I saw something similar….

The assumption is that, by issuing the administrative stay, it's the shortest delay possible (48 hours). Had Jackson sent it to the whole court, the court may have issued a regular stay pending appeal, which could have taken weeks or months.

What I just heard from a very smart person whom I trust on these matters (just got of their livestream) was that Justice Jackson was engaging in harm reduction. Having responsibility for that circuit, she could have ruled herself or sent it to the whole court.

in general, and especially now…

Heard about this breaking news from the sudden scream of, "Are you fucking kidding me?"

Hum. Sounds like new media layoffs incoming.

I'm hearing these SNAP benefit updates: -100% Washington state -100% Michigan -100% California -Partial Illinois -Partial North Carolina -1/2 Vermont (Note that not everyone in these states received money today because their typical day of the month for benefits may not have passed yet)

Confirmation of another reason c-suites love ChatGPT: It is, indeed, bossware.

What a headline.

I admire his honesty in this case but I do not love it when the president's closest economic adviser fails to predict the massive negative impact of the administration's policy choices

Update on our Food Distribution work with Avalon & Food Gatherers! I'm still raising funds for the creating.care effort - I'm a little over halfway to the ambitious $1,000 goal I set, and would love to see us hit it by the time these distributions go live give.foodgatherers.org/campaigns/41...

public comment link for the rules change! www.michigan.gov/mdot/travel/...

The fools! They've granted me elected office! (Civic org presidency)

Challenger job cuts are not helpful macro data.

I kind of regret my enthusiastic support for nonpartisan districting... but I must remind myself that it also delivered the first in 40 or 50 years Democratic control of state government, even if that lasted only about 2 years. yay, Michigan?

1/2 Got in trouble at work in Q1 for accusations I was biased & unprofessional for accurately describing what tariffs are & what they do. I honestly think the, "You need to be more compassionate to conservatives," bit being met with a knee jerk, "I used to be a Republican," ended that witch hunt &

I need to cobble together so many scattered notes into a proper, coherent, rehearsed campaign speech, to deliver tomorrow. Most who recently served reference the role as burden rather than privilege. I hope to inspire new perspective, highlighting a more ambitious past as example for our future.

To be clear, I hate even the idea of these possible events, but if MAGA gets obliterated for its evil and its idiocy: Good! Also, please donate to www.feedingamerica.org

Mamdani: "We believe in standing up for those we love. Whether you are an immigrant, a member of the trans community, one of the many Black women that Donald Trump has fired from a federal job ... your struggle is ours too."

Mamdani: "We can respond to oligarchy and authoritarianism with the strength it fears, not the appeasement it craves. After all, if anyone can show a nation betrayed by Donald Trump how to defeat him, it is the city that gave rise to him."

really important element of this basically total victory is that it puts the fear of god in republican incumbents and may bring the redistricting push to a total halt

In 2024, my hometown elected its first-ever Democrats to local government: most of a slate, the majority LGBTQ, and they nearly wiped out every last incumbent - those incumbents well-liked & in office 20+ yrs Looks like today, my current city elected its first-ever Black and LGBTQ folk to council.

Q: How many applied microeconomists does it take to change a light bulb? A: Exploiting a unique natural experiment in which the Earth’s orbit and rotation induce plausibly exogenous variation across time and place in the availability of a close substitute to light bulbs, we find

We already lose power for days at a time every year due to grid overloads when too many people crank their air conditioning. Adding this - with no grid upgrades and no announced new capacity. Really????

Just saw the data center going up nearby is expected to use as much electricity as one million households each year. There are only four million households for this entire state, 150k for the county. Rather inclined to distrust claims this will have no grid impacts given no planned upgrades.

Anyone else getting a lot of 504 errors with FRED lately? #econsky

Point is, it's not that they couldn't do it. They didn't want to.

The USDA sent an email to grocery stores telling them they are prohibited from offering special discounts to customers affected by the SNAP funding lapse. I'm aware of at least 2 stores that had offered struggling customers a discount, then withdrew it after receiving this email

I've nothing to say about Carney / Canadian politics. But we all use a model when we do *anything* in this world, whether we think we do or not. A model may be an explicit mathematical simplification of the world, or it may be a casual, plain English prediction of "what would happen if I did X?"

My wife: "I haven't seen you so out of sorts over something like this in a long time... zombified..."

What I've heard from pantries and support orgs in SE MI, even from groups that are typically well-funded - things are already bad and they're going to get much worse. Even if the SNAP rulings are quickly complied with, there's weeks of needless deprivation ahead. If you're able to give, do it now.

Simulating economic developments as if the discretionary fiscal stimulus enacted in the past two recessions had not occurred and additional automatic fiscal stabilizers had been deployed instead, from Karen Dynan and Douglas Elmendorf www.nber.org/papers/w34411

“Why are some people motivated to circulate hostile political information? While prior studies have focused on partisan motivations, we demonstrate that some individuals circulate hostile rumors because they wish to unleash chaos …in the hope they gain status in the process.”

"only about 5% of the variance in personality can be predicted from digital footprints, and personality‐tailored messages show negligible effects on behavior... When design and evaluation flaws are controlled, the combined end‐to‐end effectiveness of psychological targeting approaches zero."

Sometimes I watch sparrows fighting and remember they are tiny dinosaurs.

Girl is out

A very nice rundown of what private data sources can and cannot tell you about the state of the economy right now.

seeing people talk about setting up mini food pantries in tandem with giving out halloween candy while corporations fund extreme makeover: white house edition is the sign of sick, broken society. i mean what in the actual fuck.

I’m increasingly seeing “different opinions” & similar language used by immoral people to trivialize their indecency, as though supporting fascism were a matter of personal taste, or equivalent to disagreeing about tax rates & charter schools.

This is an especially worrying statement when facial recognition can be inaccurate, biased, and generally make mistakes. Basing whether someone should be in the US or not, and ignoring physical media like a birth certificate, is ripe for disaster bsky.app/profile/jose...

And if the administration succeeds in anti-Constitutionally killing birthright citizenship, then your and your mom's birth certificates are irrelevant in any case.

NIMBYism is often discussed in terms of folks protecting their property values/nest egg. And I am sure that is a big part of it. But I suspect "I don't like change" and a healthy dose of racism and xenophobia are the biggest drivers.

The bots are still on this website and trying to shape your opinions. This will be the internet for the foreseeable future.

We in the policy world are quite aware, Con Ed.

so many companies say they are replacing people - laying them off - with automated systems, AI. but there has been no real auditing or regulatory approach to vetting such claims. i am deeply skeptical. think a lotta the cuts are just due to failures to sell or cut costs & prior over hiring.