New from me: I spoke to two scientists who originally helped spread the use of carbon capture. They now say it's being misused. Here's why (gift link):

"[AMOC collapse] is a direct threat to national resilience and security" the Icelandic Climate Minister said "It's the first time a specific climate-related phenomenon has been brought to the National Security Council as a potential existential threat" Significant www.reuters.com/sustainabili...

"The North Atlantic may be approaching a critical tipping point under continued climate change." Be sure to check out the latest State of the Cryosphere report Essential reading for anyone working on or caring about our collective security iccinet.org/statecryo25/

❔| #TTP: Has Europe Given Up its Leadership on Climate Change? ➡️ COP30 takes place amidst increased pessimism about the world’s commitment to climate action. Beset by a host of other challenges, can Europe still maintain a leading role? carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

In 1992, the English Premier League was founded and governments promised to avoid 'dangerous' climate change One of those things didn't work out Our next @overshootpod.bsky.social bonus essay delves deeper into carbon removals and explores why net-zero might be the most dangerous moment in history

Where are we on climate action? The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments. That is the progress 10 years after Paris... unfccc.int/process-and-...

So it's official; the world's governments have failed to take the necessary actions and we're now going to #overshoot the goals of the Paris #climate accord How should we make sense of this moment? And where do we go from here? @overshootpod.bsky.social offers some suggestions

A year ago, Spain was hit by deadly floods They were supercharged by climate change Yet in their wake, climate-denying politicians gained influence - which risks undermining climate action, making people less safe Today we publish new research on this troubling dynamic🧵 www.scri.org.uk/derailment

Episode 5 of 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖 is out! As the world heads over 1.5°C, what's the strategy? In front of a live audience, we explore what 1.5°C overshoot means for geopolitics, the law & more Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/547f... Apple podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/o...

New study by Falkena et al. shows that most climate models don’t capture the established key mechanism that can destabilize the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. Those models that get it predict abrupt subpolar gyre changes in coming decades 😳. @swinda.bsky.social esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

Deliberation in action. People in #Exeter discussing priorities for what we need to do now to help us mitigate future risks as part of this afternoon's @gsiexeter.bsky.social assembly with @laurielaybourn.bsky.social

Informative series of episodes on climate change (+ also an excellent narrating voice!)

📢 The 4th episode of @overshootpod.bsky.social is out now! Last year, Spain was hit by one of the worst disasters in its history It was driven by climate change But it ended up boosting climate deniers... How can the world stop this from happening again? Listen now: overshootpod.com

This is really good @overshootpod.bsky.social @laurielaybourn.bsky.social podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/o...

„This is a national security issue!“ says Dame Angela McLean, the UK Government Chief Scientific Adviser, about the collapse risk of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. Interesting discussion on Forecasting Arctic Tipping Points - Building an Early Warning System for Everyone, at #ArcticCircle.

"Let's say we reach net-zero in 2050, the political narrative around climate change is that that's kind of mission accomplished... but that's the most dangerous moment in history! Because at the moment of net-zero... the earth system is at its most destabilized" - @laurielaybourn.bsky.social

New Wicked Problems just dropped - white-hot timing, with @laurielaybourn.bsky.social about his new documentary series @overshootpod.bsky.social: how to navigate the world after 1.5°C. Just this morning the UK's @thecccuk.bsky.social Baroness Brown warned that 2°C by 2050 would be BEST CASE.

Sue Owen asked what her pension savings are being invested in - and was horrified. Ep. 3 of this brilliant new podcast explains how the pensions industry continues to fuel the climate crisis. But you can write to your MP today to call for Government action actionnetwork.org/letters/writ...

Thanks for listening @thetimes.com! Great to see @overshootpod.bsky.social featured in this week's Times Environment newsletter

The third episode of @overshootpod.bsky.social is out now! We meet the pensioner who looked into her pension fund's due diligence on climate change What she found was shocking... Featuring @carbontracker.bsky.social @josephestiglitz.bsky.social and more Listen now👇 www.overshootpod.com

Recommended listen: The Strategic Climate Risks Initiative, in partnership with Planet B Productions, has released a four-part podcast series exploring what will happen if global warming exceeds 1.5C.

Pick of the week! Thanks to @theguardian.com for listening!

Year's worth of British bread lost this decade as extreme weather bites New analysis suggests that wheat production is down by the equivalent of over a year’s supply of bread for the UK, after extreme weather hits harvests. eciu.net/media/press...

Interested in immersive, surprising stories? Listen to 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗼𝘁: 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝟭.𝟱°𝗖 I'm humbled with the positive reception, which includes scientists, novelists, politicians, activists👇 Visit: www.overshootpod.com Follow: @overshootpod.bsky.social

"The only industry in the world that has moved a similar scale of mass as 5 billion tons...is surprise, surprise: the petroleum industry." THIS WEEK: @meadwaj.bsky.social is joined by @laurielaybourn.bsky.social to discuss climate overshoot, carbon sucking and data centres 🌪️ patreon.com/macrodose

An excellent new podcast re: #climate @laurielaybourn.bsky.social

What are 'derailment risks' and how are they rapidly increasing? Join me for an in-person & online panel discussion at Chatham House, London: 28 OCTOBER 2025 — 5:00PM TO 6:00PM www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/r...

