Do interpersonal relations affect coalition bargaining? @hannaeback.bsky.social, @michaelimre.bsky.social and I argue that when the Prime Minister is replaced, the incumbency advantage of a coalition will be weakened because of reduced familiarity and trust journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/2

In the coming months, I'll be recruiting two PhD students to work with me as part of the Voting & Democracy research group at @kuleuvenuniversity.bsky.social. So watch this space if you want to join the team and work on this lovely campus!

I'm very proud of Lucas, who just published his second single-authored paper! A great track-record since the start of his PhD in 2021.

As speakers of the @dvpw.bsky.social's working group Elections and Public Opinion, we invite proposals for a special issue on the 2025 German federal election (to be submitted to Electoral Studies). See: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a... Also see the previous SI: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...

As @cpsjournal.bsky.social editor I read about 100 peer-reviews per month. A 🧵 on what makes a great review: 1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence) 2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.

Very happy to share our new article in JoP @thejop.bsky.social, where we explore how parties forge links with social groups (here: social classes) through different appeals and how citizens respond to such appeals. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

My article on voter support for disabled candidates is now published at doi.org/10.1086/732994. I find that left-wing voters in UK+US favour disabled candidates, while right-wing voters prefer non-disabled candidates - but only because voters assume disabled candidates to be more left-wing. [1/2]

As Germany heads to the polls on Sunday, here are some articles we have published on German elections that can guide you through what to expect… 🗳️ 📊

Letzte Woche haben @corinnakroeber.bsky.social und ich basierend auf den Kandidierendenlisten & der Wahlrechtsreform geteilt, dass der neue Bundestag deutlich weniger weibliche Abgeordnete beinhalten wird. Unsere Überlegungen dazu könnt ihr bei @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social nachlesen. 📚🕵️‍♀️

Do citizens stereotype Muslims as inherently homophobic? In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱 doi.org/10.1017/S000... Spoiler: Yes. 🧵

🚨 Postdoc Fellow at LSE in Political Behaviour 🚨 We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great department (with some teaching in political behaviour and comparative European or EU politics) Please spread the word and reach out with questions! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

Had a great time talking all things prime ministers with @janberz.bsky.social, @javiermcanto.bsky.social, @bittner.bsky.social, and many others in the 2-day workshop Roni Lehrer and I organised @MZES Mannheim. Inspiring stuff.

Got my first one today too 👇👇

‼️ New paper out in EJPR! With @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, we use a new survey item that we fielded in surveys in five countries to examine who accepts party policy change. Check out the 🧵 by Maurits below for an overview of our findings!

EPSA rejection: to all early career people who face this today, I want to say that I had two of them in the past, one of them was published in AJPS in the end, the other has not been submitted yet. Today, my third EPSA rejection. If you have it, too: hear me it means nothing! Enjoy your weekend 😇

Die "Umfrage" ist nicht repräsentativ. Sie hat die Qualität einer Videotextumfrage. Sie ist manipulierbar. Es gibt die Möglichkeit, mehrfach abzustimmen. Es widerspricht allen Kenntnisständen, die wir zum Wahlverhalten der Gruppe haben. Teilt diesen Unsinn nicht. #AfD www.focus.de/politik/bei-...

Delighted to see this coming out in @thejop.bsky.social. Some basic science that for data reasons was never done before. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

🚨 New Open Access Publiation! Under the lead of @ronjademel.bsky.social , David Schieferdecker, @hannaschwander.bsky.social , Swen Hutter, Jule Specht and I investigated the role of empathy on attitudes towards refugees and ingroup-outgroup dynamics

Our book lays a foundation for understanding PM performance & raises new questions: 🤔 Do capable PMs strengthen democracy? 🤔 Does poor PM performance affect elections or democratic trust? We hope this sparks more research on the causes & consequences of PM performance—in CEE & beyond.

Last but not least, we investigate: What drives prime-ministerial performance? Our analyses highlight:

How do PMs’ careers & contexts shape their success? We analyzed of 131 cabinets across 11 CEE countries (1990–2021) to find: ✔ PMs are more experienced than assumed ✔ Contexts are stabilizing (e.g., fewer oversized cabinets). Take away: CEE PMs & their challenges are far from uniform!

Is the idea of weak CEE PMs a myth? Our dataset reveals wide variability in PM performance, challenging assumptions of uniform weakness. PMs with strong parliamentary & party backing excelled at conflict resolution & policy influence. CEE PMs are far more dynamic than stereotypes suggest.

