Georgi Engelbrecht
@duriandiaries.bsky.social
đ€ 1156
đ„ 1346
đ 90
Senior Analyst @CrisisGroup. Posts on Philippines, Peace Processes+Deterrence and Durians.
reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Naval News
6 days ago
On 18 December, Indonesia named and launched its first domestically built Merah Putih-class frigate, KRI Balaputradewa (322). This marked a major milestone in the countryâs naval modernisation and defence-industrial development đźđ© By
@fmalufti.bsky.social
www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2...
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Indonesia Launches First Domestically Built Arrowhead 140âBased Frigate - Naval News
On 18 December, Indonesia named and launched its first domestically built Merah Putih (Red White)-class frigate, KRI Balaputradewa (322).
https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2025/12/indonesia-launches-first-domestically-built-arrowhead-140-based-frigate/
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
The Lowy Institute
about 1 month ago
âA new book examines Russia's decade-long engagement with the region and finds more rhetoric than real influenceâ Read Georgi Engelbrecht in The Interpreter.
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/great-aspirations-examining-russia-s-role-southeast-asia
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Great aspirations? Examining Russiaâs role in Southeast Asia
A new book examines Russia's decade-long engagement with the region and finds more rhetoric than real influence.
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/great-aspirations-examining-russia-s-role-southeast-asia
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Maria Carmen (Ica) Fernandez
2 months ago
Sharing a short discussion paper in this monograph released by UP CIDS on navigating multiple contesting land claims under a peace deal. Nothing new for communities confronting these painful questions for decades, but one of the many difficult conversations needed. Download:
lnkd.in/gQu5yhqR
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
about 1 month ago
âïžNEW OP-ED | The Philippinesâ Defense Posture in Troubled Waters To navigate todayâs turbulent geopolitics, the country must speed up defense upgrades with greater resolve and redouble its diplomatic efforts, writes
@duriandiaries.bsky.social
.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
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Through the Tempest: The Philippinesâ Defense Posture in Troubled Waters | International Crisis Group
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific/philippines/through-tempest-philippines-defense-posture-troubled-waters?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
russell h
2 months ago
Looks like Pynchon is having a moment.
#pynchon
#lot49
#iykyk
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thediplomat.com/2025/11/thro...
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Through the Tempest: The Philippinesâ Defense Posture in Troubled Waters
Domestic challenges threaten to derail the militaryâs efforts to upgrade its capabilities and reorient itself toward new strategic priorities.
https://thediplomat.com/2025/11/through-the-tempest-the-philippines-defense-posture-in-troubled-waters/
about 2 months ago
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news.usni.org/2025/10/31/u...
"While the size and scope of Task Force Philippines is unclear, the initiative follows the previously established Task Force Ayungin."
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U.S. Unveils Philippine Task Force to Deter Chinese Coercion - USNI News
This post has been updated with a statement from U.S. Pacific Fleet. American and Philippine defense secretaries unveiled a task force designed to deter Chinese coercion in the South China Sea and enh...
https://news.usni.org/2025/10/31/u-s-unveils-philippine-task-force-to-deter-chinese-coercion
about 2 months ago
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Bangsamoro's regional government statement on the peace agreement signed 13 years ago.
2 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
3 months ago
đ 30 years ago,
@crisisgroup.org
was born from the international communityâs failure to prevent war in Bosnia. Last weekend, we returned to Sarajevo - where it all began - for our board meeting, joined by every past president. Hereâs to the next 30 years of peacebuilding.
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Sense Hofstede
2 months ago
US and China roll out tit-for-tat port fees, threatening more turmoil at sea â Reuters: âChina said it had started to collect the special charges on U.S.-owned, operated, built, or flagged vessels but clarified that Chinese-built ships would be exempted from the levies.â
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US, China to roll out tit-for-tat port fees, threatening more turmoil at sea
The United States and China on Tuesday will begin charging additional port fees on ocean shipping firms that move everything from holiday toys to crude oil, making the high seas a key front in the trade war between the world's two largest economies.
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/us-china-roll-out-tit-for-tat-port-fees-threatening-more-turmoil-sea-2025-10-14/
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Today would have been Bangsamoro's first parliamentary election. The polls, however, have been postponed. I recorded this podcast a few week ago before this latest plot twist:
open.spotify.com/episode/12uS...
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Spotify â Web Player
https://open.spotify.com/episode/12uSOqXJKQyA5bU2zntKNK
2 months ago
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Watch the recording from the discussion about
#Philippines
#defence
Modernisation & đ”đ -đșđž
#alliance
www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9lq...
