Good morning. With the addition of 4 tankers out of New Jersey, there are now at least 32 tankers observed in the overnight group. A considerable portion went to Morón Air Base in Spain, with others on to UK, Germany, Italy and 1 to Estonia. A few pressed on to CENTCOM AOR.

My kind of graphic

In response to IAEA: Iran orders launching a new enrichment center at "a secure location" & replacement of IR-1 centrifuges with advanced IR-6 ones at Fordow underground nuclear facility.

The U.S. Ambassador to Israel says the United States no longer supports a two-state solution. When asked to comment, the U.S. State Department can’t say whether that’s actually U.S. policy and suggests asking the White House instead. Lara Jakes, @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/w...

"Reducing US military aid to Ukraine will neither lead to a sustainable peace in Ukraine nor compel Russian President Vladimir Putin to reassess his theory of victory" understandingwar.org/backgrounder...

A run through the campaign might be in the cards

There is zero pressure on Russia to do anything but continue the war.

**Operation Spiders Web** I resisted a hot take. So, on sober reflection… Op Spiderweb was one of the most impressive, and strategic attacks ever. Short thread 🧵 #russia #Ukraine

NEW: Kremlin officials and the Russian Ministry of Defense announced on June 8 that Russian forces reached the Donetsk-Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border and are conducting offensive operations into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast — an oblast that Russia has not illegally declared as annexed. isw.pub/UkrWar060825

Alert: Up to 600 drones are expected over Ukraine tonight, primarily approaching from the north, with potential launches from multiple directions, monitoring sources report. Repeated and additional launches are reportedly already underway, especially from Russia’s Kursk region.

"Trump should know that we will not go below 20 percent enrichment, and our uranium stockpile will never leave the country," said Mahmoud Nabavian, the deputy chairman of the Iranian parliament's national security and foreign policy committee.-Iran Intl

Gross

Ukraine's Operation “Spiderweb” is just the beginning—Ukrainian intel is preparing more sophisticated operations.-WaPo

Wait what? www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/...

Speaking of children in a park who just need to fight it out…

AI generated “satellite image” slop is becoming a real problem and spreading like wildfire. This will become the “video game footage” of 2025 and is even harder for the average person to notice. The details are more important than ever to noticing these fakes.

⚡️ Trump privately praises Ukraine's drone strike on Russian bombers as 'badass,' Axios reports. While U.S. President Donald Trump has remained silent in public about the attack, he reportedly expressed enthusiasm behind closed doors.

Incredible results from a historic operation.

Don’t understand why this story isn’t leading every American outlet and news broadcast. This is unspeakably bad for Russia.

What a shame

⚡️ The special operation "Web", as a result of which the SBU hit 41 Russian strategic aircraft, was prepared for more than a year and a half. This operation was extremely complex from a logistical point of view. The SBU first transported FPV drones to Russia, and later - mobile wooden houses.

My word

…

Wishful thinking

At least 12 people were killed overnight in Russia's largest aerial bombardment on Ukraine, even as the two sides swapped hundreds of prisoners: cnn.it/3ZvN9tY

⚡️US silence 'encourages Putin', Zelensky says after massive Russian attack. Following a deadly overnight attack on May 25, President Volodymyr Zelensky said that "America’s silence, and the silence of others around the world, only encourages Putin." kyivindependent.com/americas-sil...

This should be the end of Noem’s career in public life. It almost certainly won’t be, however, which is itself damning.

🧵 The CNN piece on Bongino and Patel is one of the clearest real-world examples of a key phenomenon in disordered discourse: The agents who stoke it can become its victims, especially when their disordered discourse meets the reality of the institutions it captures.

A pointer for journalists writing recaps of the Trump-Pu call: the call made no progress towards ending the war. Pu refused an unconditional ceasefire and repeated Ru’s 2022 objective of conquering Ukraine. Trump didn’t pressure Pu but stuck to the strategy of trying to coax w a Ru-US reset promise.

NEW: Russian forces conducted the largest single drone strike of the war against Ukraine on the night of May 17 to 18 – in disregard of US President Donald Trump's calls for Russia to stop long-range strikes against Ukraine, particularly against Kyiv Oblast.🧵 (1/3) isw.pub/UkrWar051825

He’s not the only one

I've been reading about the planned 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner of war exchange between Ukraine and Russia. It's striking that three categories are involved: civilians, soldiers—and CHILDREN. Once again, Russia has stolen Ukrainian children to fully treat them as hostages.

Except they aren’t even pretending

In 30 days, the Houthis shot down seven MQ-9 drones (around $30 million each). Several F-16s & an F-35 fighter jet were nearly hit. Two pilots & a flight deck crew member were injured when two F/A-18 Super Hornets fell into the Red Sea from an aircraft carrier 10 days apart nyti.ms/3H4z4x8

NEW: Russian officials appear to be setting conditions for Russian President Vladimir Putin to reject Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's invitation to meet on May 15 in Istanbul for bilateral ceasefire negotiations. (1/3) Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment May 12 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar051225

Good.

⚡️ 'Clock is ticking' — Germany gives Russia until midnight to implement ceasefire, threatens sanctions.

Russian officials appear to be trying to define the conditions of any and all ceasefires in a way that facilitates further Russian battlefield gains in the short term and supports Russia's ability to attack Ukraine again in the future. ⬇️ isw.pub/UkrWar051025

NEW: Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov rejected another US-Ukrainian general ceasefire proposal on May 10. Read more in the May 10, 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar051025

“The pope will be from Chicago” sounds like an 1880s Republican’s dire prediction for if we don’t stop Irish immigration

I have to say, this is pretty great.

Russia has largely halted air attacks on Ukraine to give the impression of a "ceasefire", but don't be fooled - fighting on the ground continues, with Russian forces attacking, and accusing the Ukrainians of breaking the ceasefire when they return fire. buff.ly/gUfAOsa www.bbc.com/news/article...

We need educators like this

NEW: Ukrainian forces continued limited attacks across the international border near Tetkino and Novyi Put, Kursk Oblast. Ukrainian forces also continued drone, air, and artillery strikes aimed at isolating Russian units in and near Tetkino. Latest on Ukraine: isw.pub/UkrWar050625

NEW: The Houthis have learned that they can disrupt international shipping markets at any time and for any reason of their choosing with minimal consequences. 🧵(1/3) Iran Update, May 6, 2025 w/ @criticalthreats.bsky.social: isw.pub/IranUpdate05...

The US sure seems to be losing a lot of fixed wing aircraft.

Getting this before the tariffs hit.

Yeah, they’ve been there for about 6 months