Moldova’s Pro-EU Path Unchanged After Elections: What Are Russia’s Next Steps?, @dioniscenusa.bsky.social writes. ridl.io/moldova-s-pr... #Moldova #Russia #EU

After the parliamentary elections in #Moldova, the key focus for pro-EU forces should be providing economic growth - otherwise Euroscepticism fueled by Russia will weaken Moldova's European future @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/moldova-s-pr...

Why Moldova Matters | "For the past few weeks, the small nation of Moldova in southeastern Europe has received more attention than it would like. That signals its importance." @dioniscenusa.bsky.social

If you, inexplicably :-), missed the most recent episode of my 🎙️ #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, here it is: ▶️ Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Moldova #EU #Russia #Putinswar #Ukraine

My latest piece: “Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections: A Test for the EU, a “Revenge” for Russia?” For @ispionline.bsky.social www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? My 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. ▶️ ko-fi.com/post/Moldova... If you enjoy what I do, please buy me coffee ☕️. Thank you! #Moldova #Russia #EU #Ukraine #Putinswar

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? My 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. ▶️ #Apple podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m... ▶️ #Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/6RVb... ▶️ #Goodpods goodpods.com/podcasts/the... #Moldova #EU #Russia #politics

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? Listen to another episode of 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora. I talked to @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Moldova #EU #Russia #politics

What does #Cyprus teach the EU about candidate countries with occupied or separatist territories, such as #Ukraine, #Moldova, and #Georgia? An interview with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, associate expert at the Geopolitics and Security Studies Center (GSSC) newunionpost.eu/2025/09/23/c...

My new paper: “The Black Sea Region and the Impact of the War: geopolitics, geoeconomics and security ‘transversal costs’ and ‘unintended benefits’”. An earlier version of this paper was funded by SONAC, with UK Ministry of Defence. For @gssc-lt.bsky.social www.gssc.lt/en/publicati...

#romania Simion’s victory could have positive implications for Russia broader geopolitical calculations in the EU.His success would mark the first instance since Trump’s victory where MAGA propels sovereigntists in electoral processes beyond USA @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/the-russian-...

We are pleased to share that the @consilium.europa.eu has included a publication “Rethinking the EU’s Eastern Partnership: Three Ways to Upgrade Amid Geopolitical Competition” written by the GSSC analyst @dioniscenusa.bsky.social in its list of recommended research for April. Read more:

🧭 #EUEnlargementDilemmas No.12 🪆 Russia is emboldening sovereigntist #populism, spreading #disinformation, and weaponising economic hardship, all of which poses a threat to #EUEnlargement. 🤝 @dioniscenusa.bsky.social suggests countermeasures to protect the EU's resilience. 👇 bit.ly/42Cq4rn

@dioniscenusa.bsky.social on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

In a nutshell: if a far-right guy wins Romania, pro-Russian forces have a much better chance next year in Moldova. These dynamic is observed with great interest from Moscow @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

🌍Regional wake-up call: the EU’s Eastern Partnership is at a crossroads. Our associate expert @dioniscenusa.bsky.social explores how EU, Ukraine, Moldova & others navigate growing geopolitical competition, urging the EU to rethink its Eastern strategy. Read more ⬇️ #Geopolitics #EU

My latest article: “Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence” for @RiddleRussia ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

#Ukraine: Russia and its main ally in Europe, Hungary, are using two levers to undermine Ukraine's willingness to fight on the battlefield: 1) Moscow is slowing down peace talks, negotiating with the US to reduce aid to Ukraine, and making it more susceptible to concessions;⤵️

My latest article: "The Yerevan-Baku “peace” deal and the fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia" for @gssc-lt.bsky.social www.gssc.lt/en/publicati...

Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan - What’s Next for the EU Mission? What are the prospects for a peace agreement? What is the future of the EU’s EUMA mission? @gssc-lt.bsky.social Associate Analyst @dioniscenusa.bsky.social explores these questions and more in the latest bulletin.

#Russia_Sanctions: The US is dropping its pursuit of Russian oligarchs as part of its sanctions mechanism against drug cartels and terrorist groups (domestic angle of security): ⤵️

#Azerbaijan: Baku has called for the closure of the Russian House and USAID in Azerbaijan, arguing that it does not need external help. Baku is contesting the external influence.

#Ukraine: The US indicates, through Rubio's comments, the following guiding principles for the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia: 1) both sides must make concessions; ⤵️

#EU_Enlargement: The EU has not applied sanctions to Serbia, but ongoing protests have put pressure on Vučević to resign. In contrast, the nearly two months of protests in another EU candidate country, Georgia, ⤵️

#EU_Enlargement: There is no interest from the EU in escalating sanctions against the Georgian government: 1) HR/VP Kallas highlighted that sanctions on diplomatic passports are in place, but this measure can be circumvented by the proponents of the government in Tbilisi. ⤵️

#EasternEurope: US development aid has been suspended for 90 days (for now, except for Egypt and Israel). USAID is funding projects related to political and regulatory reforms.⤵️

