Good morning with good news: EV truck sales in China doubled in 2025 & were 25% of truck sales! Global sales of EV heavy trucks tripled. EV medium truck sales rose 65%. Europe's EV truck sales rose 40%. EV trucks were 9% of global market. iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/14a32... #energysky

Indigenous Peoples from coast to coast to coast are addressing housing & climate issues with innovative solutions. Join us and @indigclnenergy.bsky.social tomorrow at 1pm ET for the Advancing Indigenous Healthy Energy Homes webinar 🏠 to learn how federal policy can support progress. Register below!

"the MOU slightly improves industrial carbon pricing relative to its current status in Alberta – but goodness, that’s a low bar. The losses offset the gains, because the MOU cements a low level of stringency around industrial carbon pricing across Canada for the foreseeable future.

New from @enveco.bsky.social @rjcsmith.bsky.social and me in the Globe: "The newly announced Alberta-Canada Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) implementation agreement locks in incremental climate progress for Canada. If that sounds like we’re damning it with faint praise, that’s because we are."

We also cannot rule out higher-warming outcomes. The CMIP7 medium illustrative scenario has a median of 2.8C, but a 5-95% range of 2.1C to 3.7C and a ~2% chance of 4C+ warming once you include climate sensitivity and carbon cycle uncertainties. 8/11

This tracks with other independent estimates. Climate Action Tracker's "policies & action" projection has fallen from 3.6C in 2015 to 2.6C in 2026, around ~1C of progress. The IEA saw similar pre-Paris baselines around 3.5C and ~2.4-2.9C today. 6/11

The right counterfactual isn't RCP8.5. It's the full range of baseline scenarios, which averaged ~3.5C of warming by 2100. Today's medium scenario lands closer to 2.8C. That's ~0.7C of avoided warming from policy + technology. Not the full 1.7C difference from RCP8.5, but still huge. 5/11

Two things can be true: • RCP8.5 was never a realistic "business as usual" scenario • The world has made real progress bending the emissions curve down Glen Peters, Piers Forster, and I explain in a new article: www.theclimatebrink.... 1/11

ah yes - good point that I missed - not only is delay delay, because of inflation it actually means even lower effective prices. bsky.app/profile/jaso...

TLDR: this agreement does not maintain a path to net zero by 2050

“Oil Sands Alliance is committed to advancing the Pathways carbon capture and storage project provided the necessary regulatory and fiscal terms are in place.” As in, if there are no regulations and the governments pay for the whole thing.

Canada’s MOU agreement with Alberta puts the country’s commitment to net zero emissions by 2050 firmly out of reach. Read our full statement from @rjcsmith.bsky.social ⬇️ climateinstitute.ca/news/mou-wit...

For the price to not rise even to $130 until 2040 “is very, very late to create this investment signal that's important for emissions and for investment in the new economy,” said Dale Beugin, executive vice president at the Canadian Climate Institute.

Leaked SaskPower documents show 'extreme' risk in $26B coal refurbishment plan www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

Spiralling global temperatures (1850-2026) It is exactly 10 years since I first put this animated graphic of changes in global temperature online. #ClimateSpiral It instantly went viral. People watched it over and over again. It still offers the power to shock a decade on.

1/ It's great to see Esquimalt move forward on making it safe to bike and roll to their major commercial destinations! The point of any transportation network is to enable people to go useful places! #yyj #yyjbike vicnews.com/2026/05/06/e...

If Canada can make that argument at 1.4% then presumably so can Saudi Arabia (1.5), Iran (1.9) and Japan (2.0). Then I imagine both Indonesia (2.3) and Brazil (2.5) would say, "hey, us too." And at that point, you've ruled out 204 countries accounting for roughly 46% of all national emissions.

Emissions from households—from personal transport to home heating—make up 20% of Canada’s emissions. Fortunately, there’s a solution that can cut emissions and protect people from volatile fossil fuel costs: electrification.⚡️ Read our latest⬇️🧵 climateinstitute.ca/how-governme...

20 years of progress: At the beginning of this century, growth in electricity demand meant growth in fossil fuels. First wind power, and now solar, have changed this. Now, solar and other clean sources can structurally meet all growth in demand.

Our latest analysis shows that the emissions implications of the Canada–Alberta MOU will depend primarily on one key factor: how the industrial carbon market is updated. https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/canada-alberta-mou-treatment-industrial-carbon-pricing-emissions-outcome/

A vivid spring spawning event has transformed coastal waters near Victoria, drawing marine life and attention to a critical moment in the ocean’s annual cycle.

Canada's official greenhouse gas report for 2024 is out today. It confirms what our Early Estimate of National Emissions found last fall. Canada’s climate progress has been modest and is at risk of going in the wrong direction. Here are some key takeaways⬇️🧵 www.canada.ca/en/environme...

