Boaz Atzili
@batzili.bsky.social
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Political Scientist, borders, territoriality, Middle East, South Asia.
In this article (in Hebrew) I make an interim assessment of winner and losers in the war. Losers: Israel, The US, Iran, Trump, Lebanon and the Palestinians. Winers: Israel's government, Iran's regime, Hezbollah, and Hamas.
zman.co.il/676066/
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פרופ' בועז אצילי: מנצחים ומפסידים במלחמת המזרח התיכון הראשונה
זה נראה כזמן מתאים למאזן ביניים: מי הרוויח, מי הפסיד, עד כמה שניתן לשפוט בהינתן ערפל הקרב
https://zman.co.il/676066/
11 days ago
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A month into this war, who are the winners and losers so far? *Winers*: Netanyahu's government, IRGC, Hezbollah. *Losers*: Israel, USA, Iran, Trump, the Gulf States, Lebanon, Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, and the world.
15 days ago
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Rima I Anabtawi
17 days ago
It was the biggest massacre for decades - 10,000 Sudanese killed over two days. The international community knew genocide was inevitable. Why and how did it happen?
#KeepEyesOnSudan
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
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Heroism, horror and the ‘pits of hell’: inside the last days of El Fasher
Over two days in October 2025, up to 10,000 people are believed to have been massacred; a further 40,000 civillians from the Sudanese city are still unaccounted for. This is the story of what happened
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/mar/25/heroism-horror-and-the-pits-of-hell-inside-the-last-days-of-el-fasher
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Voice4Justice
22 days ago
Ayala Metzger is a dear friend and a courageous peace activist, known for her commitment to dialogue, empathy, and coexistence even in the face of deep conflict. Her strength has been especially evident through personal tragedy: 🧵 Please help me echo her words and courage. 🇮🇱🤍🕊️🇵🇸
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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)
23 days ago
Huge boom in Jerusalem right now. Impact hundreds of meters from Al-Aqsa and Temple Mount. (Not my video, but definitely my hearing of the boom)
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Voice4Justice
24 days ago
Political science professors Wendy Pearlman &
@batzili.bsky.social
wrote a whole book about why this is false. The Lebanese state is weak, its Army may fracture at any moment. Yes, Beirut can do more, but pushing it through destroying state infrastructure is incredibly counter-productive.
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Elizabeth N. Saunders
27 days ago
The Trubio Doctrine: Dismantling diplomacy and bullying allies will make other countries help us when we need them.
goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
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Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)
about 1 month ago
You know what’s the sort of thing you’d invest in if you wanted to reduce Iranian power over the global economy in the long run? Renewables, that’s what.
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Caitlin Talmadge
about 1 month ago
Concerning reports that Iran is attempting to mine the Strait of Hormuz. 1/
www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-mi...
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Iran signaling it may deploy mines to disrupt Strait of Hormuz, U.S. sources say
Iran is using smaller crafts to lay mines in the Strait of Hormuz, two U.S. officials said.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-mines-strait-of-hormuz/One
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From all the IR theories that may explain bits and pieces of the puzzle of how we got to this stupid war, there is one that I think explains Trump's decision-making best: Keren Yarhi-Milo's book, Who Fights For Reputation?
www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
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Who Fights for Reputation
How psychology explains why a leader is willing to use military force to protect or salvage reputation In Who Fights for Reputation , Keren Yarhi-Milo provides an original framework, based on insights...
https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.23943/9781400889983/html
about 1 month ago
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Even if you support the war (which I’m not), how can this move be justified? A war crime, a strategic blunder, and a man made environmental disaster blend into one.
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about 1 month ago
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momentmag.com/are-we-in-we...
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Are We in Weimar America? Similarities and Differences
Living in Trump’s America as a historian gives me a better understanding of the subject I have been researching for most of my lifetime: Weimar Germany
https://momentmag.com/are-we-in-weimar-america-similarities-and-differences/
about 2 months ago
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Important report from The Arab Barometer:
www.arabbarometer.org/media-news/a...