#FrozenConflicts: Russia has decided to supply its gas to the Transnistrian region. A Cyprus company has booked the capacities for 3.1 million m³ for 160 million dollars in February-April 2025 (but it is highly likely to be extended if transit via Ukraine is not resumed). ⤵️

#EasternEurope: Trump has ordered a three-month suspension of aid to NGOs abroad, which appears to be part of his so-called “anti-globalist” agenda. The question is whether the EU has enough resources to replace US funding for civil society in Eastern Europe.⤵️

#FrozenConflicts: The separatist regime has agreed with Chisinau on the condition that it will be supplied with Russian gas. The gas supply will be provided by Moldovagaz, a company controlled by Russia. Chisinau does not accept other companies to get involved in gas supply to Transnistria.⤵️

#Russia_Moldova: The Kremlin has put forward two scenarios for Moldova in view of the current energy crisis and its anti-Russian stance: 1) absorption by another country; 2) ceasing to exist. This statement comes ahead of the parliamentary elections. This is part of Moscow's escalating rhetoric,⤵️

#EasternEurope: The Romanian govt is ready to help Moldova in the energy sector to prevent the return of Russian gas and energy (via Transnistria). Romanian/European gas saves the energy system from collapse. However, the Moldovan population is falling into greater energy poverty.⤵️

#Hybrid: Elon Musk is engaging in malign external interference in European politics. What he is doing is what Putin has been attempting for the past decade: promoting far-right political parties to weaken EU unity and⤵️

#Hybrid: Russia adds another layer of narratives to distract attention from the essence of the energy crisis in Transnistria: initially Moscow claimed that the crisis arose due to⤵️

Everything you need to know about energy crisis in Transnistrian region of Moldova and what could happen there next @dioniscenusa.bsky.social for ridl.io ridl.io/energy-crisi...

My latest article: “Energy crisis in Transnistrian region: Is Russian gas replaceable?” for @RidlRussia ridl.io/energy-crisi...

#NewPublication: My latest article: “Polish EU Presidency puts Russian hybrid threats in the spotlight” www.intellinews.com/cenusa-polis...

#Personal: Happy New Year! Frohes Neues Jahr! Feliz Año Nuevo! Bonne Année! La mulți Ani! 🥂

#Georgia: Today, the government will enforce the mandate of the president it has appointed. Zurabishvili refuses to resign and is supported by the group of protesters who do not recognise the legitimacy or legality of the new president Kavelashvili. ⤵️

#EU_Enlargement: Two out of ten EU candidate countries are facing anti-government protests. In Serbia, protests were triggered by an incident at a Chinese-renovated train station in Novi Sad (as part of the Belt and Road Initiative), and have evolved into a protest against the Vucic regime. ⤵️

#Russia_Gas: After LNG to Spain for the first time in March, Gazprom is now expanding its market towards Italy where the first volumes were supplied these days. It should be noted that in Jan 2024 the EU adopted the 14th sanctions package which prohibits,

#Hybrid: Ukraine considers Telegram a problematic platform, primarily due to the lack of content moderation. This concern lies in the large number of followers of the platform by Ukrainians. A🧵:

#Hybrid: Ukraine considers Telegram a problematic platform, primarily due to the lack of content moderation. This concern lies in the large number of followers of the platform by Ukrainians. A🧵:

#Ukraine: Trump's opposition to the use of long-range missiles by Kyiv inside Russia confirms the nature of his intentions: de-escalation, on the one hand, and limitation of the ongoing military activities to Ukrainian soil.⤵️

The Lithuanian Foreign Policy Review is out. It notably features @landsbergis.bsky.social, @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, @lykkefriis.bsky.social, @ambdanfried.bsky.social and yours truly. Key issue: Transatlantic relations and Europe's next steps in supporting Ukraine. www.eesc.lt/wp-content/u...

#EasternEurope: Belarus seeks to capitalize on the future deployment of the Oreshnik ballistic missile for anti-West deterrence purposes. Russia gains a point in its strategic positioning by using Belarusian territory and at the expense of Belarusian sovereignty. Meanwhile, ⤵️

#FrozenConflicts: Abkhazia aims to control internet use to fight micro-mining of cryptocurrencies. Georgia's breakaway region faces a difficult dilemma: 1) curb illegal cryptocurrency mining activity by limiting internet access for the population;⤵️

#EU_Enlargement: Finally, the EU is acting as I myself have been advising for weeks, by introducing a selective visa regime. In my latest reaction to the Dutch government’s (@ministerBZ ) proposal to activate the visa suspension mechanism, ⤵️

My latest article: “Transnistrian region and Abkhazia face an ‘energy winter’” ridl.io/transnistria...

#EU_Enlargement: Finally, the EU is acting as I myself have been advising for weeks, by introducing a selective visa regime. In my latest reaction to the Dutch government’s (@ministerBZ ) proposal to activate the visa suspension mechanism, ⤵️

#Georgia: The police are dispersing the protesters as violently as the government is applying to them. The regime is seeking to weaken the protests through demobilisation tactics (publicly displayed violence, arrests and convictions as preventive measures). ⤵️