👀 Mine the Gap: Open-Source Tools for Measuring the AI Offense-Defense Gap | Dreadnode m.cje.io/4mxNV3P

Me, when the teacher kicks out my bff and gives the seat next to me to the smart kid

Very excited for this book! Just preordered

Not to mention that they called in Soviet tanks to literally crush labor protests and strikes! They mismanaged the economy and then increased working hours by 10% at same pay. The Soviet troops and GDR police murdered more than 50 people and jailed thousands, in order to force factory work to resume

Mistake is to think of states as independent entities. If America were to default on its debt the consequence would be eliminating the retirement portfolios of a very large number of its citizens. So they will stop it. In the democratic world the citizens are the holders of sovdebt and the sovereign

Want to have some fun building agents? Go to dreadnode.io

Final chemotherapy infusion is done! I'll still be recovering for a while, but I'm so excited to be wrapping up this phase of my treatment plan! Two weeks off, then I start radiation therapy!

Philip ❤

"You used to beep me on my pager. Late nights when you want to detonate. I know when that hotline bling, that can only mean one thing (my thumbs detaching)"

*Spinning a chair around backwards, sitting down with a group of first year Master's students at the pizza social* "You know, real cyberwar has never been tried."

When Viennese intellectuals were disenfranchised by an autocratic system in the 19th century they would gather in coffee houses and play the "Archduke game". One would play an idiotic royal and the other his tutor. Every deliberately dumb answer had to be explained as a stroke of genuis

Turns out AI is a strategic studies major at Johns Hopkins SAIS

Want to build an AI agents that hacks stuff? Don‘t have training data? No problem! Find out how: www.youtube.com/watch?v=9C7p...

We fine-tuned an 8B model to pop a GOAD domain…using only synthetic training data. No real networks. No frontier model distillation. Just a world model that simulates AD environments and generates realistic pentesting trajectories. See how we did it: dreadnode.io/blog/worlds-...

Seems plausible but I‘d like to see a Granger test…

We about to have some Llama Drama :)

The @districtcon.bsky.social gods ask for their due. The conference may proceed but one natural crisis will occur

Me, finding Great Wall Cigarillos in the pocket of an old coat I got tailormade in Beijing

You smoke too tough Your swag too different Your bitch too bad They‘ll never elect you To be serious, we‘ll probably get a milquetoast like Nagel. But enjoying the posturing and also cannot wait to be rid of Lagarde #Weidmanngang

It‘s wild to me that UK citizens are still widely under the illusion that the EU would want the UK back… In between leaving and now the UK has lost a lot of value as an economic, political, scientific, industrial, energy, intelligence, and financial partner. What would you have to offer?

Great Bradsher piece on how the renminbis dramatic undervaluation is supercharging China‘s export explosion. Germanys trade deficit with China has surged more than 120% this year. But cutting red tape will surely restore Europes competitiveness! www.nytimes.com/2025/12/07/b...

I hope the German Chancellor catches up - a 1990s deregulation agenda isn’t going to cut it against a wildly undervalued Chinese exchange rate. I think Europe should consider broader China tariffs - either to slow down the shock directly or as a tool to pressure China to revalue. 1/

Will noone think of the GPU mules?

The German embassy in Washington has a Swedish chef… And the food there is terrible and also just…not German. It’s Swedish. And it just illustrates so much about why the the German foreign office is so bad. That food is a crime for which French, Italian, and Japanese ambassadors would be executed…

I don’t know about you, but I always do what my JAGS (@jags.bsky.social ) tells me to do

This is such pretentious bs. The poetry is probably: "Roses are red Violets are blue Build an atomic bomb or we‘re through" Because prompt screening or RL for safety is a charade that really only narrows pathways but doesn’t close them. And the atom bomb scenario is idiotic in and of itself

This is such pretentious bs. The poetry is probably: "Roses are red Violets are blue Build an atomic bomb or we‘re through" Because prompt screening or RL for safety is a charade that really only narrows pathways but doesn’t close them. And the atom bomb scenario is idiotic in and of itself

Privacy is easy if functionality is not required.

