loss of pollinator diversity consistently reduces reproductive success for wild and cultivated plants, but here we quantify it: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

“One Health” needs ecology | PNAS 2024 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

The responses of freshwater fish to global warming. Our analyses in @pnas.org @bristolbiosci.bsky.social www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... Made possible by #RivFishTIME

Good morning everyone. One more article in “One day, one paper”. Today, global climate change is projected to threaten 7,6% of species with extinction 🌎 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Wonderful paper uses high-resolution tracking data to show barn swallows & house martins infected with blood parasites have smaller foraging ranges in lower-quality habitat than uninfected birds. Hopefully more such papers on movement-parasitism associations to come! www.nature.com/articles/s42...

A cool new paper delves into possible mechanisms of migratory culling (where infected individuals have lower migration success). The % malaria-infected birds blown off course and predated by falcons in the Canaries was higher than in birds departing Spain for Africa. www.cell.com/iscience/ful...

Fascinating and ecologically informed read in @theguardian.com about the pathways ecosystems take following rural land abandonment, and how the presence of people can sometimes help nature recovery more than inhibit it www.theguardian.com/news/2024/no...

It's the very end of November and most vegetation has senesced, but there are still orchids to be found along the Appalachian Trail, including: Downy rattlesnake plantain (Goodyera pubescens) Putty root (Aplectrum hyemale) Crane-fly orchid (Tipularia discolor)

🚨 New function 🚨 @vincentab.bsky.social's marginaleffects 📦 is great for generating quantities of interest from your model. I've long wanted something similar to plot_predictions() for my gratia 📦 Introducing conditional_values() 🎉 gavinsimpson.github.io/gratia/refer... #RStats #GAMs #mgcv 1/6

New paper out in @ScienceMagazine! In 8 studies (multiple platforms, methods, time periods) we find: misinformation evokes more outrage than trustworthy news, when it does it's shared more + ppl are less likely to read before sharing. w/ @killianmcl1 @Klonick @mollycrockett 🧵👇

Compound #drought -heatwave events increase in low-income regions twice as fast as in high-income regions. ⚒️ #climate #globalchange www.nature.com/articles/s43...

I am happy to be able to share the last paper from my PhD now published in Ecography: doi.org/10.1111/ecog... Here we show how competitive interactions can modify, and even reverse, the direct effects of climate on organism performance.

The biodiversity data deluge is here - the equivalent of #MooresLaw but for biodiversity data? "we estimated that the total number of plant distribution records doubles every 17 years and the number of spatially unique records doubles every 21 years." onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... 🌎🧪🦋🦫

A Lancet editorial highlights the reality: nature & biodiversity underpin our survival. We must act decisively-75% of emerging diseases stem from disrupted ecosystems. There are ethical/moral arguments for protecting biodiversity. + Nature's health is our health. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

The climate crisis has to be addressed at the national and international level, but consumer choice plays a role. One thing we can do is switch from almonds (R in photo) to pecans (L). Both are similar in nutrition, but it is water use and geography that makes a difference. 1/4

Disentangling direct & indirect effects of forest structure on biodiversity: Bottom-up & top-down effects between forestry, bats & their insect prey 🦇 Expanding management towards open & old-growth forests may increase roosting & foraging opportunities 🌏 🧪 🔗 https://buff.ly/4fRIOqT

The Equilibrium Theory of Biodiversity Dynamics: A General Framework for Scaling Species Richness and Community Abundance along Environmental Gradients #macroecology www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Cool new paper with super group of colleagues. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

We just had a paper come out today on grassland bird response to bison and fire in two tallgrass prairie preserves run by @nature.org. Ths work was led by amazing former MSc student in the lab Tony del Vallé. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/author... #grazing #rxfire #prairie #restoration

🟣 A summer 2024 highlight for me: re-finding this rare orchid that was first documented at this exact location by Henry David Thoreau in the 1850s. Only a single plant. The Greater Purple Fringed Orchid (Platanthera grandiflora). Incredible to see the species persisting here over 170 years later.

A starter pack for researchers using #scaling #allometry methods in ecology, economics, computer science, physical sciences, etc. Scaling offers insights into complex systems, linking dynamics from cells to individuals to societies & ecosystems - please add your name! go.bsky.app/EuNK9Na 🧪🦋🦫

Weekend work break! Check out the tiny hook on the bill of this Slaty Flowerpiercer. They pierce the corolla of flowers, robbing the flower of its nectar without pollinating. A cheater in a coevolutionary system!

Working from the coffee shop today, finishing some Breeding Bird Survey analyses so I can resubmit a paper... and dreaming of far away places! This was from the closest I got to a scarlet macaw in western Costa Rica. Good times! Really excited about Bluesky, feels like a breath of fresh air.

I started to put together a Spatial Capture-Recapture "Starter Pack" so SCR folks can find each other! Obviously this isn't everyone, so let me know who else to add, or reply here if you want to be added! go.bsky.app/M9wxAbC

Until now, there hasn't been a clear quantification of corporate impacts on nature. But a new @stanfordwoods.bsky.social NatCap Program approach found that utility, real estate, materials, and finance companies are the most harmful to ecosystem services and biodiversity: go.nature.com/3NTHyrm

Coral biodiversity hotspot at risk from fossil fuel expansion, report warns https://buff.ly/48WLbX5 🦑🌎🧪

👋 Hi, I’m Gates! 🐅 PhD Candidate at Princeton University 📉 Studying emergent patterns of biodiversity loss 🦢 Currently working on birds, previously on snow leopards! I especially love talking stats, rare orchids, complex systems, photography, & big cats! Say hi if you’re into nature or numbers! 😊