Australia’s 2018/19 Budget anticipates $185.2bn revenue from increased cigarette excise but only $118.1bn generated as rest went to illicit cig trade @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @igas2.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @publichealthaus.bsky.social

Clive Bates anticipates what will happen at forthcoming Conference of Parties meeting Geneva 17-21 November re international tobacco control. Anti harm reduction zealots in control @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social @jgitchell.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=UJsY...

Read this out aloud at the COP11! "It’s groupthink in its purest form: consensus at any cost, dissent suppressed, alternatives dismissed. In this atmosphere, truth becomes secondary to institutional comfort." www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/post/groupth...

259 Tobacco & Vapes Wars Fire Bombings. Includes deaths, shootings, stabbings, innocent businesses and people destroyed, causing fear across Australia! The cause: Poor Health Policy Exciting The Black Market! Solution: Ban Poor Public Health Policies! www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/firebombings

Decline NZ smoking rates greatly accelerated after 2020 when Kiwis made safer nicotine vapes easier to get than deadly cigarettes. Kiwis have no vape black market which is huge in Australia @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

When government revenue/year from cigarette excise drops from $16 bn to $6 bn in 5 years but the health establishment Groupthink says excise rate can only be increased & can never be reduced @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social

$70 million (probably inflated) in a $5 billion market is a drop in se tobacco ocean

Australia has better chance of draining Pacific Ocean than draining ocean of illicit cigarettes, tobacco & vapes @paulbongiorno.bsky.social @johnquiggin.bsky.social @alankohler.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social @phaa-onehealth.bsky.social

@clivebates.bsky.social comments on bizarre theory of anti tobacco harm reduction activists that vaping is Gateway to smoking - well worth reading clivebates.com/papers-and-l... @chancethegardener.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social

Did you know smoking more than doubles risk of blindness & especially increases risk of a type of age-related macular degeneration? @jgitchell.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social @chancethegardener.bsky.social

Really? How can you consider vaping to be smoking in a different way when there’s no combustion, no smoke? When vape aerosol has 100-200 toxicants at low/trace concentration while cigarette smoke has 7,000 at high concentration including 70 carcinogens? @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Only 5 days till Australia next increases cigarette excise! Up another 5% on Monday 1 September! Organised crime can’t believe their luck! Low risk-high profit! @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social

Professor Simon Chapman in ‘Pearls & Irritations’ today disdains suggestions swingeing cigarette excise might have to be ⬇️. Now 39% of cigarettes in Australia are supplied by organised crime. At what point Simon should we reconsider? 49%? 59%? @drbfreeman.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Want to know what severe unintended -ve consequences of swingeing cigarette excise includes? Then read this @jamomartin.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @m1ngthemerciless.bsky.social www.theage.com.au/national/fro...

Especially as Australian Wastewater analysis results (just released) show recent increased levels, thereby supporting increasing illicit tobacco use &/or increased vaping (which is >90% illicit in Australia). No help for ex BUGAUP Mastermind @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Only 4 days now left till Australia’s next cigarette excise hike of 5% on Monday 1 September. Looking good for cigarette & tobacco black market! @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social

90% world’s vapes made China, 90% of these made Shenzhen, shipped to rest of world through neighbouring Hong Kong harbour. Vapes strictly banned HK so need special laws allow vapes transit HK. Cognitive Dissonance!!! @algore09algor.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Fri, Sat, Sun then Monday 1 September .. Australia gets new 5% increase in cigarette excise! Cig excise in Oz up 340% in 20 years! Big thank you to tobacco control from Organised Crime! Can pay off new Lamborghini by Xmas! Get some bling too! @jamomartin.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Although full benefit of falling smoking rates takes many years, within a few years of smoking rates starting to fall deaths from smoking related diseases start declining @edjegasothy.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Australian Tax Office estimates 1/5 tobacco sales now illegal, some experts warn Australia has adopted a “prohibition-style” approach to tobacco control doomed to fail & excise should be slashed to erode incentives for illegal trade @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...

Great new for Australian organised crime! Only tomorrow left to buy cigarettes before yet another 5% increase in cigarette excise starts on Monday 1 September. Already most expensive cigs in world! #auspol @jamomartin.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Great news for Australia’s organised crime because today last day before next 5% hike cigarette excise starts Mon 1 September. Great day for people selling bling, real estate & luxury cars. @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @algore09algor.bsky.social

Now inevitable Australian govt sooner or later have to cut cigarette tax to reduce organised crime. Black market cigs now low risk-high gain crime. Splurging $$s on law enforcement will only achieve square root SFA @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @m1ngthemerciless.bsky.social

Vapes & other low-risk, smoke-free ways of taking nicotine began a new era. But tobacco control, like many military leaders, continues to want to fight only using the weapons available at the last war. @jgitchell.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social

‘Australia’s tobacco industry has now reached a tipping point with illegal cigarette sales by the criminal underworld on the cusp of exceeding legal sales from our major supermarkets for the first time’ Sydney Morning Herald 9 August @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social

Great collection quotes Aust & NZ supporters nicotine vaping & other forms tobacco harm reduction. Clear lots of THR support among senior clinicians, academics & researchers even though ignored by MSM @jamomartin.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/post/colinme...

