Win Monroe
@winmonroe.bsky.social
š¤ 1969
š„ 1593
š 871
Another economist. Views and bad hot takes are my own, if even that. Likes & RTs =/= endorsements.
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Win Monroe
Michael Derby
2 days ago
NY Fed finds households ramping up spending plans: "The median reported year-over-year increase in monthly nominal household spending increased to 4.9 percent in December from 4.1 percent in August and 4.6 percent in December 2024."
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Good thread here on financial dimensions of US-EU tensions
3 days ago
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Win Monroe
The Review of Economic Studies (REStud)
3 days ago
"Capital flowed to high-inflation countries during recent surge, worsening the output-inflation tradeoff. Reversing flows would have reduced volatility & tightening needs." New paper by Coulibaly & Bengui:
www.restud.com/destabilizin...
#REStud
#EconSky
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A good read on government debt and monetary policy:
www.ft.com/content/25d3...
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Whose fault is fiscal dominance?
Monetisation and its discontents
https://www.ft.com/content/25d38678-b8c5-44a9-b9ad-f159dd1af559
5 days ago
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Win Monroe
Nathan Blascak
6 days ago
Submission deadline for the Philadelphia Fed's Mortgage Market Research Conference is January 20th. Details here:
bit.ly/4mT9Ocz
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Summary - Mortgage Market Research Conference: Call for Papers
https://bit.ly/4mT9Ocz
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6 days ago
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Trump says he wants Fed chair contender Hassett to stay in White House job -
www.ft.com/content/ef71...
via @FT
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Trump says he wants Fed chair contender Hassett to stay in White House job
US president says moving National Economic Council director to lead the central bank would be a āserious concern for meā
https://www.ft.com/content/ef716145-8e4b-461d-8b09-b61160f7f9d2?shareType=nongift
6 days ago
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Great thread on japan's fiscal position
add a skeleton here at some point
6 days ago
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Win Monroe
Poorly Drawn Arsenal
8 days ago
Zubi was a steal
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Win Monroe
Martin Sandbu
8 days ago
@abenewman.bsky.social
is right. There is an alternative.
as.ft.com/r/7b8f914c-f...
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Win Monroe
Anne Applebaum
8 days ago
And here we are: the entire transatlantic alliance is now talking about Greenland, instead of talking about ending the war in Ukraine.
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8 days ago
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Everyone thinks their policy is good and their opposition's policy is bad. The whole point of institutions is to keep the nation state more stable than if we were ruled by proclamations & whims alone.
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8 days ago
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Win Monroe
Ian Smith
8 days ago
1970s-style debt crisis update ā UK borrowing costs fall to lowest in more than a year
www.ft.com/content/0574...
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Win Monroe
Katie Martin
8 days ago
pouring yet another one out for the 'UK needs an IMF bailout' crew
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Good summary here
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8 days ago
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Win Monroe
Lewis Goodall
8 days ago
I was 20 when HS2 was announced. Great to know iāll probably be in my late 60s when the Birmingham-Manchester section starts work let alone finishes. Seems like a country doing things the right way!
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Carl Quintanilla
9 days ago
ā.. The bottom line is that Trumpās push for Fed compliance ironically may lead to *more* Fed independence. .. Trumpās appointee.. may be less able to forge a consensus around his or her views than past Fed chairs have beenāgiving Trump less control over the Fedās actions than Trump may anticipate.ā
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Win Monroe
graham steele
10 days ago
Worth being clear about how this works: the President browbeats the Fed. His functionaries at ostensibly independent agencies act accordingly. POTUS has plausible deniability while the US Attorney "plans to forge ahead." Similar playbook to James and Comey indictments and Schiff investigation.
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Win Monroe
George Pearkes
10 days ago
Wild reporting from Bloomberg. Jeanine Pirro apparently freelanced the subpoenas and criminal investigation of Jerome Powell.
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This song is heart wrenching every time
add a skeleton here at some point
10 days ago
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Win Monroe
Patrick De Klotz
10 days ago
Do we mandatory report this to state regulatory authorities? Itās a minor.
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Win Monroe
10 days ago
So do we think Trump knows what countries he just tariffed?
