A recent report reveals both UK MPs and the public greatly misjudge the timeframe for #ClimateAction. Few are aware the IPCC indicates emissions must peak by 2025 to keep warming at 1.5°C. Learn more about the study ⬇️ tyndall.ac.uk/news/mps-and...

Super excited to finally see this project out in the wild! What a journey it's been! Looking forward to see how people will use this awesome data. See thread below for more details from @jacobnyrup.bsky.social.

A new CAST study has found that UK MPs and the public in the UK, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions. 📣 Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇

Few realise how short the window really is. Science says global emissions must peak by 2025. Yet publics in 🇬🇧 & 🇩🇪 still believe there’s more time left.

New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023. @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social rdcu.be/eI4J3

UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is evident among the public in Britain, Canada, Chile, and Germany.

A new UEA study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming.  Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2 #UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange @ukri.org @climateuea.bsky.social

Bit of an awkward coincidence that our paper comes out on the day Kemi Badenoch pledges to scrap the UK Climate Change Act, but perhaps provides also a bit of an explanation: Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions! 👇👇👇👇👇👇

As part of our Infra4NextGen project, @ess-survey.bsky.social has just released a new data summary that brings together insights from the European Social Survey, European Values Study, and the International Social Survey Programme... infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)

New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023. @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social rdcu.be/eI4J3

The Challenge of Mobilizing Voters on Climate Policy Pledges When Climate is Low on the Political Agenda: Evidence from the 2024 UK General Election by @johnkenny.bsky.social in the Recent Elections in Europe: Trends and Challenges panel organized by @ecprpovb.bsky.social.

Our review article on the use of climate change questions in public opinion surveys is now available in the current issue of Environmental Politics.

📢 New Publication 📢 📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries? (with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto) Short 🧵 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

SEMINAR: A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys 👥 Watch this live seminar at the University of Bologna, delivered by UEA's @johnkenny.bsky.social today 🕑2pm (UK time) No need to register, just join online here: phd.unibo.it/pss/en/agend... #AcademicSky

New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

In “The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency, Causality, and the Vote,” @sofiabrei.bsky.social, @johnkenny.bsky.social, @jaclarner.bsky.social, Dieter Stiers, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck make use of a survey vignette experiment in Britain.

New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

What can we learn from the 2024 General Election for the UK climate politics of the future? Very happy to see @johnkenny.bsky.social and my report published in collaboration with @green-alliance.org.uk and @cast-centre.bsky.social. See 👇 for the details.

Great to see CAST 2024 polling be the focus of @green-alliance.org.uk's latest report on public opinion on climate policy during the 2024 general election. 🗳️ The report was written by CAST's @johnkenny.bsky.social & @lucasgeese.bsky.social and examines climate policy support. Read the report 👇

In this report with @lucasgeese.bsky.social, we present findings from polling we carried out just before last year's UK general election in which we examined support for climate policies among the British public. @cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social

Check out the Guest Editors' Note from our April Issue, written by @johnkenny.bsky.social , @sofiabrei.bsky.social , and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. It is available here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/pol/curr...

In this report with @lucasgeese.bsky.social, we present findings from polling we carried out just before last year's UK general election in which we examined support for climate policies among the British public. @cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social

My new post @deltapoll.bsky.social deltapoll.co.uk/net-zero-sce... Badenoch said "net zero is impossible”. But 52% approve, 18% disapprove, of the net zero 2050 law. Even +26 point net approval among Con voters. However, disapproval up from 8% in 2019 to 18% now. Thread 1/...

Doing cool research on elections, public opinion and/or parties? Don't forget to submit your abstract for EPOP 2025 before the end of April. Link to the form here: forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi Come share your work with an awesome group of scholars! Any questions, contact [email protected] 😊

Starting this week with another output - brief reflections on the recent German election along with my other co-convenors of the @psagermanpol.bsky.social of @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social In it we raise the importance of a party's perceived brand of authenticity in an election campaign!

Technological change has had important consequences for labour markets in recent decades. What about its electoral consequences? In this new article in EJPR, we use administrative data to follow nearly a million workers over 16 years to study this. 🧵 ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Delighted to see our new article published in International Journal of Forecasting. For those without a subscription, free access is available until May 7 through the link below. authors.elsevier.com/c/1knSqcUIKd...

