Days - 1500 Casualties - 1,380,000🌻 Economy - ⬇️💩🚽 ☢️threats - 🥱 War crimes - ♾ NATO - +🇫🇮&🇸🇪 Arrest Warrants- ↗️ Warships- ⛴️⏬ Aircraft - 🚀💥 Submarine - Sub marine Oil refineries - 🔥 Oil exports - ⬇️40% Dead generals - 20+ Army - Stuck Trolls - Coping Red lines - Crossed I remain a master strategist.

Maybe it’s time for Ukraine to offer the US security guarantees in exchange of the US handing one of the states to Iran.

Not sure Sergey will be picking up when FM Szijjarto calls today to say “Hello Sergey!”

Not that we didn’t suspect this, but now we have a hard evidence of betrayal.

When analyzing the Russo-Ukrainian war we should also look at the trajectory. Look at Ukraine's capabilities now and compare with one, two, three, four years ago. Then twist it around and you can imagine the capabilities in one, two, three, four years. Ukraine is on its way to become a great power.

I'm happy to share what I've been working on for a while: a book on the Russian General Staff. The most important military institution in Russia has not had any English book on it since 2006. Now it's time. Sharing is caring, but pre-order is good karma (link below).

Massive respect to @szabolcspanyi.bsky.social and all the journalists fighting every day all over the world to do their job despite threats and growing repression.

New: We looked into the large-scale phishing campaign that's targeting Signal users and found digital evidence pointing to Russian involvement – and a connection to previous attacks in Ukraine and Moldova. Story with @alexejhock.bsky.social for @correctiv.org correctiv.org/en/fact-chec...

Finding a way of cutting out of EU would be a solid next step.

To tilt Hungarian election, the Russians proposed staging an assassination attempt www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...

Finnish President Alexander Stubb says Brexit was a “colossal mistake” “It’s like amputating your leg without medical reason for doing it”

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🇺🇦🇪🇪 Ukrainian-Estonian company Black Forest Systems has created the SHADOX reconnaissance and strike UAV for infantry units, - Militarnyi This is a complex that is designed in such a way that anyone without FPV skills can use it.

Greece' shipping oligarchs fatally undermined the maritime services ban that should've been in the EU's 20th sanctions package. They're loyal only to money. If that means helping Putin, they fall over themselves doing it. No one should celebrate them... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/greek-olig...

1/8🧵 #US #Europe Excerpt's from OBrien's weekly👇 Remember the false narrative of 'Strong #Russia Weak #Ukraine' from 1 year ago? The reality is starting to sink in; Ukraine is stronger, and European security is dependent on Ukraine, not the other way around. ⤵️

“The job listing calls for people with a background in acting, improv, sketch, or theater work of any kind…” “…it’s looking for people who can essentially ‘test the limits of the world’s top LLMs’ understanding’ by teaching the models how to recognize or replicate human tone and emotions”

Bizarre but true: it is March 2026, and yet twice this month at two different events in two different countries I have had audience questions from individuals who are still adamant that Russia only invades its neighbours because NATO makes them do it. They are still out there, folks.

We are entering the next stage of the strategic breal-up between Europe and the US:

Lost in translation: How Russia’s new elite hit squad was compromised by an idiotic lapse in tradecraft @christogrozev.bsky.social, @dobrokhotov.bsky.social and @michaeldweiss.bsky.social detail how hubris and Google Translate exposed Russia's most secretive assassination unit, Center 795.

OTD in 1941 the US lend lease act was signed. It merely prolonged the war by allowing UK to continue fight Nazis instead of seeking peace

I guess we're real now!

X suspends 800m accounts in one year amid ‘massive’ scale of manipulation attempts Social media company tells MPs of continual fight against state-backed efforts, with Russia being most prolific www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

We are aware of recent reports regarding targeted phishing attacks that have resulted in account takeovers of some Signal users, including government officials and journalists. We take this very seriously. 1/7

Russian state hackers are carrying out a global campaign to compromise Signal and WhatsApp accounts belonging to government officials and military personnel, Dutch intelligence warned Monday.

💥Moscow has sent a task team to interfere in Hungary's April 2026 elections, @vsquare.bsky.social has learned from multiple European national security sources. The US has also shared intelligence with allies on the GRU-linked task force overseen by Sergei Kiriyenko. vsquare.org/putins-gru-l...

Lawrence Freedman: "If Russia has all the cards, why has it achieved so little?" "in the past year Russia suffered roughly 400,000 casualties, including killed, wounded and missing, to acquire around 0.8 percent of Ukrainian territory." www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/o...

Comparative analysis mapping what happens to your words across ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, Grok, and DeepSeek.

A compelling idea worth deep exploration.

Tomorrow everyone will be asking: when will the Russo-Ukrainian war end? The right question is: what can we do to make the Russian invasion fail?

This was the best negotiation with the Russians during the entire war. It was conducted by Ukrainian border guard Roman Hrybov on February 24, 2022.

It's four years since Russia wanted to take Kyiv in three days. They failed and they'll keep failing. Slava Ukraini! 💙💛

And now, Foreign Policy have kindly made this short piece available without a paywall - foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/23/r...

OTD in 2022, Russian ambassador to US said "Russia recognises Donbas as a part of Ukraine, does not have any claims on Ukrainian lands, does not have plans of any attack". So you can believe us now when we promise to stop.

1/ Far too many wargames and simulations of how Russia might move against a NATO neighbour treat the front-line states as a military vacuum, or an empty chessboard where it is only the moves of Russia and of slowly-arriving NATO reinforcements that count. But that's far from the truth.

Sikorski: “As you know, Russia, the USA, and Great Britain guaranteed the security of Ukraine and its borders. In exchange for Ukraine giving up what was then the third largest arsenal of nuclear weapons in the world. In 1994. So you have an obligation to Ukraine to help them defend their freedom”

To be honest, I preferred JD Vance’s speech at last year’s MSC to Marco Rubio’s address this year. 1/4

🔴🇷🇺#Propaganda Machine: Secret documents reveal Russia’s foreign influence strategy across three continents. @thecontinent.org @istories.bsky.social @opendemocracy.net @aeowinpact.bsky.social Dossier Center

OTD in 1921 Soviet invasion of Georgia began. Less than a year before we signed a treaty with them promising we'd never invade. Lying we won't & then invading anyway is a tradition I maintain to this day.

Implications will be beyond Russia: 1)replicable blueprint; 2)transnational repression - tracking Russians in democratic countries via Max app; 3)state-controlled ecosystem allow to curate an airtight info bubble, making it easier to mobilize domestic audience for hybrid campaigns against the West.

Dignity above all. You are my hero. Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦 As for IOC, I only have this to say: disgraceful, immoral, corrupt.

President Ilves spot on, as always. A reminder that in the initial 28-point “peace deal”, one of the points Russians were pushing was that Ukraine shouldnt launch missiles towards Moscow & St. Petersburg. Russia was ok with Ukraine launching missiles on Russian regions, where the elite doesn’t live.

With the latest crackdown on YouTube and WhatsApp, among others, Russia is accelerating its strategy of building a digital gulag. Both the crackdown and the push toward the Max app are instruments of this strategy. 1/12

Very proud of this report!

Brilliant work here by @checkfirst.network.

Keir Giles has been targeted *again* by allegedly Russian hackers — this time using a clever new trick intended to bypass 2-factor authentication. Over the years I’ve written about Giles an unusual amount, and I have an idea about why. First, the coverage: www.reuters.com/technology/s...

OTD in 2022 I gave Emmanuel Macron my personal assurances that I would not invade Ukraine. So you can trust any promise we make now.

Always read Edward Lucas.