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Win Monroe
The Verge
10 days ago
UK pushes up a law criminalizing deepfake nudes in response to Grok
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UK pushes up a law criminalizing deepfake nudes in response to Grok
The law will come into force this week.
https://buff.ly/kQXaZTx
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10 days ago
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Joint statement from former Fed chairs, Treasury secretaries, and CEA chairs under both parties
jointstatement.substack.com/p/statement-...
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Statement on the Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserveās independence and the publicās perception of that independence are critical for economic performance, including achieving the goals Congress has set for the Federal Reserve of sta...
https://jointstatement.substack.com/p/statement-on-the-federal-reserve
10 days ago
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Win Monroe
Conor Sen
11 days ago
For the Fed, itās one battle after another
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Whoa. Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
via @FederalReserve
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Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
Good evening. On Friday, the Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas, threatening a criminal indictment related to my testi
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260111a.htm
11 days ago
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Almost exactly in line with research estimates of QE of 5-10 bps per $100 bn.
12 days ago
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Win Monroe
Brad DeLong
13 days ago
...vaccinated, but fully 0.12%/year higher. And the presumption has to be that there are an extra 6.5 19-64 year-olds who die from something else that they would have successfully fought off, had they gotten vaccinated and so had suffered under less of a metabolic burden from fighting COVID⦠2/
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Win Monroe
Aaron Sojourner
13 days ago
Sending thousands of armed, masked, armored federal agents to our community makes us less safe. Makes us unable to live free.
bsky.app/profile/eric...
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Wait, so fannie and fredie are doing large scale asset purchases at the presidents direction now?
13 days ago
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Win Monroe
Martin Sandbu
13 days ago
The EU really knows how to hide its light under a bushel. It has just passed the world's biggest trade deal (with Mercosur) - using a written procedure among ambassadors, making the public barely notices a huge strategic step forward for Europe. Contrast with Trump's made-for-TV signing ceremonies.
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The cafe I'm working in this morning is playing a jazzy, brassy cover of NIN closer compete with scat vocals and solos. I've really never been so confused
13 days ago
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Win Monroe
arseblog
19 days ago
I woke up to see the news. I am aghast. I can't believe the FIFA peace prize has been disrespected like this. Is nothing sacred anymore?
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Win Monroe
John Williams
22 days ago
Iāve spent this morning morbidly watching the MTV channels close down and the final songs played were: MTV Music - Video Killed the Radio Star (Buggles) Club MTV - Donāt Stop the Music (Rihanna) MTV 90s - Goodbye (Spice Girls) MTV 80s - Together in Electric Dreams (Oakey and Moroder)
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Orbinho
22 days ago
Leandro Trossard has the most goal contributions in all competitions for Arsenal this season - six assists and seven goals.
#ARSAST
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That was fun
23 days ago
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Win Monroe
Toby Nangle
23 days ago
Searching (fruitlessly, for something else in) the IMF's Oct GFSR, I can see why this chart gives them the heebie-jeebies. UST mkt has flunked both its last two tests as global risk-free asset.
www.imf.org/-/media/file...
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Win Monroe
Favorite books of the year
24 days ago
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Favorite books of the year
24 days ago
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Chopped and screwed music in the airport after a blues rock band is the most Austin thing ever
24 days ago
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Win Monroe
Ian Smith
24 days ago
2025 IN MARKETS* šššš§µ 1. People came into the year pretty bullish on US stocks and $ (because Trump) US stocks soar more than 20% for second year in a row
www.ft.com/content/b413...
Dollar surges against euro and sterling
www.ft.com/content/e572...
*focusing on big markets in US and Europe
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US stocks soar more than 20% for second year in a row
Investor excitement over AI helps Big Tech once again drive gains in blue-chip S&P 500
https://www.ft.com/content/b4136bc5-1f54-4cc8-82c9-0f4b33405a89
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Win Monroe
Bloomberg News
24 days ago
Big banks are getting their sweet revenge on private credit as the Trump administration dials back regulatory restrictions. Read more:
bloom.bg/3MSnBUB
š·: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
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For all its faults and changes, Austin remains awesome. If only it had public transit, it would be undefeated
26 days ago
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Win Monroe
Mike Boylan-Kolchin
26 days ago
The guy who put a 19 year old named Big Balls in charge of gutting key government services: āexperience matters when lives are at stakeā
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