How much carbon budget do we have left if we want to stay below 1.5˚C? Just 2 more years at current rates. It is essentially impossible to avoid global temperature rise exceeding 1.5˚C. climatelabbook.substack.com/p/the-shrink...

I've been gabbling excitedly about this for a lil' while, but... it's getting real! 🌍✨🔭 I'm developing a live science show - think SPECTACLE - with my brilliant colleague Charly. It's gonna be great, and I'm super hyped 👀 Go give Nova a follow to stay in the loop 👉 @nova-earth-astro.bsky.social

All you need to know about Bill Gates' long-standing and misguided take on climate change. 'The solution to the climate crisis isn’t going to come from the fairy-dust-sprinkled flying unicorns that are the “benevolent plutocrats.” They don’t exist.' thebulletin.org/2025/10/you-...

Impact of flights on global warming severely underestimated by many carbon calculators & offset schemes that don’t properly account for taxiing, sub-optimal routing or non-CO2 climate effects which are larger component: www.newscientist.com/article/2502... Research paper: doi.org/10.1038/s432...

It's Halloween, and to celebrate (?) I made a big scary decision... I love climate research and polar science, but academia broke me. And more importantly, I feel like climate comms is where I can have more impact. ... So I've left academia. Wish me luck 🎃 More here: youtu.be/mw6miP-v1Ds

🪸 Coral reefs are already reaching breaking point - and we're rapidly approaching other critical climate red lines. That's according to the latest tipping points report that came out last week. Watch here: youtu.be/p9S_IKwwyeM

🪸 Coral reefs are already reaching breaking point - and we're rapidly approaching other critical climate red lines. That's according to the latest tipping points report that came out last week. Watch here: youtu.be/p9S_IKwwyeM

Check out our new pre-print showcasing cutting-edge hi-res regional climate model simulations of Antarctica ❄️ Spoiler alert: they're pretty decent 😎 Link here: egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...

AI is being used to improve weather and climate prediction... But not in a make-you-dumber, planet-destroying, chatgpt kinda way. New vid, ft. my best segue yet, here: youtu.be/7gCbK1f0Zjc Thanks to Kirstine Dale at the @metoffice.gov.uk for explaining how tech can enhance weather prediction ⛅

2015-2024 😊📹 bsky.app/profile/kosm...

12 month running average Arctic sea ice area lowest on record.

Antarctica’s McMurdo Dry Valleys are one of the most extreme places on Earth 🌍❄️. I talked with @drgilbz.bsky.social about my PhD research on the glaciers there, why they matter for climate and ecosystems, and how they’re changing in a warming world. Check the great video she made below ⬇️

Expanding airports in a climate crisis is criminal. Already not on track to meet our (too weak) climate targets, an extra runway at Heathrow will cause a vast increase in emissions, driving deaths and health issues for Londoners and the world.

We didn’t know East Antarctica was melting like this. Excellent new video from Dr Gilbz @drgilbz.bsky.social

I’m delighted to share that our new paper is now out in @natclimate.nature.com! Our long-term, monthly Antarctic-wide dataset of surface meltwater shows that the East Antarctic Ice Sheet is becoming increasingly prone to surface meltwater ponding.

I chatted to the amazing @drgilbz.bsky.social about our new paper (which Ella is also a co-author on!), which suggests that East Antarctica is becoming more prone to surface meltwater ponding. Check out the video below!

🌍21st June is #ShowYourStripes day. The bar chart shows the temperature change in the UK up to 2024 compared to the average of 1961-2010 showyourstripes.info 2024 was the warmest year on record. 📣Take action! www.un.org/en/actnow/te...

📊NEW ANALYSIS📊 Just 3% of the UK population take 30% of the fights. When this government expands UK airports, this 3% benefit the most. Who are these people? Introducing... the ultra-frequent flyer. Our research with Possible. 1/5

We need a frequent flyer tax not a 3rd LHR runway. 2.8% of UK people are ultra-frequent flyers, 6+ flights/year, 7.7% are frequent 3+ , 17.1% regular 2+ & 72.4% fly once or never in a year.

Astonishing: 3% of UK people take 30% of all flights According to a new report, these ultra-frequent-flyers, UFFs (>6 flights/yr) were responsible for 63% of new passenger traffic over the last 20 years. New infrastructure is largely fulfilling the carbon burning habits of this tiny minority

It may be a small chance, but it's a chance nonetheless. A year of average global temps above 2°C is now possible in the next 5 years, according a new report by the @wmo-global.bsky.social Watch here 👉 youtu.be/3O2s9TkNKgk

Lowest global sea ice area for the date on record 🧪

"In the next 25 years just 20cm of #sealevelrise will cost around US$1 trillion per year in flood damages across the world's largest coastal cities" says @drgilbz.bsky.social Present warming is "challenging the implementation of adaptation measures." #climatecrisis www.youtube.com/watch?v=sa9h...

Well, denier comments are ROLLING in. And they look suspiciously similar. Fossil fuel money is backing bot-farms to sow doubt, delay and despair all over socials & platforms like YT. Whether they're accusing me of lying cos "we're already at 2C" or cos "CO2 is plant food", results are the same.

