Before the 2024 election, I put out a simple forecast that accounted for the within-state, across time polling errors that have persisted since at least 2000. As it turns out, simple adjusted polling average outperforms the two best election forecasters from 2024. x.com/danielfirooz...

Super exciting paper showing that high schools vary in their impacts on civic engagement. Schools that are better at improving academic outcomes are also better at creating voters. Kirsten was a @wheelockpolicybu.bsky.social postdoc when she began this work, so it's thrilling to see the result.

Amazingly, this student-level data is publicly available (anonymized, of course), due to a public records request. This means any of us (i.e. you) can explore these patterns in any way you like. Good potential resource for those of us hunting for data sets students can get their hands on easily!

There are many complaints about peer review process out there, but most of referee comments on my papers have substantially improved them. I thinks one understated benefit of detailed robustness checks from refs is that they help mitigate the fact that non-experimental work is rarely pre-specified.

Did you know that your siblings can influence whether you vote? Well, because of our new working paper you do! @mike-bloem.bsky.social, @jonisaacsmith.bsky.social, sam imlay

Does educational attainment impact partisanship? Yes. In my working paper “Education and Partisanship”, I use multiple RD designs and admin data on millions of voters to show that education reduces Republican affiliation across generations, settings, institutions, and demographics. Results below!

New study: The relative wage premium for going to college has halved for low-income Americans since 1960. What is to blame? Rising selectivity? Tuition hikes? State disinvestment? We decompose changes in the premium since 1900 to find out. 🧵#EconTwitter nber.org/papers/w33797

Forthcoming in AEJ: Economic Policy: "Do Tuition Subsidies Raise Political Participation?" by Daniel Firoozi and Igor Geyn. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

This is a great paper on a timely topic! Congrats @danielfiroozi.bsky.social!

I had a lot of fun talking to @jenniferdoleac.bsky.social on her Probable Causation podcast about the IGNITE program: an innovative jail-based rehabilitative program in Flint, Michigan www.probablecausation.com/podcasts/epi...

Hi folks, I’m looking for two education economists who would be interested in presenting their JMPs on May 6th virtually to my econ of ed students. If you have a PhD student going on the job market soon, this is a great opportunity for them to get feedback on their paper & practice their job talk.

Really cool new working paper by @cohodes.bsky.social and @camarnzen.bsky.social ! Definitely worth checking out if you’re interested in the intersection of education and political economy.

I’ll be at the #ASSA2025 this week! Feel free to send me an email (address on my website) if you want to meet up and talk about research!

My anecdata suggests that not tracking kids in math & foreign language in late middle / high school is likely hurting everyone. For actual data, here's a nice paper by job market candidate @huihuangzhu.bsky.social, arguing that AP-induced tracking helps everyone. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/00qud...

Me too! And check out the session @danielfiroozi.bsky.social and I are both in on Politics, Polarization, and Higher Ed -- Thursday at 1:45pm. I'll be presenting some (very) early-stage joint work with Emily Cook & Paola Ugalde on the changing distribution of political views across colleges.

Hey everyone! I’ll be attending (and presenting a paper) at APPAM in DC later this week! Feel free to send me an email at dfiroozi [at] cmc [dot] edu if you’re interested in meeting up! #APPAM2024

Had to explain to my partner that the reason why I was excited after checking the mail today was because we were randomly selected into the ACS.