Yes, my wedding has a website Yes, I have also included modelling of the expected temperature on the day Yes, I did this by fitting a Bayesian model to 45 years of temperature data Yes, the wedding website has an easter egg with a little link to find a writeup of how I got the numbers

shel silverstein was a prophet

It's Festivus, so I'm going to air some grievances. 1. If you're going to write a year end story about how scientists responded to authoritarianism and *NOT* include @standupforscience.bsky.social in the write up or cite that the photo you used as your header is from one of our rallies...that's bs.

Now seems like a swell time to point out that Frontline just released this excellent 11-minute mini-documentary about what happened inside CECOT.

Last year, one-term Rep. Anthony D’Esposito lost after adding his mistress to his official payroll. This year, Republicans made him the inspector general at the Dept of Labor, where he’ll be expected to investigate ethical lapses — despite his own ethical lapses. www.ms.now/rachel-maddo...

I honest to Pete don’t understand the aversion to saying he lies. (Don’t give me the whole oh-we-don’t-know-his-intent malarkey)

NSF plans to streamline merit review to heal self-inflicted staffing wound www.science.org/content/arti...

New stories out about Official NIH Policy about "remediating" NIH applications so that they can be considered for funding. First, a story in STAT... www.statnews.com/2025/12/15/n... 1/9

"The Trump Administration plans to abruptly eliminate as many as 35,000 health care positions at the Dept of Veterans Affairs this month... "The cuts come after a reorganization effort already resulted in the loss of almost 30,000 V.A. employees this year..." www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson has a history of spreading vaccine misinformation. Now he's giving credence to assertions about the therapeutic powers of chlorine dioxide, a disinfectant & deodorizer. “It is all lunacy," one expert said. / My latest for @propublica.org www.propublica.org/article/ron-...

ICE are thug scum.

Denmark’s military intelligence service raised concerns for the first time about the U.S. in its annual threat assessment, saying in a report released Wednesday that shifts in American policy are generating new uncertainties for Denmark’s security.

As people made their way into a naturalization ceremony, ICE officials stopped 38 of the 100 applicants and told them they wouldn't be leaving with U.S. citizenship. The immigrants — who passed every step in the naturalization process — needed only to take the oath of allegiance to become citizens.

I’m sorry, but what exactly is the legal or constitutional question here? Plain text reading seems quite clear with precedence - oh, yeah, I forgot the Court can decide to reinterpret the plain language and modify the Constitution as politically expedient.

You can’t make this shit up anymore…Onion becomes reality

This is immoral. "3-year-old child forced to serve as her own attorney in Tucson immigration court. More than a dozen undocumented minors were forced to serve as their own attorneys in front of an immigration judge as the Trump admin. ramps up removal proceedings." coppercourier.com/2025/12/05/c...

Not much that is surprising in this (horrifying) report by Amnesty on conditions in Florida (yes, it's inhumane): www.amnesty.org/en/d... . The real question of interest to me is whether anyone will care. We shall see.

Feeling holiday stress? A psychologist (and native Dane) shares how Denmark relies on two words to stay grounded: overskud (the energy/space to take something on) and pyt (to let it go). This season: say no when you lack overskud and say pyt when things don’t go as planned 💛

"Northwestern officials proudly noted that their pact with the WH explicitly declares that the agreement doesn’t allow the gov't to dictate “the content of academic speech and research” .... But the pact itself restricts speech and research at the university. Saying otherwise won’t change that."

It will take America *decades*—not merely years—to recover from what these robber barons did to us. They destroyed our government, caused untold pain to the average American directly and indirectly, and used our money as their piggy bank. And all of it *should* have been criminal.

Mark Kelly: "This president, when he says things like 'third world countries,' what is he really saying? I think what he's saying is he doesn't want brown people in our country. And that's disturbing. It's un-American."

I've done a deep dive into the Trump family's global moneymaking campaign. The White House says there's no conflict of interest. But from Serbia to Vietnam to crypto it's being called "pay to play" on a vast scale. If you have info, get in touch @theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-i...

New study finds that down-ranking hostile political content in people’s social media feeds decreases political polarization. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Experts say it’s highly unusual for the White House to tell agents to give up custody of potential evidence in an investigation, as it did with the Tates. “I’ve never heard of anything like that in my 30 years working,” an ex-DHS official said.

