#Morgan (Aug 25 - Sep 21) ALP 34 L-NP 30 Green 12 ON 9.5 IND/others 14.5 Their 2PP by respondent prefs 55.5 to ALP (-1) by last election prefs 55.5 (=) my estimate for published primaries 55.0 (-0.2) www.roymorgan.com/findings/994...

The #Newspoll quarterly aggregate federal polling summary (not a new poll) of data from 14 July to 11 September 2025. www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol

FREE TO READ: Renewal co-editor Jack Jeffrey talks to @profafinlayson.bsky.social about the subcultures of the online right and how they are transforming political communication renewal.org.uk/articles/the...

Despite the vocal denials, an investigation has revealed that Neo-Nazis were secretly controlling the so-called “March for Australia” rallies www.smh.com.au/politics/vic... #auspol

Despite the vocal denials, an investigation has revealed that Neo-Nazis were secretly controlling the so-called “March for Australia” rallies www.smh.com.au/politics/vic... #auspol

‘Writing in the early 1980s, Sam Francis already sounded like a MAGA provocateur: “The New Right is not a conservative force but a radical or revolutionary one.”’ @will-davies.bsky.social traces the origins of Trumpism, in the 20th century: www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v4...

On the topic of universal v targeted government assistance ... www.aph.gov.au/About_Parlia...

A good little chart from the Parliamentary Library showing how almost all social spending by the Commonwealth is already means-tested #auspol

Based off the top 20 largest #auspol programs by expense, if Medicare, NDIS & PBS are off the table unless they’re means-testing student loans or school funding, all they have left is tightening the eligibility to child care subsidies/support for aged care or families/pension or reducing Jobseeker

Other than Medicare, the NDIS & the PBS, there aren’t really big social spending and welfare programs that are not means-tested at all Is Ley suggesting the Liberals wants to means-test Medicare, the NDIS or cheaper medicines so none are universal anymore? #auspol

A good little chart from the Parliamentary Library showing how almost all social spending by the Commonwealth is already means-tested #auspol

Other than Medicare, the NDIS & the PBS, there aren’t really big social spending and welfare programs that are not means-tested at all Is Ley suggesting the Liberals wants to means-test Medicare, the NDIS or cheaper medicines so none are universal anymore? #auspol

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/09/poll... Poll Roundup: Liberal Crisis As Honeymoon 2.0 Rumbles On My cross-poll estimate 56.3 to ALP (+1 since election and not changing quickly)

The National Climate Risk Report - my life for two years - has just been released. www.acs.gov.au/pages/nation... Minister Bowen press conference at: www.youtube.com/live/GLvd_fu... My specific report on the weather and climate hazards: climateservice.maps.arcgis.com/sharing/rest...

#Morgan ***Averages June 2023-25*** Chinese-born Australians ALP 48 L-NP 34 Grn 11 ON 1 IND/other 6. My 2PP estimate 61.3 to ALP. Indian-born Australians ALP 45 L-NP 39 Grn 8 ON 2 IND/other 6 My 2PP estimate 55.9 to ALP. www.roymorgan.com/findings/100...

Given the NSW LOTO says the Liberals need to better engage w/ voters from "non Anglo-Celtic" backgrounds, it’s worth noting not 1 state MP has a S, E or SE Asian cultural background in their party room despite comprising over 1/4 of the population of Sydney www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09... #nswpol

Given the NSW LOTO says the Liberals need to better engage w/ voters from "non Anglo-Celtic" backgrounds, it’s worth noting not 1 state MP has a S, E or SE Asian cultural background in their party room despite comprising over 1/4 of the population of Sydney www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09... #nswpol

We are on the verge of a new Cold War, defined not by an ideological contest over the proper relationship between politics and the economy, but over the metabolic basis of modernity. Call it the Green Entente vs. the Axis of Petrostates. My latest: foreignpolicy.com/2025/09/01/e...

one of those drop everything and just read it things …. www.netzeropolicylab.com/china-green-...

We finally FINALLY finished the big insurance piece. There's a LOT that is not in there. But I think we've got a few of the important bits. TL;DR insurance is extremely interesting, but it's neither the climate problem nor the solution. www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ins...

I've called the Kiama by-election for Labor. They haven't picked up a primary vote swing but a more fragmented opposition and a very high rate of exhaustion means they will comfortably win the 2PP count. #nswpol

An interesting poll from Roy Morgan with primary vote results for #auspol voters born in China & India Huge vote lead by ALP amongst PRC-born voters but I do wonder whether support is a mile wide & an inch deep or did the last #ausvotes really solidify it www.roymorgan.com/findings/100...