Our paper on how plant disease pandemic destroying olive groves in 🇮🇹 fuelled far right support by activating local community narrative of state neglect forthcoming @apsrjournal.bsky.social 🧵 below ⬇️ For nerds: also presents research design for combing causal inference with ethnographic research

📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo

My book “The Normalization of the Radical Right” has recently come out in the US. If you're interested, in this thread I’ll link different ways of learning about the book and its argument (I’ll keep adding if more come out). First, here is the link to the book: academic.oup.com/book/57946

Anti-racist protests reduced AfD vote shares in both the 2021 German Election and the 2024 European Election. While the Greens gained in 2021, *they didn’t in 2024*—likely due to their shift towards anti-immigration policies in government. Important implications for progressive parties. More: 👇

Building on a standardized concept of prime-ministerial performance, we developed an expert-survey tool to measure it across 11 CEE countries. We gathered 200+ expert responses.

Our book rethinks prime-ministerial performance by asking: What tasks must PMs fulfill in parliamentary democracies? Using a "delegation chain" framework, we identify 2 core tasks: 1️⃣ Running state affairs (e.g., cabinet conflicts, policies, crises). 2️⃣ Maintaining parliamentary & party support.

🔍 Interested in prime ministers’ careers, performance, or politics in CEE? Our new OUP book will be worth your time. Why bother reading the 228 pages? Over the week, @corinnakroeber.bsky.social & I will share threads summarizing its main contributions. Stay tuned!

🎉 Excited to announce our book "Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Careers, Context, and Performance" is out and published by Oxford University Press! Co-authored by the amazing Florian Grotz, @corinnakroeber.bsky.social, & Marko Kukec. More: academic.oup.com/book/59247

We (that is @cerpintaxt.bsky.social and me) are happy to share that our co-edited book “Populism: An Introduction” is now out from SAGE. With Trump’s inauguration today, it’s the perfect moment for a clear, accessible overview of populism. Our 15 chapters are written by top experts worldwide.

Only 8 days left to submit your abstracts!!! ⏰

🚨The deadline for submitting abstracts to the 6th annual COMPTEXT conference is approaching - 20 December 2023. link: forms.gle/VrzhEzJEcTNd... This is a great conference that brings together scholars from across social and computational sciences. See more details here: www.comptextconference.org

Happy to share my working paper with @lenamariahuber.bsky.social on social group appeals and political representation that is now online as a pre-print and titled "Parties’ Group Appeals as Representative Claims: A New Perspective on Parties’ Efforts to Connect with Voters" 🤓 osf.io/a9sf6

New Publication in IJPOR with Ronja Demel, David Schieferdecker, @hannaschwander.bsky.social , Swen Hutter and Jule Specht Shift in Public Opinion Formations on Defense, Energy, and Migration: The Case of Russia’s War Against Ukraine academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

A reminder that the deadline for a four-year, research only postdoc with me @StrathPolIR on politicians and the reproduction of wealth, funded by VW Stiftung is DUE THIS FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17! polisky

One of my favourite papers in the InterCov project w. @michelecrepaz.bsky.social & @aizenbergellis.bsky.social is finally out in EJPRjournal! We show in a cross-country survey experiment how the strategies of interest organisations respond to access barriers and disturbances. doi.org/10.1111/1475...

Ein Blick auf die ltwHessen mit Urhesse @marcdebus.bsky.social zeigt die zeitliche Veränderung der Stimmenanteile in Dörfern und Städten und die dramatischen Verluste der SPD Langform: shorturl.at/mnJT5

We (Allan Sikk & @philippkoeker.bsky.social) are excited about the release of our book "Party People: Candidates and Party Evolution" with Oxford University Press on 19 October 2023 🥳🥳🥳 Find out more here: tiny.cc/partypeople

Eine Analyse der prog. Positionen von Union und AfD zu den 37 Bund- und Landtagswahlen seit 2013 deutet darauf hin, dass eine Annäherung der Union an die Positionen der AfD eher mit einem höheren Stimmenanteil für die AfD verbunden ist. Ein Beitrag für den DVPW Blog. www.dvpw.de/blog/schwaec...

We're hiring! 5-year Postdoc/university assistant position in Methods focusing on comparative politics, University of Salzburg. Application deadline: 1.11. More details: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/zf0il... Please share! polisky

📣I am happy to announce my new publication📄 on party leaders in Party Politics @SageJournals Now! Open access🔓at: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13…

Had a great time in Münster, such a good looking city and university.

Wenn ihr systematisch schauen möchtet, wer aus eurem #Twitter hier auf #Bluesky ist, hier ist eine Chrome-Erweiterung. (Schaut natürlich immer, ob die privacy-Einstellungen für euch ok sind): chrome.google.com/webstore/det...

Tomorrow I will be presenting new work on ministerial dismissals & electoral accountability at a workshop on 'Linking Survey & Context Data to Analyze Elite and Mass Interactions' organized by Katjana Gatterman, Loes Aaldering & Bernd Schlipphak.