New from @gruberte.bsky.social and I in @science.org: The energy transition is at risk, and energy models are missing the threat. Fossil energy networks from oil to coal to gas have minimum viable scales of operation, and those thresholds are closer than we think: www.science.org/doi/epdf/10.... 💡🔌

You should read this piece. Adam is right: the core theory behind the anti-ICE mobilization here in Minneapolis isn’t really a political ideology, but that neighbors are neighbors and must be protected.

Okay I think I've mapped out ICE politics as of Monday night

They are never, ever going to win in Minnesota.

✊✊✊

abolish ice!!!!!!!!!

ICE is writing secret memos claiming power to invade homes without warrants. They're using children as bait. They're killing. Congressional Democrats are about to vote to increase their budget by $18 billion. Call your House rep tonight. The vote may come tomorrow. www.patreon.com/posts/148814...

holy sh*t part one million

However, voters are skeptical that either party has a solution to the cost of living. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...

Seventy percent of voters say that lowering costs would help them more than raising their wages. Grocery costs are the top expense voters would like to see lowered (40%), followed by housing (23%) and utilities (16%). www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...

NEW: After one year of Trump's second term, voters are still pessimistic about inflation and the state of the economy. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...

good morning, it's a great day to work at @dataforprogress.org -- where we stand firm in our progressive values and use public opinion to lead and persuade, rather than bowing to popularism at the expense of morality.

I have a lengthy video of a long chase yesterday, including one maniacal e-bike rider who was absolutely giving the ICE Wagoneers hell. They’d try to lose us in traffic but the bike didn’t care about traffic

Someone just called in ICE knocking doors in Uptown and within 5 minutes maybe 100 people had arrived. Probably a false alarm but extremely hard to see how ICE operates with this kind of suffocating neighborhood response. Incredible work Minneapolis. ICE, just give up and get out already.

The Star Tribune had an insane graphic about the presence of immigration enforcement in Minneapolis. There are more immigration officers in the metro right now than local police officers.

h/t @petertwinklage.bsky.social & @zeteo.com

more important journalism from @zeteo.com, which you should follow if you don't already

Wow — New YouGov / Economist poll: 46% support abolishing ICE 43% oppose abolishing ICE This is the first time that abolishing ICE has received net positive support

people are not buying MAGA propaganda

"Most people are correct"

so much love for the people of minneapolis

JUST NOW: Huge mass of agents in a standoff, weapons drawn as Reps. Ilhan Omar, Angie Craig, and Kelly Morrison attempt to conduct congressional oversight at the Whipple Building, which has been HQ for thousands of ICE agents. @zeteo.com

I really want to see CDR tech mature. But the ways we make CDR bankable (carbon credits, VCMs, etc) are almost universally scams. IMO better to simply just pay for CDR out of the public balance sheet, as a kind of insurance against an uncertain FF phaseout timeline.

"Rationalist-optimists lack humility in the face of a planetary system." Really loved this piece from @cathfraser.bsky.social & @noahjgordon.bsky.social taking aim at naive techno-optimist faith in negative-emissions technologies and laying bare our inevitable stranded asset problems. Must-read.

In The Long Heat, Andreas Malm and Wim Carton take aim at what they call rationalist-optimists — people who naively believe that market solutions can fix the climate crisis. But their sweeping critique runs the risk of abandoning all hope in the future.

The Long Heat is one of the most important climate books of the decade. Andreas Malm & Wim Carton savage the "rationalist-optimists" who believe that carbon removal and SRM will solve the crisis. @cathfraser.bsky.social and I review it for @jacobinmag.bsky.social! @versobooks.bsky.social

A fun collab with @noahjgordon.bsky.social reviewing one of my top books of 2025. tough to give the book justice in just a couple thousand words! check it out, and do check out The Long Heat!

we were in Craig and the Yampa Valley last summer talking to residents about what the transition away from coal meant to them, and what they may want next for the area. full findings here: www.dataforprogress.org/memos/12/16/...

we were in Craig and the Yampa Valley last summer talking to residents about what the transition away from coal meant to them, and what they may want next for the area. full findings here: www.dataforprogress.org/memos/12/16/...

Extraction, by the brilliant @triofrancos.bsky.social, is my book of the year. Mining for the green transition is… a minefield of contradictions. Thea reveals their contours, layer by layer, w stories & political economy. The journey’s revelatory. To navigate the polycrisis, read this book.

Our climate team at @dataforprogress.org logged 900+ miles and 16+ hours of driving over the course of 6 days in Colorado for this report. Please do check it out! Huge thanks to the *many* folks who reviewed and gave feedback throughout the project. www.dataforprogress.org/memos/12/16/...

By a +21-point margin, voters in five Republican-held swing districts say that Republicans should vote to extend expiring ACA tax credits. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...

NEW with @careinaction.bsky.social: In Republican-held swing districts, a generic Democrat performs better once voters learn that their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...

We need to release ALL the Epstein Files—including Treasury files about Epstein’s financial activities. The American people agree! I’ll keep fighting for full transparency and justice.

What if thousands of us ran for local office on climate?? Here's where to start: our free, virtual, 6-part 2026 Run for Climate Training series. actionnetwork.org/forms/apply-...

A majority of voters are concerned about Trump’s NSPM-7 memo, which states that the U.S. government must target “anti-fascist” political activity, including “anti-American,” “anti-capitalist,” and “anti-Christian” speech.

NEW: A majority of voters think that Trump will try to restrict various types of speech. But in each case, a minority of voters actually want that speech to be restricted.

NEW: A majority of voters (63%) support a Medicare for All system that would: - Eliminate most private insurance plans - Replace premiums with higher taxes - Guarantee health coverage for everyone - Eliminate most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles

Our November climate newsletter is live: 🔥 Our memo w/ Fossil Free Media: Don't run from climate, translate it 🌎 Polling on voter support for phasing out fossil fuels & a s/o of @whitehouse.senate.gov, the sole rep of the US federal gov't @ COP30 dataforclimateprogress.substack.com/p/whitehouse...

A majority of voters also support cutting emissions and phasing out fossil fuels, even when posed against arguments that it would raise costs or hurt fossil fuel companies.

NEW: A strong majority (65%) of voters prefer that the United States takes ambitious action on climate change, even if other countries do not.

NEW: Voters support a variety of progressive immigration policies, including requiring officers to visibly display their identities and prohibiting the detainment of children in ICE facilities. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...

you should quit social media if you can. if you can't, you should use apps that give you and old-school reverse chronological feed of posts from people you follow. yes, like bluesky. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should...

NEW: Voters have a highly favorable view of SNAP, including 71% of Independents and 69% of Republicans. Voters trust the Democratic Party (51%) more than the Republican Party (43%) to handle SNAP. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...

What policies a specific candidate runs on will look different in each race — you can't fake authenticity. But voters everywhere want the government to play a role in lowering costs. www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...

NEW DFP Insight: Voters everywhere respond when a candidate connects economic populism to clear, actionable goals. Zohran Mamdani's policies are key examples — and they have popular appeal nationwide. www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...

zohran's election wasn't just a quirk of NYC — his policies are popular nationwide. voters want to see moral conviction and concrete plans to lower costs

Alaska voters view the “One Big Beautiful Bill” negatively by a -5-point margin. Roughly two-thirds of Alaska voters also say that the federal government should extend the enhanced premium health care tax credits at the heart of the government shutdown.

Cost of living continues to be a major concern for Alaska voters. Most Alaska voters are worried about affording groceries, health care, and utilities.