I use data from the World Values Survey to look at the connection between religiosity and sexual/reproductive morals both between and within countries. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

🔪"LLMs are merely lucid storytellers, inventing explanations on demand... The human mind is no different... Introspection, then, is an illusion... we have no inner life (beyond the flow of conscious experience) to probe" archive.ph/FyrF4

Here's my attempt to convince @lfitouchi.bsky.social, @jbaptistandre.bsky.social, Nicolas Baumard, et al. that the self-control and cooperation-centered account neglects the core of conflicting sexual/reproductive strategies and modern religiosity: open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

I look at the big drop in young adult religiosity and how it relates to their lifestyles, how various moral domains relate to religiosity, and what this implies for recent evolutionary discussions (including recent perspectives from Fitouchi, Andre, and Baumard). open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

I use NSGF data on women’s first marriages to investigate predictors of whether the relationships are still intact down the road. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Reconciling the Sex Recession Debate: Detection, Measurement, and Mechanism: https://osf.io/jcdbm

A big-picture look at large-scale fertility patterns across U.S. cohorts, current trends, and drivers of individual differences. chartyarps.substack.com/p/the-basics...

This week we talk to Dan Williams about belief. Is it veridical or social or both or neither? youtu.be/vBzPtPNbcz8 www.podbean.com/ew/pb-ehzhx-... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...

I look at how recent trends in fertility relate to shifts in education and marriage at different ages. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Extreme views are heavily over-represented on social media Social platforms’ tendency to reward hostile content creates incentives that systematically reward simplistic messages and extreme positions and this fuels populism www.ft.com/content/9251... via @jburnmurdoch.ft.com

I don't know who produced this or what model they used, but this is an unsettlingly good AI summary of my book. It's not perfect, but it's hard to imagine that many human undergrads could do a better job. www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DBu...

🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available! Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/... Or easy interactive analysis of the data on... vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/ demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/

Thoughts on why some claim God’s authority while others deny the existence of Big Gods. chartyarps.substack.com/p/some-strat...

An estimate of both levels and distributions of surviving offspring over time. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Do you use our NPORS survey to weigh your data? Our 2025 numbers are out now. www.pewresearch.org/...

A look at both levels and distributions of fertility over time. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Nicolas Baumard & Jean-Baptiste Andre’s “ecological view of culture” provides an exciting new perspective that links Behavioral Ecology, Evolutionary Psychology, & Cultural Evolution. Read more in their HBES blog post: www.hbes.com/reconciling-...

I discuss the most impactful frequently measured demographics driving the 2024 presidential electorate. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

AP VoteCast, Cooperative Election Studies, and Edison exit polls each has a dramatically different take on what happened with young White men in 2024. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

I combined the 2024 AP VoteCast and Cooperative Election Study samples to look at the role of various demographic gaps. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

NEW - Does Reason-Giving Affect Political Attitudes? - cup.org/4lMuN1x "I find that reason-giving has very limited effects on the constraint, stability, or polarization of the public’s political attitudes" - Jack Blumenau #OpenAccess

Excited to share a new Pew Research Center report I led on "religious switching" in 36 countries around the world! pewrsr.ch/4hK1ucL A few key takeaways below! 👇 1/n

Here's my attempt to fit CES/ANES/GSS data regarding turnout patterns onto the known popular vote in recent presidential elections. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

NEW: The third-ever Religious Landscape Study, the single largest survey done by Pew Research Center (n=36,908) Survey provides detailed information about the religious composition of the United States at the national, state and metro level. Dive in:

Our research on Need for Chaos was focused on how some voters wanted to watch the world burn: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain

The highest-impact demographic splits in the 2024 ANES pre-election data: race, religion, sexual orientation, education, guns, and church. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Every time I see this I wonder why most all the writing I see is on the unique politics and circumstance of young men and not on what's going on for young women. The variation is so much more interesting to explain!

Taking a look at the new ANES data. chartyarps.substack.com/p/a-prelimin...

Splitting the 2020 presidential electorate into 81 demographic groups, and putting them on a single chart. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

In getting ready to digest new data on the 2024 election, I take a look at the major ways in which the demographics of presidential voting have changed since the mid-20th century. chartyarps.substack.com/p/75-years-o...

In this one, I look at how info at age 21 predicts number of children at age 39 for typical college-educated women in the NYLSY97 sample. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Some early thoughts on integrating lessons from neural networks into evolutionary psychology. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

According to the 2023 PRRI Census of American Religion, while majorities of both major political parties identify as Christian, seven in ten Republicans (70%) identify as white and Christian, compared with just 24% of Democrats. Learn more: www.prri.org/research/cen...

An explosion in non-hetero orientations. Women reporting less church attendance and more sex partners than men. A stunning decline in wanting to have children. If the new NSFG data pan out, there's some really funky stuff going on with the kids. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Another look at the contrast in religiosity between sociosexually restricted and high fertility vs. unrestricted and low-fertility patterns -- with recently updated NSFG data. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

By their early 20s, Millennials were attending religious services only about half as frequently as their parents. In thinking about individual differences in adult religiosity, citing parental inheritance isn’t enough. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

states rights unless its parents rights unless the parents are wrong in which case its states rights unless the state is wrong in which case its federal rights unless the feds are democrats in which case its parents rights unless the parents are wrong in which case

% of Republican voters who say the recent election was run very or somewhat well November 2020: 21% November 2024: 93% www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...

In debates about misinformation, an argument from one side (me including) has been that misinformed beliefs may often serve purely symbolic functions. A new paper now shows that such purely symbolic beliefs do indeed exist: osf.io/preprints/ps... Hattip to @stefanschubert.bsky.social

Which Gen Zers are more and less likely to identify and be actively involved with a religion? open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Young women have become less religious than young men, and it's in part driven by changes in sexual patterns. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

A look at how demographic groups have changed issue positions to reach our current liberal-conservative alignment. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

My initial look at the exit polls open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

I take a shot at forming a single yes/no question that best predicts party votes while (1) only referencing basic demographic info and (2) being no more than 50 words. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

In the mid-20th century, the least educated White men tended to favor Democrats and the most educated White women tended to favor Republicans. How times have changed. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

Presidential elections still pit right against left, but the Trump elections have moved economic issues to back-burner while increasing the salience of issues relating to group-based discrimination, which increases education-based divides between the parties. chartyarps.substack.com/p/changes-in...

I review the fundamentals on how items like race, gender, and education relate to current U.S. politics - with lots of charts! open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

More on my attempts to parse and understand the diverse outcomes for women in the NLSY97: open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

More from my look at the sexual and reproductive life-history patterns of early Millennial U.S. women. And I start to get into the fast/slow and cad/dad trade-offs that help make sense of the clusters. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...

On my (all free) Substack, I'm starting to discuss what I'm finding when looking at early Millennial U.S. women's relationship and childbearing patterns. It's essentially a life-history typology based on NLSY97 data. open.substack.com/pub/chartyar...