“The future isn’t something that happens to us, it’s something we build together. By choosing to act wisely today, we can navigate uncertainty and emerge stronger tomorrow.” - @laurielaybourn.bsky.social, @climate-risk.bsky.social youtu.be/IkjsAQeomtQ

UK solar power output is breaking records this year, and has now exceeded the total generated in 2024 🌞 www.ft.com/content/9e49...

The rate of sea level rise all along the US Atlantic coast has been accelerating in recent years. tamino.wordpress.com/2025/08/03/s... This is likely connected to the slowing of the AMOC... journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

🌀 Could climate change undermine renewable energy itself? A new study highlights a worrying feedback: as the planet warms, wind power potential could significantly decline across key global regions. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

This framing is misleading. It's super important that we recognise that there's no 'new normal' until we stop burning fossil fuels - it just keeps getting worse & worse! As the scientists quoted in the article say "today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, & cool by 2100"

"There is growing evidence that the most extreme extremes probably will increase faster and to a greater extent than we used to think was the case"- @weatherwest.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/c...

We’re wasting the remaining carbon budget on war and AI.

💣🌍 “National security” isn’t just about tanks and treaties anymore. It needs to consider climate change. Climate risk is a national security risk. Our strategies—and our spending—need to reflect that. Now. 📖 Full story via The Guardian: www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

The Trump administration’s move to defund and downgrade the Basel Committee’s climate risk initiative is setting off alarm bells. Stepping away now doesn’t just disrupt progress—it risks locking in the very gaps that need closing. We need to double down, not retreat. www.ft.com/content/c6dc...

"Earth’s albedo (reflectivity) declined over the 25 years of precise satellite data, with the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds" - James Hansen & Pushker Kharecha #Climate www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...

Figure of the day: Over the last YEAR, Copernicus' extrapolated date for breaching 1.5C of warming (based on the 30-year trend) has moved FORWARD (aka "sooner") by 19 months. Think about that.

This is incredible

Is the UK ready for systemic climate risks? Short answer: No. From the Climate Change Committee (CCC): 👉 "The country is not prepared for [existing] climate impacts." 👉 "Adaptation is not yet a top priority across government." 📢 Full report here: www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...

Institutions vastly underestimate their exposure to climate change, and reassessment is needed to understand the full scope of risk. But even if they did a realistic assessment, would they ever tell anyone? We explore this 'delayed disclosure trap' in our latest: substack.com/home/post/p-...

This is both a transition policy and a security policy. The less fuel you import, the more stable your economy and population will be.

"just as in Germany [defence, climate change, and health] cannot really be separated in the UK, with recent IPPR research showing [...] climate change presents a major security risk." Our work on climate security covered by: @neweconomybrief.bsky.social www.neweconomybrief.net/the-digest/t...

We’ve failed to stop climate change. So what do we need to do next? "[Now] the penny is dropping that we didn’t prevent a global-scale climate crisis. We’re now in a global-scale climate crisis." Read our director's thoughts in @thetimes.com: www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...

"[In] order to be free from authoritarian blackmail—whether Putin’s or Trump’s—Europe must go green." www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...

This is still happening. It's your Wednesday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is still the *lowest* on record for the date (JAXA) about 670,000 km² below the 2010s mean about 2,250,000 km² below the 1980s mean A winter for the record books in the Arctic. More info zacklabe.com/graduate-res... ⚒️

With the world's focus on crumbling geopolitics, (in)security, extremism and evil wars, it is understandable that climate change has fallen down the agenda. But to be clear: we cannot adapt our way out of all the impacts so we still need to everything possible to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

How can we close security blind spots on climate risk? Next month, SCRI & Demos Helsinki are convening experts to discuss how to better manage complex climate risks to national security, drawing on lessons from the UK and Finland. Join us👇 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/climate-re...

"if you fast forward 10 or 15 years, there are going to be regions of the country where you can't get a mortgage. There won't be ATMs. You know, the banks won't have branches and things like that" - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell #ClimateRisk www.npr.org/2025/02/18/n...

Recent events shows it's in Europe's geo-strategic interest to double down on the clean energy transition Russian energy dependence was never a good bet... ...but US reliability is now increasingly in question Cleaner tech can help literally and figuratively insulate from volatile superpowers

Wow. Last month wasn't just a usual hottest January on record. Despite cool La Niña conditions, it was *even hotter* than last years record-breaking El Niño January! Graph by @hausfath.bsky.social

"Derailment risk matters for financial markets. [T]he ability to deliver [climate] pledges could be eroded. This means higher warming – and far higher physical and transition risks – cannot be discounted" Our latest for the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. blog.actuaries.org.uk/could-the-co...

