🎉 NEW BOOK CHAPTER 🎉 📘 Title: Counterfactuals in economics and allied social sciences: Methods, applications, and debates 👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: JC Punongbayan (UPSE) & Alfredo Paloyo (University of Wollongong)

Halloween is the perfect example of how the time spent in or around cars are the most dangerous periods of any day for most Americans. And it is rarely acknowledged on a wide scale.

🎉 NEW JOURNAL PUBLICATION 🎉 Happy to share my latest journal article in Review of Development Economics (SSCI, Scopus), co-authored with UPSE Prof. Emeritus Emmanuel S. de Dios!

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: Martial law and the Philippine economy 👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: Emmanuel S. de Dios, Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista, & JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)

With Nazi helmets, for fuck’s sake.

DOGE....government waste alert...

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: Much a Duterte about nothing: Continuity, complacency, and crisis in the Philippine economy (2016–23) 👨🏼‍🏫 Author: JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics)

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: The role of power prices in structural transformation: Evidence from the Philippines 👨🏼‍🏫 Authors: Majah Ravago, Arlan Brucal, James Roumasset & JC Punongbayan

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] I had the honor of interviewing one of the country’s foremost economists: UPSE Prof. Emeritus Emmanuel S. de Dios. 🧵We talked about his intellectual journey (including his Marxist roots), the role of UPSE in society, and his advice for young economists.👇

My latest Rappler column, an expanded annotation of Trump's 20% tariff letter to President Marcos Jr. Trump's economic illiteracy is bringing down the global economic and trading order. www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Title: The Philippine Journal of Development in the Early 21st Century (2002–2023) 👨🏼‍🏫 Author: JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics) 📍 Journal: Philippine Journal of Development, Vol. 48, No. 2

📕 NEW STUDY ON MICROFINANCE! 📕 We're proud to share our latest research based on a national survey of 1,900 Filipino households. 🧵👇

STAGGERING: This new study of 133 countries is the first to estimate the impact of all USAID’s work. In 2 decades, it has saved *92M* lives. Current cuts, if not reversed, are forecast to cost up to *14M* lives thru 2030. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

📕 NEW UPSE WORKING PAPER! 📕 Excited to share this new study I co-wrote with my good friend Jeff Arapoc (@jaarapoc.bsky.social) of UPLB! 📘 Title: Is there a grade penalty for high school track and college degree mismatches? Evidence from the University of the Philippines 🧵Thread below:

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] 📘 Supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, 2001–2024 👨🏼‍🏫 JC Punongbayan (UP School of Economics) 📍 Applied Economics Letters 📅 Published: 31 Mar 2025 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1350...

[RESEARCH HIGHLIGHT] Starting today, I’ll be more intentional about sharing my academic publications. It’s not enough for research to stay within journals. We need to make our work more accessible and relevant to a broader audience. Here’s the first. ⬇️

🎉 NEW JOURNAL PUBLICATION 🎉 My latest journal article (titled "Supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, 2001-2024") just got published in Applied Economics Letters (SSCI and Scopus indexed)! doi.org/10.1080/1350...

To borrow @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social's powerful concept, beware of false nostalgia about how Duterte's war on drugs supposedly made the public feel safe. As I argue in today's column, NOT TRUE. https://www.rappler.com/voices/thought-leaders/newsstand-misremembering-rodrigo-duterte-drug-war/

My latest journal article, on the supply and demand components of Philippine inflation, has just accepted in Applied Economics Letters (SSCI, Scopus)! ❤️ This is also my first solo macroeconomics paper.

Today my class started with applause. We applauded the arrest of Rodrigo Roa Duterte.

Literally rewriting macroeconomics to cover up their bufoonery.

Social democrats & conservatives have both hemorrhaged support across Europe The far right has surged

Paid our respects to @enricovillanueva.bsky.social, our banker & economist friend who suddenly passed away on Feb 25 at the young age of 53. Tomorrow he will be laid to rest at a columbarium inside UPLB. We will miss you and your thoughtful takes on the economy, Rico!

Omg. Not in the 21st century.