Episode 2 of @overshootpod.bsky.social is out! I ask: who’s going to clean up the mess? We hear the story of how climate plans are dependent on one big idea But it might not even work, and we didn’t vote for it And it all started in Swedish paper mills... 🎧👇 open.spotify.com/episode/49H1...

For 10 years, the world's been warned about overshooting 1.5°C It's now happening So, does that mean the world is doomed...? Or can it be saved very quickly? Tune in to episode 1 of Overshoot: Navigating a world beyond 1.5°C👇 Available on all major platforms www.overshootpod.com/part-1-uncha...

“An essential guide to a critical issue. Please tune in.” - @georgemonbiot.bsky.social Listen to the trailer on overshootpod.com and follow @overshootpod.bsky.social Episode 1 coming soon

Follow @overshootpod.bsky.social to catch all the upcoming episodes and bonus essays

This new podcast, Overshoot, promises to be both vital and fascinating, given that it's from @laurielaybourn.bsky.social

The world missed its goal for tackling climate change What happens next? That's the question I'm asking in a new documentary series We uncover the fantasies that brought us here and meet the people with ideas to navigate what's next Listen to the trailer👇 open.spotify.com/episode/2ICK...

NEW STUDY: How much CO2 can we safely store in geological formations? In a new @nature.com study, we cross-check established academic and industry estimates with various risk factors. We find a prudent geological CO2 storage limit that is about 10x smaller. /1

Our climate experts will be at this year's #Glastonbury festival, with Professor @richardabetts.bsky.social and @laurielaybourn.bsky.social both appearing at the Speakers' Forum in the Green Fields area. news.exeter.ac.uk/university/e...

New film 'Systems Update: rebooting our future' With: Danise Baden Alice Bell @richardabetts.bsky.social Manda Brookman Kathryn Brown Dylan Hamilton @jasonhickel.bsky.social Farhana Jamin @laurielaybourn.bsky.social Col McCail Leo Murray Dylan Plummer Max Wakefield www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ub5I...

We are entering a new climate reality affecting us beyond the immediate impacts. As a society we need to develop certain capabilities that have been underdeveloped, including: - Situational awareness - Resilience - Speed @laurielaybourn.bsky.social (Executive Director, @climate-risk.bsky.social)

Today @thecccuk.bsky.social releases its assessment on UK climate adaptation It shows a dangerous apathy to systemic risks E.g.; "there aren’t enough indicators to assess overall progress accurately" on becoming more resilient to systemic risks in the food system www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...

“Our security depends as much on tanks as it does on energy stability and an affordable supply. Whether or not you think the world is a more dangerous place, you can still improve the security of your society through renewables.” It was great talking with @wsj.com www.wsj.com/articles/sus...

Essential reading👇

I'm delighted to be speaking at the Bloomberg Sustainable Business Summit in London on 26 June. Join me to explore whether we need a new 'North Star' for climate change in light of the increasing overshoot of the 1.5C global goal. Learn more and sign up👇 events.bloomberglive.com/sustainable-...

1/ The view from our bedroom window earlier this week was the eerie sight of a blaze across Garth Hill, South Wales. The weather conditions preceding the fire were extremely dry leaving the grass & bracken to turn to tinder. Here's a 🧵putting this fire context... (Photo credit: Ryan Davies)

Will climate risk assessment actually be improved? We need it: eg, pension funds think 4C will shave ~1% off assets But even if assessments were improved, there might be a material disincentive to disclose Are we in a 'delayed disclosure trap'? strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/are-we-in-...

From @businessgreen.bsky.social this morning: 'The somewhat secretive Inside Track went public today with the publication of a nine page memo to investors from an anonymous group of over 20 senior executives from across the food industry.' 1/2 cont.

“It is widely understood that current [climate risk] assessments [on pension investments] may not be credible," said British Business Bank's Leandros Kalisperas, "but the question is, what is better than what we have, and how can it be implemented?” www.pensionsage.com/pa/Current-c...

😊🤷‍♂️

Hope @davidho.bsky.social doesn't mind me quoting him but I spotlight his take as an excellent way of thinking about what happened in the Senate.

JP Morgan are ostensibly planning to profit from 3C+ Their rubbish risk assessments enable them to make this (false) claim But will they actually improve the assessments, as many (including me) are calling for? Here's a thought experiment 👇 strategicclimaterisks.substack.com/p/are-we-in-...

Absolutely! As the consequences of climate change escalate (in this case, heat) then it could frustrate our ability to tackle its causes (more power for cooling frustrating reductions energy use) Writ large, dynamics like this could *derail* the world from viable paths to avoiding the worst

One of the world's most respected consultancies calculates climate change could knock a third off projected GDP, while acknowledging it could easily be a lot higher. It also explains why political and business leaders continue to ignore such obvious warnings. www.businessgreen.com/news-analysi...