📽️Donald Trump wants you to know he's targeting Venezuela because of illegal drugs. But what if this were really about something else altogether...? Dig into the murky world of crude oil refining and you find another, even more intriguing explanation... Full primer 👇 youtu.be/Pgwny1BiCYk?...

Batteries are the "lightbulb of the 21st century": their costs are down 50% v. 18 months ago, and 95%+ v. 2010 It's a drastic drop of spectacular proportions, powering the clean energy transformation worldwide Another one of my charts of the year

EVs are one their way to take a huge bite out of global oil demand by 2030 – 5m to 8m barrels of oil per day, and rising fast. 5m barrels/ day is about the entire current oil consumption of Japan Another one of my charts of the year

1/ New research @lut.fi @kit.edu @uahes.bsky.social presents new insights on the cost projections of sodium-ion & lithium-ion batteries & impact on the global energy transition doi.org/10.1016/j.es.... A novel bottom-up cost projection is combined with global energy-industry transition modelling.

From the department of wild graphs about Danish agricultural history

Cracking the Magafacists code

Lønforskellen mellem mænd og kvinder steg i 2023 fra 12,1% til 12,3% Lønforskellen mellem kvindelige og mandlige læger er 9,9% og mellem mandlige og kvindelige tjenere er 6,2% Glædelig kampdag 👊🏼🩷 www.dst.dk/da/Statistik...

This study is a nail in the coffin for all BECCS-advocates (looking at you, Denmark!): “Assuming that all four planetary boundaries are respected (…) the model study indicates a removal potential [from BECCS] of less than 200 million tonnes of CO2 in 2050.”

NEW: Global EV sales grew 18% year-on-year in Jan 2025 Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe? The "stalling" 12% growth in China? Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada? Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…? Data: Rho Motion 🤷‍♂️

Sig mig, har Berlingske ikke fanget, at brint er det primære input i produktionen af e-SAF? Og at talrige studier viser, at e-SAF med kendte teknologier er en økonomisk blindgyde? #dkgreen

Consider that if we stopped using crop-based biofuels for road transport and instead put them to work in planes, we could decarbonise 25% of aviation by tomorrow. Chart from Shell's 2025 Energy Security Scenarios.

2024 BigOil profits: Saudi Armco - $120 billion Exxon - $33.7 billion Shell - $23.772 billion Chevron - $17.66 billion TotalEnergies - $18.3 billion BP (not reported yet) IMF calculations for fossil fuel industry subsidies & externalized costs in 2024: ~$6.5 TRILLION This is insanity.

The graph below shows the lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions from Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles and EVs. The embodied carbon from battery manufacture is yellow in the graph. You can see that it’s dwarfed by the emission savings from driving EVs compared to ICE vehicles.

OK this one is CRAZY! Based on a simple extrapolation, the COLDEST month of the year by 2141 could be the same temperature as the WARMEST month of 1956, *GLOBALLY*! Think about that. JANUARY a Century from now as warm as JULY seventy years ago😲 IF we the don't stop the warming

Don Jr. and Trump’s former Balkan envoy, Ric Grenell, seem to have decided to back Kosovo’s opposition ahead of Sunday’s elections. While it’s no surprise given Grenell’s fixation on PM Albin Kurti, it’s still cause for concern. A 🧵 on the background of all this:

How quickly we decarbonize depends a lot on how we allocate risk. In an article out today by the Danish national broadcaster, I argued that government policy should de-risk renewables, and explained how this can benefit both developers and consumers. www.dr.dk/nyheder/vide... 🔌💡1/5

I ran $100 billion in Infrastructure and IRA programs at EPA. We obligated over $70 billion onto signed awards and contracts to protect public health and the environment. All that funding is currently frozen. Here are the facts… 🔌💡 1/X

Everyone seems to be framing Trump's freeze on federal grants as a Constitutional fight over powers of the purse & whether presidents can disregard Congressional appropriations. It is that. But also at stake is the fundamental validity of government contracts! I see much less discussion on this... 🧵

Poland’s coal generation fell to a historic low of 54% of electricity in 2024, down from 70%, 2 years ago “Poland is reaching the magical 50% mark for coal electricity generation, and it’s clear that coal isn't coming back, ever ” says Ember’s @paczyzak ember-energy.org/lat...

Hvorfor blev CO2-afgiften på landbruget så lav? Pga svineindustrien, der sidder tungt på magten i Landbrug & Fødevarer. Ifølge nationalbanken betyder selv trepartens lave afgift at 10 % af bedrifterne er konkurstruet i 2035. Sku' vi komme i gang med at omlægge produktionen?

Onsdag blev Equinor afsløret i kun at lagre ca. 10% af den CO2, som de havde indrapporteret til de norske myndigheder fra deres CCS-projekt, Sleipner. Intet under, at CCS fortsat er kontroversielt, når fortalerne har så lemfældig en omgang med sandheden #dkpol #dkgreen

🚨New Nature Communications study on AMOC with good news! Author says about it: "Based on the results, the AMOC is more stable than we thought," Vogt said. "This might mean that the AMOC isn't as close to a tipping point as previously suggested." Let’s freakin’ hope!

NEW from me: Half of all China’s exports of solar and wind power equipment and electric vehicles (EVs) now go to the Global South. Emerging and developing countries have driven most of the recent growth in export volumes.

