In deeply unsurprising news, the Earth continues to warm and the climate stripes continue their trip into the dark reds. This will only continue to drive more and more extreme weather. The best time to act is today. www.reading.ac.uk/news/2026/Un... @unirdg-met.bsky.social @edhawkins.org

Attendance at US-based science conferences is bouncing around this year but generally down. #AGU25 has ~10k fewer this year! I explored these trends for @nature.com — including solutions to keep conferences local & productive: www.nature.com/articles/d41... 🧪

As the end of the week is nearing, a couple of observations on the American Geophysical Union fall meeting 2025. First, the elephant in the room: science in the USA has taken a beating this year, and the announcement of the closure of NCAR demonstrates that we're still in the thick of it.

Are you a meteorologist/atmospheric scientist/climate scientist? Do you want to work in Chicago? Do you want to research weather and climate impacts on commodities prices and the wider economy? Come work with me at LSEG.

In not great climate news today, it seems we've been severely underestimating the Earth's energy imbalance. There have been warning signs that climate projections aren't keeping up with the observed changes, and this would at least in part explain why. www.researchgate.net/publication/...

Are you interested in extreme event attribution and attending #EGU25? Come along to our networking session to discuss the strengths and challenges of different methods. meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio... @marylouathanase.bsky.social

Good morning from windy UK. 84% low-carbin power. Negative priced electricity.

They've really sharpened my view of what good-faith actors in the climate risk industrial complex should try to achieve: treat models as metaphors, be transparent about value judgements, present results with humility, and make decisions which are robust to uncertainty - not paralyzed by it.

Sun at its highest point on the shortest day in York, UK. Beautiful wintery day.

Some positive news! Even coming off the back of a government that did precious little for the UK’s climate commitments, we’re still seeing a seemingly unstoppable rise in renewable energy. Goes to show that the economics of renewable energy just make sense now, and that’s a big deal.

How did global air temperatures vary before 1850? We can now answer this from direct instrumental observations. The new GloSAT dataset is under review! Morice et al.: essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...

Here comes #StormDarragh 🌬️

One of my favourite data discoveries this year: Google's mind-blowing ARCO-ERA5 dataset: hourly data for ~300 climate variables, available globally from 1940! 🤯 Loadable with a single line of Python code from a single cloud-friendly Zarr file! Below: a month of wind waves + swell: 🌊

**New Paper Alert** Thrilled to finally announce the release of our Part 1 paper that re-evaluates and quantifies (normalizes) historical US hurricane losses. This builds upon previous work by introducing counties affected by the radius of maximum wind. journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal... (1/n)

As if an AMOC slowdown isn't worrying enough for those of us in Europe, evidence that it may intensify Atlantic tropical cyclones makes it the gift that keeps on giving doi.org/10.21203/rs.... (preprint in review)

I'm super excited to share @carbonbrief.org's new and improved attribution map! Use the map to explore 600+ extreme weather attribution studies from all around the world: buff.ly/3URzsmI And check out my in-depth Q&A on attribution for all you need to know about this evolving field: buff.ly/4hRt4Gc

#StormBert is bringing strong winds, rain, and snow to parts of Ireland and the UK over the weekend. Similar events have happened before, such as Storm Diana in 2018, but... (1/2)

Feeling Storm Bert up close and personal today, with a roof that has started a new career as a sieve.

I'm not sorry to see the back of this season. I'm sure it'll prove to be an interesting #climatechange data point in the future, but.. urgh. The season's "b" storm hitting and maintaining cat 5 really was a sign of Not Good things to come.

#Dataviz with #knitting is the crossover that I didn’t expect to see today, but I’m here for it

Any #climate friends in the UK looking to help educate the next generation?

Are you a scientist interested in a career working on assessing natural hazards? @ruarirhodes.bsky.social is one of the climate specialists on my team, and wrote a great introduction to careers in insurance for atmospheric scientists - have a look!

Natural hazards friends! Ever thought about working in insurance but no idea where to start? I’ve put together a beginners guide to the insurance industry with the Royal Meteorological Society: www.rmets.org/news/atmosph...