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Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippinesâ Military Modernisation Effort
YouTube video by International Crisis Group
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9lqc-aOJWg
4 months ago
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www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/...
ONLINE EVENT | Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippinesâ Military Modernisation Effort 25 August | 8am Bangkok | 11am Canberra | 9pm Washington DC Registration:
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippinesâ Military Modernisation Effort | International Crisis Group
Monday 25 August, 9pm Washington, DCTuesday 26 August, 8am Bangkok | 9am Manila | 11am CanberraPlease register here if you would like to attend this online event.
https://www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/events/riding-unruly-waves-philippines-military-modernisation-effort
4 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
4 months ago
ONLINE EVENT | Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippinesâ Military Modernisation Effort 25 August | 8am Bangkok | 11am Canberra | 9pm Washington DC w/ Lindsey W. Ford, Rommel Jude Ong,
@duriandiaries.bsky.social
, and
@le2huong.bsky.social
. Registration âŹïž
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Michael Mirasol
4 months ago
A good thread for anyone interested in Philippine geopolitics.
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
9. Read more in our
@crisisgroup.org
report on the Philippine defence modernisation:
www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
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Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippinesâ Military Modernisation Effort | International Crisis Group
As they watch Beijing become more assertive in the South China Sea, Philippine leaders are adapting the countryâs external defences while tending to partnerships with the U.S. and others. To manage th...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific/south-east-asia/philippines-china-united-states/349-riding-unruly-waves-philippines-military-modernisation-effort
4 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
1. I have spent the last days in the Bangsamoro region in the southern Philippines. But despite the ever-present security challenges and the complex peace process, another trend is evident: The re-orientation of the Armed Forces of the Philippines. đ§”
4 months ago
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1. I have spent the last days in the Bangsamoro region in the southern Philippines. But despite the ever-present security challenges and the complex peace process, another trend is evident: The re-orientation of the Armed Forces of the Philippines. đ§”
4 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
4 months ago
NEW REPORT | Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippinesâ Military Modernisation Effort Under President Marcos, the Philippines is shifting focus from internal to external threats amid increased great power competition.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
ABS-CBN News
6 months ago
'We need more': PH Air Force says acquisition of multi-role fighters still part of plans
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'We need more': PH Air Force says acquisition of multi-role fighters still part of plans
The Philippine government's acquisition of twelve more FA-50 light combat aircraft will not diminish the chances of acquiring other multi-role fighters (MRF) as these are different platforms that would enhance the Philippine Air Force's (PAF) fleet.
https://abs-cbn.com/news/nation/2025/6/17/ph-air-force-says-acquisition-of-multi-role-fighters-still-part-of-plans-1551?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=bluesky
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
As we mark our 30th anniversary, new challenges lie ahead and our work remains essential at a moment of danger for the world. As
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org
explains, putting a spotlight on conflicts that are neglected, often deprioritised, or off the radar remains essential.
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
NEW REPORT | The U.S., China and the Search for a New Equilibrium As China projects its advancing military capabilities and the U.S. sends mixed messages about security assurance, Washington and Beijing should resume talks to manage any risks of escalation.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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"With so much of Philippine power concentrated in the capital with varying degrees of devolution to local vassals, Malacañangâs hand is never truly hidden."
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
7 months ago
As đșđž Def Sec warns đšđł attack on Taiwan âcould be imminentâ, @CrisisGroup takes a look at Taiwanese Pres Lai Ching-te 1st yr. âĄïžCross-strait relations are esp fraught. âĄïžTaipei & Beijing are increasingly at odds. âŹïž Hereâs what can be done to lower temperature.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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President Laiâs First Year Sees Increased Tensions across the Taiwan Strait | International Crisis Group
As Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te completes his first year in office, cross-strait relations have become especially fraught. Crisis Group expert William Yang explains why Taipei and Beijing are incr...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-east-asia/taiwan-strait-china/president-lais-first-year-sees-increased-tensions-across-taiwan-strait?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Shashank Joshi
7 months ago
Anwar asked about Chinese coercion of Philippines in SCS. Says ASEAN âworking towardsâ code of conduct (đ€) but right now âno real clarityâ. Says PRC-Phil tensions âexaggeratedâ & âno way out except engagementâ.
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Troy Lee-Brown
7 months ago
US & PH militaries will train in maritime security, live-fire & amphibious operations. The GSDF (incl Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade) & ROK marines will take part in disaster relief training. 1st time ARDB participates with ROK peer in multinat training exercise
asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Int...
