Our research makes it clear: by capitulating to the right, Labour is driving voters to Reform UK | Tarik Abou-Chadi and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte

Forthcoming in AEJ: Applied Economics: "Which Reference Groups Matter and How? A Relative Income Information Experiment with Administrative Data" by Xiaogeng Xu, Satu Metsälampi, Michael Kirchler, Kaisa Kotakorpi, Peter Hans Matthews, and Topi Miettinen. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

All is not well at Elsevier richardtol.substack.com/p/fraud-and-...

1/ Uudessa @labore.fi analyysissä tutkimme koulutusasteiden, -sektorien ja -alojen välisten tuloerojen kehitystä 35–40-vuotiaiden ikäryhmässä 2015–2023. Tulokset perustuvat regressioanalyyseihin, joissa on kontrolloitu mm. peruskoulumenestystä ja perhetaustaa. labore.fi/julkaisu/mik...

Olen kyllä tavattoman ylpeä voidessani kertoa, että 75-vuotisjuhlaluentosarjassamme oli tänään vuorossa nobelisti Bengt Holmström 💪 Ravisteleva, inspiroiva puheenvuoro Euroopan tilasta ja tiestä eteenpäin. Muutenkin Bengt on aivan upea ja valloittava ihminen 👍 #Turunkauppakorkeakoulu @utu.fi

All of us—including myself—should publish fewer but better papers. And we should spend more of our time on scrutinizing existing work, so we know which claims can be trusted. But that's hard work with little recognition. Thanks @sophieehill.bsky.social for doing it. Impressive 🕵️‍♀️ work. Fun to read.

🚨 The Virtual Workshop in Historical Political Economy is back! 🚨 For the new academic year, we have an amazing line up of papers for you! In our inaugural session 2 HPE superstars will join us: @annagbusse.bsky.social (Stanford) will present & @jvoth.bsky.social (Zurich) discuss! I can't wait. 😀

Tutkimus: Eduskuntapuheiden poliittinen polarisaatio on kasvanut 1990-luvulta, mutta jää edelleen kauas 1970-luvun tasosta. Tutkijaryhmässä: @jerniemin.bsky.social @jannetukiainen.bsky.social & Salla Simola. Lue koko tiedote ja tutustu tutkimukseen 👉 labore.fi/julkaisu/edu...

The Complutense University of Madrid, Spain, is pleased to organize the 53th Meeting of the European Public Choice Society. The event will take place on March 23-25, 2026. Submit your paper: www.epcsmadrid2026.es Deadline for submissions: 30 November 2025.

In many countries, mainstream politicians are adopting rhetoric and policies that typical of the far-right. Our new paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social and E Dinas), out now in the @bjpols.bsky.social, finds that doing so erodes norms more than when far-right politicians make similar statements. 1/3

NEW: The first evidence of a solar take-off in Africa☀️✈️ x33 rise in Algeria solar panel imports in the 12 mths to June 2025, compared to previous 12 mths. x8 in Zambia x7 in Botswana x6 in Sudan x3 in each of Liberia, DRC, Benin, Angola, Ethiopia 🧵

The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference! 📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast
 🗓️ June 18–20, 2026
 📍 ICC Belfast
 📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025 🧵

For SD Parties this means that as long as their program is economically to the left, it does not matter much to working class voters what it includes culturally e.g. on immigration. In contrast, educated middle class voters will punish a program for being less culturally progressive.

In "Who is Mobilized to Vote by Short Text Messages?," a nationwide RCT in Finland shows GOTV texts increased turnout among low-propensity voters. Read more from Salomo Hirvonen, @maarit.bsky.social, Lauri Sääksvuori, & @jannetukiainen.bsky.social: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

🧵 @chflachsland.bsky.social and I posted the first draft of our Climate Politics Framework (CPF) paper—our attempt to provide a structured synthesis of the insights of modern social science into why ambitious climate mitigation is politically such a wicked problem, and under osf.io/preprints/so...

