It’s Europe Day! Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole would want Poland to stay in the EU by 12 percentage points at a statistically significant level. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... @jcms-eu.bsky.social

Call for papers British Association for the Study of Ukraine (BASU) National Conference. Submissions welcome from scholars, policy & think tank professionals, across the Social Sciences, Humanities, Arts and Culture, STEM, & Government/NGOs/Industry. thebasu.com/basu-nationa... Deadline 25 June 2026

Paying peer reviewers works. Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social: • 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews • ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript • no reduction in editor-assessed review quality • similar acceptance rates www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...

My reading of public opinion on Brexit rn: ~most constituencies think the UK was wrong to have left the EU ~most constituencies will now be majority Rejoin given national polling (55-33) ~the national lead that Rejoin enjoys in the polls would tighten a fair bit during a campaign*

This is a brilliant book by Sara and James! Great article covering its main argument. An argument that travels across to many cases globally.

Last year, we shared a paper showing that Labour's accommodation of the radical right did not work. We now have a new version of the paper online: osf.io/preprints/so...

Immigration salience by party (top 3 issue) Reform: 83% (1st priority) Conservatives 33% (2nd priority) Labour 17% (5th priority) Green 16% (=6th priority) Ipsos, 8th-12th May 2026 www.ipsos.com/sites/defaul...

It’s Europe Day! Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole would want Poland to stay in the EU by 12 percentage points at a statistically significant level. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... @jcms-eu.bsky.social

It is Europe day! Democrats in Belarus (those who identify democracy as the best system for the country) are more likely to want Belarus to join the EU! Being a democrat in Belarus increases the likelihood of wanting to join the EU by 22 percentage points! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

It’s Europe day! If someone didn’t support democracy in 2019 but became a supporter of democracy by 2021 the likelihood that they came to want Ukraine to join the EU increased by 20 percentage points!! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

It’s Europe day! In Ukraine - employing panel data - we can see that if somebody wasn’t yet a democrat, their becoming a democrat increases the likelihood that they come to support joining the EU in one year, by 12 percentage points! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

What have we learnt - that’s actually new - from today’s results? Not much! But here’s our summary: www.itv.com/news/2026-05... @martamiori.bsky.social @itvnews.bsky.social

The story of Cons losses seems to be hidden from view. 👇

And here's the overall picture in historic perspective. A seismic reshaping of the local election map. Reform UK making fewer gains overall than last year, in part because of a less favourable map, but huge losses for Labour and record gains for Greens.

In terms of overall councillor counts, the Tories are set to fall to their second lowest level in modern local election history (only after LE1996 was worse), while Labour are on trend to fall to a level only previously held between 2008-11.

With the proviso that many seats are still left to declare, I'm going to begin bringing the charts out, to put these results into some broader perspective. In terms of seats defended, absolutely dire results for Labour and Tories. Not as bad as last year, but high on the board for worst-ever.

British politics is resembling the rest of Europe: • Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance • Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right • Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit) But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation

The Brexit divide is still apparent after 10 years - both Tory and Labour Leavers flocking to Reform (as shown by @drjennings.bsky.social )

Rob makes an important point. But … the campaign in the city was also a mess… And so … Piccadilly 🟢 Green Gain 🔴 Previously Labour

However the fall in Labour's vote (since 2022) is more strongly correlated with change in the Green vote than Reform over the same period.

Nothing good will come from PM standing down & will only make the UK more vulnerable as it faces major threats. I’m not one to make arguments for stability above all - but in current context having the governing party preoccupied with a leadership fight will …

My local council gives a good example of how multimember plurality can mean that the largest party by votes is not the largest party by seats.

Today’s result, driven by affect & expectations that can’t be met - may have knock-on effects that voters who voted in anger will not expect.

We invite you to join our next webinar “Europe's East and Latin America in dialogue: what we (mis)understand about each other?” with Ieva Giedraityté, @oonuch.bsky.social & @ferezmanuel14.bsky.social, in the RUTA-LatAm dialogue series May 8, 18.00 Kyiv Register: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

We commemorate the 40th anniversary of the Chornobyl nuclear catastrophe and the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant.

