Frans Osinga
@osinga.bsky.social
📤 3941
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Prof war studies Leiden Uni
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Frans Osinga
Ellen Braaten
about 10 hours ago
We need to call this what it is - psychosis. Psychotic thinking not based in reality.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Frans Osinga
Anca B.
about 11 hours ago
Europeans should remember this about Trump: he wouldn’t lift a finger for Europe.
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Trump told EU that US would never help Europe under attack - EU official
Donald Trump told top European officials while he was U.S. president that the United States would never help Europe if it came under attack, according to a high-level EU official.
https://www.reuters.com/world/we-will-never-help-europe-under-attack-eu-official-cites-trump-saying-2024-01-10/
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Frans Osinga
Mrs. Betty Bowers
1 day ago
Stupid Decisions That Caused That Strait of Hormuz Problem: 1. Trump impulsively attacked Iran; 2. Trump foolishly insulted the allies he now needs; and 3. The U.S. Navy recently decommissioned an entire class of minesweepers, without any effective ready replacements. Not smart people.
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Frans Osinga
Silverman on Security
1 day ago
Given there’s no invocation of Article V; even if there was this isn’t self defense, it’s self inflicted; & NATO’s remit is Europe not the Middle East, he can bluster all he wants. Especially, as everyone already knows if a NATO member invoked Article V he’d ignore it.
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
2 days ago
🇺🇦 Zelensky: This week alone, the Russians have struck Ukraine with 1,770 strike drones, over 1,530 KAB, and 86 missiles, including over 20 ballistic missiles. Each of these missiles contains at least 60 foreign components supplied to Russia to circumvent sanctions.
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Frans Osinga
UNITED24
3 days ago
68 missiles, 430 drones — in 1 night. Kyiv, Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts were hit. People were killed and wounded. Civilian and energy infrastructure — damaged. All because of terrorist russia. Help stop this;
u24.gov.ua/sky-defense?...
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Frans Osinga
Ambassador Ken Fairfax (ret)
2 days ago
By threatening to deny the license of any broadcast news company that does not tow the Trump line, Carr is publicly announcing that the goal of the Trump Administration is to rip up the Constitution to install an authoritarian government.
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FCC chair threatens broadcasters over Iran war coverage
FCC Chair Brendan Carr said news broadcasters coverage of Iran war could impact their license renewal.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/03/14/fcc-iran-war-coverage/89154891007/
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Frans Osinga
TweetLD
2 days ago
Shocking. 😒 FCC Chair Brendan Carr said news broadcasters coverage of Iran war could impact their license renewal.
www.usatoday.com/story/news/p...
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FCC chair threatens broadcasters over Iran war coverage
FCC Chair Brendan Carr said news broadcasters coverage of Iran war could impact their license renewal.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/03/14/fcc-iran-war-coverage/89154891007/
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Frans Osinga
Chris Murphy
2 days ago
3/ Right now, Trump has no plan to reopen the Strait. And a plan may not exist. The assets Iran uses to harass and attack tankers - thousands of small drones, speed boats and mines - cannot be eliminated. They are too numerous, too spread out and hidden.
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Iran deploys explosive ‘suicide skiffs’ disguised as fishing boats in Strait of Hormuz
Iranian forces deploy explosive drone boats disguised as fishing vessels in Strait of Hormuz, defense expert Cameron Chell warns, marking new phase of hybrid warfare.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/iran-deploys-explosive-suicide-skiffs-disguised-fishing-boats-strait-hormuz.amp
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Frans Osinga
Phillips OBrien
2 days ago
This Trump tweet is a work of art and needs to be kept for posterity. It turns out that the US has destroyed 100% of Iran’s military capability. Yet, to combat a military with no capability he is left pleading with allies he has regularly insulted to save him in the Gulf.
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Frans Osinga
POLITICO Europe
3 days ago
The U.S. does not need Ukraine’s help with air defense in the Middle East, President Donald Trump said yesterday.
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Trump snubs Zelenskyy’s offer of drone help
In an interview with Fox News, the U.S. president said the U.S. does not need Ukraine’s help in the Middle East.
https://www.politico.eu/article/us-donald-trump-snubs-ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy-drone-help-middle-east/
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Frans Osinga
The Ukrainian Review
3 days ago
🇮🇷🇸🇦 An Iranian missile strike on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia damaged five US Air Force refueling planes. The attack occurred several days ago, but officials only recently confirmed the extent of the damage to the aircraft. Read more 👀
theukrainianreview.info/iran-attacks...
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Iran Attacks Saudi Air Base: Five US Refueling Planes Damaged
An Iranian missile strike on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia damaged five US Air Force refueling planes. The attack occurred several days ago, but offici
https://theukrainianreview.info/iran-attacks-saudi-air-base-five-us-refueling-planes-damaged/
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reposted by
Frans Osinga
Carl Quintanilla
3 days ago
America’s endgame. 🤡
@politico.com
www.politico.com/news/2026/03...
