The book draws on dozens of interviews with al-Sharaa, his associates who later became ministers, dissidents and opponents, as well as diplomats. www.amazon.com/Transformed-... www.amazon.co.uk/Transformed-...

The arrival of Ahmad al-Sharaa in NYC for the UNGA is a timely moment to highlight our new book, published a few weeks ago in Europe and in a month ago in the US (already on Kindle). What lessons can we draw from the past? A threat

Our book is finally out in the UK and Europe! (also in a week or so on the kindle in the US, and early November for the hardback in North America). You have read parts of the first chapters on google book: www.google.fr/books/editio...

Congratulations Patrick Haenni and @jeromed.bsky.social, Transformed by the People is out now👏 ‘Essential reading.’ @irishtimes.com ‘Haenni and Drevon have done the impossible… a gem, a superb, edifying and eye-opening account.’—Robert Malley 25% off w/code TRANSFORMED25➡️ tinyurl.com/mb4nrc7n

Really cool work out by @andresuribe.bsky.social and colleauges on estimating the prevalence of criminal governance in Latin America ⤵️

New article by @jeromed.bsky.social et al., The end of Jihadi Salafism? The religious governance of HTS, the Post-Jihadi rebel ruler in Northern Syria www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

As POTUS meets Syrian President Al-Sharaa, the world asks how an Al-Qaeda affiliated jihadi group evolved into the movement rebuilding Syria post-Assad. Find out how in 'Transformed by the People' by @jeromed.bsky.social & Patrick Haenni. Pre-order here ➡️ tinyurl.com/mr9w9tex tinyurl.com/4cbrp9de

So excited to see this out. Stathis and I presented a first version of this paper at APSA in 2010.

NEW OP-ED | Syria’s Uncertain New Order Many are worried about the possibility of a return to a one-party state—much like that of the Assad regime. But many Syrians perceive their new leader, correctly, as a radical pragmatist, writes @jeromed.bsky.social. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

Read @jeromed.bsky.social on the factors that will make it more difficult for Syria’s new government to consolidate its hold over the country—and to get all of the country’s constituent groups on board:

… Sharaa is seen as a radical pragmatist, willing to make concessions and abandon alliances in pursuit of power. But it does not seem Syria will again become a one-state autocracy, even if that were an outcome that Shara wanted, @jeromed.bsky.social argues. www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/syrias...

On the nature of the new Syrian government and its challenges www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/syrias... @crisisgroup.org @foreignaffairs.com

NEW Q&A | A Glimmer of Peace in Syria’s North East An accord between Damascus’s interim government and the Kurdish-led SDF could mark a shift in Syria’s post-Assad transition. Crisis Group experts explain what the deal contains and what it means for the region. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

Crisis Group's last briefing on Syria after the downfall of the Assad regime

@jeromed.bsky.social makes an important point in this @matnashed.bsky.social article: www.aljazeera.com/features/202... If Damascus can't pay salaries to fighters, then armed groups may end up compensated with territorial fiefdoms from which they farm revenues.

Il y a quelques jours, j'ai rencontré à Jérusalem @Avrumburg ancien président travailliste de la Knesset et activiste de la paix, pour un entretien décapant : « La société israélienne a besoin d’être déradicalisée » www.la-croix.com/a-vif/avraha...

You'll never guess the answer (the rich people who want to hoard all the money have all the money to hire people)

(2/5) Jerome Drevon (@jeromed.bsky.social): "From Jihad to Politics: How Syrian Jihadis Embraced Politics." Traces the emergence of Jihadi groups in the Syrian war, their dominance, the rejection of global jihad by some groups, and their political transformation. #CRSBookPrize2025

(1/5) We are excited to announce the 2025 CRS Book Prize short list, highlighting exceptional authors in conflict and peace studies: Jerome Drevon, Erica L. Gaston, Anita R. Gohdes, and Adam Lichtenheld. Find more about their work in the upcoming posts. conflictresearchsociety.org/crs-book-pri...

OUT IN JULY 🗓️ #TransformedByThePeople: #HayatTahrirAlSham’s Road to Power in #Syria by Patrick Haenni and @jeromed.bsky.social is a revelatory account of a reformed Islamist movement’s role in toppling the #Assad regime. #HTS PRE-ORDER HERE ➡️ tinyurl.com/t3yuvwum

A very rich portrait of Ahmad al-Sharaa @ft.com.web.brid.gy www.ft.com/content/8aa8...

Has Iran lost the Middle East? Not so fast. My new piece arguing that while Iran has taken a major hit, it retains real strength - and Israel and the US are doing everything possible to help it rebuild its regional position. abuaardvark.substack.com/p/has-iran-l...