Huikea saavutus! Ja tähän päälle vielä STN-rahoitukset ja Akatemiaprofessuurit. Onnea kaikille myönnön saaneille 💪 @utu.fi #tiede #tutkimus www.utu.fi/fi/ajankohta...

Liberal democracy is facing global pressure. The RESLIDE project examines the state of liberal democracy in Finland and seeks to tackle backsliding. The aim is to reinforce democratic values and bolster the institutions upholding them, says RESLIDE's Åsa von Schoultz. ➡️ reslide.fi/en/democracy...

Human death rates rose over 4% in vulture-suitable districts after vulture decline, with evidence of more rabies, feral dogs, and worsened water quality in those areas. Research from @eyalfrank.bsky.social (@harrissocial.bsky.social) and Anant Sudarshan 🐦 ow.ly/5m7550VYOZW #EconSky

Erään torstain kokouksemme lopuksi kysyin vielä, pitäisikö niille äänestyslapuille tehdä jotain. Tehtiin. Syntyi simulaatio: miltä vaalitulos olisi näyttänyt, jos ihmiset olisivat osanneet äänestää?

Update: We submitted the comment to the Journal of Population Economics, and today we got a desk reject with this motivation. However, we do not know their conclusion about the main results and why the paper was not retracted. Clearly, they do not hold. 1/4

It's fashionable to badmouth economics, but time and again it shows its enormous policy value.

#IEBseminars: "Preaching to the Future..." 🗣️ @jannetukiainen.bsky.social#IEBseminars:📅  Tuesday 13 Info👉 https://f.mtr.cool/rsstuijjfq

We have an opportunity to save more lives around the world than ever before—and I want to do even more to help. That's why I'm giving away virtually all of my wealth through the Gates Foundation over the next 20 years.

🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵

🧵 Why are young voters in Europe shifting to the populist right? Is TikTok playing a role? A new study investigates Finnish voters and reveals an interesting paradox: Young people have broadly liberal policy preferences— Yet they are much more likely to vote for the populist right. 1/8 #EconSky

🗳️ Populism is a warning sign. English local elections show it again: People feel abandoned & look scapegoats. Drawing on own research & others, I argue 👇🏽 💡 To counter populism: We need to reinvest in citizens, e.g. housing, health & dignity. Short 🧵 📖 www.socialeurope.eu/to-counter-p...

Given the local election results in the UK, a short #thread - based on much of our own research - on the vicious cycle of radical right support that we have seen in many countries. 1) When radical right parties (such as Reform) are electorally successful established parties move right on immigration

The Finnish Academy of Science and Letters has elected me as a member! 1st of May (Vappu) is always a big party in Finland and my favorite festival. This year champagne consumption may be on my part even more excessive than usual. acadsci.fi/jasenet-kate...

I need the “Campaign in prose. Govern in econometrics.” t-shirt.

"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages.

Yhteisöveron lasku ei ole tehokas tapa lisätä investointeja ja talouskasvua, sanoo Jarkko Harju Tampereen yliopistosta. - Tässä tullaan menettämään verotuloja lyhyellä aikavälillä todella paljon. Investointivaikutuksiin liittyy hyvin suurta epävarmuutta. yle.fi/a/74-2015807...

Looks like almost everyone studying gender has their NSF funding revoked today.

🧵 THREAD: Can a short online intervention help defend democracy against partisan polarization? In our new study - just published in the @bjpols.bsky.social - my colleagues and I tested this question across 33 countries 🌍 with over 41,000 participants 🧑‍🤝‍🧑. Here’s what we found 👇

Kun kuulette kasvuehdotuksia, johon kuuluu sekä paljon veroalennuksia että panostuksia "kasvua tukeviin toimiin", olkaa kriittisiä ja uskokaa mieluummin aihetta koskevaan tutkimusnäyttöön kuin kaiken maailman "kokemusasiantuntijoihin" ja niiden äänitorveihin.

