Bad news for Ukraine. Lapin was its secret weapon.

L’édition française de mon roman est déjà en vente! Bonne lecture. www.amazon.fr/gp/aw/d/2889...

Russia has high expectations for the summit with Trump in Alaska. Peace in Ukraine isn’t one of them. My analysis. www.wsj.com/world/russia...

How Denmark fell out of love with America. www.wsj.com/world/europe...

Really great conversation with @wsj.com Chief International Correspondent @yarotrof.bsky.social tonight on The Oz Katerji Show discussing the White House Ukraine pivot and Trump's growing frustration with Vladimir Putin. The full episode is out now on YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmBy...

Which cover do you like more?

Talking to public radio’s @TheWorld about Russia’s dismissive reaction to the Trump ultimatum and what is next for Ukraine. theworld.org/segments/202...

The math of the air war in Ukraine is simple. Yes, air defenses are needed but there will never be enough Patriots etc. The only way to stop Putin from bombarding Ukrainian cities is by helping Kyiv strike deep inside Russia, against the Russian defense-industrial base, air and missile installations

The paperback is out in the UK and Europe, in a few months in the US. yarotrof.com/books/no-cou...

How exactly does the axis of autocracies work? The war in Iran has given an insight — but only up to a point. Things may be different once China makes a call on its junior partners. My essay in @WSJ www.wsj.com/world/the-fa...

The U.S. has stopped the delivery of air-defense interceptors and other weapons intended for Ukraine and is using them instead to beef up Pentagon stocks.

Satellite image from Izhevsk 🤩💥

The paperback of my novel 📕No Country for Love📕 is hitting the stores in the UK and Europe tomorrow. Get yours! www.amazon.co.uk/No-Country-L...

A Globo parliamo della possibilità di una nuova èra nucleare con @yarotrof.bsky.social, Chief Foreign-Affairs Correspondent del Wall Street Journal @ilpost.it www.ilpost.it/podcasts/glo...

Mon roman 📕Ce Pays Qui N’aimait Pas l’Amour📕 sort en France à fin août — et peut déjà être précommandé! www.amazon.fr/pays-qui-nai...

How Trump went from bombing Iran to being bombed to ceasefire in 48 hours, allowing everyone to claim victory — for now. Our latest. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

Ukraine gave up its nukes and got invaded. North Korea took advantage of American indecisiveness and is now invulnerable. Now, as Israel wages war on Iran, are we on the verge of a new nuclear age, with nukes becoming the only guarantee of sovereignty? www.wsj.com/world/nuclea...

I don’t think people appreciate enough the new asymmetry. Iran relies on the finite and fast dwindling stockpile of ballistic missiles. Israel now can bomb with a near-infinite magazine of JDAM and SPICE bombs, using F-15 and F-16 in addition to F-35s. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

Ukraine’s SBU said it damaged the bridge between Crimea and Russia, blowing up one of the pillars. Extent of structural damage from the underwater explosion is unclear. t.me/SBUkr/14960

The savior of Russia.

After reports of initial wavering, the U.S. signed up to tough language on Russia in the G7 finance ministers’ meeting statement.

My latest from Istanbul on the first talks between Russia and Ukraine in three years — and the flurry of global diplomatic activity around them. www.wsj.com/world/europe...

Zelensky sends a team to Istanbul for the first direct talks with Russia in three years. It’s the kind of whirlwind day when your afternoon story has kept just a few words from the morning one. www.wsj.com/world/zelens...

Ukrainian officials dismiss as “Russian fake news” reports in Russian media that Russian and Ukrainian negotiators will meet for talks in Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul this morning. Zelensky is due to land in Ankara for talks with Erdogan soon.

Our latest on the complicated diplomatic dance about potential peace negotiations in Turkey. www.wsj.com/world/ukrain...

And here is a photo of the piece, for those who cannot access.

Now that all attention is on possible peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in Turkey, here’s an excerpt from my book 📕Our Enemies Will Vanish📕 that explains what exactly went down the previous time the two sides met, in Istanbul in 2022. www.thetimes.com/life-style/a...

Trump’s push to annex Greenland backfires, pushing Greenlanders closer to Denmark despite their independence aspirations and resentment over Copenhagen’s colonial legacy. My big story from Greenland 🇬🇱 www.wsj.com/world/trumps...