📢Job Opening: @icrc.org Adviser on Digital Tech of Warfare (in Kyiv). Help us analyze and monitor the digitalization of warfare, understand its impact on people, and engage with state and non-state actors. Unique and important role – do apply careers.icrc.org/job/Kyiv-%28...

new piece from @delaneysimon.bsky.social, @jeromed.bsky.social & me on UN sanctions on HTS We breakdown the procedure & politics around the sanctions, arguing that the UNSC should move asap to expand humanitarian exemptions & consider the delisting process www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

Key members of Syria’s interim government are under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis. For @crisisgroup.org, @jeromed.bsky.social @mayaungar.bsky.social & I explain why the UN Security Council should consider starting the delisting process www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org

At this point, yes, they should be

Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org

Red herring alert!! They're talking about sending troops after a cease-fire. There is now no cease-fire, & there are no plans to negotiate a cease-fire. US and Russia plan talks about ending the war. That may or may not include cease-fire, but they can't negotiate one without Ukraine anyway. 1/2

I can’t wait to read this! The fieldwork carried out for this book is just phenomenal, and I am certain the analysis will be bang on as always.

Five years in the making, based on dozens of travel to Idlib under HTS control, multiple interviews with Ahmad al-Sharaa, his closest associates, other factions, ministers, dissidents, opponents, civil society, diplomats, and more www.hurstpublishers.com/book/transfo...

Five years in the making, based on dozens of travel to Idlib under HTS control, multiple interviews with Ahmad al-Sharaa, his closest associates, other factions, ministers, dissidents, opponents, civil society, diplomats, and more www.hurstpublishers.com/book/transfo...

Finally got down to reading @jeromed.bsky.social's From Jihad to Politics. I learned heaps on armed group institutionalisation & much more. I highly recommend it to anyone studying armed groups; as Jerome rightly points out, jihadis' specificities can only be understood by de-exceptionalising them.

“Europe needs to be ready to transact with the U.S. without giving up its values.” Our President and CEO @comfortero.bsky.social discusses the implications of Donald Trump’s return for European security on @channel4news.bsky.social. www.channel4.com/news/europe-...

Early Insights following the Collapse of the Syrian Regime by Visiting Lecturer @jeromed.bsky.social, Research Associate at @gvagrad-ccdp.bsky.social & Senior Analyst at the International Crisis Group. www.graduateinstitute.ch/communicatio...

Amazing opportunity to do a PhD with @corinnajentzsch.com on jihadism in Africa in beautiful Leiden ⤵️ Conflictsky www.universiteitleiden.nl/en/vacancies...

A leading expert on Syria, researcher Patrick Haenni analyzes the nature of the new power stemming from the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham group, and the strategic and security challenges facing the new authorities in Damascus. www.lemonde.fr/en/internati...

Listen to me and @jeromed.bsky.social talk about how HTS overthrew Asad and how it’s likely to govern. He’s more optimistic than me but his arguments are compelling. abuaardvark.substack.com/p/hts-in-syr...

New working paper, just five short years in the making! The idea for it emerged from reading about the French Revolution during COVID lockdowns, which warped my sense of time, and got me interested into measures thereof. Abstract and title below, and full ms here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

I discussed my book on Syrian (former) jihadis, including HTS, including why they took over the leadership of the opposition, transformed politically, and their current role in Syria. Free to listen, and free to download as a book too fdslive.oup.com/www.oup.com/...

I discussed my book on Syrian (former) jihadis, including HTS, including why they took over the leadership of the opposition, transformed politically, and their current role in Syria. Free to listen, and free to download as a book too fdslive.oup.com/www.oup.com/...

How did HTS overthrow the Asad regime? How will a jihadist organization govern Syria? Listen to my conversation with @jeromed.bsky.social on the new season of the POMEPS podcast now! abuaardvark.substack.com/p/hts-in-syr...

If the next US government normalises the idea of absorbing territory by force - even if this is justified as some sort of lunatic diplomatic gambit - it makes it more likely that China will believe that the US will ultimately stand aside during an invasion of Taiwan.

Top notch scholars on that topic: Thomas Pierret and Laila al-Rifai (@loaila.bsky.social).

@delaneysimon.bsky.social, @graemesmith.bsky.social & @jeromed.bsky.social on learning from #Afghanistan in #Syria is great. The need to give HTS "adequate clarity about how to gain diplomatic recognition and shake off sanctions" is universal for transitions. www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/...

Read @delaneysimon.bsky.social, @graemesmithauthor.bsky.social, and @jeromed.bsky.social on how international leaders can learn from their refusal to engage with the Taliban in Afghanistan by working with Syria’s new leaders:

Good free-to-read @foreignaffairs.com piece piece on how the USA and Europe appear set to wreck Syria’s transition by simply defaulting to economic warfare for lack of clear ideas. @delaneysimon.bsky.social @jeromed.bsky.social @graemesmithauthor.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/...

In @foreignaffairs.com, @graemesmithauthor.bsky.social, @jeromed.bsky.social and I urge Western policymakers to make better choices in #Syria than they did in #Afghanistan, or risk sabotaging Syria's transition 🧵1/ www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/...

NEW: An investigation into a 20 year intelligence campaign that led to the dismantling of Hezbollah. With Sheera Frenkel and Ronen Bergman www.nytimes.com/2024/12/29/w...