Looks like I'll have to add two grand to my pre-election poll crowdfunder because I certainly won't be working with this rag again. Absolutely disgraceful, awarding a hate campaign that is out to destroy my community and kill my best friend like this. Shame on you.

my bad

Imaginal Disk album movie… we will be seated

THEY FINALLY ADDED IT

New Scottish Parliament poll, Ipsos 12-18 Jun (changes vs 25-31 Jan 24(!)): List: SNP ~ 26% (-7) Lab ~ 22% (-9) RUK ~ 16% (+14) Grn ~ 15% (+4) Con ~ 10% (-3) LD ~ 8% (+1) Alba ~ 2% (+1) Const: SNP ~ 34% (-5) Lab ~ 23% (-7) RUK ~ 14% (+13) Con ~ 10% (-4) Grn ~ 9% (+3) LD ~ 9% (+2) Alba ~ 1% (nc)

Whatever else is the case, I am afraid I do think it's gutting that Labour, a party of evil transphobic bastards, won a by-election that followed the death of a staunch trans ally. I myself am aware this isn't a salient issue, just personally, what an insult to Christina's memory.

Labour will certainly be pleased to win this one, but that's a pretty close result; if you run these as uniform swings versus 2021, it only secures a total of 8 Labour constituency MSPs versus 51 for the SNP. As I've said before, this was must-win for Labour, but margin matters, and it's not huge!

definitely a real thing but not nearly enough of them to power this swing. there's a lot of three way churn with nat>lab and lab>ref, and then most of all differential turnout

Comment, not a prediction: turnout of 44.2% is relatively high for a by-election, and you'd *typically* expect that to be a positive sign for the SNP. They do best amongst younger and less affluent voters, who are least likely to turn out, so higher turnout generally means more of their voters.

it is funny how John Swinney returned as SNP leader to gracefully take the fall for them losing power in 2026, and instead he’s going to have to just keep being First Minister

@afaulds.bsky.social do you know if hamilton is getting counted tonight or tomorrow?

Babe wake up! We exported the NYT election needle ❤️

do they do the "if you're in line, stay in line" thing in poland

I'm sorry but this is such a fake problem. Blank Street had long lines for its first week of opening but now it has the same crowd as all the other places. That specific area around Hillhead station has already been quite chain-dominated for a while, the bottom third of Byres Rd is more mom-and-pop.

feel like this is something you could make work in a chachaanteng (hong kong's iconic canto-western diners)

Polling continuing to emphasise the points I made in my "one year to go" piece a few weeks ago: the SNP are not experiencing some "how John Swinney got his groove back" surge in support, they are simply benefitting from Labour support collapsing as well ballotbox.scot/sp26-one-yea...

Monthly: May

question for glasgoomfs: I've got a seated ticket for a show at the hydro. doors open at 6.30 but the main act doesn't start until after 9. how late can I get away with entering?

brigitte didn't fuck his shit up enough

anybody seeing tyler in glasgow tonight?

anybody do Last FM Friday on here?

Speak for yourself.

setting up work laptop rn and I was about to crash out spectacularly because for a moment I thought it wasn't gonna let me switch from edge to chrome. all sorted now though

genuinely pisses me off so much how our closest white commonwealth ally is australia and not canada

the reform party playing a historically progressive role in scottish politics by sweeping away our peculiar domestic forms of bigotry with more normal ones suited to the present day

okay the "rude" flag is genuinely hilarious lol

need this so bad holy shit

> $119 what the hell is going on in canada dawg

Speak for yourself.

congratulations. you invented a party which can win exactly one election by, in the face of crises, offering a combination of exactly what your opponents are doing, some mumbling and handwringing about how they want it in a rude way, and policy which would be trivial for the mayor of a small town.

the thing about a demand that literally everyone restrict their analysis to what would be electorally beneficial to the democrats is that this is how you get starmerism, which is doomed to collapse into a state worse than trumpism the moment that the UK has another election

fuck me for thinking people on here would be a little more intellectually curious and engaged with world affairs than the other site, damn

why is nobody talking about india/pakistan on here

yupppp

if you like jrr tolkien, may i suggest

October 7 was not the proximate cause of voters electing Trump but it was the ultimate cause of the elite realignment that is letting Trump run roughshod over our institutions right now

I remember in an old exchange he argued that the main reason for the israeli deep state being hostile to netanyahu/likud was that they're all ashkenazi. didn't think much of it at the time

I'm pretty sure (I haven't run back through all results, I have a dug to talk for a sunny walk) this is the first by-election in quite some time where the SNP's two candidate preferred share is higher than in 2022, not merely slumping less badly than Labour's.

god I really wish post notifications were a thing I keep having to remind myself to check @ballotbox.scot for poll/election results

anybody here fw the new carti?

@mckay4senate.bsky.social is this something

I'm just a widdle birfday boy why am I in it

Scots are the most persecuted people on earth

Trump is so cool because he understands that 🇵🇸 🇺🇦 is the morally consistent position and then takes the opposite of it.

southsiders! I am heading your way. what are your favourite cafes around queens park/strathbungo?

It’s so cool that the UK is approximating the Biden v DeSantis v RFK Jr version of 2024 we deserved but didn’t get.

yurrrrp

meeting my parents for dinner in edinburgh tomorrow. a bit sick of always going to the same places and would like to try something new. who's got suggestions