Our sprawling research report is now available on substack! 🎺🎺🎺 Why Dems underperform! How voters think! How many of them think the 1% is the problem and not immigrants and DEI! (lots!) How many more mods are D than R! Clear signals from massive complicated data! Something for everyone, really! 🎁

This hopecore is actually very well supported by the data in our big report!

Coming up on The Dean Obeidallah Show: @joesudbay.bsky.social is joined by @evansutton.bsky.social, @kerryeleveld.bsky.social from @waytowinus.bsky.social, @armyofnaveed.bsky.social from @commondefense.bsky.social, and @fubarpac.bsky.social! ☎️: 866-997-4748 🔊: siriusxm.us/Dean

The Democrats need to...to build a party brand that answers voters’ real concerns and differentiates them from Republicans. That doesn’t mean behaving like a weather vane, turning in whichever direction the political winds blow. It means having the courage and strength to make your own weather." 7/

3 big problems hurt Ds in 2024: unhappiness about inflation and economic inequality; the far-right's massive media advantage; and the lack of alignment between party leaders and movement energy around Gaza and issues of racial and economic justice 4/

The @waytowinus.bsky.social report relies on extensive polling and focus group work with Democratic "defectors" -- Biden 2020 voters who had either voted for Trump or the much larger group who had sat out 2024 because they weren't convinced that either candidate really was for them. 2/

The Democratic "defectors" weren't looking for moderation -- they needed convincing that the party really was focused on their concerns and would fight for them with an economy defined by massive inequality 3/

New research from @waytowinus.bsky.social counters the Beltway narrative that Democrats need to tack right and throw progressive constituencies under the bus to win elections. @monicapotts.bsky.social @newrepublic.com 1/ newrepublic.com/article/2042...

A thread about our capstone report summarizing our deep research throughout 2025. If you are tired of moralizing about "moderation" & being told to check your values at the door of politics, THIS IS FOR YOU. Voters are looking for *fighters* & real relief from a rigged system. It's not ideological

The best kind of breaking news from @the-downballot.com Georgia Democrats flip conservative seat in yet another upset That's 25 pickups for Democrats nationwide this year—and zero for Republicans www.the-downballot.com/p/breaking-g...

We have near-final results in the 2 Florida legislative special elections. Neither flipped, but quite the swings toward Dems. —Democrats kept HD90, winning it by 28%. (Harris won here by 11%.) —The GOP kept SD11, winning it by 18%. (Trump won here by 40%.) Plus, Dems flipped the Miami mayorship.

Agents in Key Largo, Florida ripped this woman wearing medical scrubs out of her car as she screamed she is a US citizen. Agents cuffed her and put her in one of their cars. She was eventually let go, per David Goodhue of the Miami Herald, who also took this footage:

Great discussion on GA--the whopping statewide wins earlier this month and what's possible next year. Check it!

This is funny. Gov. Greg Abbott delayed in scheduling the #TX18 special—which is taking place under the old lines—and almost certainly did so to keep a Dem seat vacant. The court cites that still-ongoing special as proof that reverting to the old lines would not be disruptive. Oops!

if you're banging drums of war, tell us how your kids are enlisted and plan to fight don't send other people's kids to die for another GOP president leading us into a war for oil based on lies

a big runoff last night, in New Orleans: Calvin Duncan was exonerated after spending *28 years* in prison; he tried to get his own case records from the New Orleans city clerk—but the office dragged its feet. So Duncan ran to become city clerk himself, and yesterday ousted the incumbent.

More Kavanaugh stops in action.

Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice aren't hard-headed realists, they're pushing against the electoral tide rather than leaning into it. The story of Gen Z isn't about racist backlash or red-pilled young men. It's the most racially progressive generation in American history. 🧵

This cannot be stressed enough--Trump/GOP immigration overreach has turned ICE into a losing cause. No one wants masked federal agents randomly disappearing people, zip tying citizens, and tear gassing children

I think we need to start visualizing the Trump Presidency ending, and socialize it. For it is the right thing to do for the country and the American people.

José's crew spent a week in August battling the Bear Gulch fire, then a 9,000-acre blaze + largest in 70+ years in WA’s Olympic Peninsula. Border Patrol showed up to his remote forest location, surrounded the crew + ultimately arrested José + another immigrant firefighter. "It’s backstabbing.”

