Fwiw this is easy to reckon with (and the following is not an endorsement of Yglesias or his political problem write large). In the places where the Harris campaign campaigned the hardest, swing states, they lost by less than you would have expected them to lose given how much they lost by overall.

My three point foolproof plan for Dems winning elections. Step 1. Assume a liberal electorate. Step 2. Go home early.

we already give Messi a hundred mill to walk around the pitch in Cincinnati what more do they want

1. Dems should not run pro life candidates. 2. The question how do we get more people to vote for Dems, whatever you think the answer is, is not solved by just looking at what people who already vote for Dems prefer.

I will remember to use #epl-live I will remember to use #epl-live I will remember to use #epl-live I will remember to use #epl-live I will remember to use #epl-live

It’s just going to be a very funny seasons with Arteta and Pep doing various weird versions of struggle ball control while Liverpool YOLO it out of their ears.

I’ve sort of quietly accepted these kinds of qualifiers for years just because it’s the price of incrementally getting the game to be more completely described on tv. But, like, c’mon we’re all here watching the game, it won’t magically morph into a spreadsheet if you just cite the damn number.

Well I guess that’s why Pep has designed a team in which Haaland and only Haaland shoots.

Well, it will involve people who voted for Trump no longer supporting him. I don’t think they will change their minds, they will simply resolve that they never really supported him and certainly we need to allow that to happen.

The Emery gear shift appears to be stuck in park.

Amusingly I know the exact date of the last time I saw them because Adam Duritz had no voice. He is apparently an A’s fan and the concert was the night after Derek Jeter’s famous flip play.

What’s the most uncool thing about you? For me it’s that in a few short hours I will have seen Counting Crows three separate times in my life.

Actually I think you’ll find that the libs are the ones against the fascism. (Bluesky note: this is a joke playing on the two possible interpretations of the words “mad libs” in which I, the poster, am intentionally using the incorrect interpretation to humorous intent)

Just watched a today show segment to understand a meme. It’s well and truly over. Put me in a Viking ship and push me out to sea.

The eternal New Yorker in me is so god damn mad that “go birds fuck ice free Palestine” goes so fucking hard.

Anyway the strain of thought that suggests that in states where conservatives well outnumber liberals all Dems need to do is Dem harder and want it more and they’ll win is just very dumb. How you win conservatives is a tricky question. But the answer isn’t “be even less conservative.”

I do suspect deport-a-palooza has made the immigration issue less ugly for Dems, but even so they’re still gonna just kinda have to eat it I imagine.

Here are maps from Civiqs where voters say if they’re closer to Dems or Republicans on abortion in their state and then the same for immigration. It’s still the case that in Nebraska and Kansas - states we should try to win senate seats - voters say they’re closer to GOP. And immigration yikes.

Should our senate candidates in Texas be pro or anti drilling for more oil? Should they be pro or anti gun?

Abortion, was a very stupid issue to make the very banal and correct point that Democrats should widen the tent to include candidates that don’t agree with the party line on various issues. But the fact that these candidates lost is horrible evidence and people are being deliberately obtuse.

It’s just because one looks like what she demands women look like and one does not. That’s always the whole thing.

Feels like somewhere around the fifth book Slow Horses tipped over from “these are great spy stories,” to “I enjoy hanging out with these goofy messed up losers,” and while I very much do enjoy hanging out with those goofy messed up losers, I’m not sure the series is better for it.

This is the most nonsense of all the bluesky complaints. And Shadi plainly doesn’t believe that liberals who have moved to bluesky are vital to read since he comes on here about once every two weeks.

Nobody on gods green earth saw fit to tell me that the first step of your child getting flute lessons is that she takes recorder for a couple of months? You have all failed me and my ears.

Everton down 2-0 half an hour in? I look forward to Liverpool’s inevitable 93rd minute winner.

Bill Maher sucks. Also Bill Maher had this exact thing happen to him 24 years ago.

People really need to reckon with why people will vote for pro-choice referendums and pro-life candidates at the same time. This isn’t an argument for a pro-life candidate but it is a suggestion that voting the referendums don’t refute the point.

We’re getting owned by the fucking Dutch.

new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social ! Champions League has kicked off and we use the games to walk through the top tiers of contenders, why we see a lot parity between PSG, Madrid, Barca, Arsenal, Liverpool, City and how we think the best of the rest tier out www.patreon.com/posts/139272...

lol

Usage rate klaxon

that's why you bring the US flag to protests, folks

Disco Elysium is so leftist that the 4 founders split up into 5 rival studios. How they physically managed this I still do not understand. It's like something out of a failed algebra answer "invalid solution", but they pulled it off.

Almost always when you see a forward taking an insane percentage of his team’s shots it’s because his team is bad. Obviously that’s not the case with City, but, like, Pep is doing something pretty radical right now.

When Erling Haaland is on the pitch he takes 44% of Manchester City’s shots. Thats the most in the PL this season. There are only three other players who clear 30%, somehow two of them play for Wolves (Strand Larsen and, weirdly, Bellegarde) and Sunderland forward Isidor. Pretty crazy stuff.

are you going to get one set of opinions from either group? of course not - for one thing they're both highly stubborn and opinionated cultures. Is the aggregate of that experience far more useful than random American academics and lawyers? christ, yes.

again, you are *posting on a public forum.* spreading panic and paranoia is antithetical to the solidarity and organization needed at this stage of resistance. And, bluntly, the opinion of *any* American is less useful than talking to South Koreans or Ukrainians and others at this point.

again, as somebody who has actually lived in a dictatorship and worked with dissidents from across the world, this kind of whiny cosplaying by academics pretending they have some secret knowledge of resistance is very annoying.

Got the group chat discussing the Mount Rushmore of fighting fascism.

I’ve wondered for a while why American capital flowed readily into Serie A but not LaLiga.

The problem here is that no matter what you do now Roman got away with it.

if there is one thing I've learned from a decade in sports analytics, it's that normal people have absolutely no fucking idea how percentages work

Today’s parenting win. Eight-year-old spiked a 150 ticket prize at the arcade and it was an old-school machine that actually spewed out the tickets not the new-fangled nonsense where they just credit them to a card. Judging by expression it was a top five moment in her life.

Anthony Gordon's dedication to recreating all of Princess Diana's iconic looks is to be admired

An army of frogs asking each other what’s up with that scorpion.

What Will Stancil the man did or did not say or believe is broadly irrelevant when discussing Will Stancil the MMO raid boss everyone logs on to fight with their buddies.

Second time as farce is gonna be a bit of a challenge given how the first time went.

The thing about Kimmel is he’s just a guy. His whole schtick is that he’s just a dude. Just a guy dudes are supposed to be republicans who love Donald Trump. It’s why the fact that Kimmel in his dude-guyness has been mildly going wtf is up with this Trump nonsense for a decade drives them nuts.

It’s blindingly obviously true that using government power or threats of government power to curb speech is categorically (and legally) different than using social sanction. Also the vast majority of people in American don’t think that’s true and wouldn’t even be able to articulate the difference.