An interesting poll from Roy Morgan with primary vote results for #auspol voters born in China & India Huge vote lead by ALP amongst PRC-born voters but I do wonder whether support is a mile wide & an inch deep or did the last #ausvotes really solidify it www.roymorgan.com/findings/100...

What do Australian public servants think of the use of AI in govt? I co-wrote a journal article exploring what APS employees think TDLR; is a fair few already use AI + see its potential benefit but there are training & governance gaps + concerns about public trust doi.org/10.1177/0022... #auspol

What do Australian public servants think of the use of AI in govt? I co-wrote a journal article exploring what APS employees think TDLR; is a fair few already use AI + see its potential benefit but there are training & governance gaps + concerns about public trust doi.org/10.1177/0022... #auspol

Someone reminded me Jacinta Price is trying to raise $320k to fund defence lawyers for a defamation case against her. Makes you wonder if she intentionally dragged things out & refused to apologise to the Indian community to gain more #auspol attention & raise more money nit.com.au/27-08-2025/1...

Gotta wonder if she’s gonna do a Cory Bernardi & quit to form her own party

Gotta wonder if she’s gonna do a Cory Bernardi & quit to form her own party

Worth a read

Someone reminded me Jacinta Price is trying to raise $320k to fund defence lawyers for a defamation case against her. Makes you wonder if she intentionally dragged things out & refused to apologise to the Indian community to gain more #auspol attention & raise more money nit.com.au/27-08-2025/1...

Does Morena’s success in Mexico offer a blueprint for the left? An exchange between @viririos.bsky.social and myself in @dissentmag.bsky.social: www.dissentmagazine.org/article/the-...

Worth a read

She’s truly a nasty piece of work, peddling anti-Indian racism in the media then trying to hide behind a written statement she was clearly forced to issue by the LOTO www.smh.com.au/politics/fed... #auspol

She’s truly a nasty piece of work, peddling anti-Indian racism in the media then trying to hide behind a written statement she was clearly forced to issue by the LOTO www.smh.com.au/politics/fed... #auspol

My take on the recent protests in Indonesia www.newmandala.org/mass-protest...

The funniest bit in Abundance by @ezraklein.bsky.social & @dkthomp.bsky.social is where they’re clearly citing Gramsci & even rephrase his line about the old world dying & the new struggles to be born but can’t bring themselves to say his name but later on approvingly talk up Marx’s analysis

Horrific footage circulating of the National Socialist Network attacking the peaceful Camp Sovereignty in Melbourne. We've heard the main targets of their extreme violence were women.

liberal shadow AG says “people of goodwill” will be at the nazi rallies, just don’t do antisemitism www.news.com.au/national/neo...

Follow this feed to stay updated with the protests in Indonesia: bsky.app/profile/did:...

I have tried my very hardest to make this read about Indonesia's last 48 hours as accessible and easy to digest as possible. The goal here is that there is NO assumed knowledge (except for Jokowi, i think I always assume him sorry) darimulut.substack.com/p/indonesia-...

There’s an enormous amount of stuff in this book I’d like to highlight, but start with: “What emerges as the most elementary insight is that, since we do not now have any ways of making computers wise, we ought not now to give computers tasks that demand wisdom.”

It gets worse. The Deloitte report suspected of using AI contains a fake quote and erroneous citations to one of the leading cases on Robodebt. www.afr.com//companies/p...

everyone loves to quote Krugman on productivity growth being almost anything. strangely they never mention his view that productivity is a great mystery, one that is unresponsive to sweeping changes in government policy and ideology, and something that no one knows how to sustainably increase

Would it be more or less embarrassing if their excuse that they didn’t use AI but simply made lots of basic errors was actually true?

Would it be more or less embarrassing if their excuse that they didn’t use AI but simply made lots of basic errors was actually true?

Fascinating paper from Jobs and Skills Australia that takes an intersectional approach, examining gender pay gap data & looking at CALD + First Nations workers too www.jobsandskills.gov.au/publications... #auspol

Those pushing for lower income taxes via a higher GST forget it's legislated that states get the equivalent of the revenue raised from the GST, subject to some adjustments. While states do need more $, this just transfers $ from the Cth to the states, it won't be revenue neutral for the Cth #auspol

Those pushing for lower income taxes via a higher GST forget it's legislated that states get the equivalent of the revenue raised from the GST, subject to some adjustments. While states do need more $, this just transfers $ from the Cth to the states, it won't be revenue neutral for the Cth #auspol

Fascinating paper from Jobs and Skills Australia that takes an intersectional approach, examining gender pay gap data & looking at CALD + First Nations workers too www.jobsandskills.gov.au/publications... #auspol

A nice Treasury chart that shows who benefits from the largest tax concessions in Australia by income quintiles from the Economic Reform Roundtable's Budget sustainability and tax reform paper. Shows why these tax concessions need to be overhauled #auspol