New paper out in @fpajrnl.bsky.social - tldr: Recipient leadership turnover does not affect the continuation of existing international arms transfers relationships. In the paper, I discuss why this is surprising and how we can make sense of it.

🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨 Risse (2025) shows that democracies consistently support conventional arms control but back nuclear arms control only when resolutions are co-sponsored by other democracies. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

Well, turns out the deadline was extended until 20 June - 3 more days to submit! www.isanet.org/Conferences/...

Co-organsing a workshop on "“Defining, Measuring, Investigating, and Predicting Solidarity and International Solidarity” here and still open for submissions!

Happy to have been a small part of this!

"The government's argument sounds plausible. There's just one problem. It doesn't fit the facts. And the government knows it." www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Currently in FirstView: “Exponential Random Graph Models for Dynamic Signed Networks: An Application to International Relations” by @corneliusfritz.bsky.social, @mehrl.bsky.social, Paul Thurner, and Göran Kauermann. The authors propose the Signed Exponential Random Graph Model (SERGM).

There are new #OpenAccess articles from @polanalysis.bsky.social available on the journal's #FirstView page - cup.org/40mppbd Inc. papers by @tara-slough.bsky.social, @devincaughey.bsky.social, @mehrl.bsky.social, @olsisblue.bsky.social, @corneliusfritz.bsky.social, @pkoc.bsky.social & and more

Foreign Legionnaires and Military Mutinies | Journal of @journalofgss.bsky.social Abel Escribà-Folch Christopher Faulkner @mehrl.bsky.social academic.oup.com/jogss/articl...

How does recruiting foreign nationals into the armed forces impact mutiny risk? 🤔 The answer isn’t simple! 💡Read the research by Abel Escribà-Folch, Christopher Faulkner, and @mehrl.bsky.social to uncover the complex dynamics at play. 🔍 Read their open-access article here: doi.org/10.1093/jogs...

Spring is arriving (at least where we are), and so is CMPS issue 41(3), featuring six articles on the effects of UNHRC shaming and of civilian victimization, rough terrain insurgency, public attitudes on sanctions, airpower, and piracy. Articles are here:

My 2021 book Making the World Safe for Dictatorship is now published as a paperback w/ Oxford University Press. To celebrate I will put everyone who reposts this before March 21 into a random drawing & send the winner a free copy anywhere they happen to be in the world. polisky dictatorsky

Did you know that in addition to regular articles, CMPS also publishes two other types of articles?

Very happy to see "Preventing Dissent: Secret Police and Protests in Dictatorships" now published as a "just accepted" paper in @thejop.bsky.social! It's joint work with Ioannis Choulis and Abel Escribà Folch, examining how the presence of secret police organisations affects protests.

CMPS issue 41(2) is now available at journals.sagepub.com/toc/cmpb/41/2 and we are starting up threads summarizing our issues here on bsky! Issue 41(2) is a special issue on “New Research on Leaders and Peace Science”, edited by @jeffcarter.bsky.social.

Happy 2024! CMPS is now also on bsky, and we will have some exciting news and content here.

Call for papers: The 23rd Jan Tinbergen Peace Science Conference 17-19 June, 2024, Dublin City University, Ireland Abstracts (max. 300 words) with a tentative title must be submitted via portal.europeanpeacescientists.org   by December 31, 2023.

Too often, the data that we use in Social Science research is pretty dodgy. May that be because of poor sampling, measurement problems, nonresponse, etc. So we either reject it or use it and hope for the best (maybe add a few caveats in our discussion).

New paper with Abel Escribà Folch, studying the logic of autocrats' recruiting foreign legionnaires, out in Democratization. Legionnaire recruitment is associated with increased personalization and decreases the risk of coup attempts and mass protests. Available open access!

Fresh off the press! Thrilled to see that this joint manuscript is finally out! Through an interdisciplinary lens, we have investigated the link between protracted displacement and housing systems in intermediary cities with a specific focus on the case of Syrians in Torbalı, Izmir, Türkiye.

Great to have this paper w/ D. Seussler & P. Thurner published in the Review of International Organizations! We study the role of international rivalries in the Arms trade, focusing on arms transfers of the Interwar period.

Great workshop on forecasting conflict with VIEWS and the German Foreign Office, presenting joint work with @mehrl.bsky.social and Cornelius Fritz. #ConflictSky #PoliSky

Having just cycled around Leeds... Yes.