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www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
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‘No clear goal’: lack of Iran war plan has unleashed chaos and could stymie US military for decades, say critics
White House contends with reality of shoddy preparations for war and unclear conditions for victory
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/13/goal-plan-iran-war-military?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
3 days ago
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
4 days ago
🇺🇸🚀The U.S. has used years’ worth of key munitions, including expensive Tomahawk missiles, since the start of the Iran War, - FT The rapid depletion is raising concerns about military stockpiles, high war costs, and the ability to replenish weapons.
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Frans Osinga
Foreign Affairs
4 days ago
Read David Petraeus and Isaac C. Flanagan on why “the U.S. military must first develop sound operational and tactical concepts for autonomous warfare before fielding these systems at scale.”
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The Autonomous Battlefield
The U.S. military isn’t ready for it.
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/autonomous-battlefield?utm_campaign=bs&utm_content=&utm_medium=social&utm_source=bluesky
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
4 days ago
🇺🇦✈️ Zelensky: I met with Ukrainian military personnel who are studying at the European F-16 Pilot Training Center in Romania. We talked with the soldiers about the features and conditions of their training. We discussed the challenges facing our pilots and how the state can help solve them.
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nice, now how about Ukraine?
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4 days ago
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uh no not really, the population does not revolt against the government nor harden their resolve but generally are preoccupied with survival and become passive
add a skeleton here at some point
4 days ago
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reposted by
Frans Osinga
War on the Rocks
4 days ago
Years of mass drone attacks have stress-tested Ukraine’s air defenses, resulting in a system that has held up under relentless pressure. The United States and its allies should be paying attention.
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Lessons from Ukraine for Defending Gulf Airspace from Shaheds
In early March 2026, U.S. Central Command confirmed the first U.S. fatalities of the Iran conflict. A drone strike at Port Shuaiba in Kuwait killed six
https://warontherocks.com/2026/03/lessons-from-ukraine-for-defending-gulf-airspace-from-shaheds/
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
4 days ago
🇺🇦 Syrskyi: In general, in February, our drones hit more than 105.2 thousand enemy targets. Of these, a quarter was on the account of the Unmanned Systems Forces. Our drones have hit about 4.2 thousand enemy pilot positions in a month.
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reposted by
Frans Osinga
Christopher Miller
4 days ago
AI is reshaping how the US military makes decisions in war — a shift clear in Iran, where the Pentagon says it struck more than 2,000 targets in just four days.
www.ft.com/content/fedb...
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The AI-driven ‘kill chain’ transforming how the US wages war
Systems from Palantir and Anthropic are helping to turn torrents of battlefield data into thousands of strikes
https://www.ft.com/content/fedb262e-e6db-40bc-a4d0-080812f0f82b
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www.nytimes.com/2026/03/12/w...
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How Russia’s Scorched-Earth Attacks Put Ukraine’s Power Grid Near Collapse
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/12/world/europe/ukraine-russia-energy-system.html?smid=url-share
4 days ago
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The Autonomous Battlefield
The U.S. military isn’t ready for it.
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/autonomous-battlefield
5 days ago
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Frans Osinga
Shashank Joshi
5 days ago
The sheer strategic stupidity of bailing Russia out of its economic hole by launching a war that entirely foreseeably spikes the oil price - and then having no minesweepers in place to deal with the foreseeable fallout. Rank incompetence.
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reposted by
Frans Osinga
5 days ago
a paradox: Although Ukraine possesses considerable military potential, many NATO states are still hesitant to admit it for fear of escalating the conflict with Russia. This stance contradicts the country's strategic value to the alliance.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Frans Osinga
Clara Jeffery
5 days ago
That's about half of what it cost for USAID for a whole year
www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03...
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First 6 Days of Iran War Cost U.S. $11.3 Billion, Pentagon Says
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03/11/world/iran-war-news-trump-oil-israel
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www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
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We attacked Iran with no clear plan for regime change, Israeli security sources say
If regime holds, control of enriched uranium may be ultimate measure of US-Israeli success, insiders say
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/12/israel-iran-us-attack-no-plan-for-regime-change-security-sources?CMP=share_btn_url
5 days ago
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www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
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Iran escalates attacks on infrastructure and transport networks across the Gulf
Iranian officials warn of ‘war of attrition’ and global economic chaos as energy supplies are throttled
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/11/iran-escalates-attacks-on-infrastructure-and-transport-networks-across-the-gulf?CMP=share_btn_url
5 days ago
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reposted by
Frans Osinga
Foreign Affairs
5 days ago
The United States needs to accelerate the development of precise mass systems, argue
@mchorowitz.bsky.social
and
@laurenakahn.bsky.social
. “The U.S. military cannot afford to wait until the 2030s for its stockpiles to be restored and increased.”
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Iran’s Drone Advantage
The Pentagon copied Tehran's technology but is still struggling to keep up.
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-drone-advantage?utm_campaign=bs&utm_content=&utm_medium=social&utm_source=bluesky
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
5 days ago
By 2027, 120 satellites are to be launched into orbit, and another 100–105 units are expected to be launched each following year.