Forthcoming in AEJ: Applied Economics: "The Long-Term Impacts of Mixing the Rich and Poor: Evidence from Conscript Dorms" by Elias Einiö. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

We’re excited to introduce the Swedish Municipal Council Database! This open-access resource contains our hand-coded data for all local politicians in Sweden's democratic local elections between 1919 and 2018. A 🧵 Co-authors 🤩 @abrarbawati.bsky.social, @josefinemagnusson.bsky.social Moa Frödin

Some thoughts on the strategic rationale behind the "Brandmauer” – the cordon sanitaire vis-à-vis the AfD – and the challenges associated with maintaining it. Seems pertinent, given that senior CDU/CSU figures regularly float the idea of ditching it and exploring avenues for closer cooperation.

Currently in FirstView: "When Can We Trust Regression Discontinuity Design Estimates from Close Elections? Evidence from Experimental Benchmarks" by Leandro De Magalhães, Dominik Hangartner, Salomo Hirvonen, @jmerilainen.bsky.social, Nelson Ruiz, and @jannetukiainen.bsky.social.

In Riga, three new executive board members for @theepcs.bsky.social were elected: Ekaterina Borisova from @univlille.bsky.social, Niklas Potrafke from Ifo Institut and Janne Tukainen @jannetukiainen.bsky.social from the University of Turku @utu.fi

Voiko vyöruusurokote ehkäistä muistisairauksia? Uusi Nature-lehden tutkimus hyödyntää eleganttia luonnollista koeasetelmaa, syntymäajan perusteella määräytynyttä rokotusoikeutta (regressioepäjatkuvuus) ja osoittaa n. 20 % suht. vähenemän dementiadiagnooseissa 💉🧠 👉 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Selvitys perintöverosta luovutusvoittoveroon siirtymisestä on nyt julkaistu @vatt-tutkimus.bsky.social, Datahuone vatt.fi/-/vatt-perin...

Varallisuuserot ja niiden kehitys ovat olleet viime päivinä esille TK:n uuden varallisuustutkimuksen myötä. Seuraavassa 4 syytä miksi en tiedä, mitä esillä olleista tuloksista pitäisi ajatella taloudellisen eriarvoisuuden kannalta:

As @cpsjournal.bsky.social editor I read about 100 peer-reviews per month. A 🧵 on what makes a great review: 1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence) 2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.

🧵 Who enters politics? Are politicians different from the general population? In our @jeeanews.bsky.social paper (M. Jokela, @jannetukiainen.bsky.social, Å. von Schoultz), we study Finnish politicians’ cognitive and personality traits using military conscription test data. 📊

🧵 Ketkä lähtevät politiikkaan? Ovatko poliitikot erilaisia kuin muu väestö? Tutkimuksemme (M. Jokela, @jannetukiainen.bsky.social, Å. von Schoultz) poliitikkojen kognitiivisista ja persoonallisuuspiirteistä on nyt hyväksytty vertaisarvioituun @jeeanews.bsky.social-lehteen.

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

Kuntavaalit lähestyvät, joten nyt lienee hyvä aika palauttaa pinnalle vähän kunnallispolitiikkaan liittyvää tutkimusta. Tässä blogipostaus, jonka kirjoitimme viime vaalien aikaan @jannetukiainen.bsky.social kanssa: vatt.fi/-/aanestajil...

From our upcoming issue: "Politicians’ Labor Market Experiences Across Party Families" by Olle Folke (@ollefolke.bsky.social ), Johanna Rickne (@johannarickne.bsky.social), and Jan Szulkin. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Irlannin verotus on optimoitu monikansallisten yhtiöiden houkuttelemiseen eikä paikallisen yrittäjyyden kannustamiseen. Suomessa verotus on vertailussa kohtuullisen houkutteleva sekä liikkuvalle pääomalle että yrittäjyydelle. Selitän @mustread.bsky.social € www.mustread.fi/blogit/useat...