“If we continue, however, with the policies that we have out there, we are clearly on a pathway now of 2.7 degrees or 3 degrees where adaptation is simply not doable anymore. This is just what it is. We cannot protect Amsterdam from sea level rise of 3m. This is just not doable,” Thallinger said.

Vandaag staat mijn visie als hypothetische minister van Landbouw, Natuur, en Stikstof in dit prachtige artikel in @volkskrant.nl Dat stuk is natuurlijk erg kort en simpel, daarom hier een 🧵 van mijn hoofdpunten met wat meer onderbouwing! www.volkskrant.nl/kijkverder/v...

🚨 NEW: Climate change is already causing 30,000 deaths per year - a global annual economic loss of $100-350B USD - but the true damage is probably 10x higher. Out TODAY in Nature Climate Change: the first systematic look at the science of "health impact attribution" 🔓 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

De natuur stuurt geen factuur.

This is a nice illustration of how waste powers production. The idea of single-use, discardable plastic 'filling up landfills' was magic for producers. This is the same principle behind fossil fuel companies producing energy, and the tech companies that waste it www.jasontreat.com/plastic-1

Interesting new study! They attributed heatwaves🔥 to emissions of individual companies. Companies that emit a lot of CO2 contribute to climate change, making heatwaves more intense. Can this help in pushing them to reduce emissions and hold them accountable for the damage? doi.org/10.1038/s415...

Wow. The US Energy Department has withdrawn its scam climate report and disbanded its „Climate Working Group“ in order to dodge a law suit against the scam. They must have realized that this scam report by a few „climate skeptics“ is indefensible nonsense. subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...

VVD partij ideoloog en wetenschappelijk directeur trekt de hele klimaatwetenschap in twijfel. Dan snap ik wel dat je niet met GL-PvdA wil, maar liever met PVV

An authoritative group of #climate scientists have reviewed 5 prominent ideas to #geoengineer the polar regions. They conclude that these ideas are economically and practically unfeasible, environmentally dangerous & have major governance & ethics issues. www.frontiersin.org/journals/sci... 🌊🧪

Here‘s a rare and excellent career opportunity for outstanding physical oceanographers at the Potsdam Institute (PIK) and the University of Potsdam, in beautiful surroundings just outside Berlin. Tell qualified friends or colleagues! 🌊 www.nature.com/naturecareer...

It was a pleasure giving a seminar at the VU today in the Water & Climate Risk group. I enjoyed the great questions and discussion, given me lots of new ideas :) I discussed subpolar gyre variability mechanisms, links with the AMOC and impacts of an AMOC collapse on European precipitation.

Here is the starter pack you have all been waiting for: IPCC AR7 Scientists (the scientists that will write the next assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for the next few years) Thanks @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social bsky.app/starter-pack...

CCSS Lunch Meeting #75: Tipping Behavior in Complex Systems - an introduction. 🗓️🕛Thu 11 Sept. 12:00-13:00. Dr. Robbin Bastiaansen will give the kick-off talk of the new CCSS meetings topic: Tipping behavior in Natural and Societal Systems. Please sign up 👇 for free 🥪 www.uu.nl/en/events/cc...

📢New preprint out! We study the interaction between slowly varying weather regimes and storm tracks, deriving a Rossby wave breaking recipe for how regimes are linked to wave breaking events. In short, given the regime, we can anticipate where storms likely develop. doi.org/10.22541/ess...

Warme oceanen nemen minder CO2 op, droge bossen nemen minder CO2 op, natuurbranden zorgen voor uitstoot van CO2. Klimaatverandering versterkt klimaatverandering. ethz.ch/en/news-and-...

Do people trust science? In the Netherlands the answer is yes, trust even increased. However, the mean hides a change in the distribution, with both high trust (8+) and low trust (5-) increasing. Medical science is trusted most at 74%, climate science around 55%. www.rathenau.nl/nl/werking-v...

We’re filling the atmosphere with CO2 like a bathtub with water. Most of it stays for millennia. That is why the cumulative emissions (the total amount, as pictured here) and not yearly emissions determine the amount of #globalwarming.

Here is a reminder that already last year 44 experts directed a powerful warning to policy makers about the risk of #AMOC shutdown. What more can we do to get heard? It’s like the saying that every disaster movie starts with scientists warning and being ignored.

If you think that dramatic spikes in ocean temperatures aren’t much of a concern, it’s time to think again. There is no time to wait. #ActOnClimate #climate #energy #heatwave #ClimateBreakdown

I was shocked when I first saw these results from standard climate models used in IPCC reports: for high emissions, the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC shuts down in all 9 models that ran past 2100, and is well on the way to shutdown by 2100. Our paper on that is out today.🧵

WNF komt met schattige knuffel van Atlantische Golfstroom - 'Red Goffer het Golfstroompje’

Gevreesd kantelpunt in de Golfstroom mogelijk al halverwege deze eeuw bereikt - nos.nl/l/2579953

Headlining the Dutch news. In a new study my colleagues in Utrecht show there is a substantial risk that the #AMOC already starts to collapse this century. 🌊 nos.nl/nieuwsuur/co... Read the paper here: doi.org/10.1029/2025...

Dutch Minister of Foreign Affairs resigns because far right (lite) blocks any further measures against Israel.

It was a pleasure having such brilliant participants at the 'Introduction to Complex Systems' Summer School @ccss-uu.bsky.social #utrechtsummerschool. This week has flown by and I thoroughly enjoyed seeing them all learn and have fun getting their head around the many #complex phenomena discussed.

