Great @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting at @apsa.bsky.social !

Don’t forget our @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting today at 12:00 PM PDT in Marriott Vancouver Pinnacle Downtown dundarave All @apsa.bsky.social members are welcome ! Feel free to attend and become a @pol4casting.bsky.social member!

1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space. 👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

It was a pleasure to chair and to be the discussant of the papers of such a wonderful @apsa.bsky.social panel! Thanks you all @hannahrajski.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social @bjerome-t.bsky.social

Such a wonderful @apsa.bsky panel with @marystegmaier.bsky.social ( Chair) @bjerome-t.bsky.social @debraleiter.bsky.social Mike Lewis-Beck Thomas Gruca @peterenns.bsky.social Raymond Duch @nuraphd.bsky.social

If you want to forecast elections, read this.

The Midterm Loss Rule: What Do Voters Expect in 2026? (@debraleiter.bsky.social @marystegmaier.bsky.social and Michael S. Lewis-Beck, @center4politics.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250515-top...

Will 2026 see the classic midterm loss? Voters aren't so sure. Using @verasight.bsky.social data, @marystegmaier.bsky.social, Michael Lewis-Beck and I see voters uncertain of the "iron law" of midterm loss. Today @center4politics.bsky.social's Crystal Ball. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...

Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor Philippe Mongrain & all the contributors.

Our latest election forecasting article focuses on political economy models in the US, UK, Mexico and Ghana. Check it out! @debraleiter.bsky.social @johnkenny.bsky.social @mlewisbe.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Lots of eyes are on the German elections and how well the Christian Democrats will do. Check out our forecast online @pspolisci.bsky.social

Excited to see our article predicting CDU/CSU support included in this German Election Forecasting symposium 🇩🇪

** NEW ISSUE ALERT** PS: Political Science & Politics January 2025 issue is published! Check it out here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

We welcomed 3 visiting scholars from Uzbekistan to the University of Missouri for the spring semester. Our Uzbek students joined us at the reception and many wore the traditional dress from their country. 🇺🇸🇺🇿

What a great way to cap off two days of enriching social science workshops at Nuffield College, Oxford University.

Today Philippe Mongrain & I presented an analysis of the @pspolisci.bsky.social 2024 US election forecasts at Nuffield College, @uniofoxford.bsky.social Thanks to Ray Duch & Roberto Cerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!

East European Politics is now also on Bluesky! @eepolitics.bsky.social

What a great roundtable! Thanks for including me to discuss the US election forecasts published in @pspolisci.bsky.social. The introduction to the special issue (coauthored with Philippe Mongrain) is available at doi.org/10.1017/S104...