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New Arab Barometer Findings Featured in Munich Security Conference Middle East Report – Arab Barometer
https://www.arabbarometer.org/media-news/arab-barometer-wave-ix-data-featured-in-munich-security-2026-report/
about 2 months ago
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Rep. Jamie Raskin
2 months ago
If you work for ICE or Border Patrol and have information about unlawful conduct taking place at your agency, please speak up. House Judiciary Dems want to hear from you. America needs to know about crimes committed in our name. As a whistleblower, you can share anonymously:
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Whistleblower Tipline
Do you have a tip to share about unlawful or unconstitutional activity-or other wrongdoing-in a federal agency or other organization? Now more than ever, Congress depends on insiders to conduct its co...
https://democrats-judiciary.house.gov/contact/whistleblower-tipline
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Shashank Joshi
3 months ago
A good account of Hizbullah in its diminished state. "Whatever autonomy Hizbullah once enjoyed died with Nasrallah. Decisions about weapons, strategy and escalation now come from Tehran."
www.economist.com/middle-east-...
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Hizbullah, Iran’s most powerful proxy, has been humbled
The militia is still a force in Lebanese politics, but its ability to menace abroad has been severely weakened
https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2026/01/26/hizbullah-irans-most-powerful-proxy-has-been-humbled
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www.nytimes.com/2026/01/26/w...
1/6 The return of the remains of the last Israeli hostage is good news for several reasons: First and foremost, of course, it's good news for his family, friends and all the Israelis who fought both Hamas and their government to return all the hostages.
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Israel Recovers Remains of Last Captive in Gaza, Closing a Chapter
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/26/world/middleeast/gaza-hostage-returned-israel.html?campaign_id=60&emc=edit_na_20260126&instance_id=170129&nl=breaking-news®i_id=71586895&segment_id=214327&user_id=87cbbd8106897cfbe28808fe462e250aThe
3 months ago
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Governor Tim Walz
3 months ago
I just spoke with the White House after another horrific shooting by federal agents this morning. Minnesota has had it. This is sickening. The President must end this operation. Pull the thousands of violent, untrained officers out of Minnesota. Now.
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The shape of America today: destructive ice storm in the south, destructive ICE storm in the north, and a catastrophic President in the middle…🤷🏻♂️
3 months ago
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www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
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Is the Iranian Regime About to Collapse?
Five conditions determine whether revolutions succeed. For the first time since 1979, Iran meets nearly all of them.
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/2026/01/iran-revolution-protests-collapse/685578/?gift=-B584Urg77e7aK197zZB-s76LgkCuAskDx1OXsN583w&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
3 months ago
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We need a real end to the war in Gaza. Trump, you declared the greatest peace in 3,000 year? Force the Netanyahu regime to follow it and don't let him escalate back to war.
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3 months ago
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Shashank Joshi
3 months ago
It's as if America toppled Saddam Hussein in 2003 and then put Qusay in charge. "There is no sign that the United States’ demands include less repression. Instead the regime is taking the opportunity to crack down."
www.economist.com/the-americas...
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The Venezuelan regime is rapidly consolidating its grip on power
The democratic opposition is left out in the cold
https://www.economist.com/the-americas/2026/01/06/the-venezuelan-regime-is-rapidly-consolidating-its-grip-on-power
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Sara Mitchell
3 months ago
👏👏👏
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Walter Olson
3 months ago
Five years ago.
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Elizabeth N. Saunders
3 months ago
🧵Day 3 and we have a new meaning for "running Venezuela," courtesy of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, who is in charge of Venezuela as well as the National Archives. We're going to insist they do what's in the US national interest. Time for some principal-agent theory. 1/
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Why Venezuela? Trump of course is not concerned with the dictatorial practices of Maduro, but Venezuela falls into three boxes for Trump at the same time: 1) His late-19th century geopolitical wordview- inclusive of spheres of influence, the Monroe Doctrine, and imperialism.
3 months ago
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Seva
3 months ago
Venezuela may seem like a tactical loss for Russia, but in fact it's a strategic win for Putin's vision of the world. new essay:
hegemon.substack.com/p/venezuela-...
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Venezuela Is a Gift to Putin
and a harbinger of more Russian aggression in Europe
https://hegemon.substack.com/p/venezuela-is-a-gift-to-putin
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Voice4Justice
3 months ago
The Face of Evil 🚩 Israel's war on aid will only deepen Gaza's suffering
www.haaretz.com/opinion/edit...
