Axios is sayings russians couldn't leak it because its a US plan and russians are saying Ukranians leaked it. So we atleast know, for fact, that its russian plan that russians leaked it

Well there’s certainly no basis for negotiations now. I feel a bit sorry for everyone who has to go to Geneva for nothing. Maybe they can still cancel

My take on Trump's peace plan, and why he can't pressure Ukraine into capitulation.

On the Holodomor Commemoration Day, spare a thought for all innocent Ukrainian victims of the Soviet-made famine. Impunity is never a path towards peace. It's a highway to violence, slaughter and barbarism.

‼️ Friends, this is very important. Please share to whoever this may concern, especially if you are in the United States. Ukraine wants peace. Lasting, just, sustainable peace, and not a pause before the next bloodbath. I cannot stress this enough.

This is a small thing, but the media needs to stop talking as if Trump has unfettered capacity to force Ukraine into anything. He is trying to. That’s all.

Amidst the Putin-Witkoff nonsense on handing Ukraine to Moscow, clear reporting as always from @michaeldweiss.bsky.social macspaunday.substack.com/p/he-got-thi...

Exactly. In reality, there is no choice for Zelensky, because accepting Trump's plan is off the table. What this statement is about is mobilizing the public both at home and abroad.

Some notable things in what's being called the "Trump peace plan" but which could not have been more clearly written in Moscow if it came with a 2 for 1 deal on tickets to the Bolshoi Ballet. 🧵

Future historians, if there are any, will call our time the age of indecency and dishonour.

President Zelenskyy addressed the nation. Key points from his address: 1/ Ukraine may face a very difficult choice: either loss of dignity or risk of losing a key partner, either difficult 28 points or an extremely hard winter, the hardest one, and further risks, Zelenskyy said.

Helpful reminder that both Kyiv and its European partners can safely ignore Trump's pushes for a bad peace deal.

On the leaked and thus not-so-secret US-Russia ”peace plan”: I have read nothing to indicate that it’s any different this time than in February/March, May, and August. The Trump admin is serving the same nothingburger for the fourth time. Media and analysts haven’t learned to see through the noise.

In this book, I discuss parallels from the Second World War period on sexual violence, denazification, propaganda, killing civilians, weaponization of food and more. I also discuss complicity of "ordinary Russians" and how the instrumentalization of history by Russia dehumanized Ukrainians.

Great info as always, and a very important warning about potential Russian escalation of the (non-hybrid) war elsewhere in Europe at the end.

Germany Tries Something New—and Risky—on Defense Acquisitions And I argue that that’s a good thing. My latest for @wpr.bsky.social www.worldpoliticsreview.com/germany-dron...

Russia's insatiable demand for bodies to feed the meatgrinder of its war on Ukraine has a real and tragic human cost for the Global South. Here @munira.bsky.social in @engelsbergideas.bsky.social describes deceit and exploitation in Africa, South Asia and beyond. engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...

Forthcoming in February 2026, my new book Replaying the Second World War: Soviet Parallels and Inspirations for Russian Atrocities in the Russo-Ukrainian War, 2014-25, out with ibidem Press and distributed by Columbia University Press. cup.columbia.edu/book/replayi...

This would be great but it’s kinda funny that Germany would still have a small total force + reserve than Finland (wartime strength 280,000 and total reserve about 900,000) www.ft.com/content/6cbf...

I have had another great talk with Jonathan from @siliconcurtain.bsky.social. You can listen to it here.

Former MI6 chief Richard Moore on Ukraine: "'This is a very, very winnable contest,' he says. 'It’s particularly important that we don’t snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.'" www.ft.com/content/acfe...

Foreign Minister of Poland Radosław Sikorski: "We think that if Putin succeeded in conquering Ukraine, we would be next. You know, we will eat grass rather than become a Russian colony again," @radek-sikorski.bsky.social said.

“The Russians repeatedly ignored all other attempts to talk about substance, the diplomat said. Instead, they offered to set up Whatsapp groups, working groups and other processes they could use to trick the Americans into believing the talks were making progress.” www.thetimes.com/world/russia...

