new paper by Sean Westwood: With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research

The rise of stratification research in sociology, economics, and political science. My new blog. With a conclusion that European universities should rather sponsor inequality centers than to dismantle them. @eui-eu.bsky.social @eui-sps.bsky.social hermwerf.substack.com/p/the-rise-o...

New article in @sfjournal.bsky.social with @mvaldes1989.bsky.social and I. Lievore on the effect of edu expansion among parents on children's achievement Do university-educated families lose their edge as education expands among parents? Short answer: yes 1/2 academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...

I personally think this is a "harder problem" than we care to admit. So, are you a (social) scientist struggling with this situation? A break between what you _want_ to study (a causal process) and what you feel you _can_ credibly study (a correlation)? Here are some readings that might help. 👇

I'm facilitating a causal inference reading group next semester for Sociology PhD students. (I will also be learning!) If there are (1) pedagogical articles or (2) empirical examples in soc that you ❤️, will you share in the comments? [And please RT to help me crowd-source!]

Billions of regressions ≠ robustness. My new PNAS Letter shows how unjustified models can drown out justified ones — and why thoughtful model selection matters👇 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

ゆうちょ財団発刊の『季刊 個人金融』に「職業とタスクからみる仕事内容のジェンダー格差」という題の小文を寄稿しました。国勢調査、job tag、PIAACのデータなどをもとに、日本における仕事の測定、その分布の男女差、および賃金格差への帰結についてまとめています。 yu-cho-f.jp/research/pub...

Multiverse studies seem doomed to perpetuate a cycle of "look it varies!" "but not that much" "does too!". Here's another exchange that I had missed. "Robustness is better assessed with a few thoughtful models than with billions of regressions" doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

Is childhood exposure to local wealth inequality associated with upward income mobility achieved in adulthood? Yes! Check out my new paper, just published in @natureportfolio.nature.com here: doi.org/10.1038/s414... #EconSky #Sociology #Demography

“Cumulative Effect of Retirement on Mortality” examines Social Sec. eligibility & mortality. @furuyashiro.bsky.social finds that each additional year retired ↑ mortality risk w/in the next 2 yrs by 0.9 pp. @harvardpopcenter.bsky.social @purduesociology.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

2023年度より進めている社会調査データの統合プロジェクトの作業手順やその過程で得られた示唆等について記した報告書論文が公開されました。ご関心ある方はご覧ください。 csrda.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/RPS096.pdf

NEW: Anderson, "An Unreliable Ladder: Top–Bottom Self-Placement, Subjective Social Status, and Political Preferences sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

先日出版された論文 academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a... のプレスリリースを出してもらいました。 交際相手がいないと「子どもが欲しい」が不確実に　恋愛関係が出生願望に与える影響をパネルデータで実証 www.univ.gakushuin.ac.jp/about/press/... This is a joint work with @ryomogi.bsky.social @alyceraybould.bsky.social

NEW:Fabian Kratz, "Rising Educational Divides in Attitudes: How Polarization across Cohorts Can Mask Age-Related Polarization." sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

Say you’ve got very good causal IDENTIFICATION. Can you say you have causality, can make a causal general claim, and can say what “THE causal effect” is? NO We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference. www.degruyter.com/document/doi...

“Female Advantages in Education & Union Formation”: @danielaurbinaj.bsky.social uses DHS & Colombia census data to assess changes in union entry & assortative mating in a middle-income setting where women are, overall, better educated. @uscsociology.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

Using the longitudinal survey of youth and middle-age individuals, we showed that those without a romantic (non-cohabiting) partner tend to revise their fertility desires from positive to negative or uncertain direction. academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...

Occupational Earning Potential has landed in @europeansocreview.bsky.social Implementable in R (digclass) and Stata (crosswalk), our linear OEP scale measures the median earnings of ISCO occupations and expresses them as percentiles of the earnings distribution academic.oup.com/esr/advance-...

#shiny #RStudio #openscience #metascience @die-bonn.de @oecd-ocde.bsky.social @gesis.org Workflow: github.com/nbreznau/PIA... 🧪

There you go the materials are now on my website. Updated version contains a tiny disclaimer that you should only polynomial safely, if at all. juliarohrer.com/resources/

I got an exciting box in the mail today! Looks like The Effect: Second Edition is live! I've updated the website as well, so you can check out the changes and the new Partial Identification chapter (+ a new mini-chapter on finding material in the book) at theeffectbook.net

{tinytable} is a dead simple, ultra-flexible, and dependency-free #Rstats 📦 to turn data frames into beautiful tables: html, word, pdf, latex, typst, markdown, etc. v0.10.0 has cool new features and important bug fixes. Check out the detailed tutorials at: vincentarelbundock.github.io/tinytable/

Thank you, Herman. It was fun to put it together and I find the contributions impressive. The last few will be coming online shortly and then the full special issue will be out soon. Complete line-up below, quick summaries here: doi.org/10.1177/0049...

