top risks 2026 is officially out after 28 years of analyzing geopolitical risks this year is the tipping point:

This is a great episode including a discussion of my new obsession Heated Rivalry 😉 love especially everything @stephruhle.bsky.social said was nodding fervently in agreement while whipping up a pot of turkey chili podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/p...

Wait, so we offered to “buy” Greenland or we simply take it if it’s not for sale?

I am not sure the Trump administration views an end to NATO, caused, say, by prospective efforts to seize Greenland, as a downside. Their many NATO-sceptical comments suggest they do not understand what the benefits of NATO to the US actually are. So challenge for allies is to break that down a bit.

Today I wrote about my daughter who is about to turn 18 and has been battling long covid since early last summer. I am sharing her story with her permission in the hope that it might lead us to finding better treatment options. Please read and share. Thank you. substack.com/home/post/p-...

there's too much to cover here. See this, which I promise is more than just a hot take hegemon.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

That's the plan. America gets Canada, Mexico and Central America. Russia gets Europe. China gets the Asian countries. This is the endgame.

Damn Putin must be jealous

I wrote some quick, initial thoughts about today’s “surprising” events in Venezuela. Plus shared three long-reads (gift articles) on the unravelling of U.S. support for Ukraine, the death sentence that is the Russian army, and the tangled web of Trump Inc.: open.substack.com/pub/tanjamai...

He will get away with it and international law is at this point irrelevant to the “great” powers minus the EU

do democratic transitions usually start with a kidnapping ursula

On October 26 I wrote what if and today it happened. I know nothing about Latin America but a lot about Russia. “I guess what I am trying to say is it wouldn’t surprise me at all if the Department of War actually tries to do something crazy down south.” open.substack.com/pub/tanjamai...

Mood

Trump's actions in Venezuela shows why it was wrong to dismiss his threats to Greenland. If he's willing to do this, he will be willing to do anything

America will wake up to this news, like a Hollywood movie. I would be nervous if I lived in Taiwan. Gloves appear to be off and now any country can be like Russia.

I can't believe the inaugural winner of the FIFA peace prize is doing this.

1/ A @nytimes.com investigation uncovers >6,000 confidential complaints showing how Putin’s war machine brutalizes its own soldiers. Commanders torture, extort, and “zero out” troops—killing them to hide corruption or punish dissent. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Trump’s Tangled Web of Deal-Making, Policy and Riches An illustrated guide of the first year of profiteering. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

It’s a story we have all seen play out in real time but the details are 👀 (gift article) www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Ich weiß es sind Feiertage und alle haben andere Dinge im Kopf aber was passiert jetzt eigentlich mit neuen ukrainischen Geflüchteten in Österreich ab den 8. Jänner? Just say "Austria's closed" honestly at least.

For my last post this year, I wrote about hope tanjamaier.substack.com/p/hope

This has been going on for years. I know men here who ran across the border just after the war started. Next problem is how to renew your passport but at least you are alive www.cnn.com/2025/12/23/e...

Foggy tanjamaier.substack.com/p/foggy

Доброго дня, Танечка. Вот фото продуктов с Хофера. Большое спасибо!❤️❤️❤️🤗 cards-for-ukraine.at/donate

Throughout the first year of Donald Trump’s second administration, Vanity Fair writer Chris Whipple has interviewed Susie Wiles, White House chief of staff, amid each moment of crisis. His insider’s account of Trump 2.0 joins the photography of Christopher Anderson for a portrait of power—and peril.

Looking for light tanjamaier.substack.com/p/looking-fo...

Jared Kushner’s Firm Pulls Out of Trump-Branded Hotel Deal in Serbia The announcement came just hours after prosecutors there charged four government officials with corruption in connection with the half-billion-dollar project. By Sharon LaFraniere and Lara Jakes www.nytimes.com/2025/12/15/u...

ukraine now has financing for years. because europe stepped up, not the united states. @gzeromedia.com

Another holiday, another deadline

Just going to leave this here www.politico.com/news/2025/12...

Bombs on train tracks. Arson attacks on malls. Poisoned water supplies. These are just some of the recently foiled plots in Russia’s growing campaign of aggression across Europe. What was once a mere nuisance has escalated into a serious threat. An #FTEdit 🧵 on the new era of Russian sabotage 👇

TOMORROW! Russia’s economy hit the brakes — is a full stop coming? Join Alexander Kolyandr and Alexandra Prokopenko for a live webinar followed by Q&A. Bring us your tough questions! Exclusively for our paid subscribers: first month now only $1, cancel anytime. pro.thebell.io/webinar_dece...

My inbox this evening. If you can afford to help out this holiday season, I assure you every €50 donated reaches a Ukrainian family in need = €50 of groceries they purchase themselves. Danke ❤️ cards-for-ukraine.at/donate

Ukraine’s public defenders do themselves no favors when they ignore this (gift article) www.nytimes.com/2025/12/05/w...

This week I wrote about darkness, but real and figurative tanjamaier.substack.com/p/darkness-3eb

We of course as a society have no other problems than home baked cookies (sarcasm) orf.at/stories/3412...

Татьяна здравствуйте! Спасибо Вам огромное за помощь 🥰 🙏 cards-for-ukraine.at/donate

Танечка, мои первые покупки. Очень Вам благодарна, здоровья, Вам, счастья женского и радости в жизни за Вашу доброту. cards-for-ukraine.at/donate

Tomorrow is giving Tuesday, and in that light I can assure you every €50 donated to Cards for Ukraine goes entirely into €50 of groceries families buy for themselves. @mariozechner.at and I cover the envelopes and stamps. Татьяна , добрый день!Спасибо Вам большое❤️ cards-for-ukraine.at/donate

A fascinating, around the world list of books if you, like me, tend to read more non-fiction than novels: www.foreignaffairs.com/lists/best-b...

Thoughts on 1st Advent tanjamaier.substack.com/p/thoughts-o...

Extraordinary WSJ reporting today that unveils the extent to which Trump, Witkoff, Kushner and US business executives are salivating over business deals with Russia while Putin’s forces kidnap Ukranian children and bomb civilians in their apartments. 🎁 www.wsj.com/world/russia...

This week, Alexander Kolyandr and Alexandra Prokopenko look at how the Kremlin may have the upper hand on the battlefield, but at home its top companies are struggling with the costs of the war. Free to read in The Bell's new Substack: thebellio.substack.com/p/wartime-de...

BREAKING: Zelensky’s Chief-of-Staff, Andrii Yermak, has just submitted his resignation “There will be a complete reboot of the Office of the President of Ukraine. Tomorrow I will hold consultations regarding the new Head of the Presidential Office,” Zelensky said.

The Bell is pleased to announce our second Webinar exclusively for our paid subscribers. Please join us on Dec 10. Live Q&A will follow! pro.thebell.io/webinar_dece....

This is getting more embarrassing by the minute

This is the best explainer I’ve heard yet on the corruption scandal within Ukraine: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

Is Europe really ok with Trump’s son in law with no official role being the peace whisperer in Moscow? It’s like a parallel universe which bypasses Ukraine’s neighbors and financiers completely.

The we made a peace deal but still some details to work out sounds to me like being a little bit pregnant.

Can’t make it up