Prepare to by hypnotized by this mesmerizing low pressure system swirling over the Pacific Ocean.

its amazing how chatgpt knows everything about subjects I know nothing about, but is wrong like 40% of the time in things im an expert on. not going to think about this any further

Watched planes landing from kayak yesterday. Smith Creek in Wilmington.

If this was officially released I missed the announcement, but it appears the NWS has opened up the DESI (Dynamic Ensemble-based Scenarios for IDSS) viewer to the public. View blends and statistics (10th, 50th, mean, 90th percentiles) from the HREF, NBM, HRRR and more. sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi

15-day #ECMWF ensemble meteograms are a great extended forecast visualization. The chilly temperatures early next week probably won't be the final freeze of the season for Wilmington although we may be getting close. charts.ecmwf.int/products/ope... #ncwx

The arctic deep freeze is finally ending and I can pull the covers off the backyard citrus. Coldest backyard temp was 16°F (-9°C) on Feb 2. The 15-day period Jan 25-Feb 8 this year was the third coldest of this century at the Wilmington airport behind Dec 2017-Jan 2018, and Dec 2000-Jan 2001.

Superbowl Pokémon commercial made me break out the old card binder from the closet. Oldest cards here date to 1998. #pokemon

It is said those who forget history are doomed to repeat it. But what of those who suppress the past, distort it, sanitize it? They cannot not be held blameless. A true warrior knows that hiding from the past is cowardice, and deliberately hiding the past is malice, and a grave dishonor.

The Gulf Stream shows up really well on color enhanced infrared satellite imagery this evening along the Southeast coast. Even in mid-winter water temperatures are well into the 70s F out there.

Radar and airport observations from last night's storm. Longwood, NC (Brunswick County) reported 17.7 inches! Officially 5.8 inches at the ILM airport makes this Wilmington's biggest snow in over 35 years dating back to the Christmas 1989 event #ncwx #snow

Here's our analysis of this weekend's snowfall totals across North Carolina. ❄️ Notably, portions of all 3 regions of the state (Mountains, Piedmont, and Coastal Plain) received more than a foot of snow! Stay tuned for our full blog post writeup about this storm tomorrow. #ncwx

www.youtube.com/live/7QakSh0... I've set up a webcam to watch the impending snowstorm in my backyard. Although model trends have been downward there's still potential to exceed 5 inches which would make this Wilmington's largest snowstorm in 35 years! #ncwx #snow #Wilmington

If NWS forecasts work out we might end up with 13 consecutive days with below-freezing low temperatures in Wilmington, the longest stretch since January 2011. #ncwx

Although our cat Tycho was named for the feature on the Moon, this morning he's a Sun kitty

How dry is this arctic airmass? Current dewpoint in Raleigh, NC is -9°F, the lowest measured there since Dec 16, 2016. #ncwx

Random: Feeling Blue? This 91-Year-Old Zelda Fan Will Make Your Day. (Repost)

The “prosecute the former regime at every level” candidate has my vote in 2028.

Off-season gardening: spinach and various types of lettuce grow pretty well here in the winter.

North Carolina has great renewable offshore wind energy resources. I hope this lawsuit is able to help push through the roadblocks the current administration has erected.

The FIFA Peace Prize doesn't mean what it used to

Here's my 2025 Weather & Climate summary for coastal North and South Carolina. www.weather.gov/ilm/2025clim... Highlights were the big January snow, Tropical Storm Chantal, and an unusually cool 2nd half of the year that knocked the annual average temp to the lowest in the past 11 years #ncwx #scwx

Future historians, wondering how and why the United States embraced corruption and insanity, will undoubtedly read Heather Cox Richardson's daily reports for answers. But I hope they also read Dave Barry's Year In Review: davebarry.substack.com/p/the-year-i...

Went birdwatching in the Wrightsville Beach saltmarshes this afternoon. Some highlights included a banded American Oystercatcher (dark green band EMY), Snowy Egrets, Tricolored Herons, and more Dunlin than I could count. Mostly cloudy with temps in the lower 60s.