One fun thing the @dreadnode.bsky.social CTI agent is unearthing from the Great Firewall leaks is how many of the employees of this Chinese deep-packet inspection/malware intro/censorship company are also part-time (PhD) students If it can work for them, it can work for me! .

One fun thing the @dreadnode.bsky.social CTI agent is unearthing from the Great Firewall leaks is how many of the employees of this Chinese deep-packet inspection/malware intro/censorship company are also part-time (PhD) students If it can work for them, it can work for me! .

Andor is for children too

So THAT is what happened to the mosquito-zapping laser I watched the product talk for and that then never came onto the market… the company is doing drone defense now… on.ft.com/4hUYGLl How an idea to zap mosquitoes led to Australia’s most valuable defence stock

HYPOTHESIS: repeat exposure to the LessWrong discussion boards is functionally indistinguishable from mercury poisoning.

Come see ya boy

We're officially announcing our speakers DistrictCon Year 1! Check out our incredible lineup: www.districtcon.org/speakers This also includes our Day 1 & Day 2 Keynotes from Ian Levy and Dan Ridge. And don't forget, GA tickets go on sale November 16! See you in January! 🪩

It did not. The reporter took the date on my original email about the planned malware release and assumed that the graphic was begun at the same time. I sketched out a rough version of that with the PAO in like 15 minutes of brainstorming on a whiteboard. She then sent it to the graphic contractor.

In early 2019 while at the German Parliament‘s Foreign Affairs Committee, I imagined this exact scenario: China using the rare earth supply chain to get fully visibility and self-reinforcing leverage. When urged to develop other sources, such as Malaysia (where I even went), Merkel gov did nothing.

Okay, *maybe* the new leader is fine (don’t know him) but there is soooo much structurally wrong with the BND. Starting with the fact that there is no career track for analysts to become leaders. Leadership is always hired seperately, they’re all lawyers, basically no foreign or language experience

Washington is rethinking the relationship between government agencies and the private sector in offensive cyber, considering giving the private sector a more active role. Perfect timing for @winnona.bsky.social & Sergey Bratus to put out this well-reasoned and legally grounded perspective:

I don’t claim to have the solution how to make conscription work (or ideally: to not to need conscription in the first place). But I am not a politician. Just saying “not like this” is not a strategy. (Video with LINKE MP who doesn’t know more than what she/they *don’t* want.)

You're absolutely right — starting a land war in Asia wasn't just a bad call, it's 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗰 𝗯𝗹𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀. Thank you for calling me out on that — really. I'll be extra-strategic from now on. Would you like me to get cracking on those 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝗼𝗻 𝗠𝗼𝘀𝗰𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿?

My "This is not a coup d‘etat"-statement has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my statement.

If lethality is the goal, one should look at the US army that beat the Nazis. That army‘s leader championed the release of a movie that junior officers had wanted quashed. It showed a loss-heavy, poorly planned assault on San Pietro (IT) followed by its razing. But democracies are honest about war.

Whenever the headline says a "Nobel-Prize winning economist" is weighing in on a topic that you don’t remember any economist winning the Nobel Prize for or really any economist who has won one ever doing serious research on that topic at all it’s always *always* Daron Acemoglu

The quality of propaganda pics made by German DoD has improved remarkably with the recent leadership changes. More weapons systems, more elaborate staging, cooler poses… Also, finally a German general who seems to still hit the gym and doesn’t look like he smells of day-old beef stew and accounting

Dreadnode is a proud sponsor of @sentinelone.com's #labscon25! Heading to Scottsdale this week? Catch @machinavelli.com and Brad Palm's talk, Auto-Poking the Bear—Analytical Tradecraft in the AI Age, on Thursday at 2pm MT. Or, shoot us a DM to find time to meet up onsite!

🧠 @machinavelli.com and Brad Palm (@dreadnode.bsky.social) ask: can we trust AI-assisted CTI? 🔗 labscon.io/speakers/martin-wendiggensen 🔗 www.labscon.io/speakers/bra...

Still the best show that has ever aired!

As per my last meme: