Georgi Engelbrecht
@duriandiaries.bsky.social
📤 1131
📥 1335
📝 85
Senior Analyst @CrisisGroup. Posts on Philippines, Peace Processes+Deterrence and Durians.
Watch the recording from the discussion about
#Philippines
#defence
Modernisation & 🇵🇠-🇺🇸
#alliance
www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9lq...
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Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippines’ Military Modernisation Effort
YouTube video by International Crisis Group
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9lqc-aOJWg
about 1 month ago
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www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/...
ONLINE EVENT | Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippines’ Military Modernisation Effort 25 August | 8am Bangkok | 11am Canberra | 9pm Washington DC Registration:
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippines’ Military Modernisation Effort | International Crisis Group
Monday 25 August, 9pm Washington, DCTuesday 26 August, 8am Bangkok | 9am Manila | 11am CanberraPlease register here if you would like to attend this online event.
https://www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/events/riding-unruly-waves-philippines-military-modernisation-effort
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
about 2 months ago
ONLINE EVENT | Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippines’ Military Modernisation Effort 25 August | 8am Bangkok | 11am Canberra | 9pm Washington DC w/ Lindsey W. Ford, Rommel Jude Ong,
@duriandiaries.bsky.social
, and
@le2huong.bsky.social
. Registration ⬇️
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Michael Mirasol
about 2 months ago
A good thread for anyone interested in Philippine geopolitics.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Georgi Engelbrecht
9. Read more in our
@crisisgroup.org
report on the Philippine defence modernisation:
www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
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Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippines’ Military Modernisation Effort | International Crisis Group
As they watch Beijing become more assertive in the South China Sea, Philippine leaders are adapting the country’s external defences while tending to partnerships with the U.S. and others. To manage th...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific/south-east-asia/philippines-china-united-states/349-riding-unruly-waves-philippines-military-modernisation-effort
about 2 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
1. I have spent the last days in the Bangsamoro region in the southern Philippines. But despite the ever-present security challenges and the complex peace process, another trend is evident: The re-orientation of the Armed Forces of the Philippines. đź§µ
about 2 months ago
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1. I have spent the last days in the Bangsamoro region in the southern Philippines. But despite the ever-present security challenges and the complex peace process, another trend is evident: The re-orientation of the Armed Forces of the Philippines. đź§µ
about 2 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
about 2 months ago
NEW REPORT | Riding Unruly Waves: The Philippines’ Military Modernisation Effort Under President Marcos, the Philippines is shifting focus from internal to external threats amid increased great power competition.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia-pacific...
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Georgi Engelbrecht
ABS-CBN News
4 months ago
'We need more': PH Air Force says acquisition of multi-role fighters still part of plans
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'We need more': PH Air Force says acquisition of multi-role fighters still part of plans
The Philippine government's acquisition of twelve more FA-50 light combat aircraft will not diminish the chances of acquiring other multi-role fighters (MRF) as these are different platforms that would enhance the Philippine Air Force's (PAF) fleet.
https://abs-cbn.com/news/nation/2025/6/17/ph-air-force-says-acquisition-of-multi-role-fighters-still-part-of-plans-1551?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=bluesky
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
4 months ago
As we mark our 30th anniversary, new challenges lie ahead and our work remains essential at a moment of danger for the world. As
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org
explains, putting a spotlight on conflicts that are neglected, often deprioritised, or off the radar remains essential.
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
5 months ago
NEW REPORT | The U.S., China and the Search for a New Equilibrium As China projects its advancing military capabilities and the U.S. sends mixed messages about security assurance, Washington and Beijing should resume talks to manage any risks of escalation.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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"With so much of Philippine power concentrated in the capital with varying degrees of devolution to local vassals, Malacañang’s hand is never truly hidden."
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
4 months ago
As 🇺🇸 Def Sec warns 🇨🇳 attack on Taiwan “could be imminent”, @CrisisGroup takes a look at Taiwanese Pres Lai Ching-te 1st yr. ➡️Cross-strait relations are esp fraught. ➡️Taipei & Beijing are increasingly at odds. ⬇️ Here’s what can be done to lower temperature.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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President Lai’s First Year Sees Increased Tensions across the Taiwan Strait | International Crisis Group
As Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te completes his first year in office, cross-strait relations have become especially fraught. Crisis Group expert William Yang explains why Taipei and Beijing are incr...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-east-asia/taiwan-strait-china/president-lais-first-year-sees-increased-tensions-across-taiwan-strait?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Shashank Joshi
4 months ago
Anwar asked about Chinese coercion of Philippines in SCS. Says ASEAN “working towards” code of conduct (🤔) but right now “no real clarity”. Says PRC-Phil tensions “exaggerated” & “no way out except engagement”.