My latest Rappler article, a quick comment on Brgy Addition Hill's bounty for mosquitoes. A classic example of the "cobra effect" and the "law of unintended consequences." www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico would cause lower GDP & higher inflation than otherwise in all three countries—including the US. Bookmark our guide to the #USMCA & US trade relations with Canada & Mexico: www.piie.com/microsites/2...

Next week, on Feb 5 at 2 PM, I will be giving this 2025 economic briefing exclusive to Rappler+ subscribers.

There's real value in convening various stakeholders first to get a clear picture of where we are today (and how we got here), which elements are linked, and so on; as a way towards developing a plan to sustainably improve mobility. 🫡 @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social | www.scmp.com/week-asia/op...

US policy economists are having an existential crisis. "What was the point of their careful data-gathering, their complex models, their intricate theories if no one was going to listen to their advice anyway?" www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/b...

My latest @rappler.bsky.social article, an overview of the government's ayuda programs, what they're for, and how they ballooned in recent years (especially in the 2025 budget). www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

Next week, on January 16, I'll be giving a webinar from the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore as a visiting fellow of their Philippine Studies Programme. I'll discuss recent developments in Philippine fiscal policy, especially concerning the 2025 budget.

A new paper, just to provoke - on the political economy of economic policy advice - just out in Journal of African Economies. tinyurl.com/2sx7tda3

Unbelievable.

My first Rappler column in 2025, where I look back at the economy in 2024 and offer ideas about where we're headed in 2025. Incidentally, this is also my 400th Thought Leaders piece! 🫶 www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

Got interviewed by @maracepeda.bsky.social for her latest piece in Singapore's The Straits Times. @znsuzara.bsky.social got interviewed as well. www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia...

Since leaving the NYT and returning to blogging on Dec 11, @pkrugman.bsky.social has sent out a remarkable 17 newsletters, all of which are interesting. Poast king. paulkrugman.substack.com

📣 NEW PUBLICATION! (LAST FOR 2024) 📣 I was commissioned by the Philippine Institute for Development Studies to write this commemorative article in the Philippine Journal of Development (PJD), looking back at the articles published in that journal from 2002-2023.

Got interviewed by Karmina Constantino-Torres of ANC for quick thoughts about the 2025 budget signed today by President Marcos. Full video: youtu.be/DRPtiWIACys?...

He put solar thermal panels on the White House in 1979. 1986 Ronald Reagan put them down. This gives you an idea where we could have been today if only we had more smart people taking care of our livelihood. Rest in peace, Jimmy Carter.

Tomorrow, 30 Dec 2024, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr is set to sign the 2025 budget. In my latest @rappler.bsky.social piece, I discuss his options and the dilemma he faces. www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...

IMF calls out the Marcos Jr gov't, which in 2023 decided to set up a pseudo-sovereign wealth fund using the capital of state-owned banks. Bad fiscal management! business.inquirer.net/498648/resto...

From the academic consequences of remote learning, to pricing carbon, to the cost of species extinction: here are the 10 most-read Featured Charts of 2024. #econsky www.aeaweb.org/research/cha...

Here's my latest Fulcrum commentary as a visiting fellow of the ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute. All about the crippling education crisis in the Philippines, and ways forward. fulcrum.sg/addressing-t...

New working paper! Last for 2024! 🥳📝

Some folks are pretty good seeing things coming.

From what I see here, @jcpunongbayan.bsky.social’s #FalseNostalgia is a hit, not like that pile of garbage they put next to it.

One cannot help but be suspicious. The 2025 elections may be the biggest reason for cutting budgets on health, education, and social protection that our people direly need.

Here's my summary of the shady reallocations in the 2025 budget. Pork projects were inserted in the DPWH budget, crowding out important funds for social protection, education, and health. Foreign-funded projects were also relegated to unprogrammed funds. All this in the run-up to the 2025 polls. #PH

My latest Rappler column, where I express incredulity over the move of Congress to eliminate state subsidies for PhilHealth in 2025. Every Filipino should be scandalized by this. www.rappler.com/voices/thoug...