This true not just for economic vibes. The entire movement of, let's call it medical skepticism, relies on having a completely warped views of what health outcomes used to be even three decades ago

Belatedly realising 'peptides' is another one if you want to be annoying to your acquaintances who are a little bit too deep in the SF podcast weeds

everyone has been screaming that economics is a social science as much as a mathematical one (including economists!), yet we find ourselves here trying to square relative shifts in social perception of economic conditions with numeric analysis on a more absolute scale.

A few quick thoughts about this morning's decision. Don't believe the spin from various Russians & others: it's a big deal. The EU has now unambiguously demonstrated that it is able and willing to provide the external financial support Ukraine needs, for as long and as much as it takes. (1/N)

Jennifer Lawrence is a menace

My top five favourite words to pronounce like they’re Greek philosophers…   5. Monocles 4. Bicycles 3. Popsicles 2. Obstacles 1. Testicles

The problem here is that it's unmistakably pitched to then follow up with "... and that's why you have to understand why some of them become groypers, not me though, just saying some of us" (check editorial line, past by lines of same guy, or the likes of Douthat immediately jumping on it)

Reminds me of the whole work from home/return to office thing, where people wanted services they paid for to return to in person, and services they got paid for to stay remote.

One of the striking mechanisms by which {waves hand} all of this is happening is the US of A has the particular feature of having very weak controls on power, while being deeply, deeply persuaded they are, in fact, very strong controls

One has to admit that whatever is going on here, there is something truly astonishing about it

Oh no @quantian.bsky.social has made it to my FYP.

Rosalia's "mio Cristo piange diamanti", fantastic tune. Also the specific Dad detail in OBAA that the Di Caprio character has a completely age inappropriate escape bag for his kid because he never took care of it makes me smile every time I think of it

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (2025)

Just saw in the trailer for the upcoming French movie about de Gaulle (which looks well shit BTW) that it's Simon Russell Beale who plays Churchill. I know it's his second go at it, but it'll never not be funny that he is both Churchill and Beria

Good timing for this graph to make a reappearance: New research on the connection between austerity and falling wages. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

RIP. What a guy.

apart from the sheer inconceivable horror of the El Fasher massacre and its attendant horrors itself, the thing I'm feeling depressed about is that it probably won't matter. these were people already on the utmost margins of the global system, who the world has already decided it doesn't care about

Autism/vaccines here, but this is a claim made way too often in general: "yes, counter reaction X is awful, but it wouldn't have worked if social trend Y hadn't gone too far". The causality is often just declared as true, under evidenced and doesn't engage with the history of X before we even had Y

Absolutely incredible scenes in the Bloomberg Intelligence Rates & FX chat at this hour. Every social platform every invented has this common problem lmao.

My all-time favorite newspaper correction:

The man most associated with the idea that led to this turn of events is leading in the polls, and government policy is to chase any and every fart he makes

It's also: you don't know who is going to become what. A society more confident in itself would believe a little bit more in its ability to make anyone thrive and give back.

When they rolled out sports gambling in my state, they had the sitting governor cut a TV spot and I got targeted with between $5-10k of promotional bet comps between the platforms. You don’t hand out multiple months of median income if you think you won’t make way more than that!

A very cool thing to do with say, age 6-14, is to ask them to beat LLMs at their specialist knowledge. "Pick a topic you know well and see if you can ask stuff it can't answer right". Triggers the Columbo bit that a lot of kids have, and is a good way to teach intuition on the current limitations

The thing about the "you're going to have gambling anyway, might as well be open and free" retort is that it... is obviously not true. We do have significantly larger amounts of it now that it's everywhere!

"Online gambling should be illegal and gambling is a thing you have to travel to a heavily regulated destination for if you REALLY want to play" is my least liberal opinion but I stand by it

Dr king certainly didnt agree with identity politics.

Bond Investors Raise Specter Of Hasset-Liability Mismatch

You’re absolutely right — you are Pagliacci. It would certainly be difficult for you to attend your own performance! I should not have given such paradoxical advice, and I apologize deeply for the error. There is no excuse for my failure.

World AIDS day. Good day to remember some things are getting better

One thing no one is going to say on here is that the problem of 'kids don't work these days because AI' is that from the parent perspective, the problem goes a bit both ways. I don't know about uni lectures, but some secondary school stuff I've seen lately, is <spiderman fingerpointing dot gif>

The modal British voter thinks that pensioners are the group who gets the least good deal from the state! You can't have a serious conversation either about shrinking the state or expanding the tax base from that starting point!

That video of Mamdani name dropping random back catalogue Arsenal players has revived peak "men only like one thing, and that's sitting back and quoting obscure sports people's names at each other for hours" discourse in the French speaking group chats.

Personally also convinced that the ubiquity of delivery services has made the actually good bits of the policy (lower quintiles wage growth outperforming) feel like an additional injury.

This has been commented ad nauseam already but the part that always jumps at me in those screeds is how the 'dismiss intergenerational bonds' is always painted as going one way only.

This snippet is literally about Fortunato asking Montresor for more of that delicious amontillado

Randomly remembering that one of main state interventions in education during the pandemic was to come up with an algorithm which main effect was to make sure the grades/uni rights of kids from good places were adjusted back to the history of said places, and kids from bad places, can you guess?

Literal channel stuffing. Text book case

You too can enjoy the thrill life of the senior business executive who slowly realises he's not going to meet his FY budget by frantically trying to force feed Spotify with the tracks you want to be in Wrapped, by any means necessary

Football, heh?

Imagine, if you wish, the manager of a football club shouting at the fans that parking the bus and general hacking and shit-housery all over the pitch is, unfortunately, the only viable plan to win games. And then you look up the league table, and the club is 14pts off the first Europa League spots

Just walked past a huge poster for the apparently upcoming Nuremberg movie and I thought to myself, wow, John Goodman as Goering, that's some piece of casting. Until I read the fine print and and realised it was, in fact, Russell Crowe

brings me back to COVID travel ban discourse, one of the moments of that era where I was the most ready to completely lose the plot

Truly a battle of wits

This is basically the biggest thing I have changed my mind on in adult life. Having been raised in a Land Of Plenty soc dem, I was convinced of the 'insane subsidy to the rich' case for means testing until I came over here, saw the alternative, and I am now an Universal Coverage absolutist

From: <[email protected]> To: literally NKVD liaison officer Subject: Gefilte fish Where are we on this?