While foreign aid has previously helped prevent famine caused by drought (in 2016/17 & 2022/23, after arriving too late in 2011, w/ famine killing nearly 260,000, "U.S. aid cuts have made famine this time round both more likely and easier to hide" #Somalia www.crisisgroup.org/anb/africa/s...

Haven't we been there before? "the ​number of people receiving emergency food aid in #Syria fell to 650,000 ​in May from 1.3 million [...] Meanwhile, 7.2 million people in Syria remain acutely ​food insecure, including 1.6 million facing severe hunger" www.reuters.com/world/un-foo...

"The abrupt withdrawal of #USAID led to a significant and sustained increase in conflict across #Africa’s most USAID-dependent regions. ... The mitigating role of inclusive institutions highlights the persistent vulnerability of regions with weak governance" 👇 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

"Indigenous organizations from across the Amazon and Latin America" warn that "the expansion of organized crime is undermining Indigenous governance systems and threatening communities that have long acted as stewards of some of the world’s most biodiverse ecosystems" 👇 apnews.com/article/amaz...

"The agricultural system is absorbing the Middle East crisis across its entire supply chain simultaneously through increased input costs, market volatility, and trade disruption. ... This is no longer a sequence of separate crises. It is the convergence of conflict and climate risk" 👇

"the efforts of Europe’s politicians to protect consumers from higher energy prices show they have learned little from the past [...] price caps exacerbate the problems, because they subsidise demand" 👇 www.economist.com/europe/2026/...

Very detailed article on US decision-making on #Iran👇Essentially, everyone in the war cabinet (save Hegseth) thought this would not add up, and they (Vance in particular) want the NYT / world to know. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/u...

"Oil and gas built the Gulf economies, but desalinated seawater sustains the populations that inhabit them." @ashoswai.bsky.social 👇 on the asymmetry of technologically advanced but hydrologically fragile #Gulf societies & the worrying erosion of norms of international humanitarian law wrt/ #water

The real, lasting effect of the 2021-22 fossil fuel crisis was a major acceleration in solar that pushed coal down *faster* than the pre-crisis trendline in the following years.

Time required for a 1C increase in global average temperature 1970 - 2008 average rise 0.18C per decade = 55 years 2015 - 2024 average rise 0.27C pd = 37 years New study - last 10+ years - average rise 0.35 pd = 28 years www.theguardian.com/environment/...

"While the world’s attention is drawn to Iran after the US and Israel’s attack, on the heels of other armed conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, the primary threat to many countries is the climate crisis, said Regenvanu", noting 1 cyclone wiped out 64% of Vanuatu’s GDP www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

ICYMI: @egmontinstitute.bsky.social's Sven Biscop 👇 on the geopolitics of #Russia's war against #Ukraine and what this means for #Europe www.egmontinstitute.be/a-european-w...

Worth your time 👇 TL;DR: the view that Khamenei's reign was disastrous for the system is widespread among its remnants & regime change is already a reality, but the question is how, given sense of existential threat; "they don't know how to get out of the corner without fighting their way out" (1/2)

This year, "Ukraine and the EU tabled a much shorter text. The U.S. pitched an unsuccessful last-minute proposal to delete two paragraphs affirming Ukraine’s sovereign rights, which only eleven countries – including Russia – backed." 👇

Great overview on the state of EU climate policy 👇 Tl;dr: "Despite the shifting political landscape, the EU has demonstrated its ability to act. But: major concessions on review clauses, flexibilities & conditions have increased policy uncertainty - posing new risks to policy instruments"

As #MSC2026 kicks off, worth revisiting this assessment 👇 "Cascading risks of ecosystem degradation are likely to include geopolitical instability, economic insecurity, conflict, migration and increased inter-state competition for resources" Nature loss undermines security far beyond the UK 1/5

The @economist.com realigns politically with Nina Simone (the United Snakes of America) 👇

US opposes mentioning rule of law in the #UNSC: " #Somalia circulated a draft presidential statement on the rule of law on 17 January. ... the draft was withdrawn on 22 January. It appears that the #US indicated that it was opposed to the text" 👇 www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/...

"Even before ICE cut its training schedule to just 47 days last year — a length, remember absurdly chosen to honor Donald Trump as the 47th president — ICE’s “1801” deportation officers were among the least educated and least trained federal law enforcement in the country" 👇

NEW | Wind and solar generated more power than fossil fuels in the EU for the FIRST time ever. 🌪️ and ☀️ made up a RECORD 30% of 🇪🇺 electricity, up from 20% just five years ago. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/european-electricity-review-2026/

A milestone we didn't want to see - Russia has made one trillion euros on fossil fuel exports since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. All the more reason to shift away from dependence on dirty energy and to strengthen sanctions on Russia.

"Trump’s express revisionism is more dangerous than his predecessor’s familiar hypocrisy. For all the double standards, the core tenets of the post-World War II legal order need U.S. buy-in": a peek at what spheres-of-influence politics entails across various fragile contexts 👇

"edited for length and clarity" 👇 & very well so, from the headline to the conclusion that what’s troubling "is not just that the President has used force in clear violation of domestic law and international law but that it’s clear he couldn’t care less about the fact that he’s breaking these rules"

This piece by @attackerman.bsky.social on both past & contemporary censorship is very much worth your time, whether in 2025 or next year

"A lot of people who are worried about democracy in America want to relax the constraints on military subordination. [...] [but] the military can’t save us from the civilians we elect" Very interesting points from @kschake.bsky.social on civ-mil relations 👇, and it comes w/ some silver lining...