Another reminder that this war is not about territory, but about Russian imperialism and Putin's 'great power' delusions: www.wsj.com/world/russia...

As usual, ignore the clickbait title, but also as usual, @hugorifkind.bsky.social manages to cram a lot of sharp qs into this 10-minute Times Radio chat about Putin and the updated version of my WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT PUTIN (published last week) youtu.be/DyuzfMba1C4?...

🔴 Ukrainian medics have begun documenting cases of gas gangrene, a severe bacterial infection once associated with the trenches of World War I. united24media.com/latest-news/...

A massive own goal. www.ft.com/content/1860...

Really important points on Pokrovsk and the new disadvantages of Russia's strategic depth (you can't protect everything with air defenses and General Winter is no longer on Russia's side): stefankorshak.substack.com/p/november-7...

Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO: ecfr.eu/article/look...

Incredibly important reading that Western education usually misses -- on the beginning of WWII in eastern Europe, and its very belated end.

"Since November 2022, Russia has been able to advance at only a painfully slow crawl, conquering an additional 1% of Ukraine at the cost of over a million dead and maimed Russian soldiers, by Western calculations." www.wsj.com/world/europe...

The Trump administration finally doing things that will annoy Moscow is unexpected and welcome. But it will take a great deal more to make any real difference to Russia’s determination to destroy Ukraine. www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...

“Eighteen months ago drones could target anyone 5km from the front line. Now that has extended to 15km.” Ukrainian drones are killing ever more soldiers economist.com/europe/2025/... from The Economist

Remarkable numbers, worth reading.

A thread worth reading.

Here is @nigelgould-davies.bsky.social on Russia’s disruption campaign against Europe. I’m not sure I would be so optimistic on the Kremlin being worried by US & EUR behaviour, but the conclusion is unshakeable: absent a serious response, this will get much worse. www.iiss.org/online-analy...

"Russia appears to be conducting concerted preparations as part of the physical and psychological condition-setting phase for war contingencies." - ISW:

And here we go. I never wrote this article, and yet it is cited here. www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/... And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong. #AIisnotresearch

Hi all, I published my latest Missile Matters post earlier today, examining the reported drop in Ukraine’s ballistic missile intercept rate from 37 to 6 percent, as covered by the Financial Times. Access the full post here: missilematters.substack.com/p/what-happe... Short summary below. 1/6

Hard agree. It's a paradox that in Denmark right now, there is a discussion about whether it would be an aggressive move to acquire long-range strike capabilities that can reach Russia. How do these people assume we will be fighting a war if we don't have weapons that can reach the enemy?

Ukraine seems determined to prevent another winter of Russian attacks on its power grid by adopting an eye-for-an-eye approach. This shows that Ukraine is now confident enough in its strike capability to use it not only for ongoing attacks, but also as a tool of military deterrence. ⬇️

EU decision making reminds me of what Bill Gates said about how we overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. EU close up looks pretty slow, but as Max points out, taken together it moves faster than you think.

On October 1, Ukraine marks the Day of Defenders of Ukraine. Zelenskyy honored the memory of fallen soldiers on Maidan.

Spoiler: "Putin's escalation" is not "far worse" than anybody thought, if they have been paying any attention at all. But there's no doubt it *will* get "far worse" without effective and determined deterrence from Europe. inews.co.uk/news/world/p...

Everyone should click through to watch the map populate. Absolutely horrifying. Thank you for sharing, @alanderminna.bsky.social

Imagine spending massive amounts of money trying to buy votes and even threatening to blow up the Moldovan embassy in Brussels to sway the elections and failing so miserably: Maia Sandu’s pro-EU PAS has won a majority in the elections Russia made a huge effort to interfere with. Via @politico.eu

And a reminder that if you aren't receiving Stefan Korshak's FB-posts-to-Substack-newsletters, you're missing out on valuable analysis of the war in Ukraine (esp. items that the Western press often misses): stefankorshak.substack.com/p/sept-26-20...

A beautiful essay from @shekhovtsov.substack.com's highly recommended Substack.