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
5 days ago
🛰🇺🇦 The Ukrainian constellation of communication satellites within the UASAT LEO program will number 300 units. The first Ukrainian satellite will be launched in October this year using a SpaceX carrier.
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Frans Osinga
WarTranslated (Dmitri)
5 days ago
The Lebanese group "Hezbollah" has joined the war, announcing the start of a military operation and launching hundreds of rockets at Israel this evening.
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reposted by
Frans Osinga
Institute for the Study of War
5 days ago
7/ Hezbollah has claimed 13 attacks targeting IDF positions and forces in northern Israel and southern Lebanon since ISW-CTP’s last data cutoff at 3:00 PM ET on March 10. Israeli media reported that Hezbollah has reportedly fired more than 850 rockets at Israel since March 2.
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Frans Osinga
NOELREPORTS
5 days ago
Oil tanks at Oman's port of Salalah continue to burn after being struck by Iranian Shahed-136 kamikaze drones.
#Iran
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Frans Osinga
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦
5 days ago
🇺🇸👀 The Pentagon told Congress the first six days of the Iran war cost over $11.3 billion, with the total expected to rise as more operational costs are calculated, - NYT
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Frans Osinga
Daniel Drezner
5 days ago
Oh.
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Frans Osinga
Anton Gerashchenko
6 days ago
Ukrainian women fighting for Ukrainian freedom. Over 75,000 Ukrainian women serve in the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Glory! 📷: olehivna2000 / berlinskaianatalia / tyasm1n / Threads
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Frans Osinga
Ursula von der Leyen
6 days ago
Thank you Emmanuel Macron for organising a call with G7 partners to discuss a coordinated response to the concerning situation in Iran and the Middle East. We are focused on minimising the impact on security and the global energy market.
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Frans Osinga
Ursula von der Leyen
6 days ago
Enforcing the oil price cap will help stabilise markets and limit Russia’s revenues. This is not the moment to relax sanctions on Russia. We both welcomed today’s decision by the IEA to make 400 million barrels of emergency reserve oil available to ease tensions in global energy supply.
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Frans Osinga
François Heisbourg
6 days ago
If all wounded and MIA are included, total of 2 million ?
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Frans Osinga
NRC
6 days ago
Nederland moet noodvoorraad gas opbouwen volgens Gasunie
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Nederland moet noodvoorraad gas opbouwen volgens Gasunie
Nederland moet een noodvoorraad aan gas opbouwen. Dat schrijft gasnetbeheerder Gasunie in een woensdag verschenen advies.
https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/03/11/nederland-moet-noodvoorraad-gas-opbouwen-volgens-gasunie-a4922743?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=bluesky&utm_term=20260311
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Frans Osinga
François Heisbourg
6 days ago
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1477 1. Five Storm Shadows strike Kremnyi El missile component plant in Briansk 2. Sochi airport closed by drones 3.70 Shaheds/ 9 leakers
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Frans Osinga
The Ukrainian Review
6 days ago
🇺🇦 Zelenskyy expressed concern over the escalating conflict in the Middle East. He warned that if the war continues, it could turn into a global conflict. He added that the Russia–Iran cooperation in drone production poses a serious threat. Read more 👀
theukrainianreview.info/zelenskyy-co...
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Zelenskyy Comments on Middle East Escalation and Russian Drones
Volodymyr Zelenskyy discussed the war in the Middle East, the cooperation between Russia and Iran, and Russia’s use of sports and culture for propaganda.
https://theukrainianreview.info/zelenskyy-comments-on-middle-east-escalation-and-russian-drones/
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open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
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Midweek Update #1: What Are The US And Israel Trying To Accomplish? (It May Be Different).
US Public Opinion And War, A Decisive Result; How Long Will This Go On? One Issue Matters Most
https://open.substack.com/pub/phillipspobrien/p/midweek-update-1-what-are-the-us?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
6 days ago
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www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/o...
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Opinion | How Does This End? Four Scenarios for What Comes Next With Iran.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/opinion/how-does-this-end-four-scenarios-for-what-comes-next-with-iran.html?smid=url-share
6 days ago
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www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/u...
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How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/us/politics/how-trump-miscalculated-iran-response.html?smid=url-share
6 days ago
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Frans Osinga
Hans de Vreij
6 days ago
Thread.
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Frans Osinga
Institute for the Study of War
6 days ago
NEW: CENTCOM reported that US forces destroyed 16 Iranian minelayers near the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian mining efforts are part of a broader effort to disrupt maritime traffic in the Strait & Gulf to impose a cost. (1/5) Iran Update Evening Special Report, March 10, 2026:
isw.pub/IranUpdate03...
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Frans Osinga
Aaron Rupar
6 days ago
Blumenthal after getting briefed on Iran: "We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran to accomplish any of the potential objectives here. There's also the specter of active Russian aid to Iran putting in danger American lives ... China also may be assisting Iran"
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