Erik Scherder: ‘We denken te weinig en we bewegen te weinig. Daar strijd ik tegen. Dat is mijn missie’

What happens in #Antarctica doesn’t stay in Antarctica: Impacts like #SeaLevelRise will be felt around the globe! 🌎🌊 New important paper led by colleagues from Australia just out in @nature.com: ”Emerging evidence of abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment“ www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Very important to do surveys like this! Is anyone aware of anything similar in the Netherlands (or other countries)? Postdocs do a lot of the research work, the academic system relies on them, yet their future is very uncertain. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

About time that we change the way we look at the world map, away from the #mercatorprojection, towards #equalearthprojection. Greenland is not that big, Africa is not that small. We need to stop the misrepresentation of the size of countries #correctthemap. correctthemap.org

And we're off! The 'Introduction to Complex Systems' summer school has started with a great lecture by Ammy Vogtlander: "Uncertainty is the essence of diversity." And it is that diversity we need for resilience. @ccss-uu.bsky.social #utrechtsummerschool #complexity

It is good to see @economist.com highlighting the importance of climate tipping points, and the work being done to understand and prepare for them. It discusses the work being done by UK groups (including the @aria-research.bsky.social project which I am part of) www.economist.com/interactive/...

Contributed a comment and talked through this piece a while back. Great to see it out. Important findings for England mirroring what we see in other countries and raising questions on vulnerability. I really like writing and helping contribute to work like this. #scicomm #scisky #heatwaves

It was a pleasure to have @rahmstorf.bsky.social visit us in Utrecht last week! He gave an insightful talk on the cold blob, followed by great discussions over lunch and coffee, underpinning the need to improve our understanding of the #AMOC, its impacts and how to communicate about it. 🌊

The northern Atlantic is the only region of the world which has defied global warming and has been cooling. What is going on there? What does the latest science say about the 'cold blob'? #AMOC My talk at Utrecht University this week. 🌊 youtu.be/sy2kBPujc4w?...

Renewables have taken the lead in Dutch electricity production

So what makes a climate assessment? In short: not this new Energy Dept report, which rehashes contrarian greatest hits with areas of known uncertainty -- that climate scientists talk about all the time. It's all a little grim. Who needs 721 authors when you have 5?

Contrarian climate assessment from U.S. government draws swift pushback | Science | AAAS www.science.org/content/arti...

2025 has seen the second warmest first half of the year on record after 2024 – and is on track to be the second or third warmest year since records began in 1850. My latest State of the Climate report over at Carbon Brief: www.carbonbrief.org/...

Dit is geen ‘oorlog’ en zeker geen ‘zelfverdediging’. Dit is de systematische uitroeiing van een volk, haar cultuur, erfgoed, landschap en geschiedenis. Precies zoals Israëlische leiders vanaf het begin openlijk bepleitten. En wie daartegen protesteert, wordt nog altijd weggezet als antisemiet.

Join our session at #agu #osm26 in Glasgow! Submit your abstract by 20 August. agu.confex.com/agu/osm26/pr...

An abrupt shift might be sudden ice melt in Antarctica or a change in precipitation rates in a monsoon system. A new study examines how common such shifts may be in the future. eos.org/research-spo...

📢 Applications welcome for a fully funded PhD project to work on tipping points @utas.edu.au in Australia! Study "Overshoots in Delay Differential Equations" with Dr Courtney Quinn, Prof Michael Charleston and myself (@gsiexeter.bsky.social). Closing date 1st August www.utas.edu.au/research/deg...

Enjoyed presenting my poster on the mechanisms of subpolar gyre (SPG) variability in CMIP6 models last week at the #GlobalTippingPointsConference! Interesting questions, great discussions. I came back even more motivated to improve our understanding of SPG tipping and its impacts.

This is definitely not the time to delay or dial back climate policy. The urgency has never been greater. We are approaching dangerous tipping points, almost 200 scientists warn. 🌊 news.exeter.ac.uk/faculty-of-e...

Great talks and discussions yesterday in the first part of our session on "Forecasting & Governing Tipping Points in the SPG, AMOC and GIS" at the #GTPConference @gsiexeter.bsky.social. We learned about the uncertainty in #AMOCtipping. Looking forward to the second part this afternoon!

The #GlobalTippingPoints2025 conference has started! Over 500 scientists are discussing the latest science on Earth System risks here in Exeter.

Looking forward to the Global Tipping Points Conference next week! :) Happy to chat about SPG, AMOC, and impacts. Join our session on "Forecasting & Governing Tipping Points in SPG,AMOC,GIS" and find me at my poster on SPG variability mechanisms. Also keen to discuss academic career perspectives.

Check out our results on abrupt shifts in climate models: dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025... We scan the CMIP6 database for abrupt shifts and analyse the results for the subpolar gyre, sea ice, and other subsystems. Already at low levels of global warming there is a risk of large-scale abrupt shifts.

Check out our results on abrupt shifts in climate models: dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025... We scan the CMIP6 database for abrupt shifts and analyse the results for the subpolar gyre, sea ice, and other subsystems. Already at low levels of global warming there is a risk of large-scale abrupt shifts.

Amazing day out running the #Klimaatmarathon with my colleagues #IMAU today! Running from the KNMI to Hilversum and back wearing the climate stripes #ShowYourStripes. Great to see so many people out there that care about climate change and want to act.