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This could hurt the US far more than most people realise, and gives a few countries a quiet but powerful influence. If they start dumping US assets, avoiding a recession could prove impossible.

In a speech to the World Economic Forum, Mark Carney says middle powers such as Canada must accept that the rules-based international order is effectively dead, and great power rivalry with is here to stay. Key excerpt:

this is, literally, a wild ride

Sorry, but this is not just distraction sauce. Trump is fixated. Let's not impose a rational actor model on a guy who is clearly psychotic and sociopathic. He admitted to the NYT this is psychological--he feels better owning stuff, since he hasn't faced any costs (thanks to SCOTUS), why not.

On top of everything, there is a severe solar storm underway.

It’s really too bad that Trump’s cabinet are all spineless worms or equally crazy because “the President has gone insane and is going to destroy the transatlantic alliance because they didn’t give him a Nobel Peace Prize” is kind of exactly the thing we have a 25th Amendment for

The man uses the logic of a toddler. And that might be unfair to most toddlers.

Trump launches a trade war with former European allies over Greenland.

I’ve been expecting this for months. Trump has handed China a once in a lifetime opportunity to build closer ties with countries that had once been close US allies. He’s punishing Americans with higher prices and enabling growth of the Chinese economy.

🚨WHOA. The El Paso Medical Examiner says it will rule the death of a 55-year-old Cuban man at ICE's "Camp East Montana" tent camp as a homicide. He was allegedly choked to death by a guard during a "struggle" after he refused to enter a housing unit without his medications.

Arizona is now investigating X over the creation and distribution of "potentially illegal and harmful content, including child sexual abuse imagery" The AG's announcement links to WIRED's reporting about Grok Imagine videos, by me and @regret.bsky.social WIRED story: www.wired.com/story/grok-i...

IDF conducted a ballistic missile defense drill today, they likely needed more time to prep for possible follow on actions. Netanyahu told Trump to wait as Israel needs more time to prepare, and Israel does not see the current US plan against Iran as strong or effective enough.- Axios

And there it is.

1. He wants to 2. It’s plausible he’ll try 3. His people would support it 4. But it’s vastly harder and more complicated than people are suggesting and can’t be done by his fiat

Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman persuaded Trump to “give Iran a chance”, AFP reports. Riyadh, Doha, and Muscat warned Washington that striking Tehran would lead to “serious consequences”. “A chance”.

🚨 Trump threatens to invoke Insurrection Act in Minnesota

New: meet ELITE, the Palantir app ICE is using to find neighborhoods to raid. Map interface; officers search for immigrants; click person to bring up individual dossier. This is clearest link between what Palantir is building and ICE's activities on the ground yet www.404media.co/elite-the-pa...

So it appears that within 24 hours, Vance pushed to halt strikes on Iran while simultaneously helping to undermine our European alliances. This guy is a master at how not to properly run foreign policy.

An Iranian official said Trump informed Iran he does not intend to attack.-Al Jazeera

X claims it has stopped Grok from undressing people, but of course it hasn’t

Musk caves. He’s going to really, really hate this. A victory for the EU and the UK.

Iranian Air Defence Command has been ordered to open fire on any aircraft entering the country's airspace without prior identification-Tasnim News Agency.

Arab Affairs Correspondent Roi Kais, Kan 11 news (Israel): Reports in Iraq on fighter jets that were heard in the skies of Tuz Khurmatu in the center of the country (Kirkuk area). 9/

⚠️ Minimal air traffic over Iran as most flights are being diverted. No word of official airspace closure at this point.

All the signals are that a U.S. attack on Iran is imminent, a Western military official tells Reuters Seeing reports of flights diverting near Iran, Tehran may possibly be closed based on some reports from contacts.

President Trump, when asked if military action is now off the table re: Iran-- "No, we're going to watch and see what the process is. But we were given a very good statement by people that are aware of what's going on. No executions."

Lots of mixed signals right now which lines up with previous actions. Could be all part of the plan.

Sweden deploying to Greenland. PM Ulf Kristersson. “Several officers from the Swedish Armed Forces are arriving…today. They are part of a group from several allied countries. Together, they will prepare for upcoming elements within the framework of the Danish exercise Operation Arctic Endurance.”

Gullible or trying to save a Moscow ally, you decide. Trump: “We have been told that the killing in Iran is stopping, it has stopped. “There is no plan for executions.”

Israeli sources who say that we may see an American strike on Iran from now until the end of the week. It was also reported that the air force base at Nevatim was partially evacuated.-Saudi Al-Hadath

And now 6

Who’s a reliable expert here on the current legal status of fake images?

Iran was expected on Wednesday to carry out its first execution of a protester, 26-year-old Erfan Soltani, from the current wave of antigovernment unrest, human rights groups and relatives say. President Trump has threatened “strong action” if Iran carries out any such death sentences.

This is an example of sousveillance, when ordinary people turn the powers of surveillance back onto the powerful

Officials say Trump now feels obligated to follow through on strikes against Iran.- CNN

I talked to @thorbenson.bsky.social about why and how people are getting their news from social media, plus how AI poses a massive threat to an already damaging and fractured media ecosystem madness.ghost.io/kat-tenbarge...

Government of Greenland: “Starting today, the military presence will be strengthened on the island and its surrounding areas in close cooperation with allies.”

The troops at Al Udeid Air Base are moving to other facilities and hotels in the region, taking them out of harm's way should any U.S. attack trigger retaliation from Tehran against American interests, sources say. -NBC News

⚠️ US is taking defensive action to reduce exposure in the Middle East in the midst of tensions with Iran. This could also be preparatory for possible US strikes against Iran.

Wow — New YouGov / Economist poll: 46% support abolishing ICE 43% oppose abolishing ICE This is the first time that abolishing ICE has received net positive support

HAPPENING NOW: In federal court in MN, DOJ is struggling to articulate why a person following an ICE vehicle — so long as they are obeying traffic laws — can be stopped for "reasonable suspicion" of a crime. Judge Menendez sharply questioning that contention.

Telephones are beginning to work again in Iran. News getting out has been consistently telling of mass repression killings. 2/

BREAKING: Death toll from nationwide protests in Iran spikes to at least 2,000, activists say.

The protests are getting larger, the crackdown more violent.

Eric Adams, former NYC mayor, launched a memecoin (cryptocurrency) today. He marketed it as an “NYC Token” and used media appearances and his social media to promote it. Within hours, Adams then drained its liquidity, apparently having scammed investors out of $3.4 million—a move called a rug pull.

Malaysia and Indonesia become the first countries to block Grok, the artificial intelligence chatbot developed by Elon Musk’s xAI, after authorities said it was being misused to generate sexually explicit and non-consensual images.

This is important. It indicates the administration is aware of any response being on the clock. 57/

Trump briefed "late on Monday" for "wide array of military options" for Iran, as well as "cyber and psychological options" -CBS News