Oh Victoria. #yyjbike #yyj #victoriabc

I just resigned from NASA. It breaks my heart to leave, but I’ve become convinced the best path forward is to do the best science I can, and that can’t be here anymore. I’m still in love with the promise of those four magic letters. Ad astra per aspera, and remember: Earth is the only good planet.

Outgoing Mayor Anne Hidalgo championed a car-free agenda, leaving Paris greener, cleaner and better for walking and biking. Take a journey through the city to see how it's changed. Read more: bloom.bg/41n0HIF 📷️: Getty Images

Solar and wind are growing at record pace, but how fast are countries really moving? At @ember-energy.org we built the tool to track just that. Our new Wind and Solar Capacity Data Explorer is now live 📈 Monthly data, 25 countries, >90% 🌎 capacity coverage ember-energy.org/data/wind-an...

Electric vehicles are already cutting 2.3 million barrels of oil demand per day. That's about to double under a business-as-usual scenario this decade. It could go faster if EV sales rise, which there are indications they will at this oil price. 🎁🔗 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Industrial carbon pricing is not the reason groceries are more expensive. Our latest analysis shows its effect on food prices is a miniscule 0.1%—like adding a penny to the cost of 2 cartons of eggs. Read more ⬇️ nationalnewswatch.com/2026/03/16/i...

Trump tried to tank these five offshore wind farms. But after winning their court cases, two are almost complete, and three are on the cusp of major milestones.

NEW ANALYSIS: UK emissions fell 2.4% in 2025 as coal fell to a 400-year low. Incredibly, we used less coal last year than than in 1600, when Queen Elizabeth I was on the throne and Shakespeare was writing Hamlet. All the details in our article: www.carbonbrief.org/...

Canada’s path to its climate goals is getting steeper: our latest modelling shows the country is now further from its targets. Read more ⬇️ https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/canada-off-course-for-climate-targets/

Judge says Sunrise Wind can resume construction, ”ending Trump’s offshore wind ban — for now.” via @canarymedia.com: www.canarymedia.com/articles/off...

Protected bike lanes = One Weird Trick to Massively Increase Cycling

Wind and solar generated more electricity than fossil fuels in 14 of the 27 EU countries last year 🌪️☀️ Two countries reached this milestone for the FIRST time in 2025: 🇳🇱 the Netherlands 🇭🇷 Croatia https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/european-electricity-review-2026/

Insured damages from extreme weather events in Canada were the 10th highest on record last year. Between 2016 and 2025, insured losses from catastrophic weather events and wildfires totaled $37 billion—nearly triple the previous decade. www.newswire.ca/news-release...

📈Officially, another record year of heat for the planet. Per @noaa.gov, 2025 was Earth’s 3rd-hottest year on record (since 1850), trailing only 2024 (#1) and 2023 (#2). 🧵Let's dig in a little deeper

If you want optimism on EVs, and the Ford news has got you down, look beyond North America (for now)

As Alberta completes its first full year without coal in its power supply mix, renewables (wind, solar, and hydro) have reached 22% of total generation and natural gas makes up 78%.

"The B.C. government released a 10-year flood mitigation plan in 2024 but it had no price tag, no project priorities, and no timelines"

End of 2025: Shelbourne St. w/ new sidewalks & protected bike lanes nearly complete - 2 small segments to go. Lots of folks on foot & bike. (And to think: I was writing ltrs to & meeting w/ Saanich Council & staff about urgent need for AT options here in 2012-14 -along with multiple neighbours)

'Frustrating and defeating': More rain in forecast as Abbotsford surveys flood damage vancouversun.com/news/frustra...

Great explainer video on atmospheric river flooding here by @johannawagstaffe.bsky.social www.cbc.ca/player/play/...

Western Washington faced threats of "catastrophic" conditions Thursday as an atmospheric river sweeps through the Pacific Northwest. 100,000 people have evacuated their homes in the Skagit Valley, an hour north of Seattle, to reach higher ground.

While B.C. has avoided catastrophe of 2021, Washington State currently dealing with historic flooding. In Sumas, a border town just south of Abbotsford, “probably 100 per cent” of the downtown is under water, Mayor Bruce Bosch said in an interview. “It’s looking like close to the ’21 flood.”

BREAKING: Over the last hour floodwaters have inundated Sumas, Wash. Flooding will soon be starting in Sumas Prairie.

Heavy rains from an atmospheric river have forced evacuations and closed all major highways out of BC’s Lower Mainland due to extreme flooding and high avalanche hazards—reminiscent of catastrophic climate-driven floods in 2021. www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

BREAKING: Officials in Sumas, Wash., immediately south of Abbotsford will be sounding their flood siren that warns residents to evacuate. This is a sign of likely flooding in Sumas Prairie in Abbotsford. www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=...