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The Day After 🇮🇱 🇵🇸
3 months ago
@batzili.bsky.social
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🧵 1/13 Trying to make sense of the bizzarro Trump-Netanyahu show we saw in Mar-a-Lago on Monday. First, Trump: Trump is doubling down on his policy vis-à-vis Netanyahu that allowed him to achieve the ceasefire in Gaza in October.
3 months ago
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But of course, the shooting of the National Guard troops in Washington (which is a terrible crime), will be used to further crack down on immigrants.
www.cnn.com/us/live-news...
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Live updates: Suspect identified as 2 National Guard members remain in critical condition after targeted shooting in DC | CNN
President Donald Trump has asked for 500 more National Guard troops to be deployed to Washington, DC, following the shooting of two guardsmen. The suspect is in custody and the investigation continues...
https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/washington-dc-shooting-national-guard-members-11-27-25
5 months ago
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CNN
5 months ago
Police say one suspect is in custody after two National Guardsmen were shot blocks from the White House in Washington, DC. Follow live updates:
https://cnn.it/44wvG76
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blogs.timesofisrael.com/israeli-sett...
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The Blogs: Israeli settler terrorism and American indifference
From the blog of Nadav Tamir at The Times of Israel
https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/israeli-settler-terrorism-and-american-indifference/
5 months ago
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www.american.edu/sis/news/202...
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SIS PhD Graduate Honored for Outstanding Dissertation Research
We spoke to Grace Benson, SIS/PhD ’24, about her award from the Cosmos Club Foundation for her dissertation, “Policies for Belonging: A Global Comparison of Refugee Resettlement Programs.”
https://www.american.edu/sis/news/20251024-sis-phd-graduate-honored-for-oustanding-dissertation-research.cfm
5 months ago
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Rima I Anabtawi
5 months ago
"Some 70,000 people have escaped El Fashir since it was captured on 26 October, but fewer than 10,000 people are accounted for in the nearest safe displacement zones." 60,000 civilians missing amid evidence of "killing fields" around the city. Yousra Elbagir reports
news.sky.com/story/tens-o...
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Thousands targeted in 'killing fields' around Sudanese city in paramilitary group's hands
A Sky News joint investigation with Sudan War Monitor and Lighthouse Reports reveals the harrowing fate of civilians and soldiers who fled Al Fashir in the hours after senior commanders and officers l...
https://news.sky.com/story/tens-of-thousands-missing-in-killing-fields-around-city-in-hands-of-sudans-paramilitary-group-13463324
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Faine Greenwood
5 months ago
At least 500 people have been murdered in El Fasher in Sudan by the RSF, and it is likely (per very reputable people I know) that the actual death toll will be far higher. Absolutely nightmarish situation.
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UN leaders condemn ‘horrifying’ mass killings in Sudan
Emergency security council session criticises killings of civilians in El Fasher and external supply of arms to RSF
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/30/un-leaders-condemn-horrifying-mass-killings-in-sudan?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=bluesky&CMP=bsky_gu
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The assumption of US foreign policy that there should be "no daylight" between the US's and Israel's public positions allowed Netanyahu to play a spoiler, until Trump forced him to sign. Now the US should force an agreement to end the war on both Israel and Hamas.
theconversation.com/trumps-abili...
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Trump’s ability to counter Netanyahu’s spoiler tactics in public may have been key to advancing a ceasefire in Gaza
President Trump reversed a long-held perception among US foreign policymakers that pressuring Israel should only be done in private.
https://theconversation.com/trumps-ability-to-counter-netanyahus-spoiler-tactics-in-public-may-have-been-key-to-advancing-a-ceasefire-in-gaza-267810
5 months ago
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The Day After 🇮🇱 🇵🇸
5 months ago
@batzili.bsky.social
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Voice4Justice
6 months ago
An interview with
@batzili.bsky.social
💛
www.dcnewsnow.com/news/local-n...
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Voice4Justice
7 months ago
🎗️ It’s so different from the media narrative’: telling a different story of 7 October
www.theguardian.com/film/2025/se...
@batzili.bsky.social
@julianborger.bsky.social
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‘It’s so different from the media narrative’: telling a different story of 7 October
Brandon Kramer’s documentary Holding Liat follows an Israeli family torn apart by the Hamas attacks, but clinging to hopes of reconciliation
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2025/sep/09/7-october-brandon-kramer-documentary-holding-liat
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Trump, with his endless wisdom, pushes India into China’s dragon hug.
www.cnn.com/2025/08/31/c...
