Would Andy Burnham win a by-election? We don't know for sure but one thing we do know is he is VERY popular in the north-west. More so than Starmer, Labour and Nigel Farage. If anyone has a personal brand up there - it is him. Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Political Pulse

Something I keep coming back to. What impact does the 2028 US presidential election have on the (presumed) 2029 UK General Election? Can't help think a Democrat win has a pretty significant impact on our landscape.

Some important substance in public opinion ahead of the budget today via @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Public slightly more likely to prefer tax cuts to increases in public spending when given the choice 36%-30%. Difference is subtle but trend since election clear.

New from me for @labourlist.bsky.social on how @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows Labour need to speak more for those that want radical change to win again. 50% of Brits want radical change but just 4% of this group trust Labour to deliver it More here labourlist.org/2025/11/brit...

New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Keir Starmer’s net satisfaction rating unchanged at -66. The worst rating for a PM in the history of Ipsos polling.

New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Labour sinks to historic low with Ipsos. Greens at historic high. Reform UK 33% (-1 vs September 2025), Labour 18% (-4), Conservatives 16% (+2), Green Party 15% (+3), Liberal Democrats 12% (n/c), Others 6% (n/c). Interviews Oct 30th-Nov 5th

New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling. Net satisfaction with PM -66 Meanwhile Reform lead at 12. Reform 34 Labour 22 Conservatives 14 (record low) Lib Dems 12 Greens 12

NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer Burnham Favourable 29% Unfavourable 20% Net +9 Starmer Favourable 21% Unfavourable 54% Net -33

As the U.K. prepares to recognise a Palestinian state @Ipsos_in_the_UK polling suggests - 44% support this decision - 13% oppose. With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.

It’s the Trump state visit. But what do the British public think? Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29% Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62% Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social

British economic sentiment is following the US in becoming an increasingly partisan signal. There has been a red-blue sentiment gap for decades, but it’s widening (data: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social / @keiranpedley.bsky.social)

Really great article from new left party from @siennarodgers.bsky.social www.politicshome.com/news/article...

@keiranpedley.bsky.social & @camerongarrett.bsky.social will dig into all this (and more) at the conference later this week. If you’re there and want to talk polling, drop them a message ☕

My gut says as long as immigration and asylum are the number one issue for the public then Reform wins the next election comfortably. Labour simply won’t win a political arms race on that subject. Question is can they move tue conversation on?

Rewatching Derry girls. What a wonderful show. Clinton episode really hits home. Politics can be a depressing, soul sucking thing at times. But sometimes it works. Sometimes things really do get better. And that’s great.

🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨 48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month There’s more (short 🧵)

🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨 48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month There’s more (short 🧵)

🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨 New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have. I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵

🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨 New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have. I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵

🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨 New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have. I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵

Why are Reform going big on crime? @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows its the one Labour mission where the public think Reform would do the best job

The most important thing any new left wing party could do is have a simple name. None of this united socialist workers of great britain yadda yadda nonsense. Something clean. The new left party or similar. Does what it says on the tin. See Brexit party for details.

Find my views on this new Corbyn / Sultana left wing party evolving a bit. Think it could do pretty well - especially under FPTP which rewards a geopgraphical concentration of votes. Headache for Labour that should be taken seriously.

If a priority for a new left party is some kind of alliance or pact with the Greens then why is there a need for a new party at all? Why not just join the Greens / create a new combined entity?

New @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social shows sharp drop in support for junior doctors striking

Lots of talk of further Tory to Reform UK defections. If I was Reform i'd be very wary about being seen as a reincaranation of the Conservative Party.

New piece from me for @politicshome.bsky.social Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for? I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵 www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

In my piece for @politicshome.bsky.social today I explain how @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data shows there is a case for Labour targeting Refom leaning Labour voters on immigration / welfare & a case for targeting younger progressives. Starmer may reject the premise of choosing but it’s risky

New piece from me for @politicshome.bsky.social Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for? I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵 www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

New @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling for @skynewsrss.bsky.social shows 6 in 10 doubt Keir Starmer’s ability to unite Labour under his leadership and only one in four think it likely he wins the next election. news.sky.com/story/just-2...

How likely is Keir Starmer to turn poor poll ratings around? Re-upping my piece for @politicshome from December looking at what historic @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling tells us about how past PMs did (and didnt) recover www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...

Rather than start a new party, why doesn't Jeremy Corbyn just join the Greens?

How should the UK govt respond to Israel - Iran conflcit? @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling sheds some light. The British public want the UK govt to be a neutral mediator or not involved at all

How do the British public want the UK govt to respond to the Israel - Iran conflict? @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling sheds some light.

Wish I could swear on live tv sometimes

Events overnight are obvs fast moving /changing all the time. How GB public opinion will respond unclear. However @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling on Israel - Iran last October suggested more than 7 in 10 Brits want the U.K. to be neutral / not involved at all www.ipsos.com/en-uk/uk-pub...

The return of the @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Political Monitor also means the return of our long running leader satisfaction trends (go back to the late 1970s) Here is how Keir Starmer’s current ratings compare to other PMs 11 months in…

Tory figure in the low teens now seems inevitable.

Welcome back to voting intention polling, Ipsos.

🚨NEW @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social voting intention exclusive for the @telegraphnews.bsky.social / NEW methodology / Reform lead at 9 points 🚨 Reform UK 34% Labour 25% Conservatives 15% Lib Dems 11% Green 9% Record lead for Reform Record low share with Ipsos for the Conservatives

Leo Varadkar says Nigel Farage as PM would move Irish unity centre stage www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

In light of MPs vote in Parliament. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows 7 in 10 think abortion should be legal in all (34%) or most (38%) cases. Where an illegal abortion takes place just one in three (32%) think the woman having it should face a penalty.

How to British attitudes to abortion compare globally? An @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social study in 2023 found 71% of Brits thought abortion should be legal in all of most cases. The global average was 56%.

How to British attitudes to abortion compare globally? An @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social study in 2023 found 71% of Brits thought abortion should be legal in all of most cases. The global average was 56%.

In light of MPs vote in Parliament. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows 7 in 10 think abortion should be legal in all (34%) or most (38%) cases. Where an illegal abortion takes place just one in three (32%) think the woman having it should face a penalty.

NEW Research from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social shows 7 in 10 Brits think abortion should be legal in all or most cases - but this falls to less than half of men aged 16-34.

Ahead of the #SpendingReview let’s explore what @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling tells us of the public mood and what they want to see. 1/ First of all, economic optimism is weak. 63% expect economy to worsen in the next year. Pretty poor by historic standards.

Zia Yusuf resignation represents a wider challenge for Farage and Reform UK. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows that a top three concern the public have with Farage as PM is that Reform doesnt have a deep enough bench of talent. Can't keep losing people and expect to win.

The more things change, the more things stay the same. Some @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling from the year 2,000

Even as apps dominate the landscape, 63% of young men would still rather meet someone in real life. @keiranpedley.bsky.social spoke with @politicsjoe.bsky.social to discuss how this impacts modern dating. Full findings here 👉 bit.ly/43Hfq27