I'm not joking when I say mRNA technology is more important than "AI" and it's a tragedy we're throwing billions into one while our government is aggressively defunding the other.

I’m sorry I know who the HHS secretary is no phrase cooked up at any university will be as batshit as that man.

Listen say what you will about Zohran Mamdani, but egg & cheese with jalapeños is a great breakfast sandwich. I also add bacon sometimes.

shouldn't be allowed to choose their own clerks, shouldn't be allowed to accept fees for speaking or prize money or awards. shouldn't be able to get book deals, etc. etc. if what you want is to be famous, well, no one is forcing you to be a supreme court justice.

this reminds me, i don't think SCOTUS should be allowed to choose their own clerks. standardize the hiring schedule, put the applications in a pool, blind reads (perhaps by a panel of former clerks) and random assignments.

Geenachella 🎶

Now let people accelerate research on mRNA

@stockingthecapitol.org has absolutely great explainers on money in politics. His breakdown of Track AIPAC’s methodology is very good.

Also the abuse of Eliza Cooney, his live in babysitter, occurred in the late 90s. He was hanging out with Epstein around the same time.

very interesting; this is something that folks have long suspected as a factor in the post-covid downturn in consumer sentiment and it is good to see the effect empirically documented

Blue shell the rich

The irony of this initiative is that Harvard’s Department of Government was the academic hub of the first generation of neoconservatives and Harvey Mansfield alone has probably produced more conservative undergrad and grad students than all Marxist faculty at Harvard combined.

Withholding military aid to Israel was a majority position, according to the poll we did in April *2024.* 72% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans supported it. We were not an outlier.

I for one am glad that YouGov is producing polls interesting to my 4 year old

I Stripped All the Copper Wiring Out of My Country's University System and All I Got Was This Work Permit That Cost Mid-Six Figures

Congress taking over the clerkship system is a big piece of Supreme Court reform we need.

"Chevron executive says Americans should drive less" is just chef's kiss

Several people's research agendas:

if you want to know how you too can make anything about state politics, just look up who Alix Earle's stepmother is.

I’ll jump into the “good econ, bad public vibes” debate w/ individual-level data: a 10/2024 YouGov survey by @cccr.bsky.social. I was inspired by Elliot’s analysis below, which shows sustained high prices are probably one cause, even w/ low year-over-year increases now. 1/ bsky.app/profile/gell...

Anybody could be struck by lightning at any time, but if Mills had anything more than what’s already out, it should’ve been out a month ago.

The Archbishop of Washington DC is a Havard Man with a Ph.D. from Stanford in political science.

I don't like it when the crowd sings the whole song at a live music performance.

honestly, the polling looks good. too close for comfort, but not a time to panic...yet.

As Barack Obama once said, “gotta have them ribs…”

the demographic cliff is here.

In another massive data set of more than 1.5 million children ‌born between 1997 and 2022, the use of Tylenol during pregnancy was NOT associated with autism, even after accounting for ​individual risk factors. Autism was diagnosed in 1.8% of children exposed to Tylenol and 3% of the unexposed group.

Re-read @charliejane.bsky.social ‘s incredible book ALL THE BIRDS IN THE SKY for the “Surviving Dystopia” book club I’m in. It hits even harder ten years later. Also I’m looking forward to showing off my signed copy!

Hey, fuck this idea. Folks should get over time!

The NIIIIIGHT THEY DROVE OLD DIXIE DOWN!

The index of consumer sentiment isn't broken; models that try to predict it just don't have the right input variables. I fix that and find that, yes, high nominal price levels explain why the vibes are so off. It's the prices, stupid www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-04-14...

“A new CBS News/YouGov poll found Trump's approval among white voters without college degrees — the backbone of his movement — has swung from +36 early in his term to underwater at -4, a 40-point collapse.” www.axios.com/2026/04/14/t...

Economists were able to convince everyone they’re scientists when they’re not

Someone compiled all of the Calvin and Hobbes strips about Calvin’s polls of his Dad, which is proof that good people do exist on the internet imgur.com/a/poll-resul...

This is NUTS www.thehandbasket.co/p/trump-usai...

in re:

in re:

On Yom HaShoah, I am once again forever grateful that the Holocaust education I received - including from unbelievably brave survivors who jumped off trains to Dachau & lived through other miracles - taught me that the whole point was Never Again For Anyone. Not just Never Again For The Jews.

In all seriousness, Swalwell and Gonzales resigning does signal shame does actually work. For the longest time, Washington has been immune to shame and even the most disgraced scandal-ridden politicians don't leave unless they are made to. Shame does work

"This line of inquiry fundamentally misunderstands the role of political access journalism, publishing, and, perhaps most critically of all, some pretty sweet jacket design."

Teaching about migration and population growth in southern politics tomorrow. This one says more than 1000 academic articles ever could.

NEW—I got an exclusive excerpt from a USAID whistleblower's new book that made me gasp multiple times. It details Trump's dismantling of the humanitarian aid agency & his team/DOGE's shocking ignorance to public health. 'Into the Wood Chipper' by Nicholas Enrich is out tomorrow. Read excerpt here:

HPV vaccines have NOTHING to do with “parental values”, as RFK Jr.’s surrogate claims. You could have sex with a single partner—your spouse—and become infected. If your parental values include a desire for your child to die from a vaccine preventable disease, your values need an adjustment.

this is the thing i always tell my students about data, even if we can point to its imperfections: it's usually better than vibes, bullshit, and pulling it out of our ass. i should probably be more decorous in class but...

i told you guys. unless you're a professional take haver or British person, you don't actually care about trans people playing sports

This woman is a handpicked Trump supporter from Arkansas and she is less anti-trans than the median Atlantic columnist

There is nothing but good news for Dems in this poll. Sand leading in the Governor race, the Senate race is close, and if the generic ballot numbers are right, Dems pick up 3 seats in the House.

We have some awesome signed copies so come by or shop online and we'll get them out to ya!

Bishop Robert Barron, who serves on Trump’s own religious liberty commission and has appeared with the president on multiple occasions recently, has released a statement that asks Trump to apologize to Pope Leo. This is notable from Barron, who has often aligned publicly w/Trump and/or his allies.