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Troy Lee-Brown
5 months ago
US & PH militaries will train in maritime security, live-fire & amphibious operations. The GSDF (incl Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade) & ROK marines will take part in disaster relief training. 1st time ARDB participates with ROK peer in multinat training exercise
asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Int...
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US-Philippine military exercise joined by Japan, South Korea forces
Asian partners seek deeper cooperation to counter China-Russia-North Korea ties
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Indo-Pacific/US-Philippine-military-exercise-joined-by-Japan-South-Korea-forces
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Georgi Engelbrecht
The Manila Times
5 months ago
MANILA, Philippines — Tension erupted in a clash on Monday between residents of Barangay 262 and 264 in Tondo, Manila and members of a demolition team backed by the police. READ:
tmt.news/2120940
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Tondo residents clash with police-backed demolition team
MANILA, Philippines — Tension erupted in a clash on Monday between residents of Barangay 262 and 264 in Tondo, Manila and members of a demolition team backed by the police.
https://tmt.news/2120940
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Friso Dubbelboer
5 months ago
"Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has called for a joint ASEAN action plan to address the growing tariff threat. Anwar said.. that, while bilateral talks between member states and the U.S. would continue, the bloc must present a united front."
www.japantimes.co.jp/business/202...
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U.S. tariff tensions test Southeast Asian leaders at regional summit
ASEAN leaders will express deep concern over U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff blitz when they meet at a summit Monday, according to a draft statement.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/05/24/economy/us-tariff-tensions-asean-summit/
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In case you missed it: Our report
@crisisgroup.org
.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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Asia in Flux: The U.S., China and the Search for a New Equilibrium | International Crisis Group
The U.S. and China are reshaping the Indo-Pacific security architecture. As China rises, and the U.S. sends mixed messages about its intentions, Asian countries are beefing up their own militaries. Be...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-east-asia/china-united-states/347-asia-flux-us-china-and-search-new-equilibrium
5 months ago
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Everyday legacies of the Pacific War. Santa Mesa, Manila.
5 months ago
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Tune in to our event! The report:
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
add a skeleton here at some point
5 months ago
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Featured on a TV segment in the Philippines yesterday talking about the Bangsamoro Peace Process and why it matters.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9UBZ...
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Engelbrecht: Disarmament in BARMM remains a problem | The Big Story
YouTube video by One PH
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9UBZwn9npTY
5 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
5 months ago
NEW VIDEO | U.S. - China | Asia's Military Modernisation As the security landscape in the Indo-Pacific transforms, we introduce our new series of reports that look into the intensifying great power competition between the U.S. and China.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...
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U.S.-China | Asia's Military Modernisation | International Crisis Group
As the security landscape in the Indo-Pacific transforms, Crisis Group’s Deputy Director for Asia, Huong Le Thu, looks at how threat perceptions about China’s strategic ambitions, concerns about Washi...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-east-asia/china-united-states/us-china-asias-military-modernisation?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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On the ground in the Bangsamoro region in the Philippines to see how the local and midterm elections in the region shape national politics and the peace process.
5 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
6 months ago
Today Sudan enters its third year of war. As the world’s largest humanitarian crisis deepens, there are growing risks of the conflict escalating. Let’s hope the UK’s one day conference today focuses on how to stem the country’s destruction & fragmentation.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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Two Years On, Sudan’s War is Spreading | Crisis Group
After the Sudanese army recaptured Khartoum, many hoped that Sudan’s war would start winding down. Instead, as it enters its third year, the conflict is escalating and likely to expand in scope, unles...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/sudan/two-years-sudans-war-spreading?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
6 months ago
🚨 We’ve launched our new online blog this week, “The Analyst’s Notebook”, where our
@crisisgroup.org
experts will share reporting and analysis on breaking news events in real time.
@bcfinucane.bsky.social
@alivaez.bsky.social
www.crisisgroup.org/latest-updat...
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Latest Updates | Crisis Group
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latest-updates?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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The events of 11 March still occupy the Philippines. After former president Duterte's arrest, some thoughts for G-Zero:
www.gzeromedia.com/news/watchin...
More recently, I talked on a podcast about this and other topics relating to the Philippines. Tune In!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...