"The empowerment of Smotrich, an energetic settler leader and a proponent of annexation, as both finance minister and de facto West Bank governor has allowed him to advance far-reaching institutional changes. ... To have any real [...] impact, foreign governments will have to be much bolder." 👇

On the weaponization of energy and information👇 "The EU and its Member States should counter Russian energy-related disinformation with a dedicated, coordinated approach. ... Member States should break decisively with Russian fossil exports and communicate this shift through a positive narrative"

Since everyone is asking for "data-driven analysis", @data.ft.com went all in 😉 👇

"the preliminary damage and economic loss estimate for the hurricane is $48 to 52 billion" in #Jamaica On a nominal GDP of some 20 billion. www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane...

This is about long-term sea leve lrise, but "highly likely", "committed" & "more than 3m" are all grim news 👇 As per the summary: "Immediate and sustained climate change mitigation (decarbonization) offers the best hope of delaying this ice loss" &avoiding initiating sth similar in East Antarctica

The Weathering Risk Peace Pillar session at #BCSC2025 is HAPPENING NOW. Session info: berlin-climate-security-conference.de/en/weatherin... 📹 WATCH LIVE: adelph.it/BCSC25Livestream

Opening the #BCSC2025 panel "Bridging the Gap: Innovative climate finance for fragile states", Almut Wieland-Karimi emphasizes that the countries least responsible for climate change are the most vulnerable & receive the least money. We need to make finance fit the context, not the other way around

UP NEXT at #BCSC2025 Don’t miss our next plenary session - “Bridging the gap: Innovative climate finance for fragile states”, feat. speakers from @greenclimate.fund & more. Session info - berlin-climate-security-conference.de/en/bridging-... 📹 WATCH LIVE: adelph.it/BCSC25Livestream

German @diplo.de State Secretary von Geyr kicks off #BCSC2025, underlining that climate change negatively affects all three core German interests: security, freedom, and prosperity - meaning that the Climate, Peace and Security nexus will become more important & Germany will invest in addressing it

📣 Germany's close to reversing its opposition to mass surveillance & private message scanning, & backing the Chat Control bill. This could end private comms-& Signal-in the EU. Time's short and they're counting on obscurity: please let German politicians know how horrifying their reversal would be.

Today, the annual #UNSC debate on #WPS takes place, against a backdrop of violence against children & women in armed conflicts surging. It quadrupled btw 2023-2024 compared w/ 2021-2022, with 80% of child deaths & 70% of women's deaths recorded in #Gaza alone 👇 www.ohchr.org/en/press-rel...

Holy smoke. This is something else: www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o.... If you read anything today, read this. Just ordered the book.

"to see these uprisings as South Asia’s Arab Spring is misleading. They are not clones of one another, nor do they herald a uniform democratic tide. Each is written in its own dialect ... What unites them is the collapse of patience with elites, what separates them is the path that follows collapse"

An interesting synthesis of how geopolitics, the ecological crisis, technological change, demography and populism intersect & boost the need for cooperation even while they currently seem to make it harder 👇 dansmithsblog.com/2025/09/22/f...

To be consistent w/ limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees, governments collectively need to produce less than half of the fossil fuels they are planning for 2030 (5 years from now) and then double down to halve production again by 2050, @unep.org, @sei.org, @climateanalytics.org & @iisd.org show 👇

"We are missing the peace in climate action " 👇: a great overview by @nazaninemoshiri.bsky.social in the @newhumanitarian.bsky.social on the importance of the Climate, Peace and Security agenda, in #Africa and beyond. www.thenewhumanitarian.org/opinion/2025...

The Gaza strip’s population, serially uprooted, starved and bombed, is reeling from a war whose cruelty has few parallels in modern history. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

"Before the earthquake, Afghanistan had 23 million people in need, many suffering from acute food insecurity and lacking basic health care. So the resources that exist are very stretched." IRC Afghanistan Director Sherine Ibrahim on @npr.org with @jsummers.bsky.social: www.npr.org/2025/09/01/n...

Lieber noch einen Kilometer Stadtautobahn mehr 🫠

Technical question: does GPT 5 rely on the average or the median spelling of US states by tech bros?

Scientists for the first time have attributed a number of deaths due to #climate change to the recent heatwave in #Europe. Heatwaves kill. But climate change increases death toll by making heatwaves even hotter & more frequent. These are literally thousands of people who would still live.

Latest @climatediplo.bsky.social newsletter 👇, featuring - new report on Climate, Peace and Environmental Resilience in the #Asia #Pacific - podcast on water diplomacy & climate finance in South & Central Asia - LCAW event on green finance in fragile contexts climate-diplomacy.org/magazine/coo...

Later today, the #UNSC will discuss how "to strengthen international awareness of the link between critical #minerals and insecurity in #Africa and to identify actionable policy measures to address the issue", convened by #SierraLeone 👇 www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/...

No surprises here - #Arctic Ocean stripes are off the scale. The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else in the world. #ShowYourStripes ➡️ Explore your own climate change stripes from around the world! showyourstripes.info (Global) and observablehq.com/@climatecent... (U.S.) What's in your area?