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US-Philippine military exercise joined by Japan, South Korea forces
Asian partners seek deeper cooperation to counter China-Russia-North Korea ties
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Indo-Pacific/US-Philippine-military-exercise-joined-by-Japan-South-Korea-forces
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
The Manila Times
7 months ago
MANILA, Philippines â Tension erupted in a clash on Monday between residents of Barangay 262 and 264 in Tondo, Manila and members of a demolition team backed by the police. READ:
tmt.news/2120940
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Tondo residents clash with police-backed demolition team
MANILA, Philippines â Tension erupted in a clash on Monday between residents of Barangay 262 and 264 in Tondo, Manila and members of a demolition team backed by the police.
https://tmt.news/2120940
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Friso Dubbelboer
7 months ago
"Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has called for a joint ASEAN action plan to address the growing tariff threat. Anwar said.. that, while bilateral talks between member states and the U.S. would continue, the bloc must present a united front."
www.japantimes.co.jp/business/202...
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U.S. tariff tensions test Southeast Asian leaders at regional summit
ASEAN leaders will express deep concern over U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff blitz when they meet at a summit Monday, according to a draft statement.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/05/24/economy/us-tariff-tensions-asean-summit/
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In case you missed it: Our report
@crisisgroup.org
.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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Asia in Flux: The U.S., China and the Search for a New Equilibrium | International Crisis Group
The U.S. and China are reshaping the Indo-Pacific security architecture. As China rises, and the U.S. sends mixed messages about its intentions, Asian countries are beefing up their own militaries. Be...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-east-asia/china-united-states/347-asia-flux-us-china-and-search-new-equilibrium
7 months ago
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Everyday legacies of the Pacific War. Santa Mesa, Manila.
7 months ago
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Tune in to our event! The report:
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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Featured on a TV segment in the Philippines yesterday talking about the Bangsamoro Peace Process and why it matters.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9UBZ...
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Engelbrecht: Disarmament in BARMM remains a problem | The Big Story
YouTube video by One PH
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9UBZwn9npTY
7 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
NEW VIDEO | U.S. - China | Asia's Military Modernisation As the security landscape in the Indo-Pacific transforms, we introduce our new series of reports that look into the intensifying great power competition between the U.S. and China.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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U.S.-China | Asia's Military Modernisation | International Crisis Group
As the security landscape in the Indo-Pacific transforms, Crisis Groupâs Deputy Director for Asia, Huong Le Thu, looks at how threat perceptions about Chinaâs strategic ambitions, concerns about Washi...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-east-asia/china-united-states/us-china-asias-military-modernisation?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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On the ground in the Bangsamoro region in the Philippines to see how the local and midterm elections in the region shape national politics and the peace process.
8 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
8 months ago
Today Sudan enters its third year of war. As the worldâs largest humanitarian crisis deepens, there are growing risks of the conflict escalating. Letâs hope the UKâs one day conference today focuses on how to stem the countryâs destruction & fragmentation.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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Two Years On, Sudanâs War is Spreading | Crisis Group
After the Sudanese army recaptured Khartoum, many hoped that Sudanâs war would start winding down. Instead, as it enters its third year, the conflict is escalating and likely to expand in scope, unles...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/sudan/two-years-sudans-war-spreading?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
9 months ago
đš Weâve launched our new online blog this week, âThe Analystâs Notebookâ, where our
@crisisgroup.org
experts will share reporting and analysis on breaking news events in real time.
@bcfinucane.bsky.social
@alivaez.bsky.social
www.crisisgroup.org/latest-updat...
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Latest Updates | Crisis Group
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latest-updates?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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The events of 11 March still occupy the Philippines. After former president Duterte's arrest, some thoughts for G-Zero:
www.gzeromedia.com/news/watchin...
More recently, I talked on a podcast about this and other topics relating to the Philippines. Tune In!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...
9 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
9 months ago
ONLINE EVENT | Whatâs Driving the Red Sea Crisis and How to Stop It? 8 April 2025 | 4pm Sanaa | 3pm Brussels | 9am Washington Registration âŹïž
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
9 months ago
Understaffed and underfunded, Haitiâs foreign mission is struggling to rein in surging gang violence. Instead of rushing toward elections, the transitional government should focus on the nuts and bolts of responsible governance.