6 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
6 months ago
ONLINE EVENT | What’s Driving the Red Sea Crisis and How to Stop It? 8 April 2025 | 4pm Sanaa | 3pm Brussels | 9am Washington Registration ⬇️
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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reposted by
Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
Understaffed and underfunded, Haiti’s foreign mission is struggling to rein in surging gang violence. Instead of rushing toward elections, the transitional government should focus on the nuts and bolts of responsible governance.
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
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Locked in Transition: Politics and Violence in Haiti | Crisis Group
Criminal gangs have tightened their grip on much of Port-au-Prince, with the multinational security mission making little headway and transitional authorities mired in internal disputes. The UN Securi...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/caribbean/haiti/107-locked-transition-politics-and-violence-haiti?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
7 months ago
“What has been happening in the last week has been an incredible trauma for most of the European countries in a sense [that] their world is collapsing onto them and they feel betrayed.” Gérard Araud on Donald Trump’s foreign policy so far.
www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...
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Trump, France and European Security | Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Gérard Araud, Crisis Group Trustee and former French ambassador to the U.S., the UN and Israel about Donald Trump’s foreign policy, transatlantic rela...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia-united-states-ukraine-russia-internal-france/trump-france-and-european-security?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Matt Wheeler
7 months ago
“fresh militant attacks are a reminder that a cessation of hostilities is more often an effect of peace talks than a precondition.” My thoughts on violence in southernmost Thailand.
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Time for Thai govt, BRN to talk
Dialogue between the Thai government and Malay separatists marked its 12-year anniversary on Feb 28, but violence in the southernmost provinces remains an open wound on the Thai body politic. A dreadf...
https://www.bangkokpost.com/opinion/opinion/2978133/time-for-thai-govt-brn-to-talk
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
There is no one remedy for Latin America’s sprawling criminal ecosystem, though experience offers evidence of what has not worked.
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
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Curbing Violence in Latin America’s Drug Trafficking Hotspots | Crisis Group
More than 50 years into the “war on drugs”, trade in illicit narcotics continues to flourish in Latin America, often leaving mayhem in its wake. Experience suggests that a mix of approaches, including...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/colombia-ecuador-guatemala-honduras-mexico/108-curbing-violence-latin-america-drug-trafficking-hotspots?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week, we discuss the escalating tensions between
#Ethiopia
and
#Eritrea
, the political crisis in
#Tigray
and whether a renewed outbreak of war can still be averted.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
NEW OP-ED | Time for the Thai government and BRN to Talk There is now a small and urgent window to bring the Thai government and Malay separatists to the table with the conflict - and dialogue - at a delicate juncture.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-e...
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Time for Thai govt, BRN to talk | Crisis Group
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/thailand/time-thai-govt-brn-talk?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
South Sudan is slipping toward renewed conflict and political upheaval. Regional leaders must press President Salva Kiir and Vice President Riek Machar to back down.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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South Sudan on the Precipice of Renewed Full-blown War | Crisis Group
Tensions are running dangerously high after an opposition-linked militia overran an army base loyal to President Salva Kiir in South Sudan’s Upper Nile state. Regional leaders should urgently press Ki...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/south-sudan/south-sudan-precipice-renewed-full-blown-war?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
India's central government has taken a bold step to quell the violence in the north-eastern state of Manipur. It should keep acting urgently to avert a protracted crisis.
www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-a...
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Finding a Way Out of Festering Conflict in India’s Manipur | Crisis Group
Manipur, a state in north-eastern India, has been beset with intercommunal strife since May 2023. The central government has now taken a bold step to quell the violence. It should keep acting urgently...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-asia/india/346-finding-way-out-festering-conflict-indias-manipur?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Comfort Ero
7 months ago
New reality 👇🏽 For the first time in more than 30 years, ***Europe’s defence sector is hot property.*** “Company valuations soared to all-time highs this week, with shares in some groups up more than 40 per cent since the start of the year.”
on.ft.com/4bvTIBz
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Can Europe’s defence groups step up if Donald Trump pulls back?
Region’s arms companies have been soaring but the US president’s approach could turbocharge their ascent
https://on.ft.com/4bvTIBz
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
COMING SOON | Curbing Violence in Latin America’s Drug Trafficking Hotspots Our new report is set to map out the new structure of organized criminal networks across the region, with fieldwork from five countries and all our analysts.