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Xi and Modi talk friendship in a ‘chaotic’ world as Trump’s tariffs bite | CNN
Chinese leader Xi Jinping told India’s Narendra Modi the “right choice” is for their countries to be friends as the two met in China for first time in seven years – a new milestone in a nascent rappro...
https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/31/china/india-china-xi-modi-meeting-intl-hnk?cid=ios_app
7 months ago
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Dan Nexon
7 months ago
🧵 Authoritarianism, Democratization, and Coalition Politics. The consensus around here is, more or less, that the United States is currently a consolidating authoritarian regime controlled by a mix of reactionary populists and fascists.
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The Trump Administration joined the Netanyahu regime in support of Hamas by undermining their moderate rivals and unlawfully preventing officials of the PA from attending the UN meeting in NY.
apnews.com/article/isra...
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US revokes visas of Palestinian president and other officials ahead of UN General Assembly
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has revoked the visas of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and 80 other officials ahead of next month’s annual high-level meeting of the U.N.
https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-rubio-un-4bb2a424ecdd8805f9a7a153848b3ad7
7 months ago
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The IPC reports famine in Gaza City and soon in other parts of the Gaza Strip. This is a result of a deliberate policy of the Netanyahu regime. A policy that is not only cruel but makes no security sense whatsoever. Israel has been hijacked by Fascists.
www.ipcinfo.org/ipcinfo-webs...
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https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipcinfo-website/countries-in-focus-archive/issue-134/en/
8 months ago
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We are looking for a scholar of international security to come work with us at the Department of Foreign Policy and Global Security. Is that you?
american.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/AU/job/Main-...
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Assistant Professor (Tenure-Track) - Department of Foreign Policy & Global Security
American University is a student-centered research institution located in Washington, DC, with highly-ranked schools and colleges, internationally-renowned faculty, and a reputation for creating meani...
https://american.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/AU/job/Main-Campus-Washington-DC/Assistant-Professor--Tenure-Track----Department-of-Foreign-Policy---Global-Security_R3003
8 months ago
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Rep. Jamie Raskin
8 months ago
Former Mossad, Shin Bet and IDF leaders join most of the world in demanding an immediate end to the Gaza war, saying it’s now an unjust, immoral and futile war of destruction guided by 'messianic and extremist goals' and threatening ‘the loss of Israel's security and freedom.’ It must end now.
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'A futile war': Former Israeli security chiefs warn current Gaza war has no strategy
***
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2025-08-04/ty-article/.premium/a-futile-war-former-israeli-security-chiefs-warn-current-gaza-war-has-no-strategy/00000198-75bf-d0ce-a5de-f5bfc8650000?utm_source=App_Share&utm_medium=iOS_Native
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Ron Skolnik
9 months ago
This is really a rather remarkable document (which Times of Israel links to) - what seems to be a serious effort within the int'l community to take back the Israel/Palestine question. Of course, the US is missing - for the moment.
www.timesofisrael.com/in-1st-entir...
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In 1st, entire Arab League condemns Oct. 7, urges Hamas to disarm, at 2-state confab
Declaration, also signed by EU and over a dozen countries, urges terror group to give up Gaza rule, free hostages; calls on Israel to end war, agree to Palestinian state, 'right of return'
https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-1st-entire-arab-league-condemns-oct-7-urges-hamas-to-disarm-at-2-state-solution-confab/
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Frank O'Donnell
9 months ago
This is a superb discussion -
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A leading Israeli human rights organization, B'Tselem, with a new comprehensive report: "Our Genocide" 😥
www.btselem.org
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https://www.btselem.org/
9 months ago
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www.democracynow.org/2025/7/29/bt...
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“Our Genocide”: Israeli Rights Groups Accuse Israel of Destroying Palestinian Society in Gaza
For the first time, two leading Israeli human rights groups — B’Tselem and Physicians for Human Rights Israel — have accused Israel of committing genocide in Gaza. B’Tselem’s report, “Our Genocide,” s...
https://www.democracynow.org/2025/7/29/btselem_report_gaza_our_genocide
9 months ago
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Awdah was murdered yesterday by an Israeli extremist settler. I didn't know Awdah, but several of my friends did know him well and attest to him being the nicest person and a dedicated activist for Palestinian human rights and for peace. May he rest in peace.
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9 months ago
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