Cartoon by @slyngstad.bsky.social. Even the turkey pardons are for sale.

It's a tiny amount of money ($25K, $12K when I was a student), but the consequences are huge. e.g., Years ago, this funding enabled me to conduct my PhD research, which ultimately informed the Supreme Court litigation that prohibited patents on human genes. Talk about undone science.

An 18yo US citizen, surrounded by eight masked, armed agents of the state, taken into custody, not read his rights, not offered a chance to contact a lawyer, proof of citizenship ignored, handcuffed so tightly he later required medical attention. Profoundly, profoundly anti-American shit.

Big news today: Chris Duncan, who spent decades on Louisiana's death row on 'junk science' until his conviction was overturned this spring, is being released today. You'll remember this story from a few months ago, when his conviction was overturned: boltsmag.org/chris-duncan...

America needs more patriots like Senator Mark Kelly and fewer miserable cowards like Donald Trump and Pete Hegseth.

I used to handle interlibrary loans for a public library. ILL is a magnificent expression of the idea that readers deserve books, and books deserve readers. It’s libraries everywhere pooling their resources for the benefit of everyone. Killing IMLS could have killed ILL. This is great news. 📚

Calling all student 2025 Annual Meeting attendees! Don’t miss your chance to network and connect at tonight’s student social beginning at 9:00 PM MST. #psynom25 buff.ly/54rGdBh

The SPARK Society is sponsoring a lunchtime workshop at Psychonomics (noon today, Governor's Square 12) on Science Outreach and Advocacy, featuring @ozgegurcanli.bsky.social @paulacroxson.bsky.social and @jzacks.bsky.social, moderated by me. Free lunch for the first 50 attendees - join us! #psynom25

Important read from my @pogo.org colleague Virginia Burger on her oaths of office during her service in the U.S. military and obligation to disobey unlawful orders: www.pogo.org/analysis/mil...

President Trump is building a “shadow budget” outside of Congressional control. @scott-levy.bsky.social explains why it is unlawful and how Congress should respond: www.justsecurity.org/125302/shado...

We've updated our Study. New stats (jaw-dropping imho): 1. DOJ noncompliance with court orders: 26 cases 2. Courts’ distrust of government information and representations: Over 60 cases 3. Court findings of arbitrary and capricious government conduct: 68 cases

Relying on ChatGPT to teach you about a topic leaves you with shallower knowledge than Googling and reading about it, according to new research that compared what more than 10,000 people knew after using one method or the other. Shared by @gizmodo.com: buff.ly/yAAHtHq

This story is nuts. "ICE agents then surrounded the judge’s car and demanded everyone to exit the vehicle, threatening to smash in the windows if they did not comply."

🧵

Exclusive: The U.S. Coast Guard will no longer classify the swastika, nooses and the Confederate flag as hate symbols. The military service drafted a new policy that classifies them as “potentially divisive.”

Relying on ChatGPT to teach you about a topic leaves you with shallower knowledge than Googling and reading about it, according to new research that compared what more than 10,000 people knew after using one method or the other.

John Oliver and Co did a great explanation of what public media does, and who exactly the funding recission actually hurts (Hint: it's not liberal elites.) Also very proud to see my old friend and former WBEZ reporter Lauren Chooljian featured for her amazing work. youtu.be/yknMJOgy2pA?...

The BBC picked up on an old Newsweek story of mine and gave it great new color and context. www-bbc-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.bbc....

I will never forget having to edit Jamal’s final, posthumous piece for the Washington Post, after he was murdered. He was calling for free expression in the Arab world. You can read it here : www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/glo...

We could spend years demanding a list be released, or we could just believe women…

Those seeking pardons through official channels have watched while Trump grants pardons to people who never entered the system at all. “If you’re just an average citizen, you can’t even get in the line,” one lawyer said. “I told my guy he’d probably be better off if he broke into the Capitol.”

The Founders were so concerned about bribery that the Constitution forbids it three separate times. Two emoluments clauses ban officials—unambiguously including the president—from accepting things of value, plus bribery is the only named impeachable offense besides treason. Unprecedentedly corrupt.

'Worst of the Worst'? DOJ Figures Show 97.4% of 614 Detained Immigrants in Chicago Had No Criminal Record www.commondreams.org/news/worst-o...

I know this is old man yells at cloud but there is something in the constitution about this