I’m looking for podcast recommendations! Maybe something based on history, like Revolutions: open.spotify.com/show/05lvdf9T7… Or maybe something about economic policy? Like Americas Quarterly (open.spotify.com/show/5PCntXM9L ), but about the economy?

It is great seeing a new WP out in the wild! 👇👇👇

📉📈#Econsky, some of you may be interested in my new working paper about MTE with Duration Outcomes. @pedrosantanna.bsky.social and Santi are amazing co-authors.

🚨New Working Paper🚨 Was Javert right to be suspicious? Unpacking treatment effect heterogeneity of alternative sentences on time-to-recidivism in Brazil by Acerenza (scholar.google.com/citations?user…), Possebom and Sant’Anna (@pedrosantanna.bsky.social) Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2311.13969

🚨 Call for Papers —Conference on the economics of migration in Latin America, Mar. 14–15 in Washington —Featuring top researchers @sandrarozo.bsky.social @dmckenzie.bsky.social @claireadida.bsky.social et al., run by HUMANS network of LACEA —With a keynote by me —Submissions due 🔜 December 15

Sometimes, I think that journals do not know that many of its readers have eyesight problems... Elsevier's font size is so small and its line spacing is miniscule.

QT with 10 of your favorite novels Ubirajara by Alencar Vidas Secas by Ramos Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix Assassin’s Apprentice by Hobb The Final Empire by Sanderson Percy Jackson and The Lightening Thief by Riordan I tried to focus on the novels that marked my life in some way.

Following my theme of comparing academic and fictional writing, are there any similarities between economic papers and world building in fantasy? Are theory papers hard world building (LoTR)? Are empirical work more like soft world building (Narnia)? What about Econometrics?

Probable Causation is an amazing podcast and this interview with Allison Stashko is awesome: open.spotify.com/episode/0rfq... They discuss the effect of newly elected prosecutors and police killings in the US. It is based on this paper: drive.google.com/file/d/1LwnA....

#EconSky 📉📈 Advances in Econometrics is putting together an issue on "Econometrics of Climate, Energy, and Green Transition" edited by Eric Hillebrand, Marina Friedrich, & @smueconomics.bsky.social's Tom Fomby. Paper submissions due Nov 30! Info at: tinyurl.com/py9n677y

If you're studying outcomes whose distributions resemble those in this picture then this new NBER working paper may be of interest. www.nber.org/papers/w31814

One of my pastimes is to watch videos about writing fiction. Many things that work when writing fiction also work when writing academic papers! I think this video on editing is quite useful: youtu.be/WLAmilJx3Us?.... E.g., accept that your manuscript will evolve a lot over time!

🙌 Our paper on "Natural Experiments: Missed Opportunities for Causal Inference in Psychology" just got accepted in Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science (AMPPS). Thanks to @mp-grosz.bsky.social, @dingdingpeng.the100.ci & a great coauthor team. Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/ps...

Richard Blundell inaugurated Tilburg U's new Koopmans seminar series with a brilliant talk on wage paths, human capital formation, and labor market inequality, against the broad background of the IFS Deaton Review of inequality ifs.org.uk/inequality/ www.tilburguniversity.edu/current/news...

Econometrics Thread (#EconSky): "The Effect of Conviction and Incarceration on Recidivism" Today, I want to talk about two recent working papers: - Kamat, Norris and Pecenco (2023): bit.ly/3QjqdbX - Humphries, Ouss, Stavreva, Stevenson and van Dijk (2023): bit.ly/3Mrrdtp +

Over the last year consumer prices rose 3.9% on average. Individual workers experienced an average 6.8% increase in hourly wage. Half experienced wage increases of 5.2% or greater. 25% of workers saw their wages fall by 0.3% or worse. 25% saw their wages rise by 15.9% or more.

Portuguese uses the same word for gym and academia. But what I discovered to love about going to the gym is the exact opposite of academic life. At the gym, reward is immediate. You finish your series and you are happy that you completed a task. But academic life is all about delayed gratification.

New #openaccess article in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics: "Foetal Exposure to Air Pollution and Students' Cognitive Performance: Evidence from Agricultural Fires in Brazil" (by Juliana Carneiro, Matthew A. Cole & Eric Strobl) doi.org/10.1111/obes...

So what iPad app is everyone using to read and scribble on pdfs for refereeing? #EconSky

I’m thinking about getting a tablet to read or annotate papers. If I can attach some sort of keyboard to work in a plane, it is even better. Do you have any recommendations?

Hi #EconSky, does anyone have suggestions on any reference I should look at regarding the use of the newly introduced wildboostrap command in Stata 18? I would like to understand in particular if I could/should use it as an alternative to boottest. Thank you!

Paris School of Economics is hiring this year, open field: econjobmarket.org/positions/9954 Here's a thread for Americans who might be interested in coming to Europe about the things I wish I knew last year. TLDR: you should apply…even though EU salaries are waaay lower than the US...