Delighted to see our new article published in International Journal of Forecasting. For those without a subscription, free access is available until May 7 through the link below. authors.elsevier.com/c/1knSqcUIKd...

When politicians have strongly held views which conflict however with those of their voters, parties or independent experts , should they stay true to themselves or give in to the views of those stakeholders? John Kenny and I have surveyed British and German citizens and politicians on that. 👇👇👇

📚 New articles on authenticity! Honored to be part of this special issue edited by @johnkenny.bsky.social, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & M. Lewis-Beck in @polityalsberuf.bsky.social. 👇 🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734727 with Dennis Steffan 🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734726 with Haye Stein & @inesengelmann.bsky.social

✏️ The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency, Causality, and the Vote Check the article by @sofiabrei.bsky.social, IBEI; John Kenny, @uniofeastanglia.bsky.social; @jaclarner.bsky.social, @cardiffuni.bsky.social; Dieter Stiers, KU Leuven; & Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa. 🔎 t.ly/WQXdT

Excited for this new issue of Polity journal! What a cool collection of papers, so much great research in here about political "authenticity" a concept that is so fascinating and we don't yet know much about in the political context.

New fun pub - The Authentic A**hole (particularly proud of getting title accepted) ✅ Politicians viewed as authentic when they stick to their positions despite pressure ✅ True even when voters disagree with those positions ✅ Authenticity translates to electoral advantage tinyurl.com/25us7y7z

Really enjoyed working on this paper with Emil! So much work still to be done. Authenticity is such an interesting “feature” to think about in terms of evaluations of candidates and leaders.

🚨 EPOP 2025 Call for papers now open! 🚨 Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.

The articles from the forthcoming SI on Political Authenticity - edited by myself, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & Michael Lewis-Beck - at @polityalsberuf.bsky.social are now online. In the introduction (doi.org/10.1086/734784) we set out its contribution and summarise each article 1/12

The articles from the forthcoming SI on Political Authenticity - edited by myself, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & Michael Lewis-Beck - at @polityalsberuf.bsky.social are now online. In the introduction (doi.org/10.1086/734784) we set out its contribution and summarise each article 1/12

Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

My new post on why the polls and economic indicators already suggest Labour, and particularly Starmer, should be seriously concerned about losing the next election: electionsetc.com/2025/02/07/w...

Workers were never well-represented among cabinet ministers globally, but things have deteriorated over time. From our Paths to Power project where we have collected biographical data on almost 45,000 ministers from 137 countries in the period 1966-2021.

New article from John Kenny , Lucas Geese , Andrew Jordan and Irene Lorenzoni reviews the usage of climate change questions in public opinion surveys & provides an overview of the types of concepts that can be elicited from these. doi.org/10.1080/0964...

New in @environmentalpol.bsky.social! Reviewing over 300 surveys, we provide a guide on navigating the many concepts measured in climate change public opinion research over 4 decades. It includes the resource of an over 200 page fully-searchable appendix with all questions!! doi.org/10.1080/0964...

Some great work (and immense undertaking!) by @johnkenny.bsky.social and colleagues. Worth a read if you need to navigate the many concepts used in #ClimateChange perception research

New in @environmentalpol.bsky.social! Reviewing over 300 surveys, we provide a guide on navigating the many concepts measured in climate change public opinion research over 4 decades. It includes the resource of an over 200 page fully-searchable appendix with all questions!! doi.org/10.1080/0964...

When, how, and why do politicians engage with climate change? New @cast-centre.bsky.social briefing now published based on our systematic review of the academic literature on politicians and climate change Briefing available here: cast.ac.uk/resources/br...

New article from David Caldwell, Gidon Cohen and Nick Vivyan. -> Climate attitudes are polarizing along party lines in Anglophone countries and Western Europe with worrying implications for the implementation of climate policy. doi.org/10.1080/0964...

We are delighted to announce that the call for papers for #EPOP2024 is now open! This will take place at the University of Manchester from 11-13 September. Deadline for applications is 21st May. To submit, please follow this link: shorturl.at/abkCT