CBS paid the president of the United States millions in bribe money and now they censor news reports so it does not annoy him. I don’t know how much plainer we can put this.

Really interesting look at the tools used by BBC meteorologists a generation ago. Start the video around 2:15 for the good stuff.

Low temps Monday morning in the teens to around 20 with wind chills in the single digits. Bundle up! 🥶

Explored a few miles of the beautiful Lumber River at Fair Bluff, NC by kayak yesterday. Temps were in the 40s, but fortunately was there was sun and very little wind. #LumberRiver #FairBluff

This is the third day in a row of cold, cloudy weather, so a heating mat seemed appropriate for the cats 😻

The final moments of the USGS Kiluaea volcano V3 camera before being engulfed by falling lava today

Excellent 20 minute video about critical issues facing the NC Outer Banks from erosion and sea level rise.

Interesting temperature trends gleaned from hourly rather than daily data

Spent a few hours kayaking Smith Creek here in Wilmington today. The brushy areas were filled with sparrows, and the first winter ducks have shown up too.

youtu.be/JWcwzWSfJq8 My winter climate outlook for eastern North and South Carolina. La Nina tends to bring drier than normal conditions and drought. Alaska ridging and easterly stratospheric wind could bring arctic outbreaks this far south too, but the winter overall may run warmer than normal.

I've had a missile blow up next to my airplane, been shot at dozens of times by anti-aircraft fire, and launched into orbit — all for my country. I never thought I'd see a President call for my execution. Trump doesn’t understand the Constitution, and we're all less safe for it.

Here's a nice outlook from the NC Climate Office on expectations for this coming winter. The one item I'd add is the persistent warm blob in the North Pacific Ocean that may help create anomalous ridging near Alaska, a good teleconnection for Arctic outbreaks across the eastern U.S.

Haunting Ghost Forests! We've all seen them! Ever wondered, "What killed all the trees?” UNCW research conducted by Andrea Hawkes, Monica Rother, Kendra Devereux and team seeks answers to questions of saltwater intrusion on freshwater ecosystems. 📸 courtesy of Monica Rother bit.ly/4oLCplK

Last night's snow flurries in Wilmington was the earliest in season snow has been observed in the city's 154-year climate record. #ncwx #snow

www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_spt 38 days working without pay and our nation's air traffic system is breaking down before our eyes. "Staffing triggers" is FAA-speak for where flights are being curtailed because there aren't enough controllers to safely handle the workload. This list will grow.

My solar panels just reached 50 megawatt-hours of energy production since their installation in May 2020, offsetting over 34 tons of CO2 emissions from coal and gas power plants. #solar #electricity

Just watched the venting second stage pass overhead from today's launch of an Ariane 6 rocket. It carried the Sentinel-1D satellite to orbit. #Ariane6 #Sentinel-1D

#Geology and #Halloween go together like chocolate and peanuts

Happy Halloween! 🌀

Alrighty, ready to see something really cool? (and maybe a little nauseating) The evolution of Hurricane Melissa's mesovortices at peak strength.

"Last chance to protect your life" may be the most severe headline I've ever seen in an official NWS product. #Melissa now at 892 mb and 185 mph.

Hurricane #Melissa's satellite appearance is frightening. 906 mb and 175 mph winds, will impact Jamaica tonight into Tuesday.

Four hour loop of 1-minute GOES imagery of Hurricane #Melissa south of Jamaica

For the second year in a row I helped coworkers clean trash out of Smith Creek here in Wilmington. It was a stunningly beautiful day with sunshine and lower 70s.

Most private insurers don't offer coastal NC wind insurance policies due to hurricane risk. Over the past 13 years my wind policy premium has increased by 175 percent, probably already pricing out a portion of the population from owning a home here.

Didn't expect to hear the term "isentropic lift" used in the first 10 minutes of Tron Ares. Much better movie than I'd expected even without the synoptic meteorology!

A pic my mom sent me from the No Kings demonstration in Brevard, NC