Of 1.2 bn people in world frequently taking nicotine, mainly by smoking, 8 million die/year from smoking. Conventional tobacco control only slightly reduced smoking. But smoking fell much faster in countries where low-risk, smoke-free vaping is popular. @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Melbourne Herald-Sun reports today ‘Tobacco tax up in flames’ with “$10 bn hole in budget as smokers favourite ‘black market’”. Cites independent economist Chris Richardson @jamomartin.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Before @who.int supported needle syringe programs to slow spread of HIV among/from people who inject drugs, they opposed them! WHO once again repeating its wrong headed opposition to harm reduction but this time over nicotine. Harm reduction works! @jamomartin.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Smokers switching from smoked to smoke-free nicotine are a policy win. So too are smokers switching from illegal unregulated to legal regulated cigarettes @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Prohibition DOES work as a political strategy. That’s why it’s usually sustained despite miserable track record as a policy. Good for careers @jamomartin.bsky.social @jgitchell.bsky.social @sanho.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @drbfreeman.bsky.social

3/3 @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @greencate.bsky.social @jeremybuckingham.bsky.social @fionapatten.bsky.social @drbfreeman.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @quentindempster.bsky.social @peterfitz1.bsky.social @aivl.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social

“We can now conclude that the strategy of taxing & banning nicotine addiction out of existence is a complete failure.” Alan Kohler, finance reporter at ABC #auspol @jimchalmers.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social

Good news for drug traffickers! Only 11 days till Australia’s next hike in cigarette excise! On 1 September 2025 another 5% increase! 340% increase in cig excise in last 20 years! @theofoukkare.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Surely smokers have a right to replace cigarettes with much less risky nicotine products which they pay for themselves just like any other member of community trying to avoid premature death or disease! @sanho.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social

Australian police treated badly over tobacco & vapes. 1st made responsible for futile task stop black market cigarettes & vapes. 2nd have to deal with homicides among criminals fighting to control lucrative illegal trade @jamomartin.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social

Only 10 days before Australia jacks up excise on cigarettes by yet another 5%! Will that increase revenue flowing to government? Of course not! It will just increase stampede of smokers fleeing legal supply to buy much cheaper illegal cigarettes! @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social

Increasing price of alcohol & tobacco generally very effective in suppressing consumption. But Australia seems to have pushed too far with sky high prices so consumers switched to cheaper black market. Govt needs ‘consent of governed’ @edjegasothy.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Australia warned to reduce cigarette excise & make safer, smoke-free vapes more available than deadly cigarettes @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @drbfreeman.bsky.social johnmenadue.com/post/2025/08...

All policies have winners & losers. Big winners in Australia’s cigarette excise & vape restriction policies: organised crime; tobacco control; political class. Losers: low-income people; disadvantaged; First Nations; all smokers; & taxpayers @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social

Bad news for anti tobacco harm reduction zealots. Rick Morton’s tenacity huge factor exposing Robodebt scandal. Other journalists more likely now to follow up & expose abject failure of Australia’s tobacco & vape policy! @paulbongiorno.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

Nothing to see here! Quick! Move along now! Hurry up! @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social

New Zealand and Sweden competing for the gold and silver medal for world’s best policy on tobacco harm reduction. Australia has much to learn from these countries. @jamomartin.bsky.social @edjegasothy.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social newsroom.co.nz/2025/07/01/l...

Weaponising cognitive dissonance. Anyone know why lived experience is considered a critical ingredient in every area of health policy development except for smoking & vaping? @aliveadvocacy.bsky.social @jamomartin.bsky.social @ianamossyd.bsky.social www.bmj.com/collections/...

O oh, the supressed @RoyMorganAus figures have jumped into the MSM! Oh no! Now everyone's going to see how big of a failure @Mark_Butler_MP 's vape crackdown is!😱 More facts & figures: www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/post/the-dat...

"I finally succeeded in quitting cigarettes in the space of three days by switching to vaping" www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/post/60yr-ol...

"Without All The Tar & Chemicals My Chest Is As Clear As A Non-Smoker" www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/post/without...

Butler's Legacy - His ridiculous polices on Tobacco & Vapes Need To Be Stopped To Stop The Destruction! www.youtube.com/watch?v=fG5t...

" it appears suspicious when a damning report suddenly disappears just as it begins gaining international traction and appears in press headlines around the world." www.aliveadvocacymovement.com/post/the-dat...