This paper, published in Research in Higher Education, examines how gendered expectations and stereotypes contribute to persistent gender disparities in selective college applications in Japan. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

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Interesting paper on effect of interviewer gender on gender gap in reported housework. "women tend to report significantly more hours of housework when interviewed by a woman rather than by a man" link.springer.com/article/10.1...

🚨 Are young women becoming more left-wing & young men more right-wing? We analyzed 32 European countries (1990–2023). 📊 Some show growing gaps—others don’t. 📊 Gaps tend to be bigger where gender equality is higher. w/ @hudde.bsky.social 👉 doi.org/10.1093/esr/...

"Simpson's gender-equality paradox" surely deserve some award for best title 👑 The gender-equality paradox seems really central to some narrative people have constructed (and successfully sold). I absolutely wouldn't be surprised if it turned out 100% confounding.> www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Re-upping my advice about how to write a good title and abstract for an academic paper, appropriately called: "How to Write a Title and Abstract" Feel free to share this thread, which will focus on titles. #EconSky #AcademicSky

🧠🎓 Signal or substance? What do employers really see in a university degree? Our new paper in @europeansocreview.bsky.social dives into “sheepskin effects” using a factorial survey experiment. With @jpheisig.bsky.social & @thijsbol.bsky.social. academic.oup.com/esr/advance-...

Firm wage premiums play a key role in intergenerational pay inequality, shaping access to high- vs low-paying firms. As advantaged workers sort into top firms, wage premiums become a key engine of earnings persistence. By @pengzell.bsky.social, @natewilmers.bsky.social. Read more: bit.ly/43vcdnq

The second edition of The Effect has been delayed a bit... because there were so many orders they had to switch to a bigger print run! Thank you everyone for your support, and check out the second edition here: www.routledge.com/The-Effect-A...

Attn: the special issue of SMR on Generative AI in Sociology is now online. The whole issue is fire, but the introduction by @thomasdavidson.bsky.social and Danny Karell is a must read, covering prompting, measurement, and simulations. It's a road map for soc sci research in the genAI era. +

What we know and do not know about social mobility https://osf.io/uznr6 This chapter provides a comprehensive overview of the field of social mobility research, examining both class/occupational mobility and income mobility. It traces the historical development of sociological and econom #sociology

#readlater Punishing “gender deviants”? Women born in the year of the white horse and college selectivity www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Excellent review on educational inequality in Japan. Araki, S. (2025), Education and Multidimensional Inequalities in Contemporary Japan and Beyond: A Call for Longitudinal and Comparative Studies. Sociology Compass, 19: e70072. doi.org/10.1111/soc4...

🚨 “Good Description” with @annagbusse.bsky.social 🚨 What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description? We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers. Two main contributions... 🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc

Thanks to everybody who chimed in! I arrived at the conclusion that (1) there's a lot of interesting stuff about interactions and (2) the figure I was looking for does not exist. So, I made it myself! Here's a simple illustration of how to control for confounding in interactions:>

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まったく網羅性を意識せずに独断にもとづいて、一年生向け授業で使えそうな新書のリストをメモとして残しておいた。今後も不定期更新。 ryotamugiyama.com/lecture/shin...

Let’s say you have very low sample response rate (recruit tens of millions and only tens of thousands self select into sample). Then you have a RCT where there is clean random assignment of treatment. Does the first stage sample selection bias your estimate of causal effect of treatment?

I came back to Tokyo from DC after 13.5 hours flight. Then I have a meeting and teaching tomorrow morning…

Study by @ryotamugiyama.bsky.social shows that increased employment instability contributes to cross-cohort delays in first marriage and first birth for men in Japan, highlighting the key role of labor market changes in postponing family formation. www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...

job tagに「社会学研究者」が登場している。「社会の仕組みやさまざまな現象、動向について、人間が行う社会的な行為と関連付けて、実地調査や資料・データの分析等を通じて研究する」仕事とのこと。 shigoto.mhlw.go.jp/User/Occupat...

今年度ゼミの購読文献をようやく決めた。今年は英語論文でも行けるかどうかトライしてみる。 ryotamugiyama.com/lecture/GU-s...

In related news, maybe you should stop directly messing around with coefficients in the first place! Just talked to a student who was told by their advisor that they should use a continuous scale for a categorical thing because otherwise “the analyses get too complicated.”>

My sleep time is almost close to the French average (longest), too much longer than the Japanese average (shortest)...

Excited to have my research on Japan's glacial gender revolution out. University-educated couples led modest shifts toward more equitable housework sharing, but overall traditional patterns persist in Japan between 1991 and 2016. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

3/21（金）12:30より、東大社研CSRDAにて私が企画している課題公募型二次分析研究会の成果報告会があります。国内の8種類／36回分の社会調査をハーモナイズした最大13万名弱からなるデータを構築して、不平等に関する問いの地平を広げることを目指しています。ご関心ある方はご参加ご検討下さい。 csrda.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/quantitative...

#readlater Hara, Yuko and Wei-hsin Yu. 2025. "Mate preferences and marriage-related behaviors: The case of Japan." Journal of Marriage and Family. Early view. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....