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Max Montero
7 months ago
The 🇵đź‡Armed Forces of the Philippines successfully conducted a Resupply Mission to BRP Sierra Madre in 🇵đź‡Ayungin Shoal (Second Thomas Shoal) yesterday 04 March 2025. Reportedly no 🇨🇳Chinese illegal interference or harassment encountered. đź“· Armed Forces of the Philippines
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Georgi Engelbrecht
The Manila Times
7 months ago
CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY — The military's search and rescue team has reached on Wednesday morning the wreckage of the FA-50 jet that crashed at the Kalatungan mountain range in Barangay Mirayon, Talakag, Bukidnon before dawn on Tuesday. READ:
tmt.news/2067408
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Includes updates on a clash in Mindoro between the NPA and government forces a few days ago.
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
8 months ago
"Millions of people have fled their homes." Our CEO and President,
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org
, was live on
@cnn.com
yesterday to discuss the escalation of conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo and the dire humanitarian situation.
edition.cnn.com/2025/02/25/T...
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What’s driving the deadly conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo? An expert explains | CNN
Comfort Ero, President of the International Crisis Group, talks to Bianna Golodryga about what’s driving the deadly crisis in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/25/Tv/video/amanpour-congo-rwanda-comfort-ero-international-crisis-group
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
NEW Q&A | Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions. Our experts explain why the UN Security Council should consider starting the delisting process.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
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Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group
Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/east-mediterranean-mena/syria/rethinking-un-sanctions-syrias-interim?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
7 months ago
What’s next after the Sudanese army’s gains on the battlefield in Sudan? In this episode of Hold Your Fire, we discuss the army’s advances against the Rapid Security Forces in Khartoum and other parts of Sudan.
www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group Latinoamérica
8 months ago
‼️TOMORROW | Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York w/ Emmanuela Douyon, Frantz Duval,
@fortid.crisisgroup.org
,
@diegodarin.bsky.social
, and
@renatasegura.bsky.social
Don't forget to register ⬇️
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Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government | Crisis Group
10:00 Port-au-Prince | 16:00 Brussels Please register here if you would like to attend this online event.
https://www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/events/violence-and-politics-haitis-transitional-government
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Finbarr Bermingham
8 months ago
Russia's top security official, Sergei Shoigu, visited Indonesia on Tuesday for talks with President Prabowo Subianto and his defense minister as Moscow and Jakarta seek to strengthen defense cooperation.
www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/02/25/r...
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Russia’s Shoigu Visits Indonesia for Defense Talks - The Moscow Times
Russia's top security official, Sergei Shoigu, visited Indonesia on Tuesday for talks with President Prabowo Subianto and his defense minister as Moscow and Jakarta seek to strengthen defense cooperat...
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/02/25/russias-shoigu-visits-indonesia-for-defense-talks-a88155
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podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
Featured on the Popular Front podcast, thanks to
@hanrahan.tv
for letting me discuss the Maoist rebellion in the Philippines.
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The Philippine's Maoist Guerrillas are Making a Comeback
Podcast Episode · Popular Front · 02/14/2025 · 52m
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-philippines-maoist-guerrillas-are-making-a-comeback/id1364539980?i=1000692201744
8 months ago
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Crisis Group
8 months ago
This week on Hold Your Fire, we discuss President Donald Trump’s proposal to move Palestinians out of Gaza. Will the U.S really take over the decimated enclave, and what does his statement mean for the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas?
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
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Trump’s Gaza Plan | Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard talks with Crisis Group experts Amjad Iraqi, Mairav Zonszein, Michael Hanna and Rob Blecher about President Donald Trump’s proposal to move Palestinians out of Ga...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/east-mediterranean-mena/israelpalestine-united-states/trumps-gaza-plan
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Georgi Engelbrecht
Manuel L. Quezon III
8 months ago
n case you misswed it this week, three articles of mine came out. Two (my column and in Global Asia) are about PH and Trump 2.0, including USAID, and the third is my commentary in Asia Sentinel on the VP's fastbreak impeachment. Links below. Happy Sunday!
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Elizabeth Dickinson
8 months ago
Aid cuts to
#Colombia
are coming at a time when the country is facing its worst security crisis in years. Enjoyed speaking with
@johnotis.bsky.social
about the dynamics of
#Catatumbo
, the
#ELN
, and the future of peace processes.
@latam.crisisgroup.org
www.npr.org/2025/02/05/n...
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Guerilla fighting has forced tens of thousands of Colombians from their homes
A fierce outbreak of fighting in northern Colombia between rival guerilla factions in a drug turf war, has displaced tens of thousands of people.
https://www.npr.org/2025/02/05/nx-s1-5282292/guerilla-fighting-has-forced-tens-of-thousands-of-colombians-from-their-homes
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