The worst part? They didn’t even gain anything! It’s not like “I cheated my siblings out of their inheritance and now they hate me but at least I’m rich”. The US government has torched all trust and goodwill *for no clear benefit*! In fact it *hurts* their stated goal of taking on China.

You hear a lot in the U.S. about how a dynamic and competitive America has left the decaying lazy Europe far behind in the 21st century. That is only true in nominal GDP terms, which reflect the overvalued $. The picture is completely different if you look at purchasing parity-adjusted statistics.

Stunning declines in favorable opinion of the United States among its closest allies since the election, with swings of 20% to 30% in major European nations, Japan, Korea and Australia. And most of this polling was done before Trump’s trade war! www.ipsos.com/en/americas-...

Discussing my novel 📕No Country for Love📕 and Ukraine’s past and present on @newbooksnetwork.bsky.social newbooksnetwork.com/no-country-f...

Ukrainian drones strike the headquarters of Russia’s 112th Missile Brigade, which Ukrainian intelligence says was responsible for the Palm Sunday massacre in Sumy. Location: Shuya, nearly 500 miles from Ukraine.

Kind of perplexed that anyone in the US would have ever expected us to join a trade war on the side of the US when the US is also targeting us. The UK got 10% tariffs despite the US having a trade surplus in goods with us.

‘Most countries today have China, not the U.S., as their biggest trade partner. The value of Australia’s exports to the U.S., for example, is only 15% of its exports to China... “The U.S. is building walls and China is building bridges,” said Shen Shiwei, founder of the China Briefing newsletter.’

America’s partners and allies are in no rush to join Trump’s trade war in China — and some contemplate a rapprochement with Beijing instead. My latest in WSJ. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

“Many” Ukrainian civilians killed in a Russian ballistic missile strike on Sumy as residents were heading to church for Palm Sunday services, local officials say. One of the missiles apparently hit a trolley bus. In other news, Witkoff’s sightseeing in St Petersburg seems to have gone great.

As Trump undermines alliances, weakens America’s economy and neuters its soft power, China senses that its time has arrived. My @WSJ Review piece. www.wsj.com/world/as-the...

“The pattern of Russian imperialism has always been to use the resources of the conquered nations to keep going. So if, God forbid, the Russians occupy [all of] Ukraine, they will draft every fighting-age Ukrainian to fight the next war.” Author @yarotrof.bsky.social discusses his native Ukraine.

How the U.S. burned its soft (and hard) power, gifting China a historic opportunity. My WSJ Review essay. www.wsj.com/world/as-the...

You know what else President Trump believes in, in addition to his long-held conviction that tariffs will usher a golden age? That some U.S. Treasuries may be fraudulent and that the U.S. debt is smaller than people think. (Video below from February.)

More Americans favor than oppose additional aid to Ukraine (a flip since January) and a not-insignificant 25% support annexing Canada and Greenland, per WSJ poll.

Trump: Tariff is the most beautiful word in the dictionary. Europe is out there to screw us. We must close our borders. Musk: I support zero tariffs between Europe and North America, and also freedom of movement so Europeans and Americans can easily work in each other’s countries. 🤔

Fresh from his meetings in the White House, Putin’s envoy has thoughts — not on a ceasefire in Ukraine but on Americans exercising First Amendment rights.

FYI: Most (likely all for drone and other low-end uses) optical fibers are bought from China - products of companies like this one tend to be mostly used in government infrastructure. It is still a good target - just dont oversell its military value.

He never knew a day of peace

🕯️ People bring flowers and toys to the site of a missile attack. Yesterday's attacks on Kryvyi Rih killed 19 people, 9 of them children. More than 60 others were injured.

The unpredictability of America for the foreseeable future is more serious than the tariffs themselves. Companies can’t make long-term decisions if policy is made and changed on a whim. Much of the rest of the world will respond by creating U.S.-free supply chains.

A Russian Tu 22M3 strategic bomber crashed in the Irkutsk region of Russia, the fourth loss of such aircraft in the past two years. Russia uses these planes, which are no longer manufactured, for missile strikes on Ukraine, and only about 30 are still operational. t.me/kobzevii/10394

Russian battle-damage assessment of the Ukrainian HIMARS hit on four helicopters in the Belgorod region last month. Source: t.me/dosye_shpion...