Huh, survey respondents differ from nonrespondents in unobservable and unpredictable ways.

Professors publicly shaming a phd student at another university is bullshit. Write to their advisor - even to their IRB if you think there's a real issue. Don't post about it on Bluesky (or write about it in your APSA presidential address, but that's another story).

post a perfect album from the 90s that isn't nirvana, pearl jam, soundgarden, or Alice In Chains. Abiding by the letter, if not the spirit, of the prompt.

Something is wrong. This analysis identifies the differential effect of having a boy vs. girl. There is no credible ID strategy for effect of having a boy AND effect of having a girl using biological randomness of gender.

Wow, this is how you do it. Does anyone read this and think any less of the original authors? Or does your esteem for them go up?

I want to give kudos to @dandekadt.bsky.social and @apsrjournal.bsky.social for doing the thing we always ask: publish critiques or replications; don’t give priority to published work just because it’s published; use editorial discretion; stick your neck out to criticize work you think is wrong.

🪃Do legislators trade proposals? ➡️Leveraging a lottery in the Canadian Parliament, @semrasevi.bsky.social & D.P. Green find little evidence MPs second motions to gain favor. Support seems driven by shared interests, not quid pro quo www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

Shocking refusal of an econ journal to correct (retract) a clearly flawed, misleading, and dishonest paper. Kudos to the replicators.

Zombie finding cited by Zephyr Teachout on @ezraklein.bsky.social pod www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/o.... Alas, that study did not hold up: "Remember that study saying America is an oligarchy? 3 rebuttals say it’s wrong." www.vox.com/2016/5/9/115...

Lots of angles to the Columbia story, but the fact a majority of the board are MBAs suggests businesspeople have no idea what a university is for.

News that Columbia is considering ceding to the Trump admin’s demands that it change how it regulate speech on campus and teaches students in order to continue to receive federal funds made me think of this passage from a speech that UChicago President William Rainey Harper gave in 1900

Honest question - opinion here seems to be Dems were wrong to pass the CR. What would be the goal of opposing? 1) Symbolic resistance is important even if it won no concessions. 2) Opposing would have gained concessions. 3) Opposing would have forced Rs into tactical blunders. Something else?

What are the chances Trump imposes the tariffs so he can talk about them tomorrow, then drops them Wednesday?

Agree 100% with this. The tea party movement was not led by Republican elected officials. Interest groups, candidates, and the grassroots (and astroturfed roots) created a resistance movement that changed the party.

GOAT

Raisin’ Cane sounds like a breakfast cereal.

Here’s a question - if the current admin cuts workforce but Congress doesn’t cut funding (a big if), will that extra funding just accrue to the next administration?

You don’t trade your 25-yo face if the franchise for an again star, making your team worse now and in the future. It’s an all-time bad trade. You’d rather tie your hopes to ‘mercurial’ star Kyrie Irving?

If anyone still thinks the election was about inflation, I don’t know what to tell em. Everything Trump ran on would only raise prices, and now he’s doing it.

Dallas: “Lukas out of shape, so he’s always getting injured.” *Trades for Anthony Davis, who’s older and always hurt*

And, as always, randomize.

If states can’t rescind their ratifications of amendments, we’re going to have a lot of fun at the upcoming constitutional convention.

Replacement of moderate with more extreme legislators, driven by Republicans & mostly on cultural issues, explains virtually all of recent partisan polarization in Congress; data from candidate surveys holding the policy agenda constant from 1996 to 2008. harris.uchicago.edu/sites/defaul...

Even with a mismatch James Franklin coaches a terrible game. Kaytron Allen was unstoppable but Penn State threw the ball most of the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

More surprising than Penn State getting SMU and Boise in the first two rounds are that they play Florida State in the semis and, if they make the final, the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

There are so many fewer roll call votes than decades ago - and on different types of questions - that I really wonder what we can make out of contemporary nominate scores.

I'm not an experimentalist, but this does seem to highlight concerns with the publication standards of those methods. preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...

The Hunter Biden pardon is really going to hurt Joe’s chances of being the nominee in 2028.

The idea behind the main comparison is so simple I can't believe no one has done it before. (I mean this as high praise!)

I'd love to cite an academic article on this point - about differential expressive responding. Has anyone studied it? Should be easy to demonstrate across a range of surveys.

UChicago Harris School of Public Policy is searching for development economists at the Associate and Full level. We are open to untenured faculty ready or near ready for promotion too. More info and apply here: apply.interfolio.com/158745 EOE/Vet/Disability

Next to withdraw - Tulsi Gabbard.

MPSA is pleased to announce the selection of the new editorial team of its flagship journal, the American Journal of Political Science @ajpseditor.bsky.social. Dr. Dan Reiter (Emory University) and Dr. Adam Berinsky (MIT) will serve as co-editors-in-chief. Read the announcement: ow.ly/ihBk50U9hxk

1/3 of the global decline in total fertility rate (TFR) between 1950-2019 did not change the effective fertility rate (EFR), suggesting that a substantial portion of fertility decline merely compensated for higher survival rates. Long-term EFRs remained quite stable. www.nber.org/papers/w33175

One of the best things about the Bluesky of one month ago was that you could generally browse without worrying about sports spoilers. No more.

📢 It’s PhD application season. Pls consider the PhD Program in Political Economy @ UChicago - Accelerated training in formal theory & statistical methods + deep engagement with political science - 27 program faculty in Political Science and Harris School - Strong financial support - Amazing peers

One irony of the Biden administration is that it is perhaps the most competent inside-the-beltway administration in a while (my lifetime?), but with absolutely no ability to appeal to voters.

Glad to see Alessandra Casella here on BlueSky!

Do you see the problem with this NC amendment?

This is how a true scientist responds to a comment paper that is upheld. This is what integrity and scientific ethics look like.

The Harris School is searching for an Assistant Professor in Political Science / Political Economy. Here is the job posting: apply.interfolio.com/153698 Feel free to reach out with questions! EOE/Vet/Disability

Ffs.

Can anyone compare these age by gender results to 2020 or 2016? My googling finds lots of cross tabs by age / race, but nothing age by gender. I wonder if there’s been a change in the youth gender gap over time, and, if so, whether it’s driven by men or women changing their votes.

Kid Rock. Melania. Mike Pence. Mr. Beast. Dril. Guy Fieri. @soashworth.bsky.social

The best argument for the EC is that it disincentivizes ballot harvesting in lopsided states. Imagine giving election administrators in the least competitive places a reason to stuff ballot boxes. Competitive states should be more likely to have checks and balances over election administration.

The paper is underpowered, as state-level policy rollouts are. And states did not allow gambling randomly. One argument for it was to plug fiscal gaps. States with fiscal gaps surely were on non-parallel trends, based on underlying economic fundamentals, with states that did not legalize gambling.

Dems didn't do this kind of work in 2020 due to the pandemic (Republicans kept door-knocking; Dems didn't, AFAIK). If you believe the literature on GOTV, that should be worth a couple points.