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
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Locked in Transition: Politics and Violence in Haiti | Crisis Group
Criminal gangs have tightened their grip on much of Port-au-Prince, with the multinational security mission making little headway and transitional authorities mired in internal disputes. The UN Securi...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/caribbean/haiti/107-locked-transition-politics-and-violence-haiti?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
9 months ago
âWhat has been happening in the last week has been an incredible trauma for most of the European countries in a sense [that] their world is collapsing onto them and they feel betrayed.â GĂ©rard Araud on Donald Trumpâs foreign policy so far.
www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...
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Trump, France and European Security | Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with GĂ©rard Araud, Crisis Group Trustee and former French ambassador to the U.S., the UN and Israel about Donald Trumpâs foreign policy, transatlantic rela...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia-united-states-ukraine-russia-internal-france/trump-france-and-european-security?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Matt Wheeler
10 months ago
âfresh militant attacks are a reminder that a cessation of hostilities is more often an effect of peace talks than a precondition.â My thoughts on violence in southernmost Thailand.
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Time for Thai govt, BRN to talk
Dialogue between the Thai government and Malay separatists marked its 12-year anniversary on Feb 28, but violence in the southernmost provinces remains an open wound on the Thai body politic. A dreadf...
https://www.bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinion/2978133/time-for-thai-govt-brn-to-talk
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
10 months ago
There is no one remedy for Latin Americaâs sprawling criminal ecosystem, though experience offers evidence of what has not worked.
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
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Curbing Violence in Latin Americaâs Drug Trafficking Hotspots | Crisis Group
More than 50 years into the âwar on drugsâ, trade in illicit narcotics continues to flourish in Latin America, often leaving mayhem in its wake. Experience suggests that a mix of approaches, including...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/colombia-ecuador-guatemala-honduras-mexico/108-curbing-violence-latin-america-drug-trafficking-hotspots?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
10 months ago
NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week, we discuss the escalating tensions between
#Ethiopia
and
#Eritrea
, the political crisis in
#Tigray
and whether a renewed outbreak of war can still be averted.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
10 months ago
NEW OP-ED | Time for the Thai government and BRN to Talk There is now a small and urgent window to bring the Thai government and Malay separatists to the table with the conflict - and dialogue - at a delicate juncture.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-e...
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Time for Thai govt, BRN to talk | Crisis Group
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/thailand/time-thai-govt-brn-talk?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
10 months ago
South Sudan is slipping toward renewed conflict and political upheaval. Regional leaders must press President Salva Kiir and Vice President Riek Machar to back down.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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South Sudan on the Precipice of Renewed Full-blown War | Crisis Group
Tensions are running dangerously high after an opposition-linked militia overran an army base loyal to President Salva Kiir in South Sudanâs Upper Nile state. Regional leaders should urgently press Ki...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/south-sudan/south-sudan-precipice-renewed-full-blown-war?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
10 months ago
India's central government has taken a bold step to quell the violence in the north-eastern state of Manipur. It should keep acting urgently to avert a protracted crisis.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-a...
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Finding a Way Out of Festering Conflict in Indiaâs Manipur | Crisis Group
Manipur, a state in north-eastern India, has been beset with intercommunal strife since May 2023. The central government has now taken a bold step to quell the violence. It should keep acting urgently...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-asia/india/346-finding-way-out-festering-conflict-indias-manipur?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
10 months ago
New reality đđœ For the first time in more than 30 years, ***Europeâs defence sector is hot property.*** âCompany valuations soared to all-time highs this week, with shares in some groups up more than 40 per cent since the start of the year.â
on.ft.com/4bvTIBz
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Can Europeâs defence groups step up if Donald Trump pulls back?
Regionâs arms companies have been soaring but the US presidentâs approach could turbocharge their ascent
https://on.ft.com/4bvTIBz
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
10 months ago
COMING SOON | Curbing Violence in Latin Americaâs Drug Trafficking Hotspots Our new report is set to map out the new structure of organized criminal networks across the region, with fieldwork from five countries and all our analysts.
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Max Montero
10 months ago
The đ”đArmed Forces of the Philippines successfully conducted a Resupply Mission to BRP Sierra Madre in đ”đAyungin Shoal (Second Thomas Shoal) yesterday 04 March 2025. Reportedly no đšđłChinese illegal interference or harassment encountered. đ· Armed Forces of the Philippines
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Georgi Engelbrecht
The Manila Times
10 months ago
CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY â The military's search and rescue team has reached on Wednesday morning the wreckage of the FA-50 jet that crashed at the Kalatungan mountain range in Barangay Mirayon, Talakag, Bukidnon before dawn on Tuesday. READ:
tmt.news/2067408
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