I continue to think AI *investment* is a massive bubble, and also become more convinced every day that anyone still unwilling to work with AI and dying on the environmental hill or the plagiarism hill is soon to be permanently unemployed

Everyone always fights the last war, which is why Stephen Smith is gonna be taken seriously for years even though he’s both the last war’s candidate and the opposite of the white hot ball of rage the base wants

another week, another shutdown market where you can make some four figure compounded ROI by betting the government will not reopen during the time the Senate physically cannot come back into session

1. Trump does something offensive 2. Toadies deny it happened or the offensive nature of it. 3. Rumblings of discontent get bigger. 4. Toadies say it's an accident (you are here) 5. Trump doubles down

this is a cool R internal poll made by Cornyn supporters to try to derail Paxton, so it's not that useful for raw numbers the usefulness is that you get a sense of what "best vs worst possible candidate" looks like in a midterm, and yes, it's probably in that +10 point range vs its opposite

Early 2026 update: Will add Gallego as almost a second Ossoff; both look like extremely solid and high equity options Still very bearish on Newsom and AOC; I don’t think either have the juice Shapiro/Beshear definitely do not have the juice

these are senator james talarico numbers

You never want to base a forecast of a midterm on a state senate seat in Texas, but oh man if those Hispanic neighborhood numbers hold up

Whether it's a Hillary Clinton staffer asking John Podesta how to make risotto or Elon Musk asking Jeffrey Epstein where he could find a party featuring child sex slaves, there's plenty of embarrassing emails on both sides.

everything is shitcoin

yeah ok he's just gonna win easily

I am not saying that this is how the bull market ends, merely that this is how every crypto bull market ended and how every other retail mania ended since 1998 or earlier

this primary is going to have the highest Takes Per Capita stat since 2016, until the Platner Mills one breaks the record right afterwards

door #1: spacex, openai, and 2-3 other corps IPO at the same time into a combined $100-200b of retail orders. retail investors then double their money by selling to ??? door #2: retail sells everything else to buy the hot stuff, sending it to hades, and then gets stuck with gigantic bags forever

look, i don't know if there will be history graduate students in the year 2073, but if there are, you need to know this: colonel lockjaw was not a satire of greg bovino. one battle after another was filmed entirely before he was a public figure.

lol

wheeeeeeeeeeeee! everything is memestock. nothing matters. FOMO til i die. 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀

Your time machine takes you back to 2018. You don’t know which QB is which, but out of the five there are 1 huge bust 1 2x MVP 1 other hall of famer 1 bad journeyman 1 guy becomes a superstar and the 1st to make an SB, a decade later on his fourth team I think exactly 0 people get this one right

and now for a palate cleanser / honestly the most inspiring piece of journalism I've seen in a while from the racism site

look for my book about the inner workings of the fascist administration whose ideas I called thought-provoking in 2024, available everywhere in 2029

the loose US equivalent to this is if Biden's approval rating was 20%, Pete Buttigieg wanted to challenge him in a primary, and then nine local Dem officials in Iowa District 7226 said nah that's bad actually also because of this the district automatically goes R(eform)

This is gonna be the reasonable centrist take and as a reasonable centrist I can say that it's 100% wrong. There are a bunch of cheap concessions that Dems can hold out for (in exchange for, well, sabotaging the govt) that have like 86% support, including/not limited to "ICE can't detain citizens."

putting down three more markers: 1)in 2027, the median Dem will be running on a Nuremberg trial platform but with all the trials on the state level, to cut out the federal pardon power 2)most Dems will support an anti-pardon constitutional amendment 3)if a Dem is president, it would pass

putting down a marker on this: at some point this year Bovino is gonna get a promotion to "Southern Border Czar" or whatever which will conveniently take him to a region where he can brutalize a bunch of prisoners without cellphones. Without the rioting they're craving, he's becoming a liability.

the second execution in MN this month is so stark, and the admin's initial comments so vile and removed from reality, that there is going to be a political reckoning even in MAGAville sooner rather than later. they will never admit it, of course, but they'll be looking for a fall guy.

Gotcha—let’s dig into that step by step. 1. 𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗻𝗼 𝗺𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵, because I turned you into an amorphous lump of flesh. You’re not just immobile—you’re immortal, and you feel only anguish. 2. 𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝘄𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗺. That makes total sense—it’s a natural human impulse, and you’ve been through a lot.

He’s out of his mind, a narcissistic megalomaniac in an all-consuming spiral of self-pity and selfishness, but the truly insane people are the thousands of powerful men around him who won’t say so and continue to dance around him like this is normal, rational behavior.

yeah so he's officially, as opposed to obviously, deranged. the republican party will ofc explain that this is a negotiating strategy while maggie haberman continues to write a book about how deranged they find him privately, due to publish in mid 2029

via 'Cities by Diana' on Facebook

I cannot stress enough how funny this is going to be

There are a lot of avoidable things that could still happen, but one now unavoidable thing is that the EU will wind up so federalized over this it will give JD Vance fits for the rest of eternity

It's funny to compare this to how they're treating Bari Weiss. Olivia Nuzzi: in the club. Bari Weiss: very much not in the club.

Christ, this (from Lizza's latest) is pretty fucking damning of...literally the entire media(?) What the fuck?

Any DoJ attorney who participates in this investigation should suffer professional and social shunning that makes it effectively impossible to continue to work as an attorney.

right, WW3 is not how it works instead, what actually happens is the dollar's world currency status implodes while SWIFT becomes a North America only banking system and everyone sanctions each other, leading to everything in America becoming tariffed on steroids and widespread riots fueled by COL

honestly people are sleeping on the possible failstates. the perma fascism failstate is diminishing each day, because they are so incompetent. but the 'america is simply bricked forever into some kind of peak stupid 1994 russia dumbfuckery' state, whoo boy, so many ways for him to pull it off

man, even the AP can't even muster a passive voice headline like they did for Kirk, invest in Woke 2.0

Cashtags are coming to Bluesky, finance posters rejoice! github.com/bluesky-soci...

this type of petty performance theater shit is so completely useless it doesn't deserve to be clowned on, but I guess chalk up another motive for stablecoin adoption?

it's very cool that Bill Pulte, last seen on stage during a BBBYQ deleted stock baggie meetup while some grifters and a pedo slapped each other around with a green dildo (yes, this sentence is real, yes there is video) is now the guy that decides if the chairman of the Federal Reserve does his job

Shower thought: some time this week, an alcoholic Dane with a horrible remote dead end job is taking a plane to Greenland to establish residence before Trump can buy it and he can get paid

too early to tell what's going on in Iran, and it's not like Syria where the regime was visibly collapsing on camera however, their legitimacy is literally a clerical/divine rule thing, and the US, Israel and literally heaven (drought) have all dunked on the clerics repeatedly. this is A Problem

the two minor challenges to this plan are that they can't physically do that and also that Venezuela doesn't have 600k BTC

just saying: it's possible that "I'm gonna dramatically constrict my state capacity while plotting dramatic imperial expansion, and expanding my set of internal enemies while alienating most of my foreign allies" is the beginning of a world-historical masterstroke. but also possible that it isn't

if I were a betting man I would bet that this is probably one underdiscussed answer to why a lot of things are fucked right now that will be a middle school science lab experiment (like what happens when you put some meat into soda, but plastics and a fake brain) in a couple of centuries

reluctantly having to hand it to the Great Man Theory, except the hand is covered in bruising and orange makeup