If you do nothing else today, listen to this 👇 excellent piece of climate communication. 11 minutes. Worth it. #Climate #ClimateChange #ClimateAction

Sharing not least because Ella's expression in the thumbnail captures so very much of the moment.

🌊 Did you see the coverage last week of the paper led by Chris Stokes about long-term sea level rise from polar ice sheets? It took me a while (cos, y'know, feelings), but here's my take on it: ▶️ youtu.be/sa9h_zVM1RY

Wondering what drives the non-linearity between temperature and surface melt on Antarctic ice shelves? Come find me at poster X4.23 in Hall X4 for a chat this afternoon! Attached a photo of Nansen Ice Shelf to get your attention 👀❄️ #EGU25 #Antarctica #Cryosphere

Ella Gilbert just gave a great presentation on extreme precipitation and atmospheric rivers in West Antarctica to a packed room. Fascinating insights into precipitation and model performance in this critical region!

Are you at #EGU25? Do you have exciting climate / polar science results to share? Do you wanna appear in an EGU-themed vid for my YouTube channel? Come say hi, I'm friendlier than I look (it's just the resting cockney face, promise). Please share with anyone who'd be up for it 😘

📢A new study from @uniofbath.bsky.social shows London's low emissions zones have had major benefits for human health and the economy, with a 10.2% decrease in respiratory issues following LEZ implementation, an **18.5%** reduction in sick leave, and annual public health savings of over £37 million.

Preparing a talk + I'm struck again by this adaptation strategies by Voelz et al., 2024. I think as ice sheet scientists we are sometimes too caught up in processes. Smart engineers + social scientists FTW #SeaLevelRise @h2020protect.bsky.social agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

No YOU'RE going down an early noughties pop culture rabbit hole for a science video

Europeans were the hottest people in 2024, new analysis finds. Scorching🔥 commentary by @drgilbz.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=B5Fm...

🆕 from PolarRES' @raphaelkoehler.bsky.social & colleagues on the future of the Beaufort Gyre, a major Arctic Ocean current. By accumulating/releasing freshwater, it shapes ocean properties. But most CMIP6 models project it will weaken or vanish, disrupting ocean circulation. 🔗: bit.ly/4cdZo3m

Big discoveries in bite-sized stories? 👉 Check out our new PolarRES in Practice Stories! Explore the project's key findings through engaging stories that make complex discoveries easy to grasp. 🔗 polarres.eu/practice-sto... #H2020 #Climate #Research

Really psyched to be included on this list of climate creators for 2025 from @harvardcchange.bsky.social and @piqueaction.bsky.social Check out the other creators here t.co/DP3gSINObc They're all doing great work :)

It's raining in Antarctica ☔ This week, BAS' Dr Ella Gilbert published research on extreme precipitation events bringing rain to West Antarctica, not just snow. What does this mean? Here's the *excellent* explainer from @drgilbz.bsky.social on her YouTube channel: 🎬 www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-zL...

And I'm always very appreciative of the support (biased or nay)!

A closer look at the extent of sea ice globally that just set a new all-time record minimum, which is due to unusually low sea ice conditions in both the #Arctic & #Antarctic right now. Data from nsidc.org/data/seaice_... 🧪⚒️🥼❄️

I'm grateful to scientists who give us free classes in climate/earth systems (and other!) science. Social media is at its best when we can treat it as a free university where we can choose our teachers among the best, and walk in to any class. 🙏

only 3 days left to apply!

About rivers and rain in Antarctica (yes, you read right): “We do know that rain falling on snow darkens the surface, which can enhance melting, leading to greater ice losses. …

Fantastic paper out today that shows rainfall in Antarctica is an under-observed and under-appreciated risk to ice-sheet stability

Huge congrats to @drgilbz.bsky.social for producing a unique, localized study of extreme precip in West Antarctica!! 🇦🇶 This study highlights what we miss when we rely on reanalyses to assess extreme events - and the role of steep terrain in the mesoscale meteorology of the Amundsen Sea Embayment 🌧️

‼️NEW VIDEO‼️ ❄️Atmospheric rivers bring extreme snowfall to West Antarctica. 🌧️But they also bring rain, even when temperatures are sub-zero. Supercool, right? 😎 Watch it here ▶️ youtu.be/0-zLGu2t_e0

It's raining in Antarctica - thanks to extreme conditions brought by atmospheric rivers. We show that supercooled (sub-zero) rain falls alongside LOTS of snow over West Antarctic ice shelves. Full paper at tc.copernicus.org/articles/19/...

📝NEW paper out today🥳 ❄️We look at extreme snow and rain (yes, rain!) in West Antarctica over the Thwaites and Pine Island ice shelves. In it, we show that atmospheric rivers - long, thin "rivers in the sky" that bring tons of heat & moisture - deliver huge amounts of snow... and even rain 🌧️ 1/8

NEW – Guest post: How atmospheric rivers are bringing rain to West Antarctica | @drgilbz.bsky.social @bas.ac.uk Read here: https://buff.ly/4179aR7