Also, two other things: 1) These temperature targets refer to long term averages, so one year over 1.5°C isn’t reaching that target. 2) 1.5°C is a policy target and not a geophysical target. Nothing magical happens at 1.5°C.

Hoekstra has confirmed the delay of the EU NDC. Instead of being submitted on time (February), it will only be ready before COP30 (November). The 10th anniversary of the Paris Agreement won't be a big celebration, it will show the fragility of climate multilateralism. www.reuters.com/business/env...

Elon Musk’s fascist turn isn’t puzzling at all. It’s all about labour 🧵

Det er tid til en ærlig snak om en dårlig tale og mediernes leflende modtagelse.

If you were to write a piece on carbon removal at the end of 2024, would it be about billionaires investing in a "gold rush"? Or about flight from a sector that has no clear and durable business model, in the face of decreasing climatetech funding and net-zero talk? www.nytimes.com/2024/12/22/c...

Enig! Det fejlslagne udbud af havvind er et skoleeksempel på markedets begrænsninger i at drive omstillingen. Mere statslig planlægning og udvikling, tak! Mindre fokus på hvordan staten fjerne risiko fra private investorer #dkpol #dkgreen

For hvert meme får jeg eksponentielt mere lyst til at rive mine øjne ud...

Europas første CO2-fangstanlæg i cementindustrien kommer online næste år! Det glæder jeg mig til at følge - ikke mindst om man kan holde udgifterne på et niveau, der på sigt er foreneligt med kvoteprisen. Seneste estimater (€100/ton, eksl. transport og lagring) er lovende!

Cost of electricity relative to fossil fuels is key factor when it comes to industrial electrification. In most EU countries electricity is taxed more & renewable energy support levies are often put on electricity & not on fossil fuels. See our new report👇 www.raponline.org/knowledge-ce...

🤯🤯🤯 “Hvis det viser sig, at TFA er giftigt eller reproduktionstoksisk, og vi har forurenet vores grundvand med det, så har vi et problem. Vi kan ikke rense det op. Jeg forstår simpelthen ikke, at man tør løbe den risiko.” www.information.dk/indland/2024...

How is China's EV boom affecting gasoline demand and electricity demand? It has been hard to find precise data on this so here's a thread working out some numbers.

Udviklere af CCS-projekter er virkelig ringe til at forudsige hvornår de bliver operationelle. Hvorfor skulle danske projekter være nogen undtagelse? Realistisk grøn planlægning nu, tak! #dkgreen #dkpol

Vildt! Svenske Vattenfall pauser BECCS-projekt pga. usikre markedsforhold for CO2-kreditter, selvom svenskerne i november lukkede for ansøgninger til den statslige CCS-pulje på ~25mia DKK. Spændende hvilken betydning det får for de danske CCS-udbud... #dkgreen

⚽🤑🇸🇦🇩🇰

Klimarådets rapport om vejene til et 2035-mål på hh. 80, 85 og 90% er vildt spændende læsning. Djævlen er dog i detaljen: det højeste mål kræver virkelig meget CCS - måske endda mere end DK har kapacitet til #dkgreen 1/

Wow - just wow! Industrial decarb is progressing at a glacial pace. And we're far, far off the ambitions for 2030.

Den grønne treparts udviklingsspor er papirtyndt. Ikke overraskende, at landbrugere ikke ser fidusen ved at blive købt ud af deres erhverv. #dkgreen

Det går fortsat langsomt med at udvikle CCS-projekter i Europa. Lad os se på et par figurer, der forklarer hvorfor, og hvad det betyder for DKs CCS-politik #dkgreen 1/

USA er lysår foran alle i at udvikle incitamenter til CO2-fjernelse (CDR). I går landede et forslag i Senatet om at give $250/ton i støtte til alle CDR metoder der lagrer CO2 i mere end 1000 år. Forslaget har lange politiske udsigter, men nøj en bedrift det ville være!

Kæmpe 🎯 fra Berlingske og @milund.bsky.social #dkgreen

“Given the high stakes of climate change, it is foolhardy to rely on Direct Air Capture to be the hero that comes to our rescue.” Fremragende intro til tradeoffs ved DAC som redskab i klimakampen #dkgreen news.mit.edu/2024/reality...

Forstår godt MFs champagnetørst. Treparten sparker mange vigtige beslutninger ned af vejen, sikrer mindre offentlig opmærksomhed, og endda en forpligtet forligskreds. En tråd om aftalens centrale milepæle. 1/ #dkpol #dkgreen

Uenighed om kvælstofregulering betyder at prisen for grøn trepart bliver endnu en snabel i statskassen til landbrugslobbyen. Who would’ve thought? www.zetland.dk/historie/s8D...

Det ligner, at fortalerne for den grønne trepart har opgivet ethvert håb om at udvikle landbruget i en bæredygtig retning. Med 100 offentlige milliarder i ryggen er man i stedet mere end villig til at afvikle det #dkpol #dkgreen www.information.dk/indland/2024...

Udtagning af lavbundsjorde går alt for langsomt, og det kommer grøn trepart ikke til at ændre ved. For meget fokus på frivillighed. For lidt fokus på inddragelse, ensartet proces og klare økonomiske incitamenter. Spændende anbefalinger fra @agoraagrar.bsky.social #dkgreen #dkpol