Last week's New Economy Brief covered a new article from @climate-risk.bsky.social on the interaction between inaction on climate change & geopolitical instability. Sign up to our weekly newsletter to get our 5 minute digest of key economic news: https://www.neweconomybrief.net/sign-up

"But models are, even now, less capable of accounting for secondary effects of those emissions that no one saw coming, and that now seem to be driving important change. Some of those variables are missing from climate models entirely." www.theatlantic.com/science/arch...

"Because insurance impacts are mounting and because we don't have an insurance system built for the way that climate change is evolving, this dynamic is only going to get much worse.” Our work on the insurance impacts of climate change covered in Forbes. www.forbes.com/sites/davidr...

A new article published by @uk.theconversation.com ersation.com The Conversation UK covers our work on derailment risks. " this year, something more unsettling is emerging: climate change is itself beginning to impact geopolitics." theconversation.com/a-doom-loop-...

2024 will almost certainly beat 2023 to become the hottest year on record, the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service confirms. Read more here: heatmap.news/climate/hott...

Thank you for listing us, Katharine! SCRI is a think-and-do tank developing tools for the next chapter of the climate crisis. If you are interested in non-linear change, cascading consequences, and derailment risk to climate policy, give us a follow.

"SRM and CDR in the context of overshoot are not solutions if the world does not reduce emissions: they are parts of the solution when the world rapidly reduces emissions."

Perfect kicker to this @adamwestbrook.bsky.social TikTok for @nytimes.com www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8Lgffj2/

Our report on Derailment Risk was mentioned on the @macrodosepod.bsky.social podcast episode 'Farmers, Taxes, and Food Politics'. Listen here: www.scri.org.uk/coverage/mac...

The battle to keep global warming within 1.5C has been a rallying cry for #climate action for nearly a decade. Now, with the planet almost certain to blow past the target, many people at #COP29 have found themselves awkwardly clinging to a goal that no longer makes sense. My latest @bloomberg.com:

Q&A: How the UK became the first G7 country to phase out coal power ✍️ @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org #CBarchive Read here ➡️ https://buff.ly/4fKxOvh

🔊 Our Director Laurie Laybourn spoke to Andrew Parry on the ‘Organising the Future’ podcast by J O Hambro Capital Management. 🔥 In this talk, they discuss how climate change poses a national security threat, and how we might manage this risk. www.scri.org.uk/coverage/org...

Renewables alone powered the Uruguayan economy for 10 straight months, with wind a major contributor theprogressplaybook.com/2023/10/19/e...

Are we underestimating the risk of AMOC collapse? And if we are, how do we begin to prepare for it if it does occur? Laurie Laybourn (Laurielaybourn.bsky.social), answers these questions in a new piece for the National Preparedness Commission: nationalpreparednesscommission.uk/publications...

Is this the beginning of the end for the 1.5C target? "The global temperature rise is expected to hit... 1.55C above pre-industrial levels this year...data from the EU earth observation agency confirmed, making it “virtually certain” to be the warmest on record." www.ft.com/content/ab1a...

“For many, it was already too late. The alert came as some were already trapped on roads and left at the mercy of raging torrents of water” As the world heads deeper into the literal & figurative storm of the climate crisis, so many systems are not ready www.theguardian.com/world/2024/o...

The @gsiexeter.bsky.social (of which I am an assistant director) is no longer poster on X/Twitter. Please encourage your research groups, organisations, institutions to do likewise.

When reading pieces like this, it’s important to remember it’s not just the ‘first order’ impacts of climate change that are dangerous The cascading impacts are often costlier Inflation, poverty, geopolitical upheaval… We need more focus on these cascading consequences www.bbc.com/news/article...

Countries’ climate pledges require 1 billion ha of land for carbon dioxide removal (restoration, reforestation, bioenergy, etc.). This is roughly the size of China! www.nature.com/articles/s41...

"Such an ocean circulation change would have devastating and irreversible impacts especially for Nordic countries, but also for other parts of the world" www.reuters.com/business/env...

We know that AMOC collapse would be a planetary-scale cataclysm More analysis is being done to understand the specifics Like this 👇 which looks at consequences for Antarctica, Aus/NZ While Europe would become dangerously colder, these places would get hotter theconversation.com/weakening-or...

Learn more about our work on www.scri.org.uk

The day 5 million Floridians are evacuated due to a climate-amplified hurricane feels like the right time to warn that the UK has a huge climate security blind spot: www.ippr.org/articles/sec... 🔌💡