Great to host @tymofiibrik.bsky.social Kyiv School of Economics @uomsoss.bsky.social after a productive day discussing possible research & teaching collaborations & a tour de force presentation we celebrated with @uompols.bsky.social - here is to future co-authorships & friendship UoM and KSE

The European Political Science Review (EPSR) has published my solo-authored paper on Affinity Voting in Europe 🤓 In it, I ask: Do voters prefer in-group politicians? Answer: Sometimes, sometimes not. Minorities prefer their in-group less often than majorities do. 🧵 doi.org/10.1017/S175...

What is the Political Sociology of Crisis?: 30 Years of Sociological Data from Ukraine A Candid Discussion and Q&A with Dr. Tymofii Brik Internationally Leading Ukrainian Sociologist and Rector of the Kyiv School of Economics 13:00 -14:30 April 24th

Last BUT CERTAINLY NOT LEAST, "(Anti)corruption and conditionality in the geopolitical enlargement: Ukraine’s EU accession in comparative perspective" @popovaprof.bsky.social @eepolitics.bsky.social tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Next, "Predicting budget robustness of Ukrainian local self-government during Russia’s war against Ukraine" Maryna Rabinovych @tymofiibrik.bsky.social Igor Piddubny Andrii Darkovich Myroslava Savisko @ValentynHatsko Serhii Tytiuk @eepolitics.bsky.social tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

New !! @eepolitics.bsky.social Symposium ‘Understanding Ukraine’s resistance, resilience and reform in the face of Russia’s war’ tandfonline.com/toc/fjcs21/4...

This @eepolitics.bsky.social symposium is the product of five years of diligent social science research on Ukraine’s resistance, resilience and reform in the face of Russia’s war tandfonline.com/toc/fjcs21/4...

The @eepolitics.bsky.social symposium introduction highlights new theoretical, empirical, and methodological lessons of studying war whilst the war unfolds and rages on. How do we study war? tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Next, "Beyond the rent-seeking: resilience and civic transformation of Ukrainian business" by Inna Melnykovska @eepolitics.bsky.social tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

New !! @eepolitics.bsky.social Symposium ‘Understanding Ukraine’s resistance, resilience and reform in the face of Russia’s war’ tandfonline.com/toc/fjcs21/4...

CHECK IT OUT @eepolitics.bsky.social Symposium ‘Understanding Ukraine’s resistance, resilience and reform in the face of Russia’s war’ tandfonline.com/toc/fjcs21/4...

New !! @eepolitics.bsky.social Symposium ‘Understanding Ukraine’s resistance, resilience and reform in the face of Russia’s war’ tandfonline.com/toc/fjcs21/4...

SAVE THE DATE. The British Association For The Study of Ukraine will host the first ever BASU National Conference “A Showcase of Research and Policy on Resistance Resilience and Recovery in the Context of Russia’s Hybrid War in Ukraine and Europe” September 23-26, 2026 @ University of Manchester!

Tomorrow millions of Ukrainians will have their traditional Easter Monday Lunch - gulash peprikash palinka with a side of borshch ;)

Orban learning the same lesson as would be (and real) autocrats everywhere. Don’t mess with Democracy and don’t mess with Ukraine ;) Much of EU breaths a sigh of relief.

#Orban admits defeat!!!!! #Hungary votes Landslide win for #Magyar and #Tisza

53% of the votes in #Tisza likely is growing if correct we are in landslide territory. #Hungary votes

45.7% of the votes in and #Tisza lead seems* to be growing. #Hungary votes

37% of vote counted

Hungary Votes! So far with only 29% of votes counted we do see an early lead for Tisza. Too soon to say for sure. We keep watching.

Interested in Hungary vote results Watch live here vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026

Analysts & politicos I spoke to in Hungary don’t want to “jinx” anything… but … all say things much like “hopefully optimistic”. Will this be the night that ends Orban’s 16 year rule?

See the night unfolds and votes come in - we will be watch how Orban reacts and what steps he takes.

Cautious Magyar says his Tisza is "optimistic" about the results. But gives no “victory” speech as such. … not yet? If polls are correct this would mean major political upheaval and a possible end to Orban’s 16 year rule.

Hungarian Polls not previously published & conducted eve of elections suggest centre-right Tisza is projected to win majority of mandates (up to 135 according to “Median” in the 199-seat parliament or 55% of vote (Kutatóközpont @telexhu.bsky.social ) ‼️potential landslide These are not exit polls