Yet another great and concise summary of the recent advances in econometric methods: This time about the synthetic control method (SCM), by @vitorpossebom.bsky.social #EconSky

Can we please push all journals to attach a calendar 📅 invite for the deadline for the report. #econsky Some journals don’t even provide the deadline in the emails. Maybe we can email the editorial managers with these suggestions? #econsky

Econometric Thread (#EconSky): Today, I will briefly discuss a few recent papers expanding the synthetic control method (SCM). I will talk about three WPss: Abadie + L'Hour (2019), Grossi, Lattarulo, Mariani, Mattei + Oner (2020); Cao + Dowd (2019) and Cattaneo, Feng, Palomba +Titiunik (2023).

Sometimes, academic life has its perks. Visiting the Federal University of Paraíba (sigaa.ufpb.br/sigaa/public...) was a wonderful experience. Their students and faculty are doing super cool research on relevant topics for Brazilian policy makers.

There are many interesting papers in this thread.

We conclude the first session with Alexander Smith (West Point): Universal preschool programs may generate very heterogeneous effects on later adult earnings depending on the counterfactual care settings they replace.

In about an hour, we start the IZA/ECONtribute Workshop on the Economics of Education in Bonn. In this thread, I will try to cover all presented papers. Program and zoom link 👇 conference.iza.org/conference_f...

I asked Bing’s Dall-E to illustrate my paper in a steam punk style! Any thoughts on the results?

I was recently having a convo about publishing null results. I feel a paper like that should have 3 key elements: 1- ppl should reasonably expect there be an effect 2- estimate should be precise enough to rule out big effects 3- you're able to convince reader null effect is not an artifact

I don’t write papers as cool as @filipecampante.bsky.social or @hakeemjefferson.bsky.social, but I would soundtrack my “MTE with Sample Selection” paper with “Nova Era” by Angra: youtu.be/tDU-G4o0XV8?... Here is the paper: doi.org/10.1016/j.je.... Bartalotti and Kédagni are amazing co-authors!

That’s easy. I’d soundtrack my football paper (with Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and Ruben Durante) with “Ponta de Lança Africano (Umbabarauma)” by Jorge Ben — the undisputed GOAT of capturing football in song. m.youtube.com/watch?v=Kk3B...

Econometrics Thread (#EconSky) Today, I will talk very briefly about a few recent methodological papers that I think are super useful to applied researchers. Basically, below, you will find some new tools that may help you to answer relevant empirical questions. +

Academics, soundtrack one of your favorite papers. If I were to soundtrack my paper on the social construction of blackness, with Lauren Davenport and Hunter Rendleman. Somi’s “Black Enough” would be the tune. It’s also just a fucking great song. m.youtube.com/watch?v=EmR1...

"Sensitivity analyses can remain agnostic about [causal] structure. This is one reason they are useful; they adjudicate debates bc people can agree on validity w/out reaching full agreement on what constitutes plausible causal knowledge." - Aronow & Savje #statsquotes arxiv.org/pdf/2003.116...

My office during the morning!

The program of the Causal Data Science Meeting 2023 (Nov 7–8) is now available on our newly redesigned website. Check out the fantastic list of presentations and register for free under causalscience.org 🔊 Please share with your network!

ayyyyyooo 📈📉 blooskies. we’re hiring an econometrician here at the georgia institute of technology. spread the word! reskeet with abandon. www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

🚨Publication Alert🚨 "Crime and Mismeasured Punishment: Marginal Treatment Effect with Misclassification" by Vitor Possebom (2023, doi.org/10.1162/rest...) I am so happy that my JMP was accepted at the REStat! I am thankful to so many people who helped me through this journey.

New study finds that when CA retroactively reduced felony convictions to misdemeanors it helped people get jobs if they requested the reduction, but there's no effect for those who didn't request it. www.nber.org/papers/w3177...

A very nice concise summary of marginal treatment effects + key papers + code #Econsky 📉📈

Excellent thread introducing marginal treatment effects. We use this framework to optimize promotions using data from a field experiment (doi.org/10.1287/mksc...), and I’m currently working on a new identification result and MTE estimator useful in similar settings…

Cool thread! MTE/LIV is pretty neat - very natural & advantageous w/ cts IVs I worked on semiparametric methods for this effect here: arxiv.org/pdf/1607.025... Also interesting statistically - a ratio of derivatives of partially averaged regression functions, leading to some quirky theory/methods

Econometrics Thread: Marginal Treatment Effects (MTE) Today, I will explain the basics of MTE and will mention the papers that I believe to be important. As my wife says, I like to preach and spread the Gospel of MTE. (PS: I'm moving some of my Twitter threads to here.)

It’s not the Nobel, but, look, neither is the Econ Nobel 😅 - The second chapter of my dissertation is published at the Journal of Health Econ!! I am so excited!!! I study the effect of an info campaign on long-term care insurance coverage - surprise, it works! authors.elsevier.com/a/1huYcc7LG8...

Until the 1970s, American books rarely used the term discrimination, in reference to women. Sexism was rampant but not even conceptualised. What changed? In this substack, I discuss Goldin’s new paper, “Why Women Won” open.substack.com/pub/dralicee...

📉📈 #EconSky I have a new @IZA WP with my colleague Hao Dong. Some might find it shocking, but I really like the paper. A 🧵 "Embrace the Noise: It Is OK to Ignore Measurement Error in a Covariate, Sometimes" docs.iza.org/dp16508.pdf