Cruz-Estrada and his firefighter colleague were out there protecting his community and state. This is what Trump and Miller's goons said of them: "While Hernandez was handcuffed, he heard a border patrol agent compare immigrants to a bunch of “stray cats” that required “animal control”, he wrote."

JUST POSTED: Everyone Is Wrong, our response to the recent series of arguments that – based on the hypothesis that Harris lost and Dems underperformed in 2024 due to (summarizing broadly) voters’ perceptions that Dems are too far left – Democrats need to move right to win.

18-29 vote share by total and by age/gender NJ Gov 66-31 Sherrill. Men 57-43, Women 81-19 VA Gov 70-29 Spanberger. Men 58-41, Women 82-18 NYC Mayor Mamdani 76-Cuomo 21-Sliwa 5 Men 65-27-3 Women 82-14-3 18-29 Men: Mamdani 65 Sherrill 57 Spanberger 58 Source: hella basic CNN exits

I continue to be AMAZED at how 💯 committed this administration is to punishing American families. On what planet is this a reasonable course of action?

Why Not Just Arrest the Protestors? CBP and ICE Officials Muse talkingpointsmemo.com/news/why-not...

grandpa really might be cooked on the economy. if this is the best he's got it's gonna be a brutal midterm for Republicans

Here's the formula, folks: "Much of what we have learned and communicated validates the approach that won in 2025: fight not fold, focus on affordability, make a populist argument that names the villains, and respond to cultural attacks."

JUST POSTED: some thoughts about the arguments of the past few weeks, Tuesday's election results, and where we are headed from here.

JUST POSTED: new Charting ep with Diana Valles, President of the legendary @culinary226.bsky.social union. It's going to take a lot of collective power to build an economy with better options than hoping to hit a jackpot in Vegas: 📺 youtu.be/hDPgvpUHn1Q?... 🍎 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

Looking at this a bit more closely, this guy won PRECISELY BECAUSE he raised the "salience" of immigration via attacking ICE raids, and this won by a sizable margin in one of the most important swing counties of all, Bucks County in Pennsylvania.

Imagine having a kid in this daycare who watches as their teacher is bodily dragged away by masked goons.

Mamdani's directive to Trump to "TURN THE VOLUME UP!" is the single most aggressive, effective, and impactful phrase I have heard from a Trump rival since dawn of the Trump era

No one has figured out the exact scale of the Hispanic vote collapse yet, but I tried to get my arms around it. Read the rest here: www.thebulwark.com/p/2025-elect...

HAVE YOU VOTED YET? 🇺🇸

Last week was a bit of a blur - we got the ep up but not the post, so: NEW FOCUS GROUP SOUND on this week's Charting the Way Forward!! We had on @caseyclowesaz.bsky.social and checked in with voters in AZ and NV - 🧵 📺 www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb1S... 🍎 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

And they called it the the Great Epstein Recess of 2025

Pretty clear that Trump is building a private club at the White House, a northern Mar-a-Lago, where the price of admission will be bribes in the tens of millions of dollars.

Also, please read and vigorously share this response. Move to the center has won a few skirmishes but lost many more, and this strategy is losing the war.

The Kavanaugh Stop is now happening.

AOC has just officially become the top House fundraiser, beating out Hakeem Jeffries. Now lemme take a big sip of coffee as I look at the age distribution of donors to AOC vs Jeffries

He solicited bribes. That's what Trump did here. There's no reason to pretend it's anything else.

New Charting the Way Forward with @replsimon.bsky.social on the ongoing Democratic Party Home Makeover, talking about California Prop 50, how it's going in Congress, and shared visions for rebuilding the party. 📺 www.youtube.com/watch?v=jS5P... 🍎 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

Lot of news in the Maine Senate race today, so here's @grahamformaine.bsky.social at our #Persuasion2025 even in DC two weeks ago.

From @msignorile.bsky.social: The GOP has only brought enormous attention to #NoKings protests That's good, because the corporate media is doing a terrible job open.substack.com/pub/signoril...

These are the same kind of weasels who would’ve called George Washington & America’s revolutionaries “terrorists.” They spend their days sucking up to King Trump & demonizing peaceful protest just as some in America sought to appease King George III.  Looking forward to No Kings Day.

HANDS OFF TISH JAMES. TODAY. 5:30. FOLEY SQUARE. www.mobilize.us/ny-wfp/event...

"After a